New York City FC Playoff Chances 2020Lost to Toronto 0-1, playoff odds down 11.2 to 31.3% 0 points 0-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed | Toronto 1 New York City 0 | -4.9 | | -0.5 | | +1.4 | | -0.4 | | New England 1 Chicago 1 | +0.5 | | | | -0.1 | | | | Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | +0.4 | | | | | | +0.0 | | DC United 2 Miami 1 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Portland 1 Nashville 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | New York City vs Dallas | +6.8-3.4-7.2 | | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | | -3.2+1.2+3.8 | | +0.6-0.3-0.7 | | Toronto vs Nashville | -0.4+0.3+0.8 | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.3 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Miami vs LA Galaxy | -0.5+0.3+0.7 | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Philadelphia vs San Jose | -0.5+0.4+0.7 | | | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Minnesota vs New York RB | +0.3*-0.1-0.8 | | | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Columbus vs Salt Lake | -0.4+0.3+0.7 | | | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Atlanta vs Kansas City | -0.4+0.3+0.5 | | | | | | | | Orlando vs Chicago | -0.1+0.5-0.3 | | | | +0.1-0.1*-0.1 | | | | Cincinnati vs DC United | *-0.1+0.3-0.2 | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Houston vs Seattle | | | | | +0.2-0.1-0.3 | | | | Vancouver vs Colorado | | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed | New York City vs Vancouver | +6.0-4.0-7.7 | | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | | -3.0+1.6+4.3 | | +0.5-0.3-0.7 | | Salt Lake vs New England | +0.4*-0.1-0.9 | | | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | New England vs Portland | -0.5+0.3+0.7 | | | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Minnesota vs Montreal | +0.3*+0.0-0.8 | | | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Nashville vs Columbus | +0.3*+0.1-0.7 | | | | +0.3-0.2-0.3 | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Chicago vs Atlanta | -0.3+0.3+0.2 | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Cincinnati vs Toronto | -0.2+0.3*-0.0 | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Miami vs New York RB | -0.1+0.3-0.2 | | | | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | | | San Jose vs Kansas City | | | | | +0.2-0.1-0.3 | | | | Colorado vs Houston | | | | | -0.2*+0.0+0.3 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the New York City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Spoon | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | -96 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 509 | * | 69 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | In | 96.8 | % | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 125 | * | 68 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | In | 93.8 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 195 | * | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | In | 90.9 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 363 | * | 66 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | In | 88.6 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 526 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | In | 84.7 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 874 | * | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | In | 81.6 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,416 | * | 63 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | In | 72.7 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,303 | * | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | In | 64.0 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,441 | * | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | In | 52.8 | | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,166 | * | 60 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | In | 40.5 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,439 | * | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | In | 30.4 | | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,662 | * | 58 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | In | 19.8 | | 55 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 14,853 | * | 57 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 9 | In | 10.9 | | 44 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 20,392 | * | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | In | 5.4 | | 33 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 27,606 | * | 55 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | In | 2.1 | | 22 | 42 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 36,123 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | In | 0.6 | | 14 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 47,235 | * | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | In | 0.1 | | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 59,795 | * | 52 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | 4 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 74,666 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 99.9 | | 0.0 | | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 90,706 | * | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 99.4 | | No | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 108,383 | * | 49 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 97.8 | | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 127,591 | * | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 93.1 | | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 146,765 | * | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 83.3 | | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | No | 165,971 | * | 46 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 66.7 | | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | No | 182,504 | * | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 46.1 | | No | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 197,859 | * | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 26.7 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 210,561 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 12.6 | | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | No | 218,782 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 4.8 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | No | 224,137 | * | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 1.5 | | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 223,613 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.4 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0.0 | | 218,682 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 0.2 | | 210,261 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 1.1 | | 196,903 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 3.4 | | 181,795 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 35 | 8.3 | | 164,052 | * | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 47 | 16.4 | | 144,041 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 58 | 27.4 | | 123,884 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 39.9 | | 104,917 | * | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 52.7 | | 86,039 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 64.5 | | 69,699 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 74.2 | | 54,667 | * | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | 81.9 | | 41,633 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 88.0 | | 31,033 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 92.4 | | 22,955 | * | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 95.0 | | 16,317 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 97.1 | | 11,236 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 98.3 | | 7,594 | * | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.1 | | 5,038 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.2 | | 3,220 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | | 1,923 | * | 20 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | | 1,145 | * | 0 | -19 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 99.7 | | 1,801 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 31.3 | % | 0.6 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 9.8 | % | 3,909,396 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 3/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Toronto 1 New York City 0 | +0.9 | | New England 1 Chicago 1 | -0.1 | | Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | -0.0 | | Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | +0.0 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | New York City vs Dallas | -1.3+0.6+1.4 | | Minnesota vs New York RB | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Orlando vs Chicago | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | New York City vs Vancouver | -1.1+0.7+1.5 | | Minnesota vs Montreal | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | Salt Lake vs New England | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | -96 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 97 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 94 | 5 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 91 | 6 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 89 | 8 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 85 | 11 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 82 | 12 | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 73 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 64 | 21 | 14 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 53 | 27 | 18 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 41 | 32 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 30 | 34 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 20 | 35 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 11 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 22 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 46 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 12 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 20 | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 43 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 8 | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 16 | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 27 | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 40 | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 28 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 92 | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 25 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 22 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 20 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 19 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 18 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 0 | -17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
|