How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 No
-0.0
+1.6
-0.1
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.5
+0.0
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 -0.2
+0.0
Figueirense 2 ABC 0 +2.1
-0.1
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +2.1
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 -0.3
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.0NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-14.1+1.4+8.2
+0.9-0.1-0.5
Parana vs Nautico-0.2*-0.0+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Juventude+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.5*-0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Figueirense-1.6-0.3+2.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Goias-1.4-0.4+2.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-1.3-0.4+2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+1.0-0.4-0.7
Oeste vs Londrina-0.2*-0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional vs Santa CruzNoNo+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+6.4-0.4-15.5
-0.4-0.0+1.0
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+0.0NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-15.0+0.3+7.0
+1.0-0.1-0.4
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4*+0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Parana+3.0-0.3-1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.9*-0.0+1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Luverdense vs Ceara+2.7-0.2-1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.5*-0.0-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Oeste vs Guarani-0.3*-0.0+0.5
ABC vs Goias-2.4-1.0+2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Nautico+1.8-1.1-1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.8-0.2+1.2
Luverdense vs Figueirense+0.3-1.3+0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
CRB vs ABC+0.6-0.4-0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Londrina vs CRB-0.4-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.5*-0.1-0.4
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.2-0.2*-0.0
Criciuma vs Londrina-0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Santa Cruz finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
6713-0-014.1%99.7%14443470No2,643
6512-1-0No93.12652167No58
6412-0-1No87.716363512No122
6311-2-0No69.9527382541No259
6211-1-1No50.411336351220No1,044
6111-0-2No31.30724382461No1,624*
6010-2-1No15.00213333316300No4,202
5910-1-2No5.8005213627910No9,434*
589-3-1No1.50110293519400No15,917*
579-2-2No0.300417343112200No32,412*
569-1-3No0.0017243624710No56,964*
558-3-2No0.000213313317400No90,898*
548-2-3No0.0000519342811200No156,462*
538-1-4NoNo00182534238100No235,607*
527-3-3NoNo003132932185100No340,062*
517-2-4NoNo00151832291330000.0%502,310*
506-4-3NoNo001823332491000.0664,147*
496-3-4NoNo0021128332051000.0862,419*
486-2-5NoNo0014173230133000.2763,880
5-5-3NoNo0003143132153000.3344,010*
475-4-4NoNo00162135279101.4781,153
6-1-6NoNo00182335248101.0521,671*
465-3-5NoNo002112935194004.41,161,704
4-6-3NoNo002112935194004.7340,664*
455-2-6NoNo0004193529101011.41,077,027
4-5-4NoNo0003163532122013.8613,878*
444-4-5NoNo00182638234027.41,196,319*
5-1-7NoNo0001102937204023.4569,439
434-3-6NoNo0003163734100043.81,358,256
3-6-4NoNo00316363411045.1437,999*
424-2-7NoNo00183041191061.41,075,011
3-5-5NoNo0172743221065.4693,448*
413-4-6NoNo0031843342079.71,025,322
4-1-8NoNo0031943322077.3593,613*
403-3-7NoNo0011038465089.51,078,276
2-6-5NoNo01937475089.9356,937*
393-2-8NoNo004295610095.3745,188
2-5-6NoNo004275811096.1479,901*
382-4-7NoNo01176219198.6662,547*
3-1-9NoNo002196117098.1303,204
372-3-8NoNo00106028199.6729,792*
362-2-9NoNo0055438399.9525,866*
351-4-8NoNo00244485100.0343,215*
341-3-9NoNo0134569100.0211,754*
331-2-10NoNo0246115Yes122,567*
320-4-9NoNo0156223Yes61,335*
310-3-10NoNo096032Yes27,267*
300-2-11NoNo55441Yes11,077
290-1-12NoNo24850Yes3,356
280-0-13NoNo13862Yes3,100
Total:0.0%0.0%00000001123579121518196144.3%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship