How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 9/14 100.0* Serie A 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed Figueirense 1 Sport Recife 2 -1.0 +0.1 Londrina 2 Coritiba 1 +1.1 -0.1 Vitoria 0 Guarani 1 *-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Criciuma vs Atletico-GO +0.1-0.0-0.1 -13.5+0.9+7.0 +1.0-0.1-0.5 Bragantino vs Londrina -0.3*+0.1+0.6 +0.0-0.0-0.1 Cuiaba vs Oeste -0.8-0.1+1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Guarani vs Parana +1.8-0.2-1.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Vila Nova vs Botafogo-SP +1.7-0.3-1.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Sport Recife vs America-MG -0.3*+0.0+0.5 Sao Bento vs Vitoria -0.3-0.9+0.8 Brasil de Pelotas vs Figueirense -0.5-0.5+1.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 9/24 100.0* Serie A 100.0* Serie C 100.0* Average seed Guarani vs Criciuma -0.1-0.0+0.1 +10.7+2.5-12.9 -0.7-0.2+0.9 Figueirense vs Bragantino +2.0-0.1-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Vitoria vs Atletico-GO +2.0-0.1-1.1 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Vila Nova vs CRB +1.8-0.3-1.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Londrina vs Sport Recife +0.6*+0.0-0.4 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Cuiaba vs Coritiba +0.1*-0.0-0.1 Botafogo-SP vs Operario-PR +0.1*-0.0-0.1 Parana vs Ponte Preta -0.2*-0.0+0.2 Oeste vs Sao Bento +0.3-0.7+0.1 America-MG vs Brasil de Pelotas *-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Criciuma finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title Serie A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie C Count 71 16 - 0 - 0 71.3 % Yes 71 27 1 No 3,034 69 15 - 1 - 0 20.0 Yes 20 60 20 No 5 68 15 - 0 - 1 40.0 Yes 40 20 40 No 5 67 14 - 2 - 0 4.8 Yes 5 62 33 No 21 66 14 - 1 - 1 11.1 98.1 % 11 54 24 9 2 No 54 65 13 - 3 - 0 14.6 Yes 15 40 38 8 No 151 * 64 13 - 2 - 1 5.4 96.0 5 31 38 21 4 0 No 372 63 13 - 1 - 2 2.1 91.8 2 21 40 28 7 1 No 918 * 62 12 - 3 - 1 0.9 81.4 1 11 34 36 16 3 0 No 1,628 * 61 12 - 2 - 2 0.2 67.4 0 5 24 38 24 8 1 0 No 3,640 * 60 12 - 1 - 3 0.0 45.4 0 2 12 31 34 17 4 0 0 No 6,970 * 59 11 - 3 - 2 0.0 26.5 0 0 5 21 34 26 10 2 0 0 No 12,627 * 58 11 - 2 - 3 No 11.8 0 2 10 27 32 21 7 1 0 0 No 23,579 * 57 10 - 4 - 2 No 4.2 0 0 4 16 30 30 16 4 1 0 0 No 39,436 * 56 10 - 3 - 3 No 0.9 0 1 6 19 31 26 12 3 0 0 0 No 65,058 * 55 10 - 2 - 4 No 0.2 0 0 2 9 23 31 23 9 2 0 0 No 105,437 * 54 9 - 4 - 3 No 0.0 0 0 3 12 26 31 20 7 1 0 0 No 158,018 * 53 9 - 3 - 4 No 0.0 0 0 1 4 15 29 30 17 5 1 0 0 No 235,413 * 52 9 - 2 - 5 No No 0 0 1 6 18 31 28 13 3 0 0 0 No 340,048 * 51 8 - 4 - 4 No No 0 0 2 8 22 32 25 10 2 0 0 No 463,204 * 50 8 - 3 - 5 No No 0 0 0 0 2 11 26 33 21 6 1 0 0 0.0 % 621,407 * 49 8 - 2 - 6 No No 0 0 0 4 15 30 31 16 4 0 0 0 0.0 807,447 * 48 7 - 4 - 5 No No 0 0 1 6 20 34 28 11 2 0 0 0 0.1 998,041 * 47 7 - 3 - 6 No No 0 0 2 9 26 35 22 6 1 0 0 0.8 1,211,600 * 46 6 - 5 - 5 No No 0 0 3 14 31 33 16 3 0 0 0 3.8 710,190 7 - 2 - 7 No No 0 0 3 15 32 32 14 3 0 0 0 3.2 705,975 * 45 6 - 4 - 6 No No 0 0 1 6 21 35 26 9 1 0 0 10.6 1,590,260 * 44 6 - 3 - 7 No No 0 0 2 11 29 34 19 5 0 0 23.9 1,742,384 * 43 5 - 5 - 6 No No 0 0 0 4 18 34 30 12 2 0 43.8 967,574 6 - 2 - 8 No No 0 0 0 5 19 35 29 11 2 0 41.5 871,632 * 42 5 - 4 - 7 No No 0 0 1 9 27 36 21 5 0 62.8 1,862,900 * 41 5 - 3 - 8 No No 0 0 4 17 34 31 12 2 79.4 1,836,318 * 40 4 - 5 - 7 No No 0 0 1 8 27 38 22 4 90.8 934,170 5 - 2 - 9 No No 0 0 1 9 27 37 21 4 90.0 802,282 * 39 4 - 4 - 8 No No 0 0 3 17 37 32 9 96.3 1,576,460 * 38 4 - 3 - 9 No No 0 0 1 9 31 41 17 98.8 1,387,878 * 37 3 - 5 - 8 No No 0 0 4 22 45 28 99.7 1,167,857 * 36 3 - 4 - 9 No No 0 0 2 14 43 41 99.9 939,891 * 35 3 - 3 - 10 No No 0 1 7 37 55 100.0 726,976 * 34 2 - 5 - 9 No No 0 0 3 29 67 100.0 534,585 * 33 2 - 4 - 10 No No 0 1 21 78 Yes 372,810 * 32 2 - 3 - 11 No No 0 1 13 86 Yes 246,775 * 31 2 - 2 - 12 No No 0 0 8 92 Yes 153,995 * 30 1 - 4 - 11 No No 0 0 5 95 Yes 89,414 * 29 1 - 3 - 12 No No 0 2 98 Yes 48,814 * 28 1 - 2 - 13 No No 0 1 99 Yes 24,414 * 27 0 - 4 - 12 No No 0 100 Yes 10,731 * 26 0 - 3 - 13 No No 0 100 Yes 4,081 * 25 0 - 2 - 14 No No 0 100 Yes 1,424 23 -24 No No 100 Yes 3,457 * Total: 0.0 % 0.1 % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 4 6 8 10 12 14 14 14 11 52.6 % 24,411,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship