Gremio Esportivo Brasil Title ChancesDid not play, title odds down 0.07 to 0.4% 1 points 0-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 6/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Brasil de Pelotas 1 Vasco da Gama 2 | -0.5 | | -2.7 | | +6.3 | | -0.9 | | Guarani 1 Nautico 3 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Avai 1 Brusque 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | CRB 3 Confianca 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Vila Nova 1 CSA 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Cruzeiro 1 Goias 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Coritiba 1 Londrina 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Vitoria 0 Operario-PR 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Sampaio Correa 1 Ponte Preta 0 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | -1.3-0.5+2.0 | | +6.2+1.3-8.5 | | -0.7-0.2+1.0 | | Nautico vs Vila Nova | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | | | Londrina vs Botafogo | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.5-0.1-0.3 | | | | Goias vs CRB | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Operario-PR vs Sampaio Correa | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Vasco da Gama vs Avai | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | | | Remo vs Vitoria | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.2+0.3 | | | | CSA vs Guarani | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | | | | Ponte Preta vs Cruzeiro | | | | | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 6/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Serie A | 100.0* | Serie C | 100.0* | Average seed | Brusque vs Coritiba | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Serie A | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie C | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | -106 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,274,695 | * | 87 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 889 | * | 86 | | 27 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,921 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,778 | * | 84 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,314 | * | 83 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,911 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,964 | * | 81 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,665 | * | 80 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,518 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,366 | * | 78 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 96.4 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 247,020 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 94.9 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 413,634 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 92.8 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 680,999 | * | 75 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 89.9 | | Yes | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,102,554 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 86.3 | | Yes | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,748,374 | * | 73 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 81.7 | | 100.0 | % | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,728,636 | * | 72 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 75.9 | | 100.0 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,180,136 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 69.0 | | 100.0 | | 69 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,295,197 | * | 70 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 61.0 | | 100.0 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,319,082 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 52.1 | | 100.0 | | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,566,486 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 42.6 | | 99.9 | | 43 | 42 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,410,385 | * | 67 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 33.0 | | 99.7 | | 33 | 44 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,349,764 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 24.0 | | 99.1 | | 24 | 43 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,891,324 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 16.1 | | 97.8 | | 16 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,662,841 | * | 64 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 9.8 | | 94.9 | | 10 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,308,806 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 5.2 | | 89.3 | | 5 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,510,232 | * | 62 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 2.4 | | 79.8 | | 2 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 118,917,055 | * | 61 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.9 | | 65.7 | | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,094,399 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.3 | | 48.2 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 191,564,371 | * | 59 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 30.2 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 237,455,494 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 15.3 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 289,819,731 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 6.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 348,203,098 | * | 56 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 1.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 411,954,622 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 0.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 479,799,904 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 550,199,322 | * | 53 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 621,134,338 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 690,393,603 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 755,433,877 | * | 50 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 813,719,573 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 862,673,992 | * | 48 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | | 900,324,879 | * | 47 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | | 924,649,319 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18.3 | | 934,452,312 | * | 45 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 35.1 | | 929,289,917 | * | 44 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 54.5 | | 909,035,317 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 72.1 | | 874,821,839 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 85.1 | | 827,912,060 | * | 41 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 8 | 93.0 | | 770,446,364 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 37 | 15 | 97.1 | | 704,835,129 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 98.9 | | 633,801,156 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 99.6 | | 559,950,998 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 45 | 99.9 | | 486,030,891 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 100.0 | | 414,333,597 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 100.0 | | 346,722,729 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 100.0 | | 284,842,871 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 100.0 | | 229,504,729 | * | 32 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | | 181,350,522 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | | 140,471,858 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 106,598,786 | * | 29 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 79,226,267 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 57,608,744 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 40,978,545 | * | 26 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 28,488,101 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 19,340,211 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 12,810,744 | * | 23 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,277,608 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,205,419 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,184,242 | * | 20 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,893,691 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,091,291 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 609,798 | * | 17 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 329,670 | * | 16 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 170,795 | * | 15 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 86,096 | * | 14 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 41,214 | * | 13 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 18,898 | * | 12 | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,294 | * | 1 | -11 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,279,509 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.4 | % | 4.1 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40.8 | % | 18,284,405,280 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |