Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances 2020
Beat Orlando 2-1, Plays at Vancouver, playoff odds up 12.4 to 77.8%
6 points 2-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | +6.0 | +2.0 | -0.6 | +0.6 | ||||
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | +0.3 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Portland 1 Nashville 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Kansas City 4 Houston 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 | -0.2 | |||||||
| Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Vancouver vs Colorado | -4.1+0.4+7.9 | -2.2-0.4+5.0 | +0.2-0.0-0.3 | -0.4+0.0+0.8 | ||||
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | +0.3*-0.1-0.8 | -0.1+0.2*+0.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | +0.3*-0.0-0.7 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| New York City vs Dallas | +0.4*+0.0-0.6 | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | +0.3*-0.0-0.7 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Toronto vs Nashville | +0.2*+0.0-0.7 | -0.1+0.1*+0.1 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Minnesota vs New York RB | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | -0.2+0.3*+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.0-0.5 | *-0.1+0.2-0.2 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Houston vs Seattle | *-0.1+0.3-0.2 | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | ||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Wooden Spoon | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colorado vs Houston | +5.0-3.3-8.2 | +2.5-2.1-3.7 | -0.3+0.1+0.5 | +0.5-0.4-0.8 | ||||
| Salt Lake vs New England | -0.5+0.4+0.7 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| New York City vs Vancouver | +0.4*+0.0-0.7 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| New England vs Portland | +0.3*+0.0-0.7 | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Nashville vs Columbus | -0.4+0.3+0.5 | +0.1*+0.0-0.3 | ||||||
| Minnesota vs Montreal | -0.3+0.2+0.4 | -0.2+0.3*+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| San Jose vs Kansas City | -0.3+0.3*+0.1 | +0.3+0.1-0.5 | ||||||
| Seattle vs Dallas | -0.2+0.4*-0.1 | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| Chicago vs Atlanta | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | |||||||
| Miami vs New York RB | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | |||||||
| Cincinnati vs Toronto | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 75 | -102 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 1,946 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | In | 99.6 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 1,058 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 73 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | In | 99.4 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,706 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 72 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | In | 99.3 | 100 | 0 | No | 2,632 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 71 | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | In | 98.7 | 99 | 1 | No | 3,941 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 70 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | In | 98.3 | 99 | 1 | No | 5,834 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | In | 97.2 | 99 | 1 | No | 8,658 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 68 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | In | 95.7 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 12,315 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 67 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | In | 93.6 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 17,154 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | In | 90.2 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 23,351 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 65 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | In | 86.3 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,004 | * | |||||||||||||
| 64 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | In | 79.8 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 41,055 | * | |||||||||||||
| 63 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | In | 72.6 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 52,772 | * | |||||||||||||
| 62 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | In | 63.1 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 66,048 | * | |||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | In | 52.7 | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | No | 81,180 | * | |||||||||||||
| 60 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | In | 41.1 | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 98,259 | * | ||||||||||||
| 59 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | In | 29.6 | 55 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 117,044 | * | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | In | 19.0 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 135,911 | * | |||||||||||
| 57 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | In | 10.6 | 33 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 154,900 | * | |||||||||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | In | 5.1 | 24 | 43 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 172,988 | * | ||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | In | 1.9 | 15 | 39 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 189,520 | * | ||||||||||
| 54 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | In | 0.6 | 9 | 31 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 202,829 | * | ||||||||||
| 53 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 100.0 | % | 0.1 | 4 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 213,822 | * | ||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 99.9 | 0.0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 220,695 | * | ||||||||
| 51 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 99.7 | 0.0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 223,877 | * | ||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 98.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 221,356 | * | ||||||
| 49 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 96.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 214,400 | * | |||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 89.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 205,078 | * | |||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 77.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 190,502 | * | |||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 59.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 173,856 | * | |||||
| 45 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 38.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 154,431 | * | |||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 20.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 134,993 | * | ||||||
| 43 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 9.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 115,680 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 3.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | No | 96,743 | * | |||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0.0 | % | 79,214 | * | |||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0.0 | 62,985 | * | |||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 0.3 | 49,332 | * | ||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 1.1 | 37,793 | * | ||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 3.6 | 28,725 | * | |||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 36 | 8.9 | 20,531 | * | ||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 47 | 16.9 | 14,443 | * | |||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 27.8 | 10,135 | * | ||||||||||||
| 33 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 40.7 | 6,808 | * | ||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 54.2 | 4,501 | * | |||||||||||||
| 31 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 83 | 64.5 | 2,875 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | Out | No | 0 | 11 | 89 | 73.0 | 1,766 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | Out | No | 0 | 8 | 92 | 82.9 | 1,004 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | Out | No | 4 | 96 | 88.7 | 631 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | Out | No | 4 | 96 | 92.0 | 339 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | 95.6 | 183 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | -25 | Out | No | 100 | 98.7 | 593 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 77.8 | % | 9.9 | % | 16 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | % | 3,909,396 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Colorado 2 Orlando 1 | -1.2 | |
| Los Angeles FC 3 Philadelphia 3 | -0.1 | |
| Dallas 2 Montreal 2 | -0.1 | |
| Salt Lake 1 New York RB 1 | -0.1 | |
| Seattle 1 Columbus 1 | -0.1 | |
| San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 | +0.0 | |
| Kansas City 4 Houston 0 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Vancouver vs Colorado | +0.8-0.0-1.7 | |
| New York City vs Dallas | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Atlanta vs Kansas City | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs New York RB | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Columbus vs Salt Lake | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Miami vs LA Galaxy | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Houston vs Seattle | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Toronto vs Nashville | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Philadelphia vs San Jose | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Colorado vs Houston | -1.0+0.7+1.6 | |
| Minnesota vs Montreal | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| New York City vs Vancouver | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Salt Lake vs New England | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| New England vs Portland | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| San Jose vs Kansas City | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| Seattle vs Dallas | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | |
| 75 | -102 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 21 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 100 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 20 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 20 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 19 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 19 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 98 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 19 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 97 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 18 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 96 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 18 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 18 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 90 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 17 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 86 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 17 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 80 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 16 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 73 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 16 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 63 | 16 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 16 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 53 | 19 | 25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 15 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 41 | 23 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 15 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 30 | 25 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 15 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 19 | 25 | 36 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 14 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 10 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 14 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 28 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 13 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 13 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 15 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 12 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 25 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 12 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 50 | 12 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 23 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 49 | 11 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 48 | 11 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 47 | 11 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 46 | 10 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 10 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 44 | 10 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 9 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 9 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 9 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 26 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 8 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 8 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 38 | 8 | - | 8 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 7 | - | 10 | - | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 36 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 6 | - | 10 | - | 16 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 41 | 28 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 8 | - | 18 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 54 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 17 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 18 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 8 | - | 19 | 1 | 16 | 83 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 18 | 11 | 89 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 9 | - | 19 | 0 | 8 | 92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 8 | - | 20 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 10 | - | 19 | 5 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 9 | - | 20 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 8 | - | 21 | 3 | 97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | -22 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 10 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-29 12:13 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
