How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Chicago 2 Atlanta 0 +3.3
+3.2
+0.4
Kansas City 1 Montreal 1 +0.6
Portland 2 Dallas 0 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
New England vs Chicago-1.6+0.4+2.5
-4.2-0.9+8.7
-0.3+0.0+0.5
Seattle vs Orlando+0.2+0.0-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Seattle-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.4+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Columbus-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Philadelphia vs NY Red Bulls-0.1+0.2-0.0
Orlando vs Montreal-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Toronto vs DC United-1.3+1.7+2.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Kansas City+1.0+0.5-1.3
Vancouver vs Dallas+0.4+0.3-0.8
Colorado vs Portland+0.4+0.2-0.6
Minnesota vs Portland+0.4+0.2-0.6
Los Angeles vs Houston+0.1+0.1-0.4
Colorado vs Los Angeles+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
80-85In100.0%100No199,072*
7916-3-0In100.01000No11,912*
7816-2-1In99.91000No33,565
7716-1-2In99.91000No69,579*
7615-3-1In99.91000No154,027*
7515-2-2In99.81000No318,661*
7414-4-1In99.71000No599,570*
7314-3-2In99.51000No1,137,704*
7214-2-3In99.2991No2,006,891*
7113-4-2In98.69910No3,388,957*
7013-3-3In97.79820No5,591,682*
6912-5-2In96.29730No8,725,396*
6812-4-3In93.89640No13,208,736*
6712-3-4In90.493700No19,324,767*
6611-5-3In85.5901000No27,051,157*
6511-4-4In78.9861400No36,800,397*
6411-3-5In70.6801900No48,251,478*
6310-5-4In60.47425100No61,000,904*
6210-4-5In48.96633200No74,795,688*
619-6-4In36.85740300No88,523,455*
609-5-5In25.247476000No101,255,145*
599-4-6In15.4375210100No112,173,850*
588-6-5In8.1275516100No120,059,888*
578-5-6100.0%3.61954243000No124,312,209*
568-4-7100.01.21149337000No124,525,006*
557-6-6100.00.364040131000No120,490,561*
547-5-7100.00.132943214000No112,714,943*
537-4-8100.00.0118413191000No101,917,488*
526-6-799.80.0093338173000No88,915,566*
516-5-899.00.00422382781000No74,910,251*
505-7-796.5No01123235163000No60,862,076*
495-6-890.1No0052136279100No47,617,037*
485-5-977.5No002113035184000No35,892,675*
474-7-859.0No000419352910200No26,029,833*
464-6-938.2No0019273621500No18,121,645*
454-5-1020.3No00031734321220No12,103,447*
443-7-98.8No001826382350No7,737,124*
433-6-103.0No0003153634111No4,725,986*
423-5-110.8No00172841212No2,754,591*
412-7-100.2No00318423350.0%1,526,737*
402-6-110.0No0019364490.0802,269*
392-5-120.0No0042752170.1396,827*
382-4-13OutNo021855260.3184,669*
371-6-12OutNo011052371.180,535*
361-5-13OutNo0547473.132,628*
351-4-14OutNo0240586.611,940*
340-6-13OutNo1316812.84,001*
330-5-14OutNo0247621.81,154*
320-4-15OutNo168436.3256*
310-3-16OutNo118937.966*
300-2-17OutNo148657.17
280-0-19OutNo029872.9191,256
Total:96.2%17.9%2730181164211000.0%1,691,545,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/10100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 2 Atlanta 0 -0.8
Kansas City 1 Montreal 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/17100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Chicago+0.6-0.0-1.0
Toronto vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.2
NYCFC vs Seattle+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Orlando-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Columbus+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
83-85100
8218-0-11000
8117-2-01000
8017-1-11000
7916-3-010000
7816-2-110000
7716-1-210000
7615-3-110000
7515-2-210000
7414-4-110000
7314-3-210000
7214-2-39901
7113-4-299010
7013-3-398120
6912-5-2961300
6812-4-3942400
6712-3-49037000
6611-5-386510000
6511-4-479714000
6411-3-57110190000
6310-5-460132501000
6210-4-549173212000
619-6-437203913000
609-5-52522443600000
599-4-615224671001000
588-6-581943121601000
578-5-6415361823130000
568-4-71102524294700000
557-6-606142631912010000
547-5-7036232816201400000
537-4-80121619222658010000
526-6-70009924261116130000
516-5-800043192019233801000
505-7-700111110222691613000
495-6-800005318191724391000
485-5-90000211110202691750000
474-7-8000004316191626122000
464-6-9000119918282492000
454-5-1000000331420312071000
443-7-9000117102730186100
433-6-100000033152929154100
423-5-1100011619312713300
412-7-100000182333259100
402-6-110000211283319500
392-5-12000141733301220
382-4-13001826362350
371-6-12003163533121
361-5-1300182839223
351-4-140031839327
340-6-13110344213
330-5-1414274622
320-4-152164536
310-3-16125038
300-2-17142957
280-0-190012673
Total:18920101267352312110000000