How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Vasco da Gama 2 -0.5
-2.7
+6.3
-0.9
Guarani 1 Nautico 3 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Avai 1 Brusque 2 -0.1
-0.3
CRB 3 Confianca 2 -0.1
Vila Nova 1 CSA 0 -0.1
Cruzeiro 1 Goias 1 +0.1
-0.2
Coritiba 1 Londrina 1 +0.1
-0.2
Vitoria 0 Operario-PR 0 +0.1
-0.2
Sampaio Correa 1 Ponte Preta 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2-0.1+0.3
-1.3-0.5+2.0
+6.2+1.3-8.5
-0.7-0.2+1.0
Nautico vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Londrina vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Goias vs CRB+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Operario-PR vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Avai-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Remo vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.2+0.3
CSA vs Guarani+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Cruzeiro+0.1-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brusque vs Coritiba-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-106YesYes100No2,274,695*
8727-5-399.8%Yes1000No889*
8627-4-499.8Yes1000No1,921*
8526-6-399.9Yes1000No3,778*
8426-5-499.8Yes1000No7,314*
8326-4-599.6Yes1000No13,911*
8225-6-499.3Yes991No25,964*
8125-5-598.9Yes9910No46,665*
8025-4-698.4Yes9820No82,518*
7924-6-597.6Yes9820No144,366*
7824-5-696.4Yes9640No247,020*
7723-7-594.9Yes9550No413,634*
7623-6-692.8Yes93700No680,999*
7523-5-789.9Yes901000No1,102,554*
7422-7-686.3Yes861310No1,748,374*
7322-6-781.7100.0%8217100No2,728,636*
7222-5-875.9100.07622200No4,180,136*
7121-7-769.0100.06928300No6,295,197*
7021-6-861.0100.061336000No9,319,082*
6920-8-752.1100.0523891000No13,566,486*
6820-7-842.699.94342132000No19,410,385*
6720-6-933.099.73344194000No27,349,764*
6619-8-824.099.124432671000No37,891,324*
6519-7-916.197.81639321120000No51,662,841*
6419-6-109.894.91032361841000No69,308,806*
6318-8-95.289.35233625920000No91,510,232*
6218-7-102.479.8215323115410000No118,917,055*
6118-6-110.965.718243323920000No152,094,399*
6017-8-100.348.20415293016510000No191,564,371*
5917-7-110.130.20182131251130000No237,455,494*
5816-9-100.015.300312263020820000No289,819,731*
5716-8-110.06.0001516282816510000No348,203,098*
5616-7-120.01.70002820292512410000No411,954,622*
5515-9-110.00.3000021023292210300000No479,799,904*
5415-8-12No0.0000131225292082000000.0%550,199,322*
5315-7-13No0.0000015142628187200000.0621,134,338*
5214-9-12No0.0000016162727166100000.0690,393,603*
5114-8-13No0.0000017182826145100000.0755,433,877*
5014-7-14No0.0000002820292512410000.1813,719,573*
4913-9-13NoNo0000031022292310300000.4862,673,992*
4813-8-14NoNo00001312242921820002.1900,324,879*
4713-7-15NoNo0000151527281861007.3924,649,319*
4612-9-14NoNo0000171829271440018.3934,452,312*
4512-8-15NoNo0000029223123102035.1929,289,917*
4412-7-16NoNo000014142731185154.5909,035,317*
4311-9-15NoNo000001720322711272.1874,821,839*
4211-8-16NoNo00000312283420485.1827,912,060*
4111-7-17NoNo000016203529893.0770,446,364*
4010-9-16NoNo000031332371597.1704,835,129*
3910-8-17NoNo00001726422498.9633,801,156*
3810-7-18NoNo0000419433499.6559,950,998*
379-9-17NoNo000213414599.9486,030,891*
369-8-18NoNo000183655100.0414,333,597*
358-10-17NoNo000053065100.0346,722,729*
348-9-18NoNo00022473100.0284,842,871*
338-8-19NoNo00011880100.0229,504,729*
328-7-20NoNo0011386100.0181,350,522*
317-9-19NoNo0001090100.0140,471,858*
307-8-20NoNo00793Yes106,598,786*
297-7-21NoNo00496Yes79,226,267*
286-9-20NoNo00397Yes57,608,744*
276-8-21NoNo00298Yes40,978,545*
266-7-22NoNo00199Yes28,488,101*
255-9-21NoNo0199Yes19,340,211*
245-8-22NoNo00100Yes12,810,744*
235-7-23NoNo00100Yes8,277,608*
224-9-22NoNo00100Yes5,205,419*
214-8-23NoNo0100Yes3,184,242*
204-7-24NoNo0100Yes1,893,691*
193-9-23NoNo0100Yes1,091,291*
183-8-24NoNo0100Yes609,798*
173-7-25NoNo0100Yes329,670*
163-6-26NoNo0100Yes170,795*
152-8-25NoNo0100Yes86,096*
142-7-26NoNo0100Yes41,214*
132-6-27NoNo0100Yes18,898*
121-8-26NoNo0100Yes8,294*
1-11NoNo100Yes2,279,509*
Total:0.4%4.1%011222334455667889111240.8%18,284,405,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship