How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.4+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Brasil de Pelotas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
90-114YesYes100No418,364*
8928-5-5100.0%Yes1000No6,813*
8827-7-499.9Yes1000No12,038*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No21,030*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,597*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No58,839*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,817*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No155,597*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No244,916*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No380,525*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No581,080*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No870,794*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,283,523*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,863,560*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No2,666,564*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,752,288*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No5,198,673*
7322-7-991.9Yes92800No7,094,316*
7222-6-1088.4100.0%8811000No9,530,734*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No12,602,286*
7021-7-1077.8100.07820200No16,433,643*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No21,095,422*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No26,693,912*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,293,777*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No40,901,364*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No49,535,915*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,106,958*
6318-9-1112.295.21233341641000No69,530,605*
6218-8-126.389.262435249200000No80,623,849*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,143,499*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,807,692*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,269,981*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No126,176,976*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No136,137,783*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No144,768,307*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,759,782*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%156,765,013*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0159,605,778*
5214-10-14No0.000000141223282192000000.0160,162,247*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,348,370*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3154,292,154*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.7148,120,790*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1140,073,381*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.3130,480,940*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1119,687,490*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.1108,132,662*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,200,304*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029243524688.784,232,562*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,602,475*
4111-8-19NoNo000021029402098.261,594,206*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,373,792*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.842,183,373*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,044,618*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.027,019,300*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,075,916*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,146,944*
348-10-20NoNo00011386100.012,154,839*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes8,974,946*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,508,626*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,627,147*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes3,225,690*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,206,457*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,475,103*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes967,150*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes620,464*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes388,666*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes237,193*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes142,126*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes82,439*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,745*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,917*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes13,637*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,188*
0-17NoNo100Yes416,973*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship