How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 +0.1
+3.5
-0.7
+1.0
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.2
Juventude 0 Boa Esporte 0 +0.3
+0.0
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 +0.1
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.6
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 +0.1
+0.0
Figueirense 2 ABC 0 +0.1
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Criciuma vs Figueirense+0.2-0.1-0.2
+4.2-2.7-4.5
-0.3-0.0+0.4
+0.7-0.4-0.9
Internacional vs America-MG-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Parana vs Nautico-0.7+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
ABC vs Juventude+1.1+0.6-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.8+0.5+0.9
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Oeste vs Londrina-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Goias-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Criciuma-0.2-0.1+0.2
-4.1-2.1+5.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Criciuma vs Londrina+0.2-0.1-0.2
+4.8-2.3-4.4
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
America-MG vs Oeste-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Parana vs Internacional+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.7+0.3+0.4
Figueirense vs Parana+1.0+0.5-0.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.8+0.5+0.9
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.8+0.4-0.8
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.8+0.5+0.9
Luverdense vs Ceara+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Ceara vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.6-0.3
Oeste vs Guarani-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.1*+0.0+0.1
CRB vs ABC-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Criciuma finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7613-0-088.5%Yes88110No2,817
7412-1-073.4Yes73251No1,371
7312-0-161.0Yes613540No1,998
7211-2-049.5Yes504280No4,832
7111-1-138.1Yes3848131No14,536
7011-0-226.599.9%26502220No21,583*
6910-2-116.599.7164632500No47,224
6810-1-29.399.0939401110No86,634*
679-3-14.496.74284520300No128,599*
669-2-21.791.52174330810No226,209*
659-1-30.682.119353715200No330,712*
648-3-20.167.004244026710No458,218*
638-2-30.049.10113353414200No661,841*
627-4-20.029.5006243825600No434,979
8-1-40.032.7007263823600No407,550*
617-3-30.016.200214343414200No1,047,656*
607-2-4No7.40172539245000No933,626
6-5-2No6.2006233926500No360,772*
596-4-3No2.200213353613200No872,063
7-1-5No2.700315353411100No586,095*
586-3-4No0.60016254023500No1,618,520*
576-2-5No0.100214373312200No1,127,535*
5-5-3No0.1002133634132000No612,093
565-4-4No0.00062539236100No1,203,456*
6-1-6No0.000162738226100No538,815
555-3-5No0.0002143433143000No1,293,733
4-6-3No0.000214343314300No412,214*
545-2-6NoNo0062336258100No963,586*
4-5-4No0.000052236269100No647,650
534-4-5NoNo002112934195100No941,397
5-1-7NoNo002123033185100No486,536*
524-3-6NoNo004173329133000No905,647
3-6-4NoNo00417332913300No325,470*
514-2-7NoNo00182334248100No558,724
3-5-5NoNo00172234259200No456,840*
503-4-6NoNo0021127332061000.0%523,256
4-1-8NoNo0021228331951000.0263,547*
493-3-7NoNo00041631311530000.0588,434*
483-2-8NoNo0016213427102000.1420,824*
472-4-7NoNo002102634216100.8278,946*
462-3-8NoNo00314313215303.4177,594*
452-2-9NoNo001621352791010.2106,578*
441-4-8NoNo002102936194022.958,259*
431-3-9NoNo00418363290041.430,156*
421-2-10NoNo019294119160.814,423*
410-4-9NoNo031943323078.15,983*
400-3-10NoNo11038457089.72,257*
390-2-11NoNo04255516096.3753
380-1-12NoNo2195721198.2163
370-0-13NoNo095235399.52,656
Total:0.2%9.4%01358121514121075321100000.3%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship