How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 -4.0
-8.5
+0.4
-0.7
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.6
-0.8
-0.0
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.4
+0.4
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.3
+0.6
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.7+0.5+0.9
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.2-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense vs America-MG-2.4-0.6+3.4
-6.8-1.5+9.6
+0.5+0.0-0.7
-0.6-0.1+0.9
CRB vs America-MG-2.2-1.0+2.7
-7.2-2.3+8.4
+0.6+0.1-0.7
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.4+0.4+0.2
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.4+0.3-0.5
-0.1+0.5-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.5+0.2-0.5
+0.5+0.4-0.6
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.2+0.5-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.7+0.4-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.8+0.5+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.1
CSA vs Juventude+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7+0.4-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vitoria vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.4+0.3+0.5
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.3+0.2-0.4
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.2-0.2
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Avai vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.1
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the America-MG finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
89-101YesYes100No222,526*
8823-2-399.9%Yes1000No11,216*
8722-4-299.9Yes1000No21,459*
8622-3-399.9Yes1000No40,864*
8521-5-299.7Yes1000No74,015*
8421-4-399.5Yes10000No131,758*
8321-3-499.3Yes9910No225,563*
8220-5-398.8Yes9910No376,588*
8120-4-498.2Yes9820No614,438*
8020-3-597.1Yes9730No974,099*
7919-5-495.7Yes9640No1,509,300*
7819-4-593.7Yes94600No2,277,706*
7718-6-491.0Yes91900No3,357,725*
7618-5-587.4Yes871200No4,834,209*
7518-4-682.8100.0%8316100No6,812,697*
7417-6-577.1100.07721200No9,382,673*
7317-5-670.2100.07027300No12,639,042*
7217-4-762.2100.062335000No16,685,456*
7116-6-653.3100.053388100No21,552,770*
7016-5-744.099.94442121000No27,260,000*
6915-7-634.599.83545183000No33,788,873*
6815-6-725.699.526442450000No41,018,739*
6715-5-817.798.818413191000No48,800,912*
6614-7-711.397.1113536153000No56,949,301*
6514-6-86.693.7727382261000No65,106,912*
6414-5-93.487.731936291020000No72,969,291*
6313-7-81.578.121231341740000No80,204,765*
6213-6-90.664.91623352591000No86,435,805*
6113-5-100.248.8031531311640000No91,329,247*
6012-7-90.032.4018243424920000No94,655,227*
5912-6-100.018.400315303116410000No96,153,872*
5811-8-90.08.600172232251020000No95,779,083*
5711-7-100.03.2000313283118610000No93,550,439*
5611-6-110.00.9000161931271330000No89,593,651*
5510-8-10No0.2000210243122920000No84,088,677*
5410-7-11No0.0000041428301861000No77,352,477*
5310-6-12No0.0000161830271341000No69,726,230*
529-8-11No0.00002923312310200000.0%61,588,060*
519-7-12No0.00000312263019710000.053,290,913*
509-6-13NoNo0001516282816510000.045,145,579*
498-8-12NoNo0001720302612300000.037,443,855*
488-7-13NoNo0002102330229200000.230,399,741*
478-6-14NoNo0001414273018610001.224,138,245*
467-8-13NoNo000161829271441004.418,755,436*
457-7-14NoNo000292231241020012.014,227,001*
447-6-15NoNo00031327311961025.210,562,799*
436-8-14NoNo00016193128133043.07,649,664*
426-7-15NoNo0002102633226161.65,403,158*
416-6-16NoNo0001517323013277.43,727,390*
405-8-15NoNo000210273622488.32,502,838*
395-7-16NoNo0015193631994.71,638,560*
385-6-17NoNo00021232391597.91,041,554*
374-8-16NoNo001626442499.3644,582*
364-7-17NoNo000318443499.8386,111*
354-6-18NoNo00112424599.9225,048*
343-8-17NoNo0173755100.0126,121*
333-7-18NoNo0043165100.068,891*
323-6-19NoNo022474Yes36,143*
313-5-20NoNo011881Yes18,058*
302-7-19NoNo01386Yes8,782*
292-6-20NoNo01090Yes4,096*
282-5-21NoNo0694Yes1,787*
271-7-20NoNo496Yes772*
261-6-21NoNo496Yes289*
251-5-22NoNo298Yes88*
21-24NoNo100Yes60*
170-0-28NoNo0100Yes212,134
Total:6.7%37.3%7910111010976543321110001.3%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship