How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.1
+0.3
+0.5
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.2
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.2
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.2
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.1
+0.2
Confianca 1 Guarani 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3-0.2+0.4
-2.5-1.2+3.1
+4.5+0.8-4.7
-0.9-0.3+1.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa+0.4-0.2-0.3
+2.9-1.3-2.7
-4.4+1.2+4.8
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.3-0.0+0.6
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.6-0.1-0.4
+3.9-0.8-2.5
-4.7+0.4+3.3
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3-0.2+0.4
-2.5-1.1+3.2
+4.2+0.7-4.7
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.1+0.2-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CSA vs Juventude+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.2-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.2
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Vitoria vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.2+0.1
Avai vs Figueirense+0.1-0.2+0.0
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.0-0.2+0.2
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.1-0.2+0.0
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.3+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
87-100YesYes100No233,079*
8624-4-299.6%Yes1000No563*
8524-3-399.9Yes1000No1,158*
8423-5-299.4Yes991No2,421*
8323-4-399.4Yes991No4,700*
8223-3-498.8Yes9910No9,153*
8122-5-398.2Yes9820No16,888*
8022-4-497.3Yes9730No30,355*
7922-3-596.2Yes9640No53,866*
7821-5-494.3Yes9460No92,272*
7721-4-591.7Yes9280No155,828*
7620-6-488.1Yes881200No257,344*
7520-5-583.6100.0%8416100No414,404*
7420-4-677.9100.07821100No652,351*
7319-6-571.0100.07126300No1,006,209*
7219-5-662.9100.06332500No1,513,989*
7119-4-753.8100.054388100No2,241,707*
7018-6-644.199.9444212100No3,246,163*
6918-5-734.399.83444183000No4,615,656*
6817-7-625.299.42544256100No6,419,911*
6717-6-717.198.4174031101000No8,768,787*
6617-5-810.796.3113436163000No11,754,519*
6516-7-76.092.1626372371000No15,449,785*
6416-6-83.084.83173430123000No19,941,843*
6316-5-91.373.611028342061000No25,257,729*
6215-7-80.558.805203327112000No31,398,949*
6115-6-90.142.1021228321961000No38,300,799*
6015-5-100.026.2016203227123000No45,905,240*
5914-7-90.013.700211263220710000No54,001,504*
5814-6-100.05.800151730281440000No62,372,026*
5713-8-90.01.900029233223920000No70,744,430*
5613-7-100.00.5000041428301751000No78,788,168*
5513-6-11No0.10001619312612300000No86,159,847*
5412-8-10No0.0000210243122820000No92,501,501*
5312-7-11No0.0000141528301751000No97,530,036*
5212-6-12No0.00001619302713300000.0%100,924,028*
5111-8-11No0.000002102331239200000.0102,559,152*
5011-7-12NoNo0000414273018610000.0102,259,823*
4911-6-13NoNo0001618302714410000.0100,085,231*
4810-8-12NoNo0000292231241020000.396,131,951*
4710-7-13NoNo0000313263019710001.390,567,587*
4610-6-14NoNo000151729281541004.683,708,404*
459-8-13NoNo0000292231241020012.175,862,513*
449-7-14NoNo000031327311961025.167,396,687*
439-6-15NoNo00016193128122042.458,707,098*
428-8-14NoNo00002112633216160.650,104,686*
418-7-15NoNo0001518333012276.441,872,408*
408-6-16NoNo000210273621487.634,270,088*
397-8-15NoNo00015203730894.327,453,842*
387-7-16NoNo000021233381497.721,497,049*
377-6-17NoNo001726432399.216,470,325*
366-8-16NoNo000319453399.712,325,313*
356-7-17NoNo000113424399.99,016,982*
346-6-18NoNo00183854100.06,421,380*
335-8-17NoNo00043264100.04,472,165*
325-7-18NoNo0022572100.03,028,657*
315-6-19NoNo0011980100.01,994,925*
304-8-18NoNo011485Yes1,282,789*
294-7-19NoNo001090Yes799,246*
284-6-20NoNo00793Yes480,974*
273-8-19NoNo0595Yes281,480*
263-7-20NoNo0397Yes159,266*
253-6-21NoNo0298Yes86,552*
242-8-20NoNo0199Yes45,457*
232-7-21NoNo199Yes22,884*
222-6-22NoNo0100Yes10,899*
212-5-23NoNo0100Yes5,114*
201-7-22NoNo0100Yes2,154*
191-6-23NoNo0100Yes903*
10-18NoNo100Yes233,128*
Total:0.7%8.0%1223456778887766543213.5%1,870,384,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship