How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.1
-0.1
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Juventude 0 Boa Esporte 0 +0.1
+0.0
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 -0.1
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 -0.1
+0.1
Figueirense 2 ABC 0 +0.4
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +0.4
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Paysandu vs Guarani-0.6-0.4+0.8
+2.9+0.2-3.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
ABC vs Juventude+0.2+0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.4
Criciuma vs Figueirense-0.4-0.1+0.7
Oeste vs Londrina-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Goias-0.3-0.1+0.5
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-0.3-0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Guarani-0.6-0.3+1.1
+2.1+0.1-2.9
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.9-0.4-0.7
-2.8+0.3+2.5
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.7-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.3*-0.0+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Oeste+0.0-0.0-0.1
Parana vs Internacional-0.1+0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Parana+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Luverdense vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.0-0.4
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceara vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
Londrina vs CRB-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.1-0.1*-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.2-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
ABC vs Goias-0.5-0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Nautico+0.4-0.3-0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Luverdense vs Figueirense+0.0-0.3+0.1
CRB vs ABC+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7213-0-065.0%Yes653230No2,686
7012-1-037.9Yes3847151No369
6912-0-123.6Yes2449252No665
6811-2-015.899.4%16463171No1,453
6711-1-17.198.3735411520No5,233
6611-0-23.393.93234225600No7,838*
6510-2-11.387.311339341110No18,463
6410-1-20.373.906283921400No37,227*
639-3-10.056.0021737311110No57,766*
629-2-20.037.3018283820500No110,098*
619-1-30.020.40031736311110No173,013*
608-3-2No8.90182737225000No252,813*
598-2-3No3.200316353212200No394,825*
588-1-4No0.80172538236100No539,238*
577-3-3No0.2002143433142000No713,831*
567-2-4No0.00162337258100No947,026*
556-4-3No0.0002123135174000No654,053
7-1-5No0.000212323416300No487,862*
546-3-4No0.0000419352810200No1,068,616
5-6-2NoNo00419352910200No283,127*
536-2-5NoNo00192735216100No1,041,717
5-5-3NoNo00182635226100No521,708*
525-4-4NoNo003153232153000No1,036,749
6-1-6NoNo00316333113300No635,406*
515-3-5NoNo00162235269100No1,343,231
4-6-3NoNo0162135269100No407,698*
505-2-6NoNo0021129341951000.0%1,084,524
4-5-4NoNo0011027342161000.0692,099*
494-4-5NoNo00031632311430000.01,079,912
5-1-7NoNo0041733301220000.0601,289*
484-3-6NoNo001723352581000.11,159,975
3-6-4NoNo001622352691000.1392,271*
474-2-7NoNo002123033184000.5798,104
3-5-5NoNo002102735205100.7576,604*
463-4-6NoNo004173331132002.5818,258*
4-1-8NoNo001519352811201.7318,532
453-3-7NoNo00182536247107.5913,241*
443-2-8NoNo003153333142016.4404,321
2-5-6NoNo002123135173019.9295,267*
432-4-7NoNo001622382770034.0496,755*
422-3-8NoNo002123338151053.7338,591*
412-2-9NoNo0052343272071.3218,184*
401-4-8NoNo0021340405085.1128,311*
391-3-9NoNo006315111093.771,346*
381-2-10NoNo02215620197.636,592*
370-4-9NoNo1125531299.316,244*
360-3-10NoNo064841599.86,533*
350-2-11NoNo023554999.92,362
340-1-12NoNo0265915Yes637
330-0-13NoNo0185923Yes2,697
Total:0.0%1.0%00012357101112121197531004.6%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship