"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs Goias-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Remo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Brusque-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brusque vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Confianca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Operario-PR vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goias-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.4-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Operario-PR vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Confianca vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Nautico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vitoria vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brusque vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Remo vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Remo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Nautico vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Remo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Vitoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Brusque-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Goias finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
92-114YesYes100No754,263*
9129-4-5100.0%Yes1000No3,788*
9028-6-4YesYes100No6,945*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No12,690*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No22,207*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No38,300*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No64,920*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No108,117*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No176,689*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No283,783*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No448,654*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No695,378*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No1,059,328*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No1,591,322*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No2,347,520*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No3,413,130*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No4,880,434*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No6,863,812*
7422-8-894.4100.0%946000No9,510,418*
7322-7-991.8100.0928000No12,970,283*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No17,418,245*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No23,051,204*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No30,038,517*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No38,569,800*
6820-8-1061.6100.0623260000No48,817,768*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No60,874,551*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No74,803,338*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No90,569,200*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No108,085,158*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No127,156,703*
6218-8-126.389.262435249200000No147,446,835*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No168,495,317*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No189,796,941*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No210,778,365*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No230,724,742*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No248,922,335*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No264,730,399*
5515-10-130.00.400003102228221031000000.0%277,485,321*
5415-9-14No0.000013112328211030000000.0286,676,317*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0291,915,790*
5214-10-14No0.000000141223282192000000.0292,873,436*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0289,628,507*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3282,178,079*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7270,853,895*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.1256,117,381*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3238,578,594*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.1218,885,900*
4512-9-17NoNo0000003122531217159.2197,766,562*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.9175,884,948*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.7154,041,069*
4211-9-18NoNo0000141634331295.2132,788,734*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.2112,608,565*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.493,969,851*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.877,137,207*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.062,246,917*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.049,409,193*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.038,531,143*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.029,519,582*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.022,212,041*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.016,407,629*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes11,898,274*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes8,463,102*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes5,906,972*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes4,034,501*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes2,699,973*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes1,770,122*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes1,133,125*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes710,984*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes434,272*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes259,717*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes150,829*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes85,582*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes47,194*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes25,049*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes13,169*
0-17NoNo100Yes762,595*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%6,031,643,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship