Los Angeles FC Playoff Chances 2020
Tied Philadelphia 3-3, playoff odds down 7.2 to 58.7%
4 points 1-1-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | -4.5 | -1.6 | +0.4 | -0.4 | ||||
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.0 | |||||
| Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Portland 1 Nashville 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Kansas City 4 Houston 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 | *-0.1 | |||||||
| San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 | -0.2 | |||||||
| Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | +0.4*-0.0-1.1 | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | +0.4*+0.0-1.0 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | +0.4*+0.1-1.0 | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| New York City vs Dallas | +0.5+0.2-0.9 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Toronto vs Nashville | +0.3*+0.0-0.9 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Minnesota vs New York RB | -0.4+0.3+0.6 | -0.1+0.1*+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.1-0.6 | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Vancouver vs Colorado | -0.3+0.4+0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.2 | ||||||
| Houston vs Seattle | -0.1+0.4-0.2 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| Cincinnati vs DC United | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New England vs Portland | +0.5*-0.0-1.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| New York City vs Vancouver | +0.5*+0.1-1.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Salt Lake vs New England | -0.5+0.5+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Nashville vs Columbus | -0.5+0.4+0.6 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Minnesota vs Montreal | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| San Jose vs Kansas City | -0.3+0.4*+0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Seattle vs Dallas | -0.2+0.4*-0.0 | |||||||
| Colorado vs Houston | *-0.0+0.3-0.3 | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Chicago vs Atlanta | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Cincinnati vs Toronto | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Miami vs New York RB | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Los Angeles FC finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 73 | -100 | In | 99.8 | % | 100 | No | 990 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | In | 98.4 | 99 | 1 | No | 449 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 71 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | In | 98.9 | 99 | 1 | No | 746 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | In | 97.8 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,150 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 69 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 7 | In | 97.5 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,776 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | In | 95.6 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 2,837 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 67 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | In | 92.8 | 96 | 4 | 0 | No | 4,262 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | In | 89.4 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 6,417 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 65 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | In | 85.0 | 91 | 8 | 0 | No | 9,293 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | In | 78.5 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,972 | * | |||||||||||||
| 63 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | In | 71.3 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,044 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | In | 62.1 | 78 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 24,542 | * | |||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | In | 51.5 | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 32,832 | * | ||||||||||||
| 60 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | In | 39.7 | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,924 | * | ||||||||||||
| 59 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | In | 27.6 | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 55,003 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | In | 17.5 | 41 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 68,636 | * | |||||||||||
| 57 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | In | 9.5 | 31 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 84,797 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | In | 4.4 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 102,354 | * | ||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | In | 1.7 | 13 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 120,746 | * | ||||||||||
| 54 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 100.0 | % | 0.4 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 139,414 | * | |||||||
| 53 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,514 | * | ||||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 99.9 | 0.0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 177,338 | * | ||||||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 99.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 193,031 | * | ||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 98.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 207,665 | * | |||||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 95.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 216,762 | * | |||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 88.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 223,360 | * | |||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 74.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 225,596 | * | ||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 55.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 222,301 | * | |||||
| 45 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 35.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 214,534 | * | ||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 19.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 203,363 | * | ||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 8.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 187,906 | * | ||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 3.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | % | 169,861 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0.0 | 150,120 | * | ||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 4 | 0.0 | 130,750 | * | ||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 0.2 | 110,999 | * | |||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 1.2 | 92,090 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 3.7 | 74,326 | * | |||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 36 | 8.7 | 59,199 | * | |||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 47 | 17.0 | 45,889 | * | ||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 28.5 | 34,731 | * | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 40.1 | 25,452 | * | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 78 | 53.7 | 18,375 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 65.1 | 12,780 | * | |||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 74.3 | 8,775 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 82.6 | 5,958 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 88.5 | 3,626 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 93.4 | 2,312 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | 94.9 | 1,372 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 97.3 | 830 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 98.5 | 481 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | -23 | Out | No | 100 | 99.8 | 916 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 58.7 | % | 3.6 | % | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1.9 | % | 3,909,396 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | +0.9 | |
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | +0.1 | |
| Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | -0.1 | |
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | -0.1 | |
| Kansas City 4 Houston 0 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs New York RB | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| New York City vs Dallas | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto vs Nashville | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Seattle | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Vancouver vs Colorado | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England vs Portland | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| New York City vs Vancouver | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Montreal | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Salt Lake vs New England | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| San Jose vs Kansas City | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Seattle vs Dallas | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | |
| 74 | -100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 21 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 98 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 20 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 97 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 96 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 89 | 4 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 85 | 6 | 8 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 79 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 71 | 12 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 62 | 16 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 52 | 19 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 40 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 28 | 24 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 17 | 23 | 37 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 10 | 21 | 34 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 14 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 29 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 53 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 25 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 24 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 49 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 48 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 19 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 46 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 45 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 42 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 39 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 37 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 16 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 41 | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 41 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | 1 | 11 | 88 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | 0 | 6 | 93 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | 0 | 5 | 95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | 3 | 97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 19 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | -22 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-29 12:13 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
