Ukraine Kozaks Playoff Chances 3 50/50

Plays at Vikings, playoff odds down 0.08 to 47%

0 points 0 1-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	-6.5-1.3-1.1+5.5+5.1+5.8		-0.9-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.7+0.8		-0.7-0.1*-0.1+0.5+0.6+0.6

Wednesday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kozaks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

62	-78						In		99.6	%	100															248	*
61		29	7		-	3	In		98.5		99	1														199	*
60		29	8		-	2	In		96.0		99	1														372	*
59		28	8		-	3	In		93.2		97	3														584	*
58		28	9		-	2	In		90.3		95	5														1,006	*
57		27	9		-	3	In		79.2		91	9	0													1,555	*
56		27	10		-	2	In		67.7		87	13	1													2,420	*
55		26	10		-	3	In		54.9		77	21	2	0												3,537	*
54		26	11		-	2	In		40.7		68	28	3	0	0											5,117	*
53		25	11		-	3	In		26.4		56	36	7	1	0											7,123	*
52		25	12		-	2	In		13.3		42	42	14	2	0											9,732	*
51		24	12		-	3	In		5.6		28	43	23	5	1	0										12,623	*
50		24	13		-	2	In		1.5		16	38	32	12	2	0										16,064	*
49		23	13		-	3	In		0.2		7	26	36	23	7	1	0									19,776	*
48		23	14		-	2	In		0.0		3	17	33	30	14	3	0	0								11,382
		22	13		-	4	In		0.0		2	12	29	33	17	5	1	0								12,389	*
47		22	14		-	3	100.0	%	No		0	5	19	32	28	13	3	0	0	0						12,750
		23	15		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	6	20	32	27	11	3	0	0							14,838	*
46		22	15		-	2	99.8		No		0	2	9	25	32	22	8	1	0							15,047	*
		21	14		-	4	99.5		No		0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0	0					16,233	*
45		21	15		-	3	97.6		No		0	0	2	10	23	31	22	9	2	0	0					34,476	*
44		21	16		-	2	93.1		No			0	0	4	14	28	31	17	6	1	0	0				20,876	*
		20	15		-	4	83.9		No				0	1	7	20	30	27	13	3	0	0				16,058	*
43		20	16		-	3	63.2		No					0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0			26,760	*
		21	17		-	1	79.3		No				0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	0			11,620
42		20	17		-	2	47.5		No					0	1	4	15	28	29	17	5	1	0			21,995	*
		19	16		-	4	28.9		No						0	1	7	20	31	26	12	3	0	0		17,278	*
41		19	17		-	3	14.1		No						0	0	2	11	25	31	21	7	1	0		18,104
		20	18		-	1	16.4		No						0	1	4	12	25	29	20	7	2	0	0	20,758	*
40		19	18		-	2	5.1		No							0	1	4	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	17,284
		18	17		-	4	3.2		No							0	0	3	11	24	32	22	7	1	0	19,989	*
39		18	18		-	3	0.7		No							0	0	1	4	15	29	30	16	4	0	34,850	*
38		18	19		-	2	0.1		No									0	1	7	20	33	26	10	2	21,090	*
		17	18		-	4	0.0		No								0	0	1	4	16	32	31	14	2	10,712
37		17	19		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	2	9	26	35	23	5	28,047	*
36		17	20		-	2	Out		No										0	0	3	15	34	34	13	24,161	*
35		16	20		-	3	Out		No											0	1	7	26	42	24	20,405	*
34		16	21		-	2	Out		No												0	3	17	42	37	16,722	*
33		15	21		-	3	Out		No												0	1	10	39	50	13,246	*
32		15	22		-	2	Out		No													0	5	32	63	10,441	*
31		14	22		-	3	Out		No													0	2	23	75	7,594	*
30		14	23		-	2	Out		No														1	16	83	5,669	*
29		13	23		-	3	Out		No													0	0	10	90	4,106	*
28		13	24		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	2,853	*
27		12	24		-	3	Out		No															5	95	1,796	*
26		12	25		-	2	Out		No															3	97	1,207	*
25		11	25		-	3	Out		No															2	98	733	*
24		11	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	448	*
23		10	26		-	3	Out		No															0	100	293	*
0	-22						Out		No																100	374	*

Total:							47.0	%	2.2	%	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	9	592,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vikings vs Kozaks	+1.5+0.3+0.3-1.1-1.2-1.3
H. Wolves vs Trash Pandas	+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Wings vs Maple Leafs	-0.0+0.1+0.1-0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

63	-78						100
62		30	7		-	2	99	1
61		29	7		-	3	98	2
60		29	8		-	2	96	4
59		28	8		-	3	93	7
58		28	9		-	2	90	9	0
57		27	9		-	3	79	19	2	0
56		27	10		-	2	68	27	5	0
55		26	10		-	3	55	36	8	1	0
54		26	11		-	2	41	40	16	3	0
53		25	11		-	3	26	39	24	8	2	0
52		25	12		-	2	13	31	32	17	5	1	0	0
51		24	12		-	3	6	20	30	26	14	4	1	0	0
50		24	13		-	2	1	9	21	28	23	12	5	1	0	0
49		23	13		-	3	0	2	9	19	26	23	14	6	2	0	0
48		23	14		-	2	0	0	2	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
47		22	14		-	3	0	0	0	1	5	12	20	23	20	11	5	2	0	0	0
46		22	15		-	2			0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
		21	14		-	4				0	0	1	4	10	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
45		21	15		-	3					0	0	1	4	9	17	22	21	15	8	3	1	0	0	0
44		21	16		-	2						0	0	0	2	5	12	21	23	19	11	5	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	4							0	0	1	3	8	15	21	21	16	10	4	1	0	0	0
43		20	16		-	3									0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
		21	17		-	1								0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
42		20	17		-	2										0	0	1	2	7	14	22	22	18	10	4	1	0	0
		19	16		-	4											0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	18	10	4	1	0	0
41		19	17		-	3													0	0	1	3	9	16	23	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
		20	18		-	1												0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
40		19	18		-	2														0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0
		18	17		-	4														0	0	0	1	3	8	17	22	22	16	8	3	0	0
39		18	18		-	3																0	0	1	3	8	15	22	22	17	9	3	1	0	0
38		18	19		-	2																	0	0	0	2	6	14	22	25	18	8	3	1	0
		17	18		-	4																		0	0	1	2	8	16	23	24	16	8	2	0	0
37		17	19		-	3																		0	0	0	1	3	8	18	24	24	15	6	1	0
36		17	20		-	2																				0	0	0	2	7	16	25	26	17	6	1
35		16	20		-	3																					0	0	0	2	7	17	27	28	16	4
34		16	21		-	2																							0	0	2	8	20	32	28	10
33		15	21		-	3																								0	0	3	12	28	37	20
32		15	22		-	2																									0	1	5	19	40	34
31		14	22		-	3																										0	2	11	37	49
30		14	23		-	2																										0	0	6	30	63
29		13	23		-	3																											0	3	22	75
28		13	24		-	2																												1	16	83
27		12	24		-	3																												0	11	89
26		12	25		-	2																													7	93
25		11	25		-	3																													3	97
24		11	26		-	2																													3	97
23		10	26		-	3																													2	98
22		10	27		-	2																													1	99
0	-21																																			100

Total:							2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4