How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.5
+0.0
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.1
-0.4
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 -0.1
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.6
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 -0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Goias vs Juventude+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.0-0.3-0.7
-8.8+1.4+6.2
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Avai vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma+0.2-0.5+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Goias-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.6-0.2+1.1
+5.8+0.9-9.2
-0.6-0.1+1.0
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.8-0.4-0.7
-8.4+2.2+8.2
+0.9-0.3-0.8
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.5+0.0+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fortaleza vs Coritiba+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Coritiba vs Figueirense+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Paysandu+0.8-0.2-0.5
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.5-0.2-0.2
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.4-0.2+0.6
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.4-0.3-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.1-0.2+0.3
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.4-0.4-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Oeste-0.1-0.4+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9227-0-0100.0%Yes1000No42,022
82-86YesYes100No12*
8122-4-195.0Yes955No20*
8022-3-291.4Yes919No58*
7922-2-388.0Yes8812No108*
7821-4-287.0Yes8713No246*
7721-3-379.7Yes8020No508*
7621-2-476.4Yes76231No916*
7520-4-370.8Yes71282No1,998*
7420-3-463.8Yes643330No3,719*
7319-5-356.4Yes563950No6,675*
7219-4-446.9100.0%4745700No12,038*
7119-3-539.1100.039491210No20,964*
7018-5-430.799.931511720No35,835*
6918-4-522.899.8235023300No59,692*
6817-6-416.199.4164730710No97,924*
6717-5-510.598.610413611100No155,418*
6617-4-66.296.76334017300No240,574*
6516-6-53.493.13254125610No365,598*
6416-5-61.686.72163732112000No543,933*
6316-4-70.676.61103036184000No789,414*
6215-6-60.262.8052236269200No1,124,416*
6115-5-70.146.502133133164000No1,566,563*
6015-4-80.030.201723342592000No2,140,096*
5914-6-70.016.70031430311751000No2,858,527*
5814-5-80.07.60017213226112000No3,744,260*
5713-7-7No2.70021227311971000No4,803,615*
5613-6-8No0.70015173028144100No6,040,917*
5513-5-9No0.100029223124102000No7,450,557*
5412-7-8No0.000031326301971000No8,985,404*
5312-6-9No0.0000151629281551000No10,641,363*
5212-5-10No0.000028203025123000No12,340,853*
5111-7-9NoNo000210243022920000.0%14,022,288*
5011-6-10NoNo0001414272918610000.015,621,340*
4911-5-11NoNo0001617292715410000.017,049,121*
4810-7-10NoNo0000282130251130000.318,241,496*
4710-6-11NoNo0000311253121810001.519,104,817*
4610-5-12NoNo000151529291651005.119,603,619*
459-7-11NoNo000172131261120013.319,701,214*
449-6-12NoNo00031126322061027.019,396,086*
439-5-13NoNo00015183229132044.818,672,400*
428-7-12NoNo0000292535226063.117,599,105*
418-6-13NoNo0001417343112178.416,227,455*
407-8-12NoNo00029283721388.914,625,626*
397-7-13NoNo0005203930795.012,896,665*
387-6-14NoNo00021235391298.011,105,731*
376-8-13NoNo001728451999.39,335,465*
366-7-14NoNo000321482899.87,664,041*
356-6-15NoNo00114463899.96,136,434*
345-8-14NoNo00194248100.04,784,225*
335-7-15NoNo0053758100.03,631,102*
325-6-16NoNo0033067100.02,686,402*
315-5-17NoNo0012475100.01,929,479*
304-7-16NoNo0011881100.01,348,301*
294-6-17NoNo001486Yes910,777*
284-5-18NoNo001090Yes597,036*
273-7-17NoNo0793Yes378,274*
263-6-18NoNo0595Yes230,881*
253-5-19NoNo0397Yes136,296*
242-7-18NoNo0298Yes76,495*
232-6-19NoNo199Yes41,862*
222-5-20NoNo199Yes21,505*
212-4-21NoNo0100Yes10,656*
201-6-20NoNo0100Yes5,022*
191-5-21NoNo0100Yes2,115*
181-4-22NoNo0100Yes821*
11-17NoNo100Yes42,485*
Total:0.0%1.5%000112334566789910109634.7%337,910,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship