How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -5.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Columbus-11.3-1.3+17.4
-0.4-0.0+0.6
Montreal vs Salt Lake-4.3+3.7+7.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Philadelphia+0.8+0.4-1.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Los Angeles-0.6+0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Toronto-0.2*+0.0+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs Dallas+13.0-5.4-13.4
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Columbus vs Los Angeles+10.4-8.0-15.7
+0.4-0.3-0.5
NYCFC vs New England+1.1+0.1-3.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs New England+2.2+1.1-2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.5*-0.0-2.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-1.0+0.5+1.4
Orlando vs Vancouver-1.2+0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portland vs NY Red Bulls+0.9*-0.0-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+1.1+0.3-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.4+0.5*+0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.2+0.2+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
629-0-0In27.7%2860111No3,494
608-1-0In9.110553150No10,537
598-0-1In3.8442401210No15,063
587-2-0In1.5229452030No35,042
577-1-1100.0%0.31164133910No100,984
567-0-2100.00.00731411920No71,825
6-3-0100.00.00833401720No66,815
556-2-199.90.00321413050No287,616
546-1-299.6No01103541130No403,402
5-4-099.6No01103541130No82,178
535-3-198.8No00424462410No458,879
6-0-398.7No00424472410No185,543
525-2-296.3No0114443740No949,116
4-5-095.5No0113423950No65,545
515-1-391.4No0063549900No857,878
4-4-190.8No0063450900No448,589
504-3-283.0No00224571610No1,219,241
5-0-483.0No0224571610No285,638
3-6-079.5No0221572010No34,081
494-2-371.2No01145727200No1,624,021
3-5-168.0No0112563020No277,774
484-1-455.7No0074939500No1,060,984
3-4-254.9No0064940500No923,566
2-7-049.9No05454460No10,997
473-3-340.4No0338481110No1,607,820
4-0-539.2No0337481210No273,160
2-6-136.0No0234501310No104,937
463-2-425.5No0125522120No1,549,375
2-5-223.7No0123522230No414,474*
452-4-313.7No0014473260No881,754
3-1-513.4No0013463370No782,168
1-7-111.1No011473470No21,983
442-3-46.6No0738421310No1,110,197
3-0-65.6No063543151No160,482
1-6-25.5No053543151No100,715*
432-2-52.4No0224462540No821,434
1-5-32.2No022345264No254,321*
421-4-40.7No113413690No391,370
2-1-60.6No1124038100No341,118*
411-3-50.2No063145180No378,236
2-0-70.1No052946200No55,961
0-6-30.1No052946190No29,668
401-2-60.0No021948320No223,582
0-5-40.0No021847330No54,342
391-1-70.0No00942480No73,157
0-4-50.0No00942480No63,931
380-3-6OutNo0433631No59,766*
370-2-7OutNo01227510.0%23,702
360-1-8OutNo0138330.06,441
350-0-9OutNo078580.12,930
Total:48.0%0.0%0014123028157200.0%19,265,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Orlando vs Columbus+0.7+0.1-1.1
Montreal vs Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.2
Atlanta vs Los Angeles+0.0-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.7+0.5+1.0
Columbus vs Dallas-0.8+0.3+0.9
DC United vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
Portland vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.0-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Vancouver+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
629-0-028060111
608-1-0915503150
598-0-141420401210
587-2-0102904502030
577-1-10015141033910
567-0-200613104101920
6-3-000713304001720
556-2-1002120141030050
546-1-200091350410130
5-4-0010101350410130
535-3-1000312414602410
6-0-3000312314702410
525-2-2001112144037040
4-5-0001111142039050
515-1-3000052341490900
4-4-100052331500900
504-3-2000112135601610
5-0-400112135611610
3-6-000111825712010
494-2-3000110455227200
3-5-1000835423020
484-1-40003443639500
3-4-20003343539500
2-7-000223964370
473-3-3001228104712100
4-0-5001226104713100
2-6-1001259491410
463-2-4001131248233000
2-5-2001121147254000
452-4-300049383511100
3-1-500049383611100
1-7-103836371420
442-3-400162540235100
3-0-60152340256100
1-6-2015224025710
432-2-500211333516300
1-5-300210313517400
421-4-401318353012200
2-1-60131835301120
411-3-50017253623610
2-0-7017243625710
0-6-3016223526910
401-2-600212313517300
0-5-400210293620400
391-1-70004183732910
0-4-500031735331010
380-3-601727412130
370-2-702153935800
360-1-80528451920
350-0-90114443550
Total:00001040111264241374210000