How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +0.1
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.3
+0.1
-0.1
Cuiaba 2 Avai 1 -0.1
Operario-PR 1 Parana 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Guarani vs Chapecoense+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.4-0.4-1.1
-1.2-0.1+0.7
+1.1-0.1-0.6
Nautico vs Guarani-1.4-0.9+1.4
+1.7+0.0-1.2
-0.9-0.4+0.8
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.0-0.3
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.2-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Nautico-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.5
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.1
CRB vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.1
Avai vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Parana vs Vitoria-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Operario-PR+1.7-0.8-1.4
-1.1+0.1+1.1
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Oeste vs Guarani-1.5-1.0+1.1
+1.6+0.5-0.9
-1.0-0.5+0.6
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Chapecoense-0.3+0.0+0.2
CSA vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Oeste-0.1+0.2+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Parana-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Confianca vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.1
Vitoria vs Confianca+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
CRB vs Cruzeiro-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.4-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Parana vs Figueirense-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Nautico-0.0-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7414-1-066.6%Yes673210No42,958
7314-0-155.8Yes564220No72,066
7213-2-047.2Yes474840No201,226
7113-1-135.2100.0%3555900No667,141
7012-3-025.5100.026581510No1,125,619*
6912-2-117.099.9175724200No2,851,396
6812-1-210.099.7105133600No5,840,056*
6711-3-15.498.95414111100No10,074,703*
6611-2-22.496.723045203000No20,140,776*
6511-1-30.991.611843298100No33,779,805*
6410-3-20.381.90103537153000No54,469,259*
6310-2-30.166.60424392571000No90,387,879*
629-4-20.047.701133334153000No133,326,437*
619-3-30.028.500622362691000No194,445,661*
609-2-40.013.80021230341840000No278,720,170*
598-4-30.05.10005193429122000No368,955,806*
588-3-40.01.40001925342371000No482,794,508*
578-2-5No0.300031430321740000No611,194,932*
567-4-4No0.0000151933281220000No729,110,094*
557-3-5No0.00001824342381000No855,800,163*
547-2-6No0.000003143032174000No506,705,400
6-5-4No0.000021229331851000No459,736,395*
536-4-5No0.000015183329122000No1,038,821,814*
526-3-6No0.0000018243524710000.0%1,093,034,889*
515-5-5NoNo000021229341840000.0542,160,251
6-2-7NoNo000031331331640000.0561,712,336*
505-4-6NoNo00015193529101000.0725,876,440
6-1-8NoNo000152035281010000.0339,431,999*
495-3-7NoNo00011028362040000.0664,704,570
4-6-5NoNo0001926362250000.0337,120,196*
484-5-6NoNo00003163533121000.0462,408,683
5-2-8NoNo00004173531111000.0439,658,699*
474-4-7NoNo000182739224000.1776,081,591*
464-3-8NoNo0000316383390000.5647,514,797*
453-5-7NoNo000183041182001.6515,367,778*
443-4-8NoNo00032043294004.5390,373,941*
433-3-9NoNo00011138409109.9285,040,623*
422-5-8NoNo00052947172018.7197,313,033*
412-4-9NoNo00219482740031.0128,731,608*
402-3-10NoNo00111433680045.380,283,744*
392-2-11NoNo0053444151060.346,920,585*
381-4-10NoNo0022446243073.925,318,974*
371-3-11NoNo011544347084.312,850,183*
361-2-12NoNo008374212091.75,968,443*
350-4-11NoNo04274821096.22,430,805*
340-3-12NoNo01184931198.5887,609*
330-2-13NoNo00114442299.5281,458
320-1-14NoNo053753599.961,516
310-0-15NoNo0228628100.01,767,917
-35015-0-082.3Yes82180No1,766,028
Total:0.0%2.6%00123457910111212108510001.7%14,164,332,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship