How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani 1 CSA 0 +1.8
+13.1
-0.1
+1.0
Fortaleza 2 Vila Nova 0 -0.4
+0.6
+0.0
Goias 2 Ponte Preta 2 +0.2
+0.5
Avai 3 Sampaio Correa 1 -0.1
-1.3
-0.1
Paysandu 1 Criciuma 1 +0.2
+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Oeste 3 -0.1
CRB 1 Coritiba 1 *+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fortaleza vs Sao Bento-1.1+0.7+1.4
-0.5+0.3+0.6
Juventude vs Londrina+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Guarani-2.3-1.2+3.2
-13.0-3.3+15.9
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Paysandu vs Goias+0.5+0.3-0.4
+2.0+0.7-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
CRB vs CSA+0.5+0.3-0.4
+2.2+1.0-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Avai+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.9+1.0-2.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Figueirense vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.2
+1.1+1.1-1.7
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.1+0.2
Boa Esporte vs Criciuma+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7410-0-095.4%Yes955No7,773
729-1-087.3Yes87130No27,625
719-0-182.2Yes821710No38,320
708-2-070.9Yes712720No69,652
698-1-161.4Yes613530No191,572
688-0-251.5100.0%5142700No132,704
7-3-047.0100.04744800No103,862
677-2-134.9100.035501410No430,836
667-1-224.699.9255022300No593,984
6-4-021.999.9225024400No101,284
656-3-112.699.2134434910No561,800
7-0-315.999.5164631710No273,726
646-2-26.797.573440162000No1,161,232
5-5-05.897.46334118200No68,171
636-1-33.193.33244126610No1,065,228
5-4-12.392.12214128710No469,589
625-3-20.781.3111333716300No1,297,766
6-0-41.184.3113353513200No399,235*
615-2-30.265.8052338267100No1,783,866
4-5-10.263.3042138288100No263,112
605-1-40.046.40212323516300No1,227,676
4-4-20.041.80110303618400No913,478*
594-3-30.022.600419363010100No1,657,322
5-0-50.026.70052137278100No335,856
3-6-10.021.200318363111100No97,309
584-2-40.09.900192737215000No1,704,011
3-5-2No8.20172537236100No404,856*
574-1-5No3.100315343213200No933,427
3-4-3No2.300213323415300No944,764*
563-3-4No0.5000520362810100No1,261,742
4-0-6No0.600162237268100No212,415
2-6-2No0.300418362911200No112,360*
553-2-5No0.100192735216100No1,035,043
2-5-3No0.000172536237100No311,398*
542-4-4No0.0002123033185100No525,955
3-1-6No0.0003143232153000No489,517*
532-3-5No0.0000417333013300No574,847
3-0-7No0.0000519342812200No92,439
1-6-3NoNo00315313115400No57,180*
522-2-6NoNo00172234259200No392,072
1-5-4NoNo01519332812200No117,901*
511-4-5NoNo018243424810No163,520*
2-1-7NoNo00210273421610No152,862
501-3-6NoNo00212293418400No181,413*
491-2-7NoNo0041633311320No102,123*
481-1-8NoNo01622372771000.0%48,812*
470-3-7NoNo0192838194000.319,716*
460-2-8NoNo0216383012202.17,978
450-1-9NoNo016254023516.32,438
440-0-10NoNo01143235152017.73,193
Total:4.0%41.4%41013151513118532110000000.0%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship