How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 +4.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chicago vs Toronto-11.5+1.4+15.6
-0.2+0.0+0.3
Atlanta vs Los Angeles-1.0+1.2+1.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas*+0.0+0.4-0.5
Vancouver vs Houston+0.1+0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0-0.1
+7.3-7.6-15.7
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Columbus vs Dallas+0.3+0.2-0.6
Portland vs NY Red Bulls+0.6+0.3-1.3
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+1.9+1.0-5.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs New England-2.5+2.4+3.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-1.7+2.3+3.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Atlanta+1.4+0.5-2.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+1.7+1.0-1.4
Houston vs Kansas City+0.1+0.3-0.5
Vancouver vs Seattle+0.2+0.2-0.5
Seattle vs Minnesota-0.2+0.2+0.3
Dallas vs Houston-0.2+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
74-77InYes100No102,460*
738-2-0In100.0%1000No127,482
728-1-1In100.01000No263,705
717-3-0In99.91000No211,486
8-0-2In99.91000No133,605
707-2-1In99.81000No646,650
697-1-2In99.49910No641,341
6-4-0In99.61000No227,215
686-3-1In98.99910No911,081
7-0-3In98.59910No205,993
676-2-2In97.39730No1,336,008
5-5-0In98.19820No165,310
666-1-3In93.794600No848,759
5-4-1In95.39550No820,685
655-3-2In90.191900No1,577,014
6-0-4In88.7891100No195,508
4-6-0In92.69370No84,428
645-2-3In81.3821710No1,475,916
4-5-1In84.4851410No486,527
634-4-2In72.27424200No1,154,273
5-1-4In68.87027300No672,793
3-7-0In77.1792010No28,479
624-3-3In56.45935600No1,417,378
3-6-1In61.26531400No191,522
5-0-5In54.75736700No117,963
614-2-4In38.943431310No950,628
3-5-2In42.848421010No541,668*
603-4-3In25.231462030No810,866
4-1-5In23.527462340No329,312
2-7-1In29.536461620No48,151
593-3-4In12.1174332800No713,570
2-6-2In14.3204528600No154,305
4-0-6In12.216413391No46,674*
583-2-5In4.6832401820No365,290
2-5-3In5.2936391510No282,163*
572-4-4100.0%1.33224228500No298,793
3-1-6100.01.33204130700No99,904
1-7-2In1.8526432340No25,252*
562-3-5100.00.211134401310No200,730
1-6-3100.00.311337381100No63,708*
552-2-699.90.00422442730No81,913
1-5-4100.00.00525452320No68,571*
541-4-599.70.00112403980No77,441*
531-3-698.6No0528481810No37,187*
521-2-795.0No0115473250No15,690*
510-4-686.8No0063546121No5,851*
500-3-772.3No220512620No1,834*
490-2-850.1No74339101No485
480-1-943.2No44037191No81
470-0-1018.4No018463050No2,184
Total:100.0%68.1%701973100000No19,265,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chicago vs Toronto+0.4-0.1-0.5
Atlanta vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Philadelphia-0.3+0.3+0.6
NYCFC vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
Portland vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
74-77100
738-2-01000
728-1-11000
717-3-010000
8-0-210000
707-2-110000
697-1-299010
6-4-010000
686-3-199010
7-0-399010
676-2-297030
5-5-098020
666-1-3940600
5-4-195050
655-3-29009000
6-0-48901100
4-6-093170
645-2-381117010
4-5-18411410
634-4-2722240200
5-1-4691270300
3-7-077220010
624-3-3563350600
3-6-1614310400
5-0-5552360700
614-2-439443013010
3-5-243542010010
603-4-325546020030
4-1-524446023040
2-7-129745016020
593-3-4125421320800
2-6-2146441280600
4-0-612441133091
583-2-5533114001820
2-5-3543423901510
572-4-412193420280500
3-1-611182400300700
1-7-22322442023040
562-3-5018333140013010
1-6-301943613801100
552-2-6002220244027030
1-5-4003223344023020
541-4-500019338139080
531-3-6003225348018010
521-2-700111345232050
510-4-600033314460121
500-3-7111464832620
490-2-83438539101
480-1-912301035211
470-0-100994132800
Total:6821907030100000000