How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2-0.1+0.3
-1.5-0.4+2.7
+4.1+0.5-6.7
-0.6-0.1+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.4
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7-0.1-0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.4
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.2
CRB vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.4
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-99YesYes100No1,865*
8123-3-496.3%Yes964No27*
8022-5-398.6Yes991No69*
7922-4-492.3Yes928No104*
7822-3-594.9Yes955No197*
7721-5-491.6Yes9280No368*
7621-4-586.7Yes87131No625*
7520-6-481.8Yes82171No1,110*
7420-5-577.4Yes772210No1,753*
7320-4-670.5Yes712720No2,873*
7219-6-563.7Yes643240No4,548*
7119-5-653.6100.0%5438800No7,177*
7019-4-743.999.944431210No10,516*
6918-6-634.299.834461820No15,535*
6818-5-726.099.6264524500No22,898*
6717-7-617.898.6184130910No32,771*
6617-6-711.496.911363515300No45,512*
6517-5-86.693.372837226100No62,833*
6416-7-73.386.4319362811200No84,266*
6316-6-81.475.51122933195100No111,380*
6216-5-90.661.016213326112000No145,105*
6115-7-80.243.803132832186100No184,198*
6015-6-90.027.5016203226123000No230,566*
5915-5-100.014.3003122631207100No283,177*
5814-7-90.05.90015173028154100No340,143*
5714-6-10No1.90029223124102000No404,359*
5613-8-9No0.50003132730197100No472,008*
5513-7-10No0.10016172928144100No537,046*
5413-6-11No0.00028223124103000No600,680*
5312-8-10No0.00003122630207100No662,730*
5212-7-11NoNo001516282916510000.0%715,619*
5112-6-12NoNo000172030261230000.0760,301*
5011-8-11NoNo000210243122820000.0790,951*
4911-7-12NoNo00141428301751000.1810,936*
4811-6-13NoNo00161930271330000.4812,602*
4710-8-12NoNo00021024312282001.8799,488*
4610-7-13NoNo00141428301751005.6774,143*
4510-6-14NoNo000172032261120013.6732,044*
449-8-13NoNo00031227322061026.6682,638*
439-7-14NoNo00016183228122043.2620,364*
429-6-15NoNo0002112634216160.8554,737*
418-8-14NoNo001519332911175.6486,602*
408-7-15NoNo000211293519486.7416,656*
398-6-16NoNo0016213728793.4351,268*
387-8-15NoNo0031435361297.1288,347*
377-7-16NoNo001929422098.9231,807*
367-6-17NoNo00522442999.6182,024*
356-8-16NoNo00216443999.9139,887*
346-7-17NoNo01104049100.0105,127*
336-6-18NoNo0063559100.076,971*
325-8-17NoNo0032967100.054,636*
315-7-18NoNo0022376100.038,124*
305-6-19NoNo011782Yes25,993*
294-8-18NoNo001287Yes17,045*
284-7-19NoNo0891Yes10,758*
274-6-20NoNo0694Yes6,718*
263-8-19NoNo0397Yes4,148*
253-7-20NoNo0298Yes2,411*
243-6-21NoNo199Yes1,292*
232-8-20NoNo199Yes738*
222-7-21NoNo199Yes390*
9-21NoNo100Yes2,156*
Total:0.3%4.5%0112334566788888765321.6%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship