How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Guarani-0.2-0.1+0.3
+6.2+1.3-9.6
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Parana vs Bragantino+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+1.0-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4*-0.1+0.7
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.9-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.8-0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.3*-0.1+0.4
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.3*-0.1+0.4
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.4-0.1-0.3
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.5+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
76-95YesYes100No1,845*
7522-4-483.3%Yes8317No12
7421-6-371.4Yes711910No21*
7321-5-471.9Yes7228No57*
7221-4-571.4Yes71271No91*
7121-3-659.4Yes593631No160*
7020-5-551.7Yes523891No263*
6920-4-644.7Yes4539124No476*
6819-6-529.499.2%29452141No786*
6719-5-623.299.4234327610No1,390*
6619-4-713.997.61438331320No2,206*
6518-6-67.694.28293819510No3,494*
6418-5-74.388.342136271020No5,380*
6317-7-61.777.9213313317410No8,156*
6217-6-70.864.317233425920No12,345*
6117-5-80.246.90314293117510No18,090*
6016-7-70.129.901722322511300No25,941*
5916-6-80.015.6003122731197100No36,487*
5816-5-9No6.6016182927144100No51,131*
5715-7-8No2.3002923302310200No69,882*
5615-6-9No0.6014132630197100No93,058*
5515-5-10No0.10016172928154100No121,878*
5414-7-9No0.00028213024113000No157,423*
5314-6-10No0.000031124302182000No200,411*
5213-8-9NoNo014152729176100No249,033*
5113-7-10NoNo00161829271441000.0%304,304*
5013-6-11NoNo000292230241030000.0366,040*
4912-8-10NoNo000031225302071000.1431,060*
4812-7-11NoNo000151628281651000.8500,287*
4712-6-12NoNo00028203025123003.0566,714*
4611-8-11NoNo00031125312171008.8633,291*
4511-7-12NoNo00151629291540019.6693,450*
4411-6-13NoNo0002822322492035.2744,119*
4310-8-12NoNo0003142932174053.3785,663*
4210-7-13NoNo00172234269170.0813,668*
4110-6-14NoNo000314313416383.0826,831*
409-8-13NoNo00017243725591.5823,236*
399-7-14NoNo00031636341096.2803,648*
389-6-15NoNo00011031411798.5770,172*
378-8-14NoNo001524442599.5721,273*
368-7-15NoNo00317453599.8664,767*
358-6-16NoNo001114245100.0597,254*
347-8-15NoNo0073755100.0526,364*
337-7-16NoNo0043165100.0454,441*
327-6-17NoNo0022573100.0383,784*
316-8-16NoNo011980Yes316,046*
306-7-17NoNo011485Yes254,551*
296-6-18NoNo001090Yes200,645*
285-8-17NoNo0793Yes153,235*
275-7-18NoNo0595Yes114,039*
265-6-19NoNo0397Yes82,877*
254-8-18NoNo0298Yes58,978*
244-7-19NoNo0199Yes40,548*
234-6-20NoNo199Yes27,326*
223-8-19NoNo0100Yes17,388*
213-7-20NoNo0100Yes10,875*
203-6-21NoNo0100Yes6,488*
193-5-22NoNo0100Yes3,818*
182-7-21NoNo0100Yes2,126*
5-17NoNo100Yes4,038*
Total:0.0%0.4%00000111223346791114172061.4%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship