How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste vs Guarani-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.4-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Guarani vs Figueirense+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Parana-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
America-MG vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Cuiaba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Botafogo-SP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cuiaba vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Guarani finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-114YesYes100No22,667*
8727-6-599.9%Yes1000No1,061*
8627-5-6YesYes100No1,785*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No3,108*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No5,087*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No7,999*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No12,600*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No19,648*
8024-8-699.5Yes1000No30,039*
7924-7-799.3Yes991No45,441*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No66,464*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No96,926*
7623-7-897.4Yes9730No138,158*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No194,741*
7422-8-894.4Yes94500No268,974*
7322-7-991.8Yes92800No367,699*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No493,763*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No653,306*
7021-7-1077.8100.07820200No851,036*
6920-9-970.5100.070263000No1,094,339*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No1,385,593*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No1,725,120*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No2,121,005*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No2,569,738*
6419-7-1220.298.1204028102000No3,065,721*
6318-9-1112.295.21233331641000No3,603,248*
6218-8-126.389.26243524920000No4,181,124*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No4,777,098*
6017-9-121.061.7182231241130000No5,381,546*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No5,978,615*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No6,540,195*
5716-9-130.09.1002719282513410000No7,060,509*
5616-8-140.02.5000292128231231000No7,508,643*
5515-10-130.00.5000031022282210310000No7,867,871*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%8,126,736*
5315-8-15No0.000013112328219300000.08,275,320*
5214-10-14No0.000014122328219200000.08,304,735*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.08,210,837*
5014-8-16NoNo00001413242820820000.37,998,987*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.87,679,970*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.17,263,087*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.36,769,321*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.16,211,433*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.15,610,011*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.94,986,834*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.74,362,135*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.23,767,252*
4111-8-19NoNo00021028402098.23,191,046*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433199.42,665,938*
3910-9-19NoNo00214424299.82,187,912*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.01,765,808*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.01,402,318*
369-9-20NoNo0032473100.01,093,017*
359-8-21NoNo0011880100.0835,437*
348-10-20NoNo011386Yes628,829*
338-9-21NoNo001090Yes464,126*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes337,854*
317-10-21NoNo0496Yes239,998*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes166,797*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes114,574*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes76,646*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes50,217*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes32,082*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes20,207*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes12,425*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes7,266*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes4,194*
0-21NoNo100Yes26,504*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%171,030,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship