"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 2 Columbus 0 +8.5
+0.8
-0.9
+0.6
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
New England 2 DC United 2 +0.7
Toronto 3 Chicago 1 -0.3
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 3 +0.2
-0.1
Portland 2 Vancouver 1 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Colorado 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+6.9-4.3-10.8
+1.1-0.9-1.5
-0.2+0.1+0.4
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls-4.1+0.5+10.4
-1.0-0.1+2.7
+0.1-0.1-0.3
-0.3+0.0+0.8
Seattle vs New England+0.6-0.0-1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver-0.8+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Houston-0.7+0.5+1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto vs Orlando-0.5+0.5+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.3
Orlando vs Colorado-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs NYCFC-0.2+0.5-0.1
Atlanta vs DC United-0.0+0.3-0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Los Angeles vs Philadelphia+0.2+0.0-0.5
Dallas vs Portland-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Kansas City vs Salt Lake-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Red Bulls finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
78-91InYes100No68,248*
7720-4-2In99.6%1000No1,397*
7620-3-3In99.81000No2,937*
7519-5-2In99.71000No6,111*
7419-4-3In99.61000No11,826*
7319-3-4In99.21000No22,862*
7218-5-3In98.71000No41,754*
7118-4-4In98.09910No74,866*
7017-6-3In96.99910No130,103*
6917-5-4In95.19820No221,461*
6817-4-5In92.69820No364,234*
6716-6-4In89.19640No585,331*
6616-5-5In84.395500No911,177*
6516-4-6In78.092800No1,384,139*
6415-6-5In70.2891100No2,051,802*
6315-5-6In60.8841510No2,954,905*
6214-7-5In50.47920100No4,162,697*
6114-6-6In39.27226200No5,707,986*
6014-5-7In28.46332400No7,641,924*
5913-7-6In18.754387000No9,972,453*
5813-6-7In11.0444312100No12,707,911*
5713-5-8100.0%5.63446183000No15,793,284*
5612-7-7100.02.42445255000No19,171,769*
5512-6-8100.00.8164132101000No22,697,813*
5411-8-7100.00.293437163000No26,223,854*
5311-7-8100.00.052539247100No29,590,559*
5211-6-999.80.02163532132000No32,556,206*
5110-8-899.30.01927362161000No34,987,658*
5010-7-997.80.004183429122000No36,671,900*
4910-6-1094.0No01102835205100No37,496,512*
489-8-986.2No00418342912200No37,406,140*
479-7-1073.5No002102735215100No36,388,642*
469-6-1156.4No000418343012200No34,512,110*
458-8-1038.1No00019273521500No31,919,179*
448-7-1122.2No00041835301110No28,751,638*
438-6-1211.0No0011028372040No25,239,760*
427-8-114.6No0004193730910.0%21,577,024*
417-7-121.6No00021132381620.017,942,218*
407-6-130.5No000523412640.014,510,055*
396-8-120.1No000215393580.111,419,098*
386-7-130.0No00193343140.58,724,377*
375-9-120.0No00042548221.76,473,520*
365-8-130.0No0021749324.54,663,124*
355-7-140.0No0011146439.73,251,023*
345-6-15OutNo006405317.82,196,502*
334-8-14OutNo003336328.31,434,653*
324-7-15OutNo002267240.6907,267*
314-6-16OutNo01207953.0551,200*
303-8-15OutNo00148564.5322,864*
293-7-16OutNo0109074.5181,725*
283-6-17OutNo079382.098,250*
272-8-16OutNo049688.051,239*
262-7-17OutNo029892.524,767*
252-6-18OutNo19995.711,657*
242-5-19OutNo19997.25,145*
231-7-18OutNo19998.72,054*
221-6-19OutNo010099.4808*
13-21OutNo100100.067,426*
Total:67.8%3.0%811121212111097420.5%592,849,144

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/23100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 2 Columbus 0 -1.2
Salt Lake 1 Atlanta 3 +0.1
New England 2 DC United 2 -0.1
Philadelphia 3 Montreal 3 -0.0
Toronto 3 Chicago 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-1.0+0.6+1.4
Kansas City vs NY Red Bulls+0.6-0.1-1.6
Toronto vs Houston+0.1-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Colorado+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs New England-0.0-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs DC United+0.0-0.1-0.0
Columbus vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Toronto vs Orlando+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
78-91100
7720-4-210000
7620-3-310000
7519-5-210000
7419-4-310000
7319-3-49910
7218-5-39910
7118-4-498110
7017-6-397210
6917-5-495320
6817-4-5935200
6716-6-4897400
6616-5-584105000
6516-4-678148000
6415-6-5701911000
6315-5-66124150100
6214-7-550281911000
6114-6-639322422000
6014-5-728352934000
5913-7-61935327700000
5813-6-7113332111101000
5713-5-86282917171300000
5612-7-72222223223500000
5512-6-8115152625710010000
5411-8-7098262513161300000
5311-7-8053212019213701000
5211-6-902115122325713020000
5110-8-801085222214201601000
5010-7-9000421615192551202000
4910-6-1000101072024101915100
489-8-90000421617172631220000
479-7-100002098192692061000
469-6-110000043151915271430000
458-8-100000119918272492000
448-7-1100000431520301971000
438-6-120001191126291661000
427-8-1100000441628271551000
417-7-1200000217192925134100
407-6-13000002922292311300
396-8-12000000312243021810
386-7-130000151528291750
375-9-120000017203227112
365-8-1300003122734204
355-7-140001519353010
345-6-15000211303918
334-8-140016234328
324-7-15002154241
314-6-1600193753
303-8-150053064
293-7-160022375
283-6-17011782
272-8-16001288
262-7-170793
252-6-180496
242-5-190397
231-7-180199
221-6-19199
211-5-200100
18-20100
130-0-260100
Total:3557667675747654332110