How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.0
-0.3
+0.2
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.3-0.4-0.9
-6.2+0.8+4.7
+1.0-0.2-0.7
CRB vs Bragantino-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4*+0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8-0.1-0.5
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5-0.1+0.9
Figueirense vs CRB+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Guarani vs Londrina+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.4-0.1+0.8
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3-0.1+0.5
America-MG vs Guarani+0.3-0.4-0.2
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.2-0.4+0.1
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.1-0.4+0.1
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.1-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.7-0.2+1.7
+3.4-0.2-6.9
-0.5-0.0+1.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.3-0.4-0.9
-6.2+0.9+4.8
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Sport Recife vs Bragantino-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.8*-0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.1+1.0
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.5-0.1+1.0
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.1-0.5
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.1+0.8
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.9-0.1-0.5
CRB vs Parana-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.7
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Guarani vs Oeste-0.2-0.4+0.4
Sao Bento vs Figueirense+0.3-0.3-0.1
Vila Nova vs Vitoria+0.1-0.4+0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani+0.2-0.3*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8220-0-099.8%Yes1000No2,154
77-80YesYes100No10*
7618-0-287.5Yes8813No8*
7517-2-190.0Yes9010No30
7417-1-285.2Yes85132No61*
7316-3-180.1Yes80182No136*
7216-2-265.5Yes653050No307*
7116-1-359.5Yes59364No622*
7015-3-249.299.9%4942810No1,239*
6915-2-338.4100.038451510No2,374*
6814-4-227.799.828472130No4,157*
6714-3-317.899.4184530710No7,529*
6614-2-411.798.412383612200No12,751*
6513-4-36.495.16293921400No20,673*
6413-3-42.788.331937291020No33,543*
6312-5-31.077.4111313518400No51,953*
6212-4-40.361.30521352710200No76,560*
6112-3-50.142.302122933195100No112,851*
6011-5-40.024.701519322812300No158,243*
5911-4-50.011.7002102532228100No217,625*
5811-3-6No4.4004152930165100No290,354*
5710-5-5No1.2001721312611300No376,530*
5610-4-6No0.2002112531218100No476,658*
5510-3-7No0.00014152930164100No587,126*
549-5-6No0.0001720322611200No702,284*
539-4-7No0.00002102533217100No818,200*
529-3-8NoNo000415303115300No929,340*
518-5-7NoNo0017213426910000.0%1,024,669*
508-4-8NoNo0021128341951000.01,103,355*
497-6-7NoNo00041733291220000.01,151,110*
487-5-8NoNo001825342271000.11,169,246*
477-4-9NoNo00031531311540000.51,157,359*
466-6-8NoNo0017223425102001.91,111,567*
456-5-9NoNo0021228321951006.11,034,498*
446-4-10NoNo00151932281220014.9938,983*
435-6-9NoNo0021026332271029.2827,178*
425-5-10NoNo0004163231143047.3705,579*
415-4-11NoNo00182435237165.6584,921*
404-6-10NoNo000415333314280.6467,095*
394-5-11NoNo0018263823490.7359,668*
384-4-12NoNo003173833896.2269,102*
373-6-11NoNo0011032421598.7193,320*
363-5-12NoNo00524462599.6134,021*
353-4-13NoNo00216463699.988,280*
342-6-12NoNo0194248100.056,010*
332-5-13NoNo053659Yes34,238*
322-4-14NoNo032969Yes19,541*
312-3-15NoNo012078Yes10,859*
301-5-14NoNo01585Yes5,587*
291-4-15NoNo01090Yes2,605*
281-3-16NoNo892Yes1,212*
270-5-15NoNo595Yes470*
260-4-16NoNo199Yes159*
23-25NoNo100Yes56*
220-0-20NoNo0100Yes2,154
Total:0.1%1.7%0011223467910111098653115.6%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship