Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 2020
Plays Salt Lake, Tied Seattle 1-1, playoff odds up 0.6 to 70.9%
4 points 1-1-0
Add your own league!
How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | +0.4 | -0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| New England 1 Chicago 1 | +0.3 | |||||||
| DC United 2 Miami 1 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Toronto 1 New York City 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | *-0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | *+0.1 | -0.2 | -0.1 | |||||
| Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | *-0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | +0.1 | |||||||
| San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 | -0.2 | |||||||
| Kansas City 4 Houston 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | +5.4-4.0-8.5 | +1.7-1.4-2.5 | -0.5+0.3+0.9 | +0.5-0.4-0.8 | ||||
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | -0.5+0.4+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | -0.5+0.3+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Toronto vs Nashville | -0.4+0.3+0.7 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Minnesota vs New York RB | +0.3*+0.0-0.7 | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| New York City vs Dallas | -0.5+0.3+0.5 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | -0.3+0.2+0.5 | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Orlando vs Chicago | -0.1+0.4-0.3 | |||||||
| Cincinnati vs DC United | -0.2+0.3*-0.1 | |||||||
| Vancouver vs Colorado | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nashville vs Columbus | -4.4-0.2+8.6 | -1.5-0.4+3.3 | +0.4-0.1-0.7 | -0.4-0.0+0.8 | ||||
| Salt Lake vs New England | +0.4*-0.0-1.0 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| New England vs Portland | -0.5+0.3+0.8 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Minnesota vs Montreal | +0.4*-0.1-0.8 | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| New York City vs Vancouver | -0.4+0.3+0.5 | |||||||
| Cincinnati vs Toronto | -0.2+0.4*+0.0 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| Chicago vs Atlanta | -0.3+0.3+0.3 | +0.1*+0.0-0.3 | ||||||
| Miami vs New York RB | -0.2+0.4*-0.1 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| San Jose vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.0-0.4 | |||||||
| Colorado vs Houston | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | |||||||
| Seattle vs Dallas | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 74 | -100 | In | 99.7 | % | 100 | No | 1,332 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | In | 99.3 | 100 | 0 | No | 697 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | In | 99.1 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,074 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 71 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | In | 98.4 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,677 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | In | 97.9 | 100 | 0 | No | 2,728 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | In | 96.7 | 99 | 1 | No | 4,046 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | In | 94.9 | 99 | 1 | No | 6,062 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | In | 92.6 | 98 | 2 | No | 8,667 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | In | 89.1 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 12,327 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 65 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | In | 84.7 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 17,312 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | In | 78.6 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,616 | * | |||||||||||||
| 63 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | In | 70.9 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,535 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | In | 61.8 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 41,488 | * | |||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | In | 50.3 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 53,302 | * | |||||||||||||
| 60 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | In | 39.0 | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 66,506 | * | ||||||||||||
| 59 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | In | 27.5 | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,029 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | In | 17.7 | 54 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 99,770 | * | ||||||||||||
| 57 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | In | 9.6 | 43 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 117,847 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | In | 4.5 | 33 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 136,407 | * | |||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | In | 1.6 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 155,790 | * | ||||||||||
| 54 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | In | 0.4 | 14 | 37 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 174,036 | * | ||||||||||
| 53 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 100.0 | % | 0.1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 190,537 | * | |||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 204,601 | * | ||||||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 99.9 | 0.0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 214,718 | * | |||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 99.4 | No | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 222,002 | * | |||||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 97.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 223,470 | * | ||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 93.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 221,836 | * | ||||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 83.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 213,837 | * | ||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 67.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 202,852 | * | ||||||
| 45 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 46.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 189,557 | * | |||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 27.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 171,668 | * | |||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 12.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 153,992 | * | ||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 5.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0 | No | 133,835 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 1.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 114,920 | * | |||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0.0 | 95,893 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 0.3 | 78,710 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 1.3 | 62,451 | * | |||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 3.9 | 48,999 | * | ||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 9.0 | 37,044 | * | |||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 45 | 17.5 | 27,752 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 28.4 | 20,056 | * | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | 41.5 | 14,444 | * | |||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 53.0 | 9,818 | * | |||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 83 | 65.1 | 6,494 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 74.7 | 4,369 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 92 | 83.3 | 2,773 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 96 | 89.1 | 1,747 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 93.4 | 1,053 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 95.9 | 585 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 95.5 | 357 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 99.0 | 201 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | -23 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 577 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 70.9 | % | 5.9 | % | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1.1 | % | 3,909,396 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England 1 Chicago 1 | -0.1 | |
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | -0.0 | |
| Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | +0.0 | |
| Toronto 1 New York City 0 | +0.0 | |
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | -0.0 | |
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | -1.1+0.8+1.7 | |
| Toronto vs Nashville | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs New York RB | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Orlando vs Chicago | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| New York City vs Dallas | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nashville vs Columbus | +0.9+0.1-1.8 | |
| Minnesota vs Montreal | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Salt Lake vs New England | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| New England vs Portland | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Miami vs New York RB | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | |
| Cincinnati vs Toronto | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | |
| 76 | -100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 22 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 21 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 98 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 98 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 97 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 95 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 93 | 5 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 89 | 8 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 85 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 79 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 71 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 62 | 24 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 50 | 30 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 39 | 33 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 27 | 37 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 18 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 10 | 34 | 28 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0 | 13 | 9 | 28 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 41 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 42 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | 1 | 16 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | 0 | 11 | 89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | 0 | 7 | 93 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | -23 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-29 12:13 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
