How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma vs Sao Bento+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Criciuma-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Criciuma finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
93-114YesYes100No411,327*
9229-5-499.9%Yes1000No1,098*
9129-4-5YesYes100No2,137*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No3,908*
8928-5-599.9Yes1000No6,835*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No12,115*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No20,750*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,322*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No58,656*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,134*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No154,511*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No244,457*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No380,317*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No579,684*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No869,978*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,284,809*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,865,690*
7623-7-897.5Yes9720No2,666,620*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,752,822*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No5,199,478*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No7,094,419*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No9,530,377*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No12,600,730*
7021-7-1077.8100.07820200No16,430,467*
6920-9-970.5100.070263000No21,098,456*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No26,696,368*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,284,088*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No40,909,288*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No49,523,812*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,129,951*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No69,520,288*
6218-8-126.489.262435249200000No80,624,485*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,142,913*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,804,727*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,259,774*
5816-10-120.022.501516282716510000No126,178,064*
5716-9-130.09.1002719282513410000No136,128,104*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No144,779,781*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,750,953*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%156,775,710*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0159,606,656*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,169,654*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,364,834*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3154,260,180*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7148,113,821*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1140,068,297*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3130,485,986*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.1119,695,243*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.1108,139,886*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,199,407*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253524688.784,239,014*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,597,206*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.261,584,271*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,393,703*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.842,183,164*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,054,853*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.027,014,998*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,069,458*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,142,527*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.012,151,255*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes8,978,021*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,507,360*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,632,327*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,225,838*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,204,934*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,477,902*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes967,965*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes618,515*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes388,481*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes237,537*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes141,837*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes82,719*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,864*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,787*
0-19NoNo100Yes437,537*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship