How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/2 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Vancouver vs Montreal +6.3-4.5-9.0 +1.4-1.1-1.9 -1.5+0.9+2.4 +0.5-0.4-0.7 Houston vs Atlanta -0.6+0.4+0.8 -0.0+0.1-0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Kansas City vs New York City -0.6+0.4+0.8 -0.0+0.1-0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 LA Galaxy vs Portland -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 San Jose vs Minnesota -0.2+0.4-0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Dallas vs Salt Lake -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Seattle vs Los Angeles FC -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Philadelphia vs New England -0.0+0.1-0.0 Toronto vs Columbus -0.0+0.1-0.0 Orlando vs DC -0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/9 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Houston vs Vancouver -5.1+0.4+11.5 -1.1-0.2+2.8 +1.1-0.2-2.2 -0.4+0.0+1.0 Chicago vs Kansas City +0.4*+0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Orlando vs Minnesota +0.4*+0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 New England vs Colorado +0.4*-0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0-0.0-0.1 New York City vs LA Galaxy +0.4*+0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 New York vs Portland +0.4*+0.0-1.0 -0.0+0.1-0.0 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC -0.2+0.4-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Atlanta vs DC -0.0+0.1-0.0 Columbus vs Montreal -0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Supporters Chance will finish regular season at seed Wooden TP W - D - L playoffs Shield 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Spoon Count 80 -102 In Yes 100 No 160,228 * 79 25 - 4 - 5 In 100.0 % 100 0 No 2,471 * 77 -78 In 100.0 100 No 13,699 * 76 23 - 7 - 4 In 99.9 100 0 No 16,059 * 75 23 - 6 - 5 In 99.9 100 0 No 28,445 * 74 23 - 5 - 6 In 99.9 100 0 No 49,334 * 73 22 - 7 - 5 In 99.8 100 0 No 83,484 * 72 22 - 6 - 6 In 99.7 100 0 No 139,463 * 71 21 - 8 - 5 In 99.5 100 0 No 227,535 * 70 21 - 7 - 6 In 99.2 100 0 0 No 364,067 * 69 21 - 6 - 7 In 98.8 99 1 0 No 569,607 * 68 20 - 8 - 6 In 98.0 99 1 0 No 872,196 * 67 20 - 7 - 7 In 96.8 99 1 0 No 1,309,963 * 66 20 - 6 - 8 In 95.1 98 2 0 No 1,932,517 * 65 19 - 8 - 7 In 92.5 97 3 0 0 No 2,790,442 * 64 19 - 7 - 8 In 88.7 95 5 0 0 No 3,953,701 * 63 18 - 9 - 7 In 83.4 92 8 0 0 0 No 5,495,343 * 62 18 - 8 - 8 In 76.5 89 11 0 0 0 No 7,489,931 * 61 18 - 7 - 9 In 67.5 84 15 1 0 0 0 No 10,018,105 * 60 17 - 9 - 8 In 56.8 77 21 2 0 0 No 13,143,183 * 59 17 - 8 - 9 In 44.8 69 27 3 0 0 0 No 16,921,458 * 58 17 - 7 - 10 In 32.4 60 33 6 0 0 0 No 21,378,907 * 57 16 - 9 - 9 100.0 % 21.0 49 39 10 1 0 0 0 No 26,512,074 * 56 16 - 8 - 10 100.0 11.7 38 42 16 3 0 0 0 No 32,253,176 * 55 15 - 10 - 9 100.0 5.4 27 43 23 6 1 0 0 0 No 38,511,852 * 54 15 - 9 - 10 100.0 2.0 18 39 30 11 2 0 0 0 0 No 45,143,561 * 53 15 - 8 - 11 99.9 0.5 10 32 35 18 5 1 0 0 0 0 No 51,920,546 * 52 14 - 10 - 10 99.8 0.1 5 22 35 26 10 2 0 0 0 0 No 58,579,199 * 51 14 - 9 - 11 99.1 0.0 2 13 30 31 17 5 1 0 0 0 No 64,873,342 * 50 14 - 8 - 12 96.9 0.0 1 7 21 32 25 11 3 0 0 0 0 No 70,513,955 * 49 13 - 10 - 11 91.5 0.0 0 3 12 27 30 19 7 1 0 0 0 0 No 75,197,207 * 48 13 - 9 - 12 81.0 No 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 4 1 0 0 0 No 78,673,574 * 47 13 - 8 - 13 64.6 No 0 0 2 9 23 30 23 10 2 0 0 0 No 80,760,387 * 46 12 - 10 - 12 44.8 No 0 0 1 4 14 27 29 18 6 1 0 0 No 81,309,212 * 45 12 - 9 - 13 26.2 No 0 0 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 4 0 0 No 80,288,932 * 44 12 - 8 - 14 12.7 No 0 0 0 0 2 10 23 31 23 9 2 0 No 77,755,142 * 43 11 - 10 - 13 5.0 No 0 0 0 1 4 15 28 30 17 5 0 0.0 % 73,850,002 * 42 11 - 9 - 14 1.6 No 0 0 0 1 7 21 32 26 10 1 0.0 68,747,036 * 41 10 - 11 - 13 0.4 No 0 0 0 0 3 13 28 33 18 4 0.0 62,742,532 * 40 10 - 10 - 14 0.1 No 0 0 0 1 6 21 35 28 8 0.3 56,103,277 * 39 10 - 9 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 0 3 13 32 37 15 1.2 49,169,402 * 38 9 - 11 - 14 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 7 26 42 24 3.9 42,197,614 * 37 9 - 10 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 3 18 43 35 9.5 35,461,821 * 36 9 - 9 - 16 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 12 40 47 18.5 29,177,354 * 35 8 - 11 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 1 7 35 58 30.2 23,491,277 * 34 8 - 10 - 16 Out No 0 0 0 4 28 68 43.3 18,502,030 * 33 8 - 9 - 17 Out No 0 0 0 2 21 77 56.2 14,250,386 * 32 7 - 11 - 16 Out No 0 0 1 15 84 67.7 10,730,786 * 31 7 - 10 - 17 Out No 0 0 0 11 89 77.2 7,892,605 * 30 7 - 9 - 18 Out No 0 0 7 93 84.5 5,671,688 * 29 6 - 11 - 17 Out No 0 0 4 95 89.9 3,977,586 * 28 6 - 10 - 18 Out No 0 3 97 93.5 2,721,051 * 27 6 - 9 - 19 Out No 0 2 98 96.0 1,811,801 * 26 5 - 11 - 18 Out No 0 1 99 97.6 1,178,836 * 25 5 - 10 - 19 Out No 0 1 99 98.6 744,188 * 24 5 - 9 - 20 Out No 0 0 100 99.2 458,411 * 23 4 - 11 - 19 Out No 0 100 99.6 272,923 * 22 4 - 10 - 20 Out No 0 100 99.7 158,658 * 21 4 - 9 - 21 Out No 0 100 99.9 88,425 * 20 4 - 8 - 22 Out No 0 100 99.9 48,117 * 19 3 - 10 - 21 Out No 0 100 100.0 25,052 * 18 3 - 9 - 22 Out No 0 100 100.0 12,757 * 0 -17 Out No 100 100.0 169,324 * Total: 50.0 % 4.3 % 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 4.3 % 1,458,907,236

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/2 100.0* Lottery seed Vancouver vs Montreal -1.0+0.7+1.5 Houston vs Atlanta +0.1-0.0-0.1 Kansas City vs New York City +0.1-0.0-0.1 LA Galaxy vs Portland +0.0-0.1+0.0 Dallas vs Salt Lake +0.0-0.1+0.0 Seattle vs Los Angeles FC +0.0-0.1+0.0 San Jose vs Minnesota +0.0-0.1+0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 3/9 100.0* Lottery seed Houston vs Vancouver +0.8-0.0-1.8 Chicago vs Kansas City -0.0-0.0+0.1 New York City vs LA Galaxy -0.0-0.0+0.1 New England vs Colorado -0.0-0.0+0.1 Orlando vs Minnesota -0.0-0.0+0.1 New York vs Portland -0.0-0.0+0.1 Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC +0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 80 -102 100 79 25 - 4 - 5 100 0 78 24 - 6 - 4 100 0 77 24 - 5 - 5 100 0 76 23 - 7 - 4 100 0 0 75 23 - 6 - 5 100 0 0 74 23 - 5 - 6 100 0 0 73 22 - 7 - 5 100 0 0 72 22 - 6 - 6 100 0 0 71 21 - 8 - 5 100 0 0 70 21 - 7 - 6 99 0 0 0 69 21 - 6 - 7 99 1 1 0 68 20 - 8 - 6 98 1 1 0 67 20 - 7 - 7 97 2 1 0 0 66 20 - 6 - 8 95 3 2 0 0 65 19 - 8 - 7 92 4 3 0 0 0 64 19 - 7 - 8 89 6 5 0 0 0 63 18 - 9 - 7 83 9 8 0 0 0 0 62 18 - 8 - 8 76 12 11 0 0 0 0 0 61 18 - 7 - 9 68 16 15 0 1 0 0 0 0 60 17 - 9 - 8 57 21 20 0 2 0 0 0 59 17 - 8 - 9 45 25 26 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 58 17 - 7 - 10 32 28 31 2 6 0 0 0 0 0 57 16 - 9 - 9 21 28 34 5 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 56 16 - 8 - 10 12 26 33 9 16 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 55 15 - 10 - 9 5 22 28 14 22 1 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 54 15 - 9 - 10 2 16 20 19 26 4 11 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 15 - 8 - 11 1 10 11 21 26 8 17 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 52 14 - 10 - 10 0 5 4 18 20 15 23 3 10 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 51 14 - 9 - 11 0 2 1 12 11 19 24 7 17 1 5 0 1 0 0 0 50 14 - 8 - 12 0 1 0 7 4 17 18 14 23 3 11 0 3 0 0 0 0 49 13 - 10 - 11 0 0 0 3 1 12 9 18 22 8 18 1 7 1 0 0 0 0 48 13 - 9 - 12 0 0 1 0 6 2 15 14 15 23 4 14 4 1 0 0 0 0 47 13 - 8 - 13 0 0 0 0 2 0 9 6 17 20 11 21 11 3 0 0 0 0 46 12 - 10 - 12 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 13 10 16 23 20 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 45 12 - 9 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 3 15 16 25 20 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 44 12 - 8 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 9 7 19 27 21 10 3 1 0 0 0 43 11 - 10 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 8 20 27 22 12 4 1 0 0 0 42 11 - 9 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 9 20 27 23 13 4 1 0 0 41 10 - 11 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 20 27 24 13 4 1 0 40 10 - 10 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 9 21 28 24 11 3 0 39 10 - 9 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 11 23 30 22 8 1 38 9 - 11 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 14 28 31 18 4 37 9 - 10 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 20 34 29 10 36 9 - 9 - 16 0 0 0 0 0 2 11 29 38 18 35 8 - 11 - 15 0 0 0 0 1 5 22 42 30 34 8 - 10 - 16 0 0 0 2 14 40 43 33 8 - 9 - 17 0 0 0 1 8 35 56 32 7 - 11 - 16 0 0 0 4 28 68 31 7 - 10 - 17 0 0 2 21 77 30 7 - 9 - 18 0 0 1 15 85 29 6 - 11 - 17 0 0 10 90 28 6 - 10 - 18 0 0 6 94 27 6 - 9 - 19 0 0 4 96 26 5 - 11 - 18 0 2 98 25 5 - 10 - 19 0 1 99 24 5 - 9 - 20 0 1 99 23 4 - 11 - 19 0 0 100 22 4 - 10 - 20 0 100 21 4 - 9 - 21 0 100 20 4 - 8 - 22 0 100 19 3 - 10 - 21 0 100 18 3 - 9 - 22 0 100 17 3 - 8 - 23 0 100 0 -16 100 Total: 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4