How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 +7.6
+3.6
-0.3
+0.6
New England 2 DC United 2 +0.6
NY Red Bulls 2 Columbus 0 -0.4
+0.1
Toronto 3 Chicago 1 -0.3
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 3 +0.3
NYCFC 1 Orlando 2 *+0.1
-0.1
Portland 2 Vancouver 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs DC United+3.5-3.1-7.3
+2.5-2.7-4.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.3-0.3-0.7
Seattle vs New England+0.3*-0.0-0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver-0.4+0.3+0.6
Toronto vs Houston-0.4+0.3+0.6
+0.0+0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls+0.3-0.0-0.7
-0.3+0.3+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Orlando-0.3+0.3+0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.7
Orlando vs Colorado-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.4+0.4+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Los Angeles vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.0-0.3
Columbus vs NYCFC-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Portland-0.3+0.6*-0.0
Kansas City vs Salt Lake-0.3+0.3+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
79-92In100.0%100No83,126*
7821-4-2In100.01000No16,625*
7721-3-3In99.81000No32,116*
7620-5-2In99.81000No58,615*
7520-4-3In99.71000No105,823*
7420-3-4In99.51000No182,024*
7319-5-3In99.31000No303,202*
7219-4-4In98.81000No495,258*
7118-6-3In98.01000No778,219*
7018-5-4In97.09910No1,195,870*
6918-4-5In95.39910No1,786,314*
6817-6-4In92.99910No2,597,558*
6717-5-5In89.69820No3,676,530*
6616-7-4In85.096400No5,071,120*
6516-6-5In78.994500No6,823,270*
6416-5-6In71.492800No8,953,541*
6315-7-5In62.2881200No11,460,737*
6215-6-6In51.88316100No14,318,022*
6115-5-7In40.67722100No17,460,567*
6014-7-6In29.669283000No20,787,049*
5914-6-7In19.660355000No24,153,427*
5813-8-6In11.650409100No27,430,769*
5713-7-7100.0%6.03944152000No30,422,165*
5613-6-8100.02.62846224000No32,951,849*
5512-8-7100.00.919432981000No34,869,728*
5412-7-8100.00.2123635142000No36,039,485*
5312-6-9100.00.062738226100No36,397,018*
5211-8-899.90.03183630112000No35,903,782*
5111-7-999.40.01102935195100No34,597,207*
5010-9-898.00.005203528112000No32,566,629*
4910-8-994.40.002112934195100No29,930,646*
4810-7-1086.8No015193428112000No26,878,624*
479-9-974.0No002112734205100No23,547,711*
469-8-1056.7No001518332912200No20,149,351*
459-7-1138.1No00210273521500No16,821,584*
448-9-1022.0No00041734301220No13,697,848*
438-8-1110.8No0001927362140No10,876,468*
428-7-124.5No00041836311010.0%8,420,282*
417-9-111.6No0011031381820.06,355,810*
407-8-120.5No000522412750.04,673,332*
397-7-130.1No00214383790.13,348,458*
386-9-120.0No00183244150.72,325,224*
376-8-130.0No0042449242.21,574,515*
366-7-140.0No0021649345.51,034,611*
355-9-13OutNo0110454411.5662,268*
345-8-14OutNo006405420.2409,351*
335-7-15OutNo03336431.2246,965*
324-9-14OutNo02267243.4143,256*
314-8-15OutNo01207955.680,438*
304-7-16OutNo0158566.943,567*
293-9-15OutNo0118975.722,725*
283-8-16OutNo079283.911,420*
273-7-17OutNo059588.85,543*
262-9-16OutNo39792.72,601*
252-8-17OutNo29895.61,088*
242-7-18OutNo19997.3482*
232-6-19OutNo19998.9183*
221-8-18OutNo19998.776*
211-7-19OutNo39797.134*
11-20OutNo100Yes67,038*
Total:86.4%11.0%2419151297543100.1%592,849,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/23100.0*Lottery seed
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 -1.3
New England 2 DC United 2 -0.1
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 3 -0.0
NYCFC 1 Orlando 2 +0.0
Toronto 3 Chicago 1 +0.0
NY Red Bulls 2 Columbus 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs DC United-0.7+0.6+1.3
Orlando vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Houston+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+0.0-0.1+0.0
Columbus vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
85-92100
8423-4-0991
82-83100
8122-4-11000
8022-3-21000
7921-5-11000
7821-4-210000
7721-3-310000
7620-5-210000
7520-4-310000
7420-3-410000
7319-5-39910
7219-4-49910
7118-6-39820
7018-5-497210
6918-4-5954100
6817-6-4936100
6717-5-5908200
6616-7-485114000
6516-6-579165000
6416-5-6712080000
6315-7-56226110000
6215-6-652311611000
6115-5-7413620110000
6014-7-6303925330000
5914-6-72040286500000
5813-8-612382911901000
5713-7-76332718141200000
5613-6-83262224193400000
5512-8-711814282378010000
5412-7-80118292313131200000
5312-6-9063241920193601000
5211-8-803117122422711020000
5111-7-901010524211418250100
5010-9-8000521814202351002000
4910-8-9000201172223111815100
4810-7-10001052171618244112000
479-9-90000201082024101961000
469-8-100001052161716261430000
459-7-1100020981826241020000
448-9-10000004315182921820000
438-8-110000119924291872000
428-7-1200000431427271761000
417-9-11000116172826155100
407-8-12000002819292513300
397-7-1300002102230231020
386-9-120000141326301961
376-8-1300016183129132
366-7-1400002102534235
355-9-13001417343311
345-8-1400029294020
335-7-150015214331
324-9-14002134143
314-8-150183656
304-7-160042967
293-9-15022276
283-8-1611584
273-7-1701189
262-9-160793
252-8-17496
242-7-18397
232-6-19199
221-8-18199
211-7-19397
11-20100
Total:1113910877563524322111000