Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Cincinnati Stingers Playoff Chances 3

Plays Armada, playoff odds up 0.3 to 42.7%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Stingers vs Armada	+6.1+5.8+6.1-2.0-2.0-6.7		+0.6+0.5+0.6-0.3-0.2-0.6		+0.6+0.6+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.7
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.4-0.3-0.7-0.2*-0.1+0.5				-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stingers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

66	-78						In		Yes		100															160	*
65		32	6		-	1	In		96.8	%	97	3														31	*
64		31	6		-	2	In		Yes		100															58	*
63		30	6		-	3	In		99.0		99	1														105	*
62		30	7		-	2	In		99.5		100															203	*
61		30	8		-	1	In		95.5		99	2														400	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		95.9		99	1														687	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		91.1		97	3														1,282	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		85.3		95	5	0													2,093	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		76.0		91	9	0													3,370	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		63.9		85	15	1	0												5,347	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		50.9		77	21	2	0												8,201	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		35.8		67	29	4	0												11,941	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		22.1		54	37	8	1	0											16,760	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		10.5		39	43	15	2	0	0										23,168	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		4.0		26	43	25	6	1	0										31,033	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.0		14	36	33	13	3	0	0									40,506	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	36	23	8	1	0	0								50,265	*
48		23	14		-	2	100.0	%	0.0		2	13	30	32	17	5	1	0	0							61,935	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0		0.0		0	5	18	31	28	14	3	0	0							73,198	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.7		No		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0						85,009	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.5		No		0	0	2	9	23	31	23	10	2	0	0	0				95,071	*
44		21	16		-	2	88.7		No			0	0	2	10	23	31	22	9	2	0	0	0			104,201	*
43		20	16		-	3	67.8		No				0	0	3	11	24	30	22	8	2	0	0	0		109,856	*
42		20	17		-	2	40.9		No					0	0	3	12	25	30	20	7	1	0	0		63,929	*
		19	16		-	4	36.0		No					0	0	2	10	23	31	22	9	2	0			49,958	*
41		19	17		-	3	15.4		No						0	0	3	12	26	30	20	7	1	0	0	114,353	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.4		No						0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	4	0	0	51,436
		18	17		-	4	3.3		No							0	0	3	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	61,374	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.6		No							0	0	1	4	15	30	31	16	4	0	49,838
		19	19		-	1	1.0		No							0	0	1	5	16	29	29	15	4	0	57,246	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	6	20	33	28	11	2	99,380	*
37		17	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	10	26	35	22	5	89,559	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	34	34	12	79,453	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	27	42	22	67,334	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	18	44	35	56,168	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	49	45,633	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	32	62	35,754	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	24	73	27,296	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	17	82	20,445	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														0	11	88	14,891	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	7	93	10,289	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	4	96	7,060	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	3	97	4,745	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															2	98	3,046	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	1,817	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	1,148	*
22		10	27		-	2	Out		No																100	614	*
21		9	27		-	3	Out		No															0	100	369	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	565	*

Total:							42.7	%	1.5	%	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	9	10	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stingers vs Armada	-1.3-1.2-1.3+0.4+0.4+1.4
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
H. Wolves vs Beavers	+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

66	-78						100
65		32	6		-	1	97	3
64		31	6		-	2	100
63		30	6		-	3	99	1
62		30	7		-	2	100	0
61		30	8		-	1	96	5
60		29	8		-	2	96	4
59		28	8		-	3	91	9	0
58		28	9		-	2	85	13	1
57		27	9		-	3	76	22	2	0
56		27	10		-	2	64	31	5	1	0
55		26	10		-	3	51	37	10	1	0	0
54		26	11		-	2	36	41	18	4	1	0
53		25	11		-	3	22	39	26	10	2	0	0
52		25	12		-	2	10	29	32	19	7	2	0	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	4	17	29	27	16	6	2	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	7	18	27	25	15	6	2	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	7	17	24	24	16	7	2	1	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	1	6	14	22	24	18	9	4	1	0	0	0
47		22	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	7	14	20	22	18	11	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3				0	0	0	1	3	8	15	21	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	0	1	4	9	16	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	20	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		20	17		-	2									0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	18	9	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	4											0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
41		19	17		-	3									0			0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	6	2	0	0	0
40		19	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
		18	17		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
39		18	18		-	3														0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																	0	0	0	2	5	13	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	22	14	5	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																				0	0	1	3	8	18	26	25	14	5	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
34		16	21		-	2																					0	0	0	0	3	10	22	32	25	8
33		15	21		-	3																							0	0	1	4	13	30	35	17
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	6	22	41	30
31		14	22		-	3																									0	0	2	13	39	45
30		14	23		-	2																									0	0	1	8	33	59
29		13	23		-	3																										0	0	3	25	71
28		13	24		-	2																											0	1	18	80
27		12	24		-	3																											0	1	11	88
26		12	25		-	2																												0	8	92
25		11	25		-	3																												0	5	95
24		11	26		-	2																												0	2	98
23		10	26		-	3																													1	99
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
21		9	27		-	3																													1	99
20		9	28		-	2																													1	99
0	-19																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5