Karelia Flames Playoff Chances 3Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 72.1% 4 points 2 0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Vikings vs Kozaks | -0.3*-0.1*-0.3*+0.2*+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas | | | +0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | W. Wolves vs Bruins | *-0.1*-0.1-0.7*-0.1*+0.1+0.2 | | +0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | -80 | | In | 99.7 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,115 | * | 64 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | In | 99.4 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 861 | * | 63 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | In | 99.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,514 | * | 62 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | In | 98.4 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,522 | * | 61 | | 28 | 9 | - | 1 | In | 97.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,067 | * | 60 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | In | 93.8 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,512 | * | 59 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 90.3 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9,686 | * | 58 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 85.2 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14,028 | * | 57 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 76.2 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19,977 | * | 56 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 64.9 | | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 27,250 | * | 55 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 50.9 | | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 36,127 | * | 54 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | In | 36.4 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 46,726 | * | 53 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 22.1 | | 55 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 57,488 | * | 52 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | In | 10.9 | | 41 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 69,557 | * | 51 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 4.1 | | 27 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 81,424 | * | 50 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | In | 1.2 | | 16 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 46,114 | | | 21 | 13 | - | 4 | In | 0.9 | | 13 | 36 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 46,514 | * | 49 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | In | 0.2 | | 7 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 102,636 | * | 48 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 2 | 14 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 109,458 | * | 47 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 53,167 | | | 21 | 16 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | No | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | 61,737 | * | 46 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 57,321 | | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | 99.6 | | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 59,730 | * | 45 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | 97.8 | | No | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 53,189 | | | 20 | 17 | - | 1 | 97.7 | | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 61,424 | * | 44 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | 92.6 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 54,225 | | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | 87.0 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 56,538 | * | 43 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | 69.4 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 103,283 | * | 42 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | 40.6 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94,003 | * | 41 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | 16.7 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 82,436 | * | 40 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | 4.4 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 71,454 | * | 39 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | 0.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 59,719 | * | 38 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 48,684 | * | 37 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 38,117 | * | 36 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 11 | 29,505 | * | 35 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 22,082 | * | 34 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 34 | 16,067 | * | 33 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 48 | 11,297 | * | 32 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 33 | 62 | 7,594 | * | 31 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 5,115 | * | 30 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 82 | 3,173 | * | 29 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 2,034 | * | 28 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 91 | 1,312 | * | 27 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 754 | * | 26 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 423 | * | 25 | | 10 | 27 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 223 | * | 24 | | 9 | 27 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 134 | * | 23 | | 8 | 27 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 64 | * | 22 | | 8 | 28 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 33 | * | 4 | -21 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 167 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 72.1 | % | 7.5 | % | 14 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1,738,580 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesTuesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | -0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | W. Wolves vs Bruins | +0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | -80 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 31 | 6 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 30 | 6 | - | 2 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 30 | 7 | - | 1 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 28 | 9 | - | 1 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | 90 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | 76 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | 51 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | 36 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | 4 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 42 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 41 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 40 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 39 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 38 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 36 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 35 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 34 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 8 | 33 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 17 | 32 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 41 | 30 | 31 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 43 | 30 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 32 | 60 | 29 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 72 | 28 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 20 | 79 | 27 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 86 | 26 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | 25 | | 10 | 27 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | 24 | | 9 | 27 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 23 | | 8 | 27 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 22 | | 8 | 28 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | 4 | -21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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