Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Portuguesa8123-12-344YesYes1001.0No1.685Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos
Nautico6417-13-810NoYes1002.0+0.36No2.551Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Ponte Preta6317-12-918NoYes1003.0-0.36No3.543Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sport Recife6117-10-1118NoYes+48.21004.0+0.92No6.527Sport Club do Recife
Vitoria6017-9-1213NoNo-11.61005.0+1.09No9.519Esporte Clube Vitoria
Bragantino5816-10-1212NoNo-26.01006.0-0.53No4.503Clube Atletico Bragantino
Boa Esporte5716-9-134NoNo-9.91007.0-0.84No8.495Boa Esporte Clube
Americana5615-11-12-5NoNo-0.71008.0-0.65No7.488Americana Futebol
Gremio Barueri5315-8-15-5NoNo1009.0+1.00No12.464Gremio Barueri Futebol Ltda
ABC5313-14-11-1NoNo10010.0+2.83No-0.45.464ABC Futebol Clube
Goias5216-4-18-6NoNo10011.0-1.25No15.456Goias Esporte Clube
Guarani5215-7-163NoNo10012.0+1.26No-0.614.456Guarani Futebol Clube
Parana5214-10-144NoNo10013.0+0.74No-1.211.456Parana Clube
Criciuma5113-12-130NoNo10014.0-2.82No13.448Criciuma Esporte Clube
Sao Caetano5112-15-116NoNo10015.0+0.07No-13.110.448Associacao Desportiva Sao Caetano
ASA4813-9-16-10NoNo10016.0-1.30No-7.417.424Agremiacao Sportiva Arapiraquense
Icasa4711-14-13-3NoNo10017.0-0.54Yes+22.716.417Associacao Desportiva Recreativa Cultural Icasa
Vila Nova327-11-20-19NoNo10018.0Yes18.298Vila Nova Futebol Clube
Salgueiro268-5-25-31NoNo10019.0Yes19.274Salgueiro Atletico Clube
Duque de Caxias172-11-25-52NoNo10020.0Yes20.180Duque de Caxias Futebol Clube

O Salgueiro foi punido pelo STJD com a perda de 3 pontos, por utilizar de forma irregular, o meio-campo Josa, na partida contra a Portuguesa em 7/10/2011.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/11
Bragantino 4 Goias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.1
Sport Recife-5.8
Bragantino+24.0
+1.0
Gremio BarueriNo
GoiasNo
-1.1
Parana*No
Vitoria 3 Criciuma 1
4:20 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.1
Vitoria+22.0
+1.1
Bragantino-6.3
Gremio BarueriNo
CriciumaNo
-1.0
Sport Recife 4 Americana 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+12.0
+1.4
Americana-10.8
-1.1
Ponte Preta 1 Boa Esporte 2
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta-8.8
-0.4
Boa Esporte+3.1
*No
+1.5
Sao Caetano 0 Nautico 0
4:20 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma*No
Sao Caetano+2.3
-0.2
Icasa-2.0
Gremio Barueri 1 ABC 3
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio BarueriNo
-1.2
ABC-2.1
+1.4
Parana 3 Guarani 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani+2.0
-1.2
Parana-2.9
+1.3
Icasa 1 Salgueiro 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+7.4
-0.2
ASA+9.7
-0.2
Icasa-19.5
+0.6
ASA 2 Duque de Caxias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano+8.0
ASA-16.5
+0.5
Icasa+5.2
Week of 11/18
Bragantino 0 ASA 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
NauticoYes
Ponte Preta+8.6
+0.3
Sport Recife+7.9
+0.2
Vitoria+10.9
+0.2
Bragantino-30.3
-0.9
Parana+0.1
Sao Caetano+11.5
-0.3
ASA-27.2
+1.3
Icasa+9.2
-0.3
Vitoria 1 Sao Caetano 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
NauticoYes
Ponte Preta+9.0
+0.2
Vitoria-26.8
-0.8
Bragantino+10.9
+0.2
Parana+0.1
Sao Caetano-35.2
+1.3
ASA+14.7
-0.3
Icasa+14.5
-0.3
Ponte Preta 4 ABC 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.1
Ponte Preta+22.9
+0.7
Vitoria-10.0
-0.2
Bragantino-6.9
-0.2
ABC-0.9
Sport Recife 3 Parana 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+16.8
+0.9
Vitoria-6.4
-0.2
Parana-1.0
Boa Esporte 2 Nautico 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico-0.6
-0.2
Boa Esporte+4.1
+1.2
Americana 2 Vila Nova 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Americana+0.3
+0.8
Salgueiro 1 Guarani 4
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani-5.3
+1.0
Goias 0 Icasa 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias-0.4
ASA+1.8
Icasa+0.2
-0.3
Criciuma 1 Gremio Barueri 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio Barueri-1.9
+1.6
Criciuma-1.2
Week of 11/25
Vila Nova 0 Sport Recife 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+39.3
+0.8
VitoriaNo
-0.2
Bragantino-17.1
-0.2
Boa EsporteNo
-0.3
AmericanaNo
Parana 1 Bragantino 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+8.5
+0.3
Vitoria+8.5
+0.3
Bragantino-25.5
-1.1
Boa Esporte+7.1
+0.3
Americana+1.4
+0.3
ABC+0.3
-0.3
Guarani+0.4
-0.3
ParanaNo
+1.6
ASA 1 Vitoria 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+15.9
+1.1
Boa EsporteNo
-0.4
AmericanaNo
-0.2
ABCNo
+0.2
GuaraniNo
+0.2
ParanaNo
+0.2
ASA+5.7
-1.1
Duque de Caxias 2 Boa Esporte 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa EsporteNo
-1.2
Americana+1.1
+0.2
ABC 3 Americana 1
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
AmericanaNo
-0.6
ABCNo
+1.8
Icasa 0 Portuguesa 2
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABCNo
GuaraniNo
ParanaNo
Sao CaetanoNo
+0.2
ASANo
IcasaYes
-0.5
Sao Caetano 1 Criciuma 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC+0.6
-0.3
Guarani+1.0
-0.2
Parana+1.9
-0.3
Criciuma-1.2
Sao CaetanoNo
+1.6
ASA+6.4
Guarani 2 Goias 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC+0.2
GuaraniNo
+1.5
Gremio Barueri 2 Salgueiro 1
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Gremio Barueri+1.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.