How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Muckaneers vs Twisters-6.7-1.5-1.9+6.0+6.0+6.3
-0.8-0.3-0.4+0.8+0.7+0.7
-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Vikings vs Kozaks+0.5*+0.1*+0.4*-0.1*-0.4-0.5
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Muckaneers vs Zigzagoons+0.2-0.5*-0.3*-0.2-0.5*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Twisters finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415Count
64-78InYes100291*
63306-3In97.8%991136*
62307-2In97.91000290*
61308-1In98.3100534*
60298-2In95.9982995*
59288-3In89.896401,703*
58289-2In83.793702,784*
57279-3In76.3891004,571*
562710-2In64.18217106,943*
552610-3In50.975232010,267*
542611-2In36.0633250014,945*
532511-3In21.35039101020,385*
522512-2In10.73643173027,746*
512412-3In3.9234227710036,416*
502413-2In1.11235341530046,911*
492313-3In0.15243625920057,294*
482314-2100.0%0.0212293218510068,828*
472214-3100.00.0041731281441080,425*
462215-299.8No019243223920052,946*
2114-499.3No00416302916410039,000*
452115-397.4No002922312410200100,762*
442116-292.6No000313273119610061,558*
2015-483.4No0161930271330047,028*
432016-367.7No00210243122820052,778
2117-168.4No00311242921820059,880*
422017-242.0No00312263020710064,768*
1916-437.3No0031024312282050,258*
411917-316.4No003132630197100113,504*
401918-25.7No0151731281530051,171
1817-43.7No00031226312061059,256*
391818-30.9No000151730291430102,099*
381819-20.1No00292434247143,505
1718-40.1No001619322811250,495*
371719-30.0No00211283520482,879*
361720-20.0No00151835321071,768*
351620-3OutNo001929412060,088*
341621-2OutNo00420443249,290*
331521-3OutNo0212414539,060*
321522-2OutNo006345930,682*
311422-3OutNo03267022,834*
301423-2OutNo01198016,614*
291323-3OutNo01138611,996*
281324-2OutNo09918,123*
271224-3OutNo05955,547*
261225-2OutNo3973,606*
251125-3OutNo2982,233*
241126-2OutNo1991,387*
231026-3OutNo0100835*
221027-2OutNo0100494*
0-21OutNo100672*
Total:46.9%2.0%4566667777788881,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Muckaneers vs Twisters+1.4+0.3+0.3-1.3-1.3-1.3
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
64-78100
63306-3982
62307-2982
61308-1982
60298-2964
59288-390100
58289-2841510
57279-3762120
562710-26430510
552610-351371020
542611-2364019410
532511-321382710200
522512-2112932207100
512412-341728271662000
502413-217182724156200
492313-30271725241672100
482314-2002614222418941000
472214-3000141119232113620000
462215-200027142123181041000
452115-300013816212216931000
442116-200026132023191141000
2015-4000015122023201251000
432016-30000141017222014731000
422017-2001271421231794100
1916-4000026142123181041000
411917-30001511192320125200
2018-100126131921181262000
401918-20001391723221572000
1817-4001391723221472000
391818-30001391622221573100
381819-2001271523241783000
1718-40001411192322135100
371719-3000141019252213510
361720-20001391826251451
351620-300028192826133
341621-20003102232258
331521-3001413303617
321522-20016224031
311422-3002143845
301423-200173359
291323-30042571
281324-2011781
271224-3011188
261225-20892
251125-3595
241126-20298
231026-3199
221027-2199
211028-1199
0-20100
Total:222333333333333344444444444444