How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa 1 Fortaleza 0 +1.3
+1.1
+0.1
Criciuma 3 Avai 2 +0.4
+1.8
+0.1
Atletico-GO 0 Juventude 1 +0.3
+2.4
+0.1
Goias 2 Atletico-GO 1 -0.1
-0.4
Figueirense 2 Sao Bento 2 +0.6
+0.0
Londrina 2 Figueirense 0 +0.5
Oeste 0 Ponte Preta 0 +0.2
Coritiba 0 Londrina 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova-3.9-1.2+5.9
-10.9-2.2+15.6
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Guarani vs CSA+0.8+0.5-1.0
-0.7+1.0+0.1
Goias vs Ponte Preta-0.8+0.4+0.9
-1.3+0.7+1.4
Avai vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.2
-1.6+1.2+2.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
CRB vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.3
Paysandu vs Criciuma+0.2+0.1-0.2
Sao Bento vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.1+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Oeste+0.1*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vila Nova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7611-0-099.7%Yes1000No6,122
7410-1-097.7Yes9820No16,265
7310-0-195.2Yes9550No23,336
729-2-091.6Yes9280No46,755
719-1-184.6Yes851510No129,272
709-0-276.5Yes772220No167,306*
698-2-165.1100.0%6531400No323,255
688-1-252.0100.05239910No530,136*
677-3-138.7100.039441520No477,593
8-0-338.2100.038441620No201,579
667-2-225.299.8254525500No1,049,638*
657-1-314.699.115403410100No890,320
6-4-115.399.31541341010No464,013
646-3-27.297.07314019300No1,266,211
7-0-47.597.17314019300No341,018*
636-2-32.991.431939308100No1,724,590
5-5-13.292.63204029710No309,809
626-1-40.980.4110313817300No1,168,667
5-4-20.980.9110323916300No1,064,946*
615-3-30.262.3041939298100No1,901,857
6-0-50.364.2042139278100No316,898
4-6-10.265.504214027710No143,457
605-2-40.040.70193037184000No1,930,726
4-5-20.042.60110323717300No583,698*
594-4-30.021.100318373011100No1,309,672
5-1-50.022.100318363010100No1,089,563*
584-3-40.07.900172537236100No1,770,399
5-0-60.09.600192736215100No234,980
3-6-2No9.00182737215100No213,758*
574-2-5No2.3002133134164000No1,432,260
3-5-3No2.200213323315300No584,855*
563-4-4No0.4004183429122000No971,467
4-1-6No0.5000520352811200No693,346*
553-3-5No0.000172334249100No1,045,272
2-6-3No0.000182435248100No158,556
4-0-7No0.100192634227100No124,247*
543-2-6No0.0002112733206100No701,357
2-5-4No0.0002112733206100No325,466*
532-4-5No0.00003132932175100No429,527
3-1-7NoNo004153130154000No292,986*
522-3-6NoNo001517312914300No486,756*
512-2-7NoNo001721332611200No315,312*
501-4-6NoNo002924342381000.0%181,733*
491-3-7NoNo0021228331951000.098,973*
481-2-8NoNo004163232143000.250,550*
471-1-9NoNo01620362710101.422,587*
460-3-8NoNo0192736216006.18,736*
450-2-9NoNo03143432143016.33,182
440-1-10NoNo051938288137.1819
430-0-11NoNo01103036193058.33,534
Total:6.3%46.4%61114161412975321100000000.0%27,627,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship