How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -0.4
-6.6
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chicago vs Toronto+0.8-0.1-1.0
+7.4-3.4-7.6
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Orlando vs Columbus+0.2+0.1-0.4
Montreal vs Salt Lake-0.2+0.2+0.3
San Jose vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Los Angeles-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas*+0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.7-0.6-1.9
+2.9-3.9-5.9
+0.3-0.3-0.6
Columbus vs Dallas-0.3+0.1+0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Columbus vs Los Angeles-0.2+0.2+0.3
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.1*-0.0-0.2
-2.1+2.2+4.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs New England+0.0+0.0-0.2
-0.6+0.6+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
DC United vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Portland vs NY Red Bulls+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.3+0.3-1.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.4+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Vancouver-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vancouver vs Seattle+0.1+0.1-0.2
Houston vs Kansas City*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Houston-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Seattle vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7110-0-0In99.2%991No6,586
699-1-0In96.59730No30,138
689-0-1In91.79280No34,090
678-2-0In88.288120No89,857
668-1-1In79.1792000No200,610
657-3-0In70.4712810No157,141
8-0-2In68.2683110No110,352
647-2-1In57.4584030No516,403
637-1-2In43.14450600No555,252
6-4-0In43.94549600No176,685
626-3-1In30.531561210No765,609
7-0-3In29.530581110No192,890
616-2-2In18.620582020No1,211,293
5-5-0In18.420562220No135,776
606-1-3In9.811543040No828,388
5-4-1In9.611523250No720,397
595-3-2In4.2543411110No1,494,356
6-0-4In4.154640900No206,071
4-6-0In3.8541421110No71,305
585-2-3In1.4232461820No1,505,186
4-5-1In1.3229472120No445,991
574-4-2100.0%0.31184631500No1,138,868
5-1-4In0.3120472840No761,690*
564-3-3100.00.001039401000No1,502,469
3-6-1100.00.00938421100No182,866
5-0-5In0.1012423890No139,301
554-2-4100.00.00530461910No1,081,057
3-5-2100.00.00427472110No555,135*
543-4-399.90.001174632300No891,082
4-1-599.90.00220463030No402,473
2-7-199.9No0116473330No47,563
533-3-499.7No0093943700No840,887
2-6-299.7No08394580No164,862*
4-0-699.7No1114141600No59,982
523-2-598.7No0429501510No461,387
2-5-398.6No0327521610No321,234*
512-4-495.8No01165227400No364,162
3-1-696.2No0218522540No163,425*
502-3-589.8No00844371010No261,506
1-6-390.1No084437910No77,969*
492-2-679.0No0332441920No112,976
1-5-478.2No0331442020No85,795*
481-4-562.7No01194331600No105,148*
471-3-643.4No0934411420No52,262*
461-2-725.0No0322432650No22,945*
450-4-613.0No1123737121No8,572*
440-3-74.7No052643243No2,778*
430-2-81.1No11441377No731
420-1-9OutNo6344615No143
410-0-100.0No022053250No2,188
Total:98.9%9.9%1025262113410000No19,265,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 +0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chicago vs Toronto-0.9+0.4+1.0
Atlanta vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.2
Orlando vs Columbus-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.5+0.6+1.2
DC United vs Atlanta-0.2-0.1+0.2
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.2
NYCFC vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.2
Portland vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.0+0.2
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.2
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7110-0-0991
699-1-097030
689-0-192080
678-2-0880120
668-1-17902000
657-3-07002810
8-0-26803110
647-2-157040030
637-1-2431500600
6-4-0441490600
626-3-13115601210
7-0-32915801110
616-2-21915802020
5-5-01815602220
606-1-31015403040
5-4-110151032050
595-3-2414204101110
6-0-441460400900
4-6-0414114201110
585-2-31131146018020
4-5-11128147021020
574-4-200162460310500
5-1-40019247028040
564-3-300823814001000
3-6-100723714201100
5-0-5009241138090
554-2-4003228246019010
3-5-2002225247021010
543-4-30011143451320300
4-1-5001117346129030
2-7-100113446133030
533-3-4000633724307000
2-6-2005336345080
4-0-60083392400600
523-2-5002224450115010
2-5-3001222551116010
512-4-40001106484270400
3-1-6000112649325040
502-3-5000353683711010
1-6-30035359371910
492-2-6001320124131920
1-5-4000218134141920
481-4-500171234930700
471-3-6002721133816200
461-2-70039133629810
450-4-60129263719400
440-3-70041333321420
430-2-815213727810
420-1-911024422111
410-0-100031737311010
Total:1002412512111213010000000