How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +0.4
-0.1
+0.0
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.3
Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.3
-0.1
-0.1
+0.0
DC United 2 Miami 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 New York City 0 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
-0.1
Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 *-0.1
+0.1
Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.2
Kansas City 4 Houston 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs New York RB+0.4*-0.1-0.8
-0.1+0.2+0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Salt Lake-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New York City vs Dallas-0.6+0.3+0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Nashville-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1*+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City-0.4+0.2+0.5
*-0.0+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.2
Cincinnati vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
Vancouver vs Colorado+0.1+0.1-0.2
Houston vs Seattle+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Montreal-4.1+0.4+9.7
-1.3-0.1+3.5
+0.4-0.1-0.8
-0.4+0.0+0.9
New England vs Portland-0.6+0.5+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Salt Lake vs New England+0.3*+0.0-0.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Nashville vs Columbus+0.3*+0.1-0.7
+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
New York City vs Vancouver-0.5+0.3+0.6
Miami vs New York RB-0.2+0.4*-0.0
Chicago vs Atlanta-0.3+0.3+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Toronto-0.2+0.4*-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Kansas City+0.1*+0.0-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Colorado vs Houston-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
73-100In99.8%100No1,470*
7221-5-6In99.01000No730*
7120-7-5In98.71000No1,280*
7020-6-6In97.81000No1,841*
6919-8-5In96.6991No2,988*
6819-7-6In95.3982No4,640*
6719-6-7In93.1982No6,613*
6618-8-6In89.19730No9,477*
6518-7-7In84.79550No13,472*
6418-6-8In78.19270No18,650*
6317-8-7In70.790100No25,307*
6217-7-8In61.6851410No33,521*
6116-9-7In50.5791910No43,805*
6016-8-8In39.1732530No55,758*
5916-7-9In27.56332500No69,942*
5815-9-8In17.65437810No86,055*
5715-8-9In9.6434214200No103,514*
5615-7-10In4.4324320400No122,828*
5514-9-9In1.62242278100No141,487*
5414-8-10In0.414363314300No159,290*
5314-7-11100.0%0.1728362261000No177,935*
5213-9-10100.00.04183429123000No194,541*
5113-8-1199.9No1102733217100No207,822*
5012-10-1099.4No05183128144100No216,750*
4912-9-1197.8No02924322392000No222,667*
4812-8-1293.1No004142829176100No223,745*
4711-10-1183.3No001719302613300No220,501*
4611-9-1266.9No0002102430229200No212,728*
4511-8-1346.4No0014142729186100No200,417*
4410-10-1227.0No001719302713300No185,841*
4310-9-1312.8No00210243122810No168,986*
4210-8-145.0No00141529301640No150,080*
419-10-131.5No00172133261010.0%129,108*
409-9-140.4No0031329331840.0110,268*
399-8-150.1No001721362880.391,352*
388-10-140.0No0003133336141.273,943*
378-9-15OutNo0172642233.858,851*
368-8-16OutNo0031943348.945,401*
357-10-15OutNo0212414617.234,528*
347-9-16OutNo017355728.325,202*
337-8-17OutNo04296740.918,474*
326-10-16OutNo02227653.712,829*
316-9-17OutNo01168365.08,978*
306-8-18OutNo00118975.05,867*
295-10-17OutNo089281.53,730*
285-9-18OutNo059588.32,357*
275-8-19OutNo029793.01,465*
264-10-18OutNo29894.0855*
254-9-19OutNo19996.7519*
244-8-20OutNo29896.8310*
233-10-19OutNo19999.3144*
4-22OutNo10099.8534*
Total:67.1%4.8%111110109887765431.4%3,909,396

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/8100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -0.0
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 +0.0
Toronto 1 New York City 0 +0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs New York RB-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City+0.1-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Nashville+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.1-0.1-0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
New York City vs Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cincinnati vs DC United*+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/15100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Montreal+0.8-0.1-1.9
Nashville vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland+0.1-0.1-0.1
Salt Lake vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs New York RB+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
75-100100
7421-7-41000
7321-6-51000
7221-5-69910
7120-7-59910
7020-6-69820
6919-8-59721
6819-7-69532
6719-6-79352
6618-8-689730
6518-7-78510500
6418-6-87814700
6317-8-771191000
6217-7-8622414010
6116-9-75129191100
6016-8-8393323230
5916-7-927362745000
5815-9-818362988010
5715-8-9103329131312000
5615-7-1042824201824000
5514-9-92201725226801000
5414-8-1001392721121313000
5314-7-110742417191846010000
5213-9-10031179241910111300000
5113-8-1110104231518174701000
5012-10-10005117823181112140100
4912-9-11002092211220176902000
4812-8-12000401452315141536100
4711-10-11001071188221791241000
4611-9-12000020102211219171141000
4511-8-130010401452315191352000
4410-10-120010711881821167200000
4310-9-13000201031019241893100
4210-8-14001040310202520114100
419-10-13000101310202622124100
409-9-140000131020262312410
399-8-150000013102128231130
388-10-140000141224292181
378-9-1500015152830174
368-8-1600282134279
357-10-15000313303717
347-9-160017234128
337-8-17003154141
326-10-1601103654
316-9-170153065
306-8-180032275
295-10-1711782
285-9-1811188
275-8-190793
264-10-180694
254-9-19397
244-8-20397
233-10-19199
21-22100
203-7-22595
4-19100
Total:56564646454534333333332221