How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.3-0.1+0.4
-2.2-0.7+3.5
+3.6+0.5-5.2
-0.7-0.2+1.1
Parana vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6-0.1-0.3
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
CRB vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.2+0.3
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-100YesYes100No1,910*
8223-3-498.4%Yes982No61*
8122-5-396.6Yes973No146*
8022-4-496.6Yes973No208*
7922-3-593.1Yes937No418*
7821-5-493.9Yes946No657*
7721-4-588.1Yes88110No1,123*
7620-6-485.6Yes86141No1,893*
7520-5-581.0Yes811810No3,061*
7420-4-673.6Yes74242No4,874*
7319-6-566.9100.0%6729400No7,600*
7219-5-658.2100.05835600No11,025*
7119-4-749.3100.049401010No16,686*
7018-6-639.299.939441520No24,258*
6918-5-730.799.7314520400No34,588*
6817-7-621.899.1224327710No48,557*
6717-6-714.497.714383312200No66,167*
6617-5-88.794.993136195100No90,010*
6516-7-74.789.752337259100No117,923*
6416-6-82.280.72153231154000No151,786*
6316-5-90.968.21825342381000No193,049*
6215-7-80.352.104173129144100No241,226*
6115-6-90.135.30292432238200No295,609*
6015-5-100.020.40041629291651000No353,462*
5914-7-90.09.60018223124102000No416,883*
5814-6-10No3.70031327301961000No483,795*
5713-8-9No1.10016183027144100No551,896*
5613-7-10No0.2002923312392000No613,475*
5513-6-11No0.00004132730186100No672,640*
5412-8-10No0.000016182927144100No722,934*
5312-7-11No0.000029223124102000No767,643*
5212-6-12NoNo0003122630207100No793,867*
5111-8-11NoNo000151629281551000.0%808,800*
5011-7-12NoNo00282131251130000.0809,807*
4911-6-13NoNo000311253121810000.1793,605*
4810-8-12NoNo00151529291651000.8764,866*
4710-7-13NoNo000172031261130002.8721,078*
4610-6-14NoNo0031126312071008.1670,142*
459-8-13NoNo00151730291430018.2606,949*
449-7-14NoNo0002923322381033.1541,543*
439-6-15NoNo0014153031164050.6471,762*
428-8-14NoNo00182334258167.5402,992*
418-7-15NoNo000415323215280.9338,063*
408-6-16NoNo0018253723590.1278,178*
397-8-15NoNo0004183632995.4223,169*
387-7-16NoNo0021132391698.1174,694*
377-6-17NoNo001626432499.3134,649*
366-8-16NoNo00319443499.8100,815*
356-7-17NoNo00112424499.973,628*
346-6-18NoNo0183854100.052,598*
335-8-17NoNo0043164100.036,794*
325-7-18NoNo022572Yes24,975*
315-6-19NoNo011979Yes16,270*
304-8-18NoNo011485Yes10,766*
294-7-19NoNo01090Yes6,707*
284-6-20NoNo0793Yes4,094*
273-8-19NoNo0595Yes2,325*
263-7-20NoNo0397Yes1,320*
253-6-21NoNo298Yes725*
242-8-20NoNo199Yes400*
10-23NoNo100Yes2,216*
Total:0.6%7.0%1123455677888776653215.3%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship