How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova 0 Atletico-GO 0 -0.3
-2.3
+0.5
-0.3
Fortaleza 2 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Boa Esporte 0 Avai 2 -0.1
-0.6
-0.1
Paysandu 0 CSA 0 +0.1
+0.3
CRB 2 Ponte Preta 0 +0.3
+0.2
Oeste 2 Criciuma 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Ponte Preta vs CSA+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Avai vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Criciuma+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA vs Vila Nova-0.5-0.2+0.8
-4.2-1.0+6.9
+1.6+0.1-2.4
-0.7-0.1+1.1
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.5-0.3+0.5
-4.9-2.5+4.4
+2.6+0.7-2.1
-0.9-0.4+0.8
Fortaleza vs Oeste-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Fortaleza vs Coritiba-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Coritiba vs Figueirense+0.0+0.4-0.3
Juventude vs Goias-0.4+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
CRB vs Paysandu+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sao Bento vs Londrina-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Paysandu vs Ponte Preta-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Londrina vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Atletico-GO+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Boa Esporte vs Oeste+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Goias vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9727-0-0100.0%Yes1000No42,022
90-92YesYes100No14*
8924-1-296.6Yes973No29*
8823-3-198.7Yes991No75*
8723-2-2YesYes100No156*
8622-4-198.8Yes991No340*
8522-3-298.5Yes982No661*
8422-2-397.4Yes9730No1,448*
8321-4-297.3Yes973No2,802*
8221-3-395.3Yes955No5,441*
8120-5-293.6Yes9460No10,185*
8020-4-390.8Yes9190No18,458*
7920-3-487.3Yes87120No32,585*
7819-5-383.2Yes831600No54,375*
7719-4-478.5Yes792110No90,951*
7619-3-572.4Yes722610No147,808*
7518-5-465.6100.0%6632200No230,774*
7418-4-558.2100.05838400No356,497*
7317-6-450.0100.05043700No535,994*
7217-5-541.5100.0424710100No785,373*
7117-4-633.1100.0335015100No1,127,962*
7016-6-525.199.9255121300No1,576,550*
6916-5-618.099.61848285000No2,159,640*
6816-4-712.199.01243349100No2,893,669*
6715-6-67.597.67363915200No3,790,476*
6615-5-74.294.942841225000No4,871,650*
6514-7-62.189.9219392991000No6,126,503*
6414-6-70.981.91123435153000No7,534,075*
6314-5-80.470.20726372361000No9,088,570*
6213-7-70.155.503173530122000No10,733,897*
6113-6-80.039.4011028352061000No12,421,454*
6013-5-90.024.4005193428112000No14,075,543*
5912-7-80.012.80021128332061000No15,642,290*
5812-6-90.05.50015183228133000No17,024,472*
5712-5-10No1.90021025322281000No18,142,838*
5611-7-9No0.500041529291651000No18,962,272*
5511-6-10No0.100017213125113000No19,425,265*
5411-5-11No0.000031125312182000No19,469,453*
5310-7-10No0.0000141528291651000No19,134,032*
5210-6-11No0.00001719302613300000.0%18,409,270*
519-8-10NoNo000210233023920000.017,348,399*
509-7-11NoNo0001413263019710000.016,007,202*
499-6-12NoNo0001517292815510000.114,450,992*
488-8-11NoNo0000282030251230000.412,773,665*
478-7-12NoNo000311243122820001.811,047,609*
468-6-13NoNo000141528301751005.99,330,578*
457-8-12NoNo000171931271230015.07,715,652*
447-7-13NoNo00021025322271029.86,234,529*
437-6-14NoNo00014163130153048.44,917,402*
426-8-13NoNo000182334247166.73,789,662*
416-7-14NoNo000315323314281.32,846,996*
406-6-15NoNo00018253824590.92,084,305*
395-8-14NoNo0003173733996.11,489,116*
385-7-15NoNo0011032411698.61,034,368*
375-6-16NoNo000524462499.5698,344*
364-8-15NoNo00217463599.9458,883*
354-7-16NoNo01114345100.0292,378*
344-6-17NoNo0063756100.0180,514*
334-5-18NoNo0033166100.0108,043*
323-7-17NoNo022474Yes62,825*
313-6-18NoNo011881Yes34,835*
303-5-19NoNo001387Yes18,382*
292-7-18NoNo00991Yes9,721*
282-6-19NoNo0694Yes4,714*
272-5-20NoNo0496Yes2,209*
261-7-19NoNo397Yes992*
251-6-20NoNo199Yes429*
241-5-21NoNo298Yes157*
16-23NoNo100Yes42,110*
Total:1.0%16.0%135788988876554322105.1%337,910,880

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship