London Racers Playoff Chances 3

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 72.7%

4 points 2 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	+0.3-0.0+0.3-0.5-0.0-0.3
Muckaneers vs Twisters			-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
H. Wolves vs Beavers	+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.8-0.5+0.0		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Racers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

66	-80						In		99.8	%	100															627	*
65		30	7		-	1	In		99.6		100	0														492	*
64		29	7		-	2	In		99.5		100	0														880	*
63		29	8		-	1	In		98.8		99	1														1,554	*
62		28	8		-	2	In		98.1		99	1														2,619	*
61		27	8		-	3	In		97.0		99	1														4,250	*
60		27	9		-	2	In		94.7		98	2	0													6,728	*
59		26	9		-	3	In		91.1		96	4	0													9,872	*
58		26	10		-	2	In		85.1		94	6	0													14,581	*
57		25	10		-	3	In		76.5		90	10	0	0												20,386	*
56		25	11		-	2	In		65.4		84	15	1	0												28,015	*
55		24	11		-	3	In		51.9		76	22	2	0												36,486	*
54		24	12		-	2	In		36.7		65	30	4	0	0											47,480	*
53		23	12		-	3	In		22.5		52	38	9	1	0											58,660	*
52		23	13		-	2	In		10.9		38	43	16	3	0	0										70,710	*
51		22	13		-	3	In		4.2		24	43	26	6	1	0										81,836	*
50		22	14		-	2	In		1.0		13	36	34	14	3	0	0	0								94,064	*
49		21	14		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	36	24	8	1	0	0								102,761	*
48		21	15		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	14	32	32	16	4	0	0	0							54,911
		20	14		-	4	100.0		0.0		2	12	28	33	19	6	1	0	0							55,977	*
47		20	15		-	3	100.0		No		0	4	17	32	29	14	3	0	0	0						53,289
		21	16		-	1	100.0		No		1	5	19	31	27	13	3	0	0							61,888	*
46		20	16		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0	0					116,775	*
45		19	16		-	3	97.8		No		0	0	1	8	23	32	24	10	2	0	0					53,188
		20	17		-	1	97.6		No		0	0	2	10	24	30	22	9	2	0	0					61,430	*
44		19	17		-	2	89.6		No			0	0	2	11	24	31	21	8	2	0	0				110,297	*
43		18	17		-	3	68.6		No				0	0	2	10	25	31	22	8	2	0	0			47,613
		19	18		-	1	71.0		No				0	0	3	12	25	30	20	8	2	0	0			54,739	*
42		18	18		-	2	41.3		No				0	0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0		92,957	*
41		17	18		-	3	17.1		No						0	1	4	13	26	30	19	6	1	0	0	82,327	*
40		17	19		-	2	4.8		No						0	0	1	4	15	29	29	17	5	1	0	70,037	*
39		16	19		-	3	1.0		No							0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	58,746	*
38		16	20		-	2	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	7	22	33	26	9	1	47,721	*
37		15	20		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	11	28	35	20	4	37,402	*
36		15	21		-	2	Out		No										0	1	4	18	35	32	11	28,833	*
35		14	21		-	3	Out		No											0	1	9	29	40	20	21,390	*
34		14	22		-	2	Out		No										0	0	0	4	20	43	32	15,473	*
33		13	22		-	3	Out		No												0	1	12	41	47	10,925	*
32		13	23		-	2	Out		No												0	1	6	34	59	7,479	*
31		12	23		-	3	Out		No													0	3	25	72	4,962	*
30		12	24		-	2	Out		No													0	1	19	80	3,246	*
29		11	24		-	3	Out		No														0	12	88	2,034	*
28		11	25		-	2	Out		No														0	8	92	1,196	*
27		10	25		-	3	Out		No															4	96	761	*
26		10	26		-	2	Out		No															3	97	401	*
25		9	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	207	*
24		9	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	125	*
23		8	27		-	3	Out		No																100	47	*
22		8	28		-	2	Out		No															3	97	33	*
4	-21						Out		No																100	170	*

Total:							72.7	%	7.7	%	14	11	10	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pirates 8 Valkyrie 3	*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Golddiggers vs Whalers	-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0
Muckaneers vs Twisters	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

67	-80						100
66		30	6		-	2	100	0
65		30	7		-	1	100	0
64		29	7		-	2	100	0
63		29	8		-	1	99	1
62		28	8		-	2	98	2
61		27	8		-	3	97	3
60		27	9		-	2	95	5	0
59		26	9		-	3	91	9	0	0
58		26	10		-	2	85	14	1	0
57		25	10		-	3	77	21	2	0	0
56		25	11		-	2	65	29	5	0	0
55		24	11		-	3	52	37	10	2	0	0
54		24	12		-	2	37	40	18	4	1	0
53		23	12		-	3	23	38	27	10	2	0	0
52		23	13		-	2	11	29	32	19	7	1	0	0	0
51		22	13		-	3	4	17	29	27	16	6	1	0	0	0
50		22	14		-	2	1	7	19	27	24	14	6	2	0	0	0
49		21	14		-	3	0	2	7	17	25	24	15	7	2	0	0	0	0
48		21	15		-	2	0	0	2	7	16	23	24	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
		20	14		-	4	0	0	1	6	13	22	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
47		20	15		-	3		0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
46		20	16		-	2		0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		19	15		-	4				0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
45		19	16		-	3					0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		19	17		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
43		18	17		-	3								0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
		19	18		-	1							0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	21	19	13	7	3	1	0	0
42		18	18		-	2									0	0	0	0	2	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0
41		17	18		-	3											0	0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
40		17	19		-	2													0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
39		16	19		-	3															0	0	0	1	3	9	17	22	22	15	8	2	1	0	0
38		16	20		-	2																	0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
37		15	20		-	3																			0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	14	5	1	0
36		15	21		-	2																				0	0	1	3	9	18	25	24	15	5	1
35		14	21		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	18	28	26	14	3
34		14	22		-	2																							0	0	3	10	22	31	26	8
33		13	22		-	3																								0	1	3	13	29	36	18
32		13	23		-	2																								0	0	1	6	22	41	30
31		12	23		-	3																										0	2	13	37	47
30		12	24		-	2																										0	1	8	33	58
29		11	24		-	3																											0	3	24	74
28		11	25		-	2																												1	18	81
27		10	25		-	3																												1	10	89
26		10	26		-	2																												0	8	92
25		9	26		-	3																													3	97
24		9	27		-	2																													2	98
23		8	27		-	3																														100
22		8	28		-	2																													3	97
4	-21																																			100

Total:							8	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1