How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.4
-0.2
Paysandu 0 CSA 0 +0.2
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 +0.2
-0.1
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 -0.2
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.2
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Avai vs Guarani-0.3-0.1+0.5
-3.2-0.8+5.2
+2.4+0.2-3.6
-0.7-0.1+1.1
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Goias vs Juventude+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma+0.1-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Coritiba vs Figueirense+0.0+0.3-0.2
Juventude vs Goias-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
CRB vs Paysandu+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Oeste-0.0-0.2+0.1
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9627-0-0100.0%Yes1000No42,022
87-91YesYes100No46*
8623-2-297.7Yes982No86*
8522-4-199.4Yes991No163*
8422-3-298.1Yes982No377*
8322-2-396.2Yes964No735*
8221-4-296.3Yes9640No1,485*
8121-3-393.7Yes9460No3,092*
8020-5-291.3Yes9190No5,711*
7920-4-389.0Yes89110No10,419*
7820-3-485.1Yes85150No19,047*
7719-5-379.9Yes80201No33,238*
7619-4-474.5Yes752510No55,757*
7519-3-568.0Yes683020No92,025*
7418-5-460.8100.0%6136300No147,287*
7318-4-552.5100.05342600No232,162*
7217-6-444.3100.04446900No354,059*
7117-5-535.8100.0365013100No530,202*
7017-4-627.699.9285119200No776,379*
6916-6-520.099.7204926400No1,109,737*
6816-5-613.799.21445328100No1,551,868*
6716-4-78.698.19383813200No2,126,538*
6615-6-65.095.753041204000No2,845,964*
6515-5-72.591.232140278100No3,734,304*
6414-7-61.183.71143533142000No4,795,380*
6314-6-70.472.5082837216100No6,026,419*
6214-5-80.158.004193529112000No7,422,705*
6113-7-70.041.802112934195100No8,964,265*
6013-6-80.026.3015203427112000No10,597,184*
5913-5-90.014.10021228321961000No12,286,414*
5812-7-80.06.20015193227123000No13,950,120*
5712-6-90.02.200021026322171000No15,528,247*
5612-5-10No0.600141630291541000No16,918,134*
5511-7-9No0.1000182131251120000No18,072,300*
5411-6-10No0.0000312263120710000No18,918,914*
5311-5-11No0.000151629281651000No19,407,478*
5210-7-10No0.00001720302512300000.0%19,516,138*
5110-6-11NoNo0002102430229200000.019,189,857*
5010-5-12NoNo001414272918610000.018,507,631*
499-7-11NoNo0001618292714410000.017,471,694*
489-6-12NoNo000292230241120000.316,136,506*
478-8-11NoNo000312253020710001.514,591,229*
468-7-12NoNo000151629291641005.012,915,831*
458-6-13NoNo000282131251120013.111,179,027*
447-8-12NoNo00031226322061026.89,458,272*
437-7-13NoNo00015183129132044.77,822,380*
427-6-14NoNo0002102534226163.26,317,943*
416-8-13NoNo001417333113278.64,986,138*
406-7-14NoNo00029273721489.13,839,231*
396-6-15NoNo0004193831895.22,878,803*
385-8-14NoNo00021134391498.12,108,079*
375-7-15NoNo001627452299.41,498,171*
365-6-16NoNo000319463299.81,038,253*
354-8-15NoNo001134442100.0698,817*
344-7-16NoNo00083953100.0457,382*
334-6-17NoNo0043363100.0288,953*
324-5-18NoNo022672Yes176,919*
313-7-17NoNo012079Yes104,721*
303-6-18NoNo001585Yes60,091*
293-5-19NoNo01089Yes32,880*
282-7-18NoNo00793Yes17,203*
272-6-19NoNo0496Yes8,923*
262-5-20NoNo397Yes4,169*
251-7-19NoNo298Yes1,981*
241-6-20NoNo0100Yes858*
15-23NoNo100Yes42,537*
Total:0.6%10.5%123567788887765443218.6%337,910,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship