Houston Wolves Playoff Chances 3

Plays Trash Pandas, playoff odds down 0.1 to 40.8%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	+6.5+6.1+6.2-1.5-1.7-6.5		+0.6+0.5+0.5-0.3-0.3-0.6		+0.7+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Vikings vs Kozaks	+0.5+0.0-0.1*-0.6-0.5-0.4
Muckaneers vs Twisters					+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
H. Wolves vs Beavers	+6.2+5.6+6.0-1.9-1.5-6.7		+0.5+0.5+0.5*-0.1-0.3-0.6		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
W. Wolves vs Bruins			+0.0-0.0+0.0-0.2-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the H. Wolves finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

62	-78						In		99.2	%	100															478	*
61		29	7		-	3	In		95.9		98	2														369	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		94.0		98	2														632	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		92.3		97	3														1,050	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		84.1		93	7	0													1,817	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		76.8		90	9	0													3,001	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		65.7		83	16	1	0												4,789	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		51.2		75	23	2	0												7,219	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		36.8		64	31	5	0	0											10,694	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		21.9		51	39	10	1	0											15,391	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		11.1		37	44	17	3	0	0										21,334	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		4.1		24	43	26	7	1	0										28,487	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.0		12	35	34	15	3	0	0									37,448	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		5	23	36	25	9	2	0	0								47,098	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	12	29	32	19	5	1	0								58,331	*
47		22	14		-	3	99.9	%	No		0	4	17	31	29	14	4	1	0	0						70,134	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	1	8	23	32	24	9	2	0	0						37,193
		21	14		-	4	99.4		No		0	1	5	18	30	28	14	4	1	0						43,722	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.3		No		0	0	2	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0					92,143	*
44		21	16		-	2	92.2		No			0	0	3	13	26	31	19	6	1	0	0				55,527	*
		20	15		-	4	83.1		No				0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0				46,537	*
43		20	16		-	3	67.1		No				0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	2	0	0			50,430
		21	17		-	1	67.5		No				0	0	3	11	24	30	21	9	2	0	0			57,492	*
42		20	17		-	2	46.9		No					0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0			61,429	*
		19	16		-	4	29.1		No					0	0	1	7	21	31	26	11	3	0	0		51,854	*
41		19	17		-	3	15.9		No					0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0	114,744	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.4		No						0	0	1	5	17	30	29	15	4	0	0	51,396
		18	17		-	4	3.4		No							0	0	3	12	25	31	20	7	1	0	62,119	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	17	30	29	15	3	0	108,624	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.1		No								0	0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	56,319	*
		17	18		-	4	0.1		No									0	1	6	19	33	28	11	2	46,122	*
37		17	19		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	0	2	11	27	35	21	4	92,837	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	1	5	19	37	30	8	37,583
		16	19		-	4	Out		No										0	0	3	16	35	34	12	44,965	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	9	29	41	20	70,779	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No										0	0	0	4	20	44	32	59,684	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	12	41	46	47,997	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	6	34	59	38,898	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	3	26	71	29,692	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	19	79	22,275	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														1	13	87	16,367	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	11,645	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	7,938	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	5,436	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															2	98	3,361	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	2,126	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	1,252	*
22		10	27		-	2	Out		No															0	100	762	*
21		9	27		-	3	Out		No															0	100	442	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	618	*

Total:							40.8	%	1.4	%	3	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	-1.3-1.3-1.3+0.3+0.3+1.4
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
H. Wolves vs Beavers	-1.3-1.2-1.3+0.4+0.3+1.4
Skates vs Vikings	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
W. Wolves vs Bruins	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-78						100
62		30	7		-	2	98	2
61		29	7		-	3	96	4
60		29	8		-	2	94	6	0
59		28	8		-	3	92	7	0
58		28	9		-	2	84	15	1
57		27	9		-	3	77	21	2	0
56		27	10		-	2	66	29	5	0	0
55		26	10		-	3	51	36	11	1	0	0
54		26	11		-	2	37	40	19	4	0	0
53		25	11		-	3	22	38	27	10	2	0	0
52		25	12		-	2	11	29	32	19	7	2	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	4	16	29	28	16	6	1	0	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	7	18	27	25	15	6	2	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	7	17	25	24	16	7	3	1	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
47		22	14		-	3		0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	4	1	0	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	4					0			0	0	1	5	12	20	23	19	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3									0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
		21	17		-	1								0	0	0	2	5	11	18	21	19	13	7	3	1	0	0		0
42		20	17		-	2									0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	4											0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
41		19	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
40		19	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		18	17		-	4															0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
39		18	18		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																	0	0	1	2	7	15	23	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
		17	18		-	4																		0	0	1	3	9	17	25	23	15	6	1	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																			0	0	1	3	8	18	25	24	14	5	1	0
		18	20		-	1																		0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	22	13	5	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																			0	0	0	1	3	8	18	26	25	15	5	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	18	28	26	13	3
34		16	21		-	2																						0	0	0	2	9	22	32	25	8
33		15	21		-	3																							0	0	1	4	13	29	35	18
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	6	21	41	30
31		14	22		-	3																									0	0	2	13	39	46
30		14	23		-	2																										0	1	7	32	60
29		13	23		-	3																										0	0	3	25	72
28		13	24		-	2																											0	1	18	81
27		12	24		-	3																												1	12	88
26		12	25		-	2																												0	7	93
25		11	25		-	3																												0	5	95
24		11	26		-	2																													3	97
23		10	26		-	3																													1	99
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
21		9	27		-	3																													1	99
0	-20																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6