How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza 0 Atletico-GO 1 +0.1
-0.2
-0.1
CSA 1 Sampaio Correa 0 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
Sao Bento 0 Ponte Preta 2 -0.3
-0.1
Goias 2 Criciuma 1 -0.1
-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Juventude 1 -0.1
Boa Esporte 0 CRB 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Avai vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.3-0.1
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.1+0.3*-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Juventude+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina vs Oeste-0.5-0.3+0.6
-3.9-1.7+4.5
+2.3+0.3-2.3
-0.9-0.3+1.0
Oeste vs Paysandu+0.6-0.3-0.5
+4.1-2.1-4.1
-2.2+0.5+2.6
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Fortaleza vs Avai-0.1+0.1+0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
Atletico-GO vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
CSA vs Fortaleza*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2*+0.0
Figueirense vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Juventude-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Boa Esporte vs Ponte Preta+0.5+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Paysandu vs Guarani+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Coritiba vs Sao Bento-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Goias vs Coritiba+0.1+0.2-0.2
Sampaio Correa vs Goias+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Criciuma-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Londrina+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Juventude vs CRB+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Boa Esporte+0.2-0.2-0.3
Sao Bento vs Sampaio Correa+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oeste finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-90YesYes100No2,224*
8119-3-198.7%Yes991No79*
8019-2-2YesYes100No141*
7918-4-196.7Yes973No333*
7818-3-295.1Yes955No657*
7718-2-392.9Yes937No1,317*
7617-4-291.4Yes9180No2,308*
7517-3-386.9Yes87130No4,272*
7417-2-482.4Yes821710No7,047*
7316-4-374.4Yes742420No11,744*
7216-3-466.4100.0%6630300No18,792*
7115-5-357.1100.05736600No28,847*
7015-4-446.6100.047421110No44,521*
6915-3-536.199.9364517200No66,038*
6814-5-425.899.6264524500No93,798*
6714-4-516.998.617413110100No132,757*
6614-3-69.996.310343616300No180,038*
6513-5-55.291.452537247100No239,176*
6413-4-62.382.5215333114300No309,103*
6312-6-50.868.9182634227100No390,647*
6212-5-60.351.404163130154000No480,918*
6112-4-70.133.40182433239200No579,236*
6011-6-60.018.0003142930175100No682,309*
5911-5-70.07.8001720312612300No780,235*
5811-4-80.02.60002112531217100No874,629*
5710-6-7No0.60014162929164100No956,035*
5610-5-8No0.10017213126112000No1,021,147*
5510-4-9No0.000021125322171000No1,063,716*
549-6-8No0.00014152930164100No1,081,955*
539-5-9NoNo0017203226112000No1,073,386*
528-7-8NoNo000210253222710000.0%1,043,649*
518-6-9NoNo00041429301751000.0988,132*
508-5-10NoNo00162032271230000.0912,400*
497-7-9NoNo00021025322281000.1819,735*
487-6-10NoNo00041529301641000.6720,581*
477-5-11NoNo00017213226112002.3616,717*
466-7-10NoNo002112732206106.8513,129*
456-6-11NoNo00151732301330015.8417,830*
446-5-12NoNo0002925342361029.8328,744*
435-7-11NoNo0004163332132046.8252,822*
425-6-12NoNo00182637235064.1188,166*
415-5-13NoNo00418363210078.3136,260*
404-7-12NoNo0110314017188.695,622*
394-6-13NoNo005234327294.864,899*
384-5-14NoNo0002154238498.042,834*
373-7-13NoNo0193647799.327,221*
363-6-14NoNo00528541299.716,417*
353-5-15NoNo0221581999.99,974*
343-4-16NoNo01136026100.05,586*
332-6-15NoNo085735Yes2,888*
322-5-16NoNo054847Yes1,585*
312-4-17NoNo044353Yes815*
301-6-16NoNo13960Yes351*
291-5-17NoNo2575Yes148*
281-4-18NoNo1388Yes56*
271-3-19NoNo1684Yes31*
24-26NoNo100Yes9*
210-0-23NoNo199Yes2,154
Total:1.1%11.4%123567889998765421104.7%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship