How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu vs Oeste+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai vs Paysandu-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Paysandu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
93-114YesYes100No411,320*
9229-5-499.9%Yes1000No1,085*
9129-4-5YesYes100No2,103*
9028-6-4100.0Yes1000No3,902*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No6,664*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No12,029*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No20,644*
8627-5-699.9Yes1000No35,325*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No59,114*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,448*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No155,568*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No245,953*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No380,353*
8024-8-699.5Yes10000No580,344*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No870,336*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,284,972*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,866,894*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No2,666,173*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,753,331*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No5,196,532*
7322-7-991.8100.0%928000No7,093,978*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No9,529,320*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No12,604,825*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No16,436,529*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No21,099,649*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No26,691,450*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,291,147*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No40,896,612*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No49,529,829*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,120,769*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No69,532,229*
6218-8-126.389.262435249200000No80,644,103*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,154,395*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,820,239*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,272,647*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No126,170,940*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No136,130,001*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No144,749,408*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0%151,726,857*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0156,766,586*
5315-8-15No0.0000131123282193000000.0159,623,124*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,171,044*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,378,770*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132428208200000.3154,269,487*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7148,105,692*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1140,079,791*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3130,466,524*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1119,686,039*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.1108,138,255*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,211,543*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029253524688.884,246,778*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,609,772*
4111-8-19NoNo0002929402098.261,579,544*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,386,292*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.842,177,184*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,053,233*
379-10-19NoNo000053164100.027,003,471*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,070,678*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,143,438*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.012,140,765*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.08,971,135*
328-8-22NoNo000693100.06,508,617*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,627,964*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes3,225,958*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,205,755*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,476,292*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes969,056*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes621,102*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes387,094*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes237,839*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes141,781*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes82,572*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,446*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,767*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes13,884*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,163*
0-17NoNo100Yes416,988*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship