How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Paysandu 0 CSA 0 -0.2
-1.3
+0.2
-0.2
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.1
-0.5
-0.1
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.3
+0.2
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.2
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma+0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta+0.5-0.2-0.4
+4.7-1.9-4.3
-2.5+0.6+2.6
+0.9-0.3-0.9
CRB vs Paysandu-0.4-0.2+0.5
-4.2-2.0+4.5
+2.8+0.5-2.5
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Figueirense+0.0+0.4-0.3
Juventude vs Goias-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Oeste+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Paysandu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-97YesYes100No42,413*
8522-3-298.8%Yes991No484*
8422-2-398.9Yes991No1,084*
8321-4-297.5Yes973No2,047*
8221-3-397.0Yes973No3,878*
8120-5-294.8Yes9550No7,324*
8020-4-392.8Yes9370No13,665*
7920-3-489.6Yes90100No24,190*
7819-5-386.0Yes861400No41,694*
7719-4-481.3Yes811810No69,757*
7619-3-575.6Yes762310No113,740*
7518-5-469.0100.0%6929200No181,488*
7418-4-561.4100.06135400No282,087*
7317-6-453.2100.05341600No429,528*
7217-5-544.3100.044461010No635,414*
7117-4-635.6100.0364914100No923,369*
7016-6-527.199.9275020300No1,307,379*
6916-5-619.599.6194827500No1,812,536*
6816-4-713.199.01343339100No2,453,083*
6715-6-68.197.78373915200No3,255,655*
6615-5-74.695.052841215000No4,224,699*
6514-7-62.390.122039299100No5,377,235*
6414-6-71.082.01123434153000No6,692,700*
6314-5-80.470.30726372361000No8,163,742*
6213-7-70.155.503173530122000No9,758,392*
6113-6-80.039.3011028342061000No11,431,955*
6013-5-90.024.3005193428122000No13,112,008*
5912-7-80.012.70021127332061000No14,734,199*
5812-6-90.05.500151832281330000No16,230,995*
5712-5-10No1.80021025322282000No17,514,632*
5611-7-9No0.500041529301651000No18,531,331*
5511-6-10No0.1000172131251130000No19,198,295*
5411-5-11No0.000021125312182000No19,492,614*
5310-7-10No0.000141528291751000No19,390,773*
5210-6-11No0.00001719302613310000.0%18,895,796*
519-8-10No0.0000021023302310200000.018,015,696*
509-7-11NoNo0000313263019710000.016,836,057*
499-6-12NoNo0001516282815510000.115,391,298*
488-8-11NoNo000282030251230000.413,776,961*
478-7-12NoNo0000311243122820001.812,059,562*
468-6-13NoNo000141528301751005.910,328,478*
457-8-12NoNo000172031271230014.88,650,031*
447-7-13NoNo00021125322171029.27,077,850*
437-6-14NoNo00015163130143047.55,657,156*
426-8-13NoNo000292434247165.74,410,168*
416-7-14NoNo000415333214280.43,359,178*
406-6-15NoNo0018263822490.22,496,279*
395-8-14NoNo0004183832895.71,803,994*
385-7-15NoNo0021133401498.41,271,672*
375-6-16NoNo001626452299.4871,970*
364-8-15NoNo00319473199.8579,957*
354-7-16NoNo001124542100.0374,532*
344-6-17NoNo0084052100.0234,056*
334-5-18NoNo0043461100.0142,002*
323-7-17NoNo022870Yes83,470*
313-6-18NoNo012178Yes46,885*
303-5-19NoNo011683Yes25,721*
292-7-18NoNo01288Yes13,295*
282-6-19NoNo0892Yes6,832*
272-5-20NoNo0694Yes3,170*
261-7-19NoNo496Yes1,396*
251-6-20NoNo298Yes643*
241-5-21NoNo199Yes242*
231-4-22NoNo298Yes88*
19-22NoNo100Yes38*
160-0-27NoNo0100Yes42,022
Total:0.9%14.2%134678888877654332106.0%337,910,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship