Annapolis Armada Playoff Chances 3

Plays at Stingers, playoff odds down 0.3 to 44%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Stingers vs Armada	-6.8-1.9-2.2+5.4+5.9+6.1		-0.7-0.2-0.3+0.6+0.6+0.6		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Vikings vs Kozaks	-0.4-0.6-1.0-0.2+0.5+0.5				-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
W. Wolves vs Bruins					-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0
KekW vs Liberate					+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Armada finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

64	-78						In		Yes		100															254	*
63		30	6		-	3	In		99.3	%	99	1														134	*
62		30	7		-	2	In		98.0		100															248	*
61		30	8		-	1	In		97.0		99	1														474	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		94.5		98	2														804	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		90.5		96	4														1,362	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		85.6		95	5	0													2,320	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		77.0		91	9	0	0												3,752	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		64.6		86	14	1													5,783	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		50.6		77	21	2	0												8,779	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		35.9		66	30	4	0	0											12,841	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		21.4		53	37	9	1	0											17,862	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		10.5		39	43	16	2	0	0										25,056	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		4.0		25	43	25	6	1	0										32,703	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.0		14	36	33	13	3	0	0									42,064	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		6	25	36	24	8	1	0									52,549	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		2	13	30	32	17	5	1	0								64,525	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0	%	0.0		0	5	18	32	28	13	3	0	0	0						75,468	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.6		No		0	1	7	21	31	25	11	3	0	0						87,070	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.7		No		0	0	1	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	0				45,483
		22	16		-	1	97.3		No		0	0	2	10	23	30	22	10	2	0	0					51,801	*
44		21	16		-	2	92.2		No		0	0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0	0				48,907
		20	15		-	4	85.6		No			0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0				57,213	*
43		20	16		-	3	67.8		No			0	0	0	3	11	24	30	22	9	2	0	0			110,559	*
42		20	17		-	2	45.1		No					0	0	4	13	28	30	18	6	1	0	0		52,918
		19	16		-	4	33.7		No					0	0	2	9	22	30	24	10	2	0	0		62,467	*
41		19	17		-	3	14.0		No						0	0	3	11	25	32	21	7	1	0		53,296
		20	18		-	1	16.7		No						0	0	4	13	26	29	20	7	1	0	0	61,160	*
40		19	18		-	2	4.5		No							0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	63,090	*
		18	17		-	4	3.7		No						0	0	0	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	0	48,314	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.8		No							0	0	1	5	16	30	30	15	4	0	105,620	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.1		No							0	0	0	1	6	20	33	28	11	2	97,546	*
37		17	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	26	36	22	5	87,089	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	4	16	35	34	12	76,982	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No										0	0	1	8	27	42	22	64,933	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	18	43	35	53,987	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	40	49	43,354	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No												0	0	5	32	62	34,103	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	3	24	73	25,661	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No													0	1	17	82	19,171	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No														0	11	88	13,804	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	7	92	9,472	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No														0	5	95	6,587	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No															2	98	4,173	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															1	99	2,692	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															0	100	1,650	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															1	99	1,081	*
22		10	27		-	2	Out		No																100	564	*
21		9	27		-	3	Out		No															1	99	338	*
0	-20						Out		No																100	517	*

Total:							44.0	%	1.7	%	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	9	9	1,738,580

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stingers vs Armada	+1.4+0.3+0.4-1.2-1.2-1.3
Firebirds vs Zigzagoons	-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-78						100
63		30	6		-	3	99	1
62		30	7		-	2	98	2
61		30	8		-	1	97	3
60		29	8		-	2	95	5
59		28	8		-	3	90	9	0
58		28	9		-	2	86	13	1	0
57		27	9		-	3	77	20	3	0
56		27	10		-	2	65	30	5	0	0
55		26	10		-	3	51	37	10	2	0	0
54		26	11		-	2	36	41	18	4	1	0
53		25	11		-	3	21	38	27	11	2	0	0
52		25	12		-	2	11	29	32	20	7	2	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	4	16	29	28	16	6	1	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	7	18	27	25	15	6	2	0	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	7	17	25	24	16	7	2	1	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	6	14	22	24	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
47		22	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	1	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	0	2	6	13	21	22	18	10	5	1	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3					0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
		22	16		-	1				0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	20	15	9	4	1	0	0
44		21	16		-	2					0	0	0	0	2	5	13	20	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	4								0	0	1	5	12	19	24	20	12	5	2	0	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3							0	0	0	0	1	4	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0	0
42		20	17		-	2									0	0	0	1	2	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
		19	16		-	4											0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	18	10	4	1	0	0	0
41		19	17		-	3											0	0	0	0	1	5	11	19	24	20	13	5	2	0	0
		20	18		-	1											0	0	0	1	2	6	12	19	21	18	12	6	2	1	0	0
40		19	18		-	2													0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		18	17		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	0	0	0
39		18	18		-	3														0	0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																0	0	0	0	2	6	12	20	24	20	11	4	1	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	4	10	19	25	23	14	5	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																				0	0	1	3	8	18	26	25	15	5	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	8	19	28	26	13	3
34		16	21		-	2																						0	0	0	3	9	23	32	25	8
33		15	21		-	3																							0	0	1	3	13	30	35	18
32		15	22		-	2																								0	0	1	6	22	41	30
31		14	22		-	3																								0	0	0	3	13	39	45
30		14	23		-	2																										0	1	7	34	58
29		13	23		-	3																											0	3	25	71
28		13	24		-	2																											0	1	19	80
27		12	24		-	3																											0	1	13	87
26		12	25		-	2																												0	7	92
25		11	25		-	3																												0	5	95
24		11	26		-	2																												0	3	97
23		10	26		-	3																													2	98
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
21		9	27		-	3																													1	99
0	-20																																			100

Total:							2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5