How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Confianca 1 Guarani 0 -0.0
-0.5
+7.4
-0.7
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.6
+0.0
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +1.1
-0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.5
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.6-0.1+1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.5-0.3-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2-0.3+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.2-0.1+0.4
+7.3+1.5-10.1
-0.6-0.2+0.9
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.3-0.1-0.3
-9.4+2.3+8.0
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.5-0.1-0.4
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.5-0.1+0.8
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.7-0.1-0.6
CSA vs Juventude+0.9-0.2-0.6
CRB vs America-MG+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.6-0.2-0.4
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.7-0.3-0.4
Vitoria vs CSA-0.4-0.2+0.8
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.3-0.2+0.6
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.3-0.3-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.4+0.2
Avai vs Figueirense+0.2-0.4+0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.5+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9228-0-0100.0%Yes1000No191,020
81-85YesYes100No16*
8023-3-295.7Yes964No23*
7923-2-398.0Yes982No51*
7822-4-296.8Yes973No125*
7722-3-395.2Yes955No248*
7621-5-293.0Yes937No556*
7521-4-385.9Yes86140No1,135*
7421-3-484.0Yes84151No2,323*
7320-5-377.5Yes772120No4,494*
7220-4-468.5Yes692830No8,649*
7120-3-561.2Yes613350No16,030*
7019-5-452.7100.0%5338910No29,004*
6919-4-542.699.9434213200No51,182*
6818-6-433.099.7334419300No88,015*
6718-5-523.699.32443266100No147,693*
6618-4-615.798.216393211200No243,488*
6517-6-59.695.8103236174000No392,781*
6417-5-65.291.152437258100No619,840*
6317-4-72.582.72163331143000No956,131*
6216-6-61.070.41926342271000No1,448,442*
6116-5-70.354.404183229133000No2,146,089*
6016-4-80.137.1021026332171000No3,116,230*
5915-6-70.021.40041731291541000No4,433,499*
5815-5-80.010.10019233223920000No6,184,313*
5714-7-70.03.800031428301861000No8,457,884*
5614-6-80.01.1000161931271330000No11,334,937*
5514-5-9No0.2000210243122920000No14,917,322*
5413-7-8No0.000041427301861000No19,233,175*
5313-6-9No0.0000161830271441000No24,321,617*
5213-5-10No0.00002822312410300000.0%30,170,648*
5112-7-9NoNo0003122530208200000.036,704,644*
5012-6-10NoNo0001515282917510000.043,804,722*
4912-5-11NoNo0001719302613400000.051,269,213*
4811-7-10NoNo00002923302310200000.358,839,892*
4711-6-11NoNo0000313263019710001.366,220,440*
4611-5-12NoNo000161729281441004.573,070,738*
4510-7-11NoNo0000292231241020012.179,061,737*
4410-6-12NoNo000031327311961025.183,814,354*
439-8-11NoNo00016193128122042.587,127,685*
429-7-12NoNo00002112633216160.888,732,985*
419-6-13NoNo00001518333012276.588,520,854*
408-8-12NoNo0000210283620487.686,451,376*
398-7-13NoNo00015203730894.382,711,063*
388-6-14NoNo000021234381497.777,432,447*
377-8-13NoNo0001727432299.270,913,266*
367-7-14NoNo000320453199.763,500,298*
357-6-15NoNo000213444299.955,591,273*
346-8-14NoNo000183952100.047,547,303*
336-7-15NoNo00053362100.039,692,245*
326-6-16NoNo00032771100.032,338,019*
315-8-15NoNo0012178100.025,680,445*
305-7-16NoNo0011584100.019,864,665*
295-6-17NoNo001189Yes14,965,339*
284-8-16NoNo00892Yes10,965,344*
274-7-17NoNo00595Yes7,793,711*
264-6-18NoNo00397Yes5,377,344*
254-5-19NoNo0298Yes3,591,067*
243-7-18NoNo0199Yes2,320,533*
233-6-19NoNo0199Yes1,446,673*
223-5-20NoNo00100Yes868,696*
212-7-19NoNo0100Yes500,829*
202-6-20NoNo0100Yes275,721*
192-5-21NoNo0100Yes145,408*
182-4-22NoNo0100Yes72,618*
171-6-21NoNo0100Yes34,786*
161-5-22NoNo0100Yes15,375*
2-15NoNo100Yes200,732*
Total:0.0%0.5%00000112234457891113151553.8%1,535,980,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship