How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -1.1
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Montreal vs Salt Lake-1.0+0.9+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Columbus+0.7+0.4-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Philadelphia+0.3+0.2-0.4
Atlanta vs Los Angeles-0.1+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Toronto-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.5+0.2-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC+3.4-1.7-5.1
+1.5-1.1-1.8
+0.4-0.2-0.6
Portland vs NY Red Bulls-2.7+0.1+4.2
-1.3-0.5+2.5
-0.3-0.1+0.6
Columbus vs Dallas-1.3+0.6+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs Los Angeles-1.0+0.8+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs New England+0.3+0.1-0.9
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
DC United vs New England+0.5+0.3-0.5
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.2*+0.0-0.7
-0.6+0.6+1.4
Orlando vs Vancouver-0.3+0.2+0.2
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.2+0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Atlanta+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Minnesota-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7111-0-0In99.6%1000No2,375
6910-1-0In98.0982No1,969
6810-0-1In92.7937No2,914
679-2-0In91.69280No8,445
669-1-1In81.582180No23,948
658-3-0In73.273261No37,926*
648-2-1In62.0623620No87,433
638-1-2In46.54748500No156,983*
627-3-1In33.835551000No242,697*
617-2-2In20.722581820No419,913*
607-1-3In9.410533150No344,265
6-4-1In12.313532950No254,131
596-3-2In5.0643391010No683,758
7-0-4In4.0541411210No142,239*
586-2-3In1.4230462030No900,512
5-5-1In1.8330442030No231,887
575-4-2100.0%0.41184431700No764,393
6-1-4In0.3116443270No595,658*
565-3-3100.00.10936411400No1,315,321
6-0-5In0.0083443150No145,560
4-6-1100.00.10835411500No144,607
555-2-4100.00.00425462510No1,244,519
4-5-2100.00.00424452610No564,835*
544-4-399.90.00114433830No1,180,530
5-1-599.90.00113433930No674,398*
534-3-499.8No0073550700No1,456,634
3-6-299.7No0063352800No267,553
5-0-699.8No06345270No123,613*
524-2-599.0No0324581510No1,054,497
3-5-398.8No0323581510No681,496*
513-4-496.8No01145725300No1,004,470
4-1-696.9No0113582530No494,627*
503-3-592.7No0075036700No949,377
2-6-391.6No0064837800No300,142*
493-2-684.5No0337441510No546,791
2-5-482.0No0235451710No423,913*
482-4-569.8No01234626400No473,977
3-1-770.4No01244626300No219,656*
472-3-654.6No0134137800No356,884
1-6-450.5No01239381010No116,195*
462-2-736.8No0631451620No167,902
1-5-532.6No0528452030No128,277*
451-4-619.6No0218442960No168,606*
441-3-79.5No193739131No89,577*
431-2-83.3No0324442540No42,301*
420-4-70.9No011340379No17,316*
410-3-80.2No0063046180No6,366*
400-2-9OutNo21949300No1,868
390-1-10OutNo0943480No373
380-0-11OutNo0332622No2,205
Total:93.6%2.5%3101723291251000No19,265,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 3 Chicago 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.2
Chicago vs Toronto+0.1-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Columbus-0.1-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs NYCFC-0.9+0.5+1.2
Portland vs NY Red Bulls+0.7+0.1-1.1
DC United vs Atlanta-0.2-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Minnesota+0.1-0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs Atlanta-0.1-0.0+0.2
NYCFC vs New England+0.1-0.1-0.2
Columbus vs Los Angeles+0.1-0.1-0.1
Columbus vs Dallas+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7111-0-01000
6910-1-0982
6810-0-1937
679-2-092080
669-1-1810180
658-3-0730261
648-2-16203620
638-1-2460480500
627-3-13415501000
617-2-22115801820
607-1-3915303150
6-4-11215302950
596-3-2514303901010
7-0-4414004101210
586-2-3112914602030
5-5-1212914402030
575-4-200171440310700
6-1-40015143032070
565-3-300813604101400
6-0-50061340430150
4-6-100713404101500
555-2-4002123146025010
4-5-2002123145026010
544-4-3001113243038030
5-1-5000112242039030
534-3-4000523415007000
3-6-200042322520800
5-0-6004233252070
524-2-5001121357115010
3-5-3001120357115010
513-4-4000194543250300
4-1-60019455325030
503-3-500034438350700
2-6-300033418371800
493-2-6001225134221510
2-5-4001223124221710
482-4-50001101339726400
3-1-7001101439726400
472-3-600310281336910
1-6-4002925133712100
462-2-700514174119300
1-5-500512154023400
451-4-6002413343311200
441-3-70118223823610
431-2-800310313517400
420-4-700131734301220
410-3-80017253624610
400-2-9021332351630
390-1-101414452971
380-0-111929421720
Total:30100161221272111410000000