How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Londrina vs Ponte Preta+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vila Nova vs Juventude-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-114YesYes100No414,471*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No3,809*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No6,990*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No11,913*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No20,833*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,656*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No59,071*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,710*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No155,325*
8225-7-699.8Yes10000No244,992*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No379,761*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No581,073*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No871,976*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,283,024*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,867,062*
7623-7-897.5Yes9730No2,670,945*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,753,848*
7422-8-894.4100.0%946000No5,203,852*
7322-7-991.8100.0928000No7,089,620*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No9,530,272*
7121-8-983.8100.08415100No12,600,221*
7021-7-1077.8100.07820200No16,433,607*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No21,098,077*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No26,694,882*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,282,272*
6619-9-1040.899.84142152000No40,897,013*
6519-8-1130.199.3304322510000No49,536,522*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,129,901*
6318-9-1112.295.312333416410000No69,521,740*
6218-8-126.389.262435249200000No80,618,571*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,143,937*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,799,807*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,271,100*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No126,146,491*
5716-9-130.09.10027192825134100000No136,121,248*
5616-8-140.02.50002921282312310000No144,764,929*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,747,448*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%156,780,219*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0159,627,051*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,163,862*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,383,360*
5014-8-16No0.00000014132428208200000.3154,302,426*
4913-10-15NoNo000001414252819720001.8148,116,052*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151527281761007.1140,065,795*
4713-8-17NoNo0000161828271441019.3130,465,255*
4612-10-16NoNo0000028213025112038.1119,682,717*
4512-9-17NoNo000003122531217159.2108,140,134*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,200,640*
4311-10-17NoNo0000029243524688.884,234,652*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,599,055*
4111-8-19NoNo00002929402098.261,593,419*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,381,862*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.842,190,543*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,047,310*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.027,021,789*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,067,222*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,145,878*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.012,150,992*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.08,977,350*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,508,598*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,624,039*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,228,255*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,206,846*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,475,563*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes967,578*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes619,517*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes388,834*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes236,827*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes141,831*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes82,721*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,682*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,721*
194-7-27NoNo0100Yes13,697*
0-18NoNo100Yes424,179*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship