How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Portland 2 Vancouver 1 +3.4
+2.9
-0.1
+0.3
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 +0.5
-0.4
Los Angeles 0 Seattle 3 -0.1
-0.1
Dallas 1 Kansas City 0 -0.1
Houston 2 San Jose 0 -0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 1 Orlando 2 -0.2
NY Red Bulls 2 Columbus 0 +0.2
Toronto 3 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dallas vs Portland-1.6+0.3+3.4
-3.5+0.2+8.2
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Montreal vs Vancouver+0.2+0.0-0.5
Orlando vs Colorado+0.2*-0.0-0.5
-0.5+0.5+0.8
Los Angeles vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.2+0.3
Seattle vs New England-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Houston+0.1-0.0-0.3
+0.0+0.2-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs San Jose*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Kansas City vs Salt Lake+0.1+0.1-0.4
-0.4+0.4+0.6
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.4+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Orlando+0.3+0.2-0.9
Atlanta vs DC United-0.4+0.4+0.6
Columbus vs NYCFC-0.0+0.2-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
82-94In100.0%100No70,132*
8121-2-3In99.91000No3,672*
8020-4-2In100.0100No7,352*
7920-3-3In99.91000No14,706*
7819-5-2In99.91000No28,186*
7719-4-3In99.81000No51,871*
7619-3-4In99.81000No92,278*
7518-5-3In99.71000No159,978*
7418-4-4In99.610000No270,398*
7317-6-3In99.310000No441,631*
7217-5-4In98.99910No701,761*
7117-4-5In98.29910No1,083,052*
7016-6-4In97.19820No1,634,492*
6916-5-5In95.69730No2,392,790*
6815-7-4In93.39640No3,418,191*
6715-6-5In90.19460No4,758,207*
6615-5-6In85.792800No6,461,022*
6514-7-5In79.9891100No8,543,932*
6414-6-6In72.58415100No11,031,967*
6314-5-7In63.57920100No13,890,238*
6213-7-6In53.37226200No17,064,807*
6113-6-7In42.26532400No20,478,569*
6012-8-6In31.15638600No23,977,888*
5912-7-7In20.9474310100No27,393,705*
5812-6-8In12.6384615100No30,558,149*
5711-8-7In6.6294821300No33,280,115*
5611-7-8100.0%2.92046285000No35,378,035*
5511-6-9100.01.01441359100No36,705,873*
5410-8-8100.00.383540152000No37,175,835*
5310-7-9100.00.142642234000No36,748,785*
5210-6-10100.00.0218403191000No35,440,735*
519-8-999.90.01113437152000No33,343,779*
509-7-1099.60.0062540245000No30,592,857*
499-6-1198.6No0216373211100No27,375,454*
488-8-1096.0No0193038194000No23,881,653*
478-7-1190.3No0042038289100No20,302,430*
467-9-1080.3No002123235163000No16,809,692*
457-8-1165.7No00052337258100No13,547,521*
447-7-1248.4No000214333315300No10,636,668*
436-9-1131.4No0017243624710No8,117,920*
426-8-1217.7No00315333215300.0%6,023,355*
416-7-138.6No0018253624710.04,343,200*
405-9-123.6No0031634321320.03,037,935*
395-8-131.3No001927372240.12,061,036*
385-7-140.4No00419373190.61,356,259*
374-9-130.1No002113339152.0862,968*
364-8-140.0No00162643245.1531,277*
354-7-150.0No00318443510.5315,694*
343-9-140.0No00112414618.5181,095*
333-8-15OutNo007355829.199,791*
323-7-16OutNo03286840.553,060*
313-6-17OutNo02217752.227,060*
302-8-16OutNo01158464.312,820*
292-7-17OutNo00118972.25,973*
282-6-18OutNo069480.62,557*
271-8-17OutNo059585.21,060*
261-7-18OutNo59586.1411*
251-6-19OutNo49688.1168*
20-24OutNo10097.373*
160-0-26OutNo010099.967,026
Total:93.3%13.8%2423191496321000.0%592,849,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/23100.0*Lottery seed
Portland 2 Vancouver 1 -0.7
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 -0.0
Houston 2 San Jose 0 +0.0
Dallas 1 Kansas City 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs Portland+0.6-0.1-1.2
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Houston-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
83-94100
8221-3-21000
8121-2-310000
8020-4-21000
7920-3-310000
7819-5-210000
7719-4-310000
7619-3-410000
7518-5-310000
7418-4-4100000
7317-6-399000
7217-5-499010
7117-4-598110
7016-6-497120
6916-5-5962300
6815-7-4933400
6715-6-5904600
6615-5-68668000
6514-7-580911000
6414-6-67212150100
6314-5-764152001000
6213-7-653192502000
6113-6-742233114000
6012-8-6312535260000
5912-7-721263851001000
5812-6-813253881401000
5711-8-772234142013000
5611-7-83172719262500000
5511-6-91121824296901000
5410-8-80810252812151200000
5310-7-9044222219203400000
5210-6-100211714262388010000
519-8-901010727221614220000
509-7-100006223152518550000
499-6-110020167301913911000
488-8-1000109227142414440000
478-7-11000040207311612820000
467-9-10000201223012231262000
457-8-1100005023631141362000
447-7-120000201423111181572000
436-9-1100107024616221661000
426-8-12000301521022251661000
416-7-130010804142626155100
405-9-12000301619292513300
395-8-1300100210233023920
385-7-140000141327311961
374-9-130000016183129132
364-8-14000002102635225
354-7-150001417353211
343-9-14000210304019
333-8-15005224429
323-7-16002144341
313-6-170183852
302-8-160043164
292-7-17032572
282-6-18011881
271-8-17001485
261-7-1801486
251-6-191288
241-5-20298
230-7-19694
20-22100
160-0-260100
Total:14101491187645331111110000