How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -0.2
+0.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Columbus+0.2+0.1-0.3
Montreal vs Salt Lake-0.2+0.2+0.3
Atlanta vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Toronto+2.1+0.9-3.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas*+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs New England+0.7-0.3-1.6
+4.0-3.8-6.1
+0.3-0.3-0.5
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.5+0.2+0.8
-4.1-0.7+9.2
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Columbus vs Dallas-0.3+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.2+0.2+0.3
DC United vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
Portland vs NY Red Bulls+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-2.5+2.6+5.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Atlanta+0.4+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.5+0.7+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Seattle+0.1+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Kansas City+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dallas vs Houston-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Seattle vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NYCFC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7310-0-0In99.5%1000No3,480
719-1-0In97.3973No9,820
709-0-1In95.4955No13,286
698-2-0In92.49280No33,698
688-1-1In87.587120No87,975
677-3-0In81.381190No66,762
8-0-2In81.481190No56,407
667-2-1In72.8732700No257,617
657-1-2In63.0633610No326,566
6-4-0In63.063361No86,341
646-3-1In51.6524620No435,389
7-0-3In52.1524620No135,351
636-2-2In39.14055600No813,646
5-5-0In39.1405650No74,650
626-1-3In27.829611000No665,354
5-4-1In27.428611000No466,774
615-3-2In16.918611920No1,141,692
6-0-4In17.218621810No244,488*
605-2-3In9.2105629400No1,380,780
4-5-1In8.910572940No327,224
594-4-2In3.954639900No989,635
5-1-4In4.154839800No831,762*
584-3-3In1.4233461720No1,563,218
5-0-5In1.4235461610No187,684
3-6-1In1.3235461710No151,709
574-2-4In0.4122462740No1,363,073
3-5-2In0.3121462840No545,634*
563-4-3100.0%0.101140391000No1,051,154
4-1-5100.00.10124137900No663,570*
553-3-4100.00.00530451910No1,201,920
2-6-2100.00.00530461810No182,759
4-0-6100.00.00531451810No115,601*
543-2-599.90.002204630300No808,904
2-5-399.90.002184631300No427,066*
532-4-499.6No0193943800No591,866
3-1-699.6No01104041700No330,432*
522-3-598.4No0428501720No522,165
1-6-398.5No0428501610No91,920
3-0-798.4No0428491620No45,998*
512-2-695.1No01174928500No282,857
1-5-495.1No01164928500No155,820*
501-4-587.1No00740401210No166,916
2-1-788.5No00841391110No93,808*
491-3-674.0No0327452330No146,607*
481-2-756.5No01154136800No74,382*
470-4-635.5No0630451720No32,213*
460-3-718.2No0216463050No12,513*
450-2-88.0No083644121No4,163
440-1-92.0No22448232No913
430-0-100.4No01148346No2,270
Total:99.1%11.1%123026191031000No19,265,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.2
Chicago vs Toronto+0.1-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+0.6-0.1-1.2
NYCFC vs New England-0.6+0.5+1.1
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.1-0.2-0.3
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.2
DC United vs Atlanta-0.2-0.1+0.2
Portland vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.2
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7310-0-01000
719-1-0973
709-0-19505
698-2-092080
688-1-1870120
677-3-0810190
8-0-2810190
667-2-17302700
657-1-26303610
6-4-0630361
646-3-152046020
7-0-352046020
636-2-2390550600
5-5-039156050
626-1-32816101000
5-4-12716101000
615-3-21716101920
6-0-41716201810
605-2-391560290400
4-5-1915702940
594-4-241460390900
5-1-441470390800
584-3-31132146017020
5-0-5113414601610
3-6-1113314601710
574-2-40020246027040
3-5-20019246028040
563-4-3009239139010000
4-1-500102411370900
553-3-4003228245019010
2-6-2003228246018010
4-0-600422924501810
543-2-50011173451300300
2-5-300111534513103000
532-4-4000633634308000
3-1-600074372410700
522-3-5002223549117020
1-6-3001322649116010
3-0-7002323548116020
512-2-60001106463280500
1-5-400197455280500
501-4-5000253193911210
2-1-7000353383811110
491-3-6000215114142330
481-2-700151033935800
470-4-601518124319200
460-3-70026104032910
450-2-802626421940
440-1-9021437351010
430-0-1005264023600
Total:110291251181100301000000