Portland Pirates Playoff Chances 3Beat Valkyrie 8-3, playoff odds up 11.3 to 56.9% 2 points 1 1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Tuesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | +6.3 | | +0.7 | | +0.6 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Vikings vs Kozaks | -0.5*-0.3*-0.3*+0.1*+0.4+0.5 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Average seed | Skates vs Vikings | +0.2*-0.3*-0.2*-0.3-0.6*-0.0 | | | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.0 | | KekW vs Liberate | | | | | +0.0-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | -78 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 476 | * | 63 | | 30 | 7 | - | 1 | In | 98.8 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 334 | * | 62 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | In | 98.4 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 670 | * | 61 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | In | 95.7 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,174 | * | 60 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | In | 94.6 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,024 | * | 59 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 90.7 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,225 | * | 58 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | In | 84.8 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,190 | * | 57 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 76.2 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 7,867 | * | 56 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | In | 65.4 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 11,749 | * | 55 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 51.2 | | 77 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 16,798 | * | 54 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 36.7 | | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 23,583 | * | 53 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 22.2 | | 54 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 30,851 | * | 52 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | In | 11.0 | | 40 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 40,966 | * | 51 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | In | 4.2 | | 26 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 51,398 | * | 50 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | In | 1.0 | | 14 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 63,608 | * | 49 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | In | 0.2 | | 6 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 74,901 | * | 48 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 2 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 86,973 | * | 47 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | No | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 44,710 | | | 22 | 15 | - | 1 | 100.0 | | No | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 52,387 | * | 46 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 106,789 | * | 45 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | 97.6 | | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 111,810 | * | 44 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | 93.2 | | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 69,250 | * | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | 84.4 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 47,594 | * | 43 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | 64.2 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 77,844 | * | | 20 | 17 | - | 1 | 80.3 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | 38,224 | | 42 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | 46.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 54,751 | | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | 35.7 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 58,664 | * | 41 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | 14.2 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 53,210 | * | | 19 | 18 | - | 1 | 18.9 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 54,102 | * | 40 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | 6.3 | | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 58,354 | * | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | 2.3 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 40,749 | * | 39 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 41,098 | | | 18 | 19 | - | 1 | 1.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 47,310 | * | 38 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 77,380 | * | 37 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 65,781 | * | 36 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 11 | 54,367 | * | 35 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 43,511 | * | 34 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 34,216 | * | 33 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 48 | 25,821 | * | 32 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 18,892 | * | 31 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 13,487 | * | 30 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 9,347 | * | 29 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 87 | 6,254 | * | 28 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 4,215 | * | 27 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 2,715 | * | 26 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1,674 | * | 25 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 933 | * | 24 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 585 | * | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 284 | * | 2 | -22 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 485 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 56.9 | % | 3.3 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1,738,580 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesTuesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3 | -1.3 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Wednesday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Skates vs Vikings | -0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1*+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | -78 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 30 | 7 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 29 | 7 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 29 | 8 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 28 | 8 | - | 2 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 27 | 9 | - | 2 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 26 | 10 | - | 2 | 65 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | 51 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 25 | 11 | - | 2 | 37 | 40 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 24 | 12 | - | 2 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | 4 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 23 | 13 | - | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 22 | 14 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 46 | | 21 | 15 | - | 2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 45 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 44 | | 20 | 16 | - | 2 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 43 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 20 | 17 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 42 | | 19 | 17 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 41 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 19 | 18 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 40 | | 18 | 18 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 39 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 38 | | 17 | 19 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 36 | | 16 | 20 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 35 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 34 | | 15 | 21 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 8 | 33 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 32 | | 14 | 22 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 40 | 29 | 31 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 44 | 30 | | 13 | 23 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 59 | 29 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 71 | 28 | | 12 | 24 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 27 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 88 | 26 | | 11 | 25 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 25 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 24 | | 10 | 26 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 23 | | 9 | 26 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | 22 | | 9 | 27 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 2 | -21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
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