How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 *+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Vikings vs Kozaks-0.3*-0.1*-0.3*+0.2*+0.2+0.3
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas+0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
W. Wolves vs Bruins*-0.1*-0.1-0.7*-0.1*+0.1+0.2
+0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
65-80In99.7%1001,115*
64297-2In99.41000861*
63298-1In99.010001,514*
62288-2In98.410002,522*
61289-1In97.09914,067*
60279-2In93.898206,512*
59269-3In90.397309,686*
582610-2In85.2955014,028*
572510-3In76.2919019,977*
562511-2In64.986141027,250*
552411-3In50.978202036,127*
542412-2In36.4682840046,726*
532312-3In22.1553781057,488*
522313-2In10.941431520069,557*
512213-3In4.1274324610081,424*
502214-2In1.21639321120046,114
2113-4In0.91336331430046,514*
492114-3In0.272636237100102,636*
482115-2100.0%0.02143131165100109,458*
472015-3100.0No041832281330053,167
2116-1100.0No1620322612300061,737*
462016-299.8No029243222820057,321
1915-499.6No0172030261330059,730*
451916-397.8No0292332239200053,189
2017-197.7No00311243021920061,424*
441917-292.6No00312273119610054,225
1816-487.0No00292230241020056,538*
431817-369.4No0003112530218200103,283*
421818-240.6No003122530207200094,003*
411718-316.7No000313263019710082,436*
401719-24.4No00141428301851071,454*
391619-30.8No0015163030154059,719*
381620-20.1No001720332710148,684*
371520-30.0No00210273522538,117*
361521-2OutNo0041635341129,505*
351421-3OutNo01828412222,082*
341422-2OutNo00319443416,067*
331322-3OutNo0111404811,297*
321323-2OutNo0533627,594*
311223-3OutNo0325725,115*
301224-2OutNo117823,173*
291124-3OutNo011892,034*
281125-2OutNo08911,312*
271025-3OutNo595754*
261026-2OutNo397423*
251027-1OutNo199223*
24927-2OutNo199134*
23827-3OutNo10064*
22828-2OutNo39733*
4-21OutNo100167*
Total:72.1%7.5%1411109877665544321,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
W. Wolves vs Bruins+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
68-80100
67316-1991
66306-2100
65307-11000
64297-2991
63298-1991
62288-2982
61289-19730
60279-29460
59269-39090
582610-2851410
572510-3762120
562511-26530500
552411-3513710200
542412-23641184100
532312-322382710200
522313-21129321972000
512213-341729271661000
502214-2171827241462000
492114-302717252415721000
482115-2002614222418941000
472015-300141119232113620000
462016-2013816232316831000
1915-400026121822191362000
451916-3000138162221168310000
441917-20015112024201252000
1816-40001381420211794100
431817-300001410182220147310000
421818-2000251118222013621000
411718-300026121922191252000
401719-2000127142022181041000
391619-30001391623221573100
381620-20002513212419114100
371520-3000141019242314510
361521-2001381826241451
351421-300028192826133
341422-2002102332258
331322-301413293617
321323-2016224130
311223-3003144043
301224-2173260
291124-3032472
281125-212079
271025-311386
261026-2892
251027-1595
24927-2496
23827-3100
22828-2694
4-21100
Total:766555544444333333322222222111