How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional 3 Londrina 1 -0.4
-4.0
+1.6
-0.8
Londrina 4 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.2
+3.0
-3.5
+1.1
America-MG 1 Nautico 0 -0.1
-0.2
Vila Nova 1 Boa Esporte 0 -0.1
-0.3
Ceara 1 CRB 0 -0.3
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Guarani 0 +0.2
+0.2
Parana 1 ABC 0 -0.2
-0.1
Oeste 1 Paysandu 3 +0.2
+0.2
Figueirense 1 Goias 1 +0.1
-0.2
Nautico 2 Figueirense 0 -0.5
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Londrina-0.3-0.2+0.3
-4.2-2.1+4.7
+1.8+0.1-1.6
-1.0-0.3+1.0
Goias vs America-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Criciuma-0.1+0.1+0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Internacional+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Paysandu-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs ABC-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Nautico-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Vila Nova*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Boa Esporte vs Ceara+0.4+0.4-0.5
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Parana vs Juventude*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Guarani vs Santa Cruz-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Paysandu vs Parana+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Santa Cruz vs CRB+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
CRB vs Luverdense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Criciuma vs Oeste-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Boa Esporte+0.0+0.2-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goias-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8117-0-099.3%Yes991No2,877
7916-0-196.6Yes973No29
7816-1-095.7Yes964No46
7715-0-295.1Yes955No142
7615-1-189.2Yes89100No408
7514-0-388.7Yes89110No758*
7414-1-279.9Yes80191No1,977
7314-2-171.4Yes712620No4,007*
7213-1-363.2Yes633340No7,472*
7113-2-252.6Yes534070No15,129*
7013-3-142.1100.0%42451210No25,228*
6912-2-331.799.932471920No43,225*
6812-3-222.099.7224626500No72,243*
6711-2-413.899.11442341010No110,151*
6611-3-37.797.48344017200No168,059*
6511-4-23.993.84244125600No247,197*
6410-3-41.686.9215373312100No341,002*
6310-4-30.675.4182938204000No468,884*
6210-5-20.259.60419372910100No614,888*
619-4-40.041.101103036184000No775,721*
609-5-30.024.1004193628102000No958,053*
598-4-50.011.3001102834206100No1,141,261*
588-5-4No4.20041733291330000No1,305,525*
578-6-3No1.1001824332492000No1,463,155*
567-5-5No0.20031228311961000No1,581,902*
557-6-4No0.00015173029154100No1,651,452*
547-7-3No0.00017213125113000No1,678,205*
536-6-5NoNo0021024312292000No1,645,381*
526-7-4NoNo000313263019710000.0%1,562,377*
516-8-3NoNo00151629291651000.01,440,072*
505-7-5NoNo00017193127123000.01,278,296*
495-8-4NoNo0002923322391000.11,095,574*
485-9-3NoNo0031328321951000.6911,437*
474-8-5NoNo0015173230132002.4726,207*
464-9-4NoNo00182435247107.4558,617*
454-10-3NoNo00031432341520017.3415,009*
443-9-5NoNo001623382660032.4294,975*
433-10-4NoNo0002133436131050.5200,720*
423-11-3NoNo0162542234068.1131,507*
412-10-5NoNo0021640348182.281,587*
402-11-4NoNo018334215191.548,181*
392-12-3NoNo04234624396.327,153*
381-11-5NoNo01154334798.714,009*
371-12-4NoNo00838421299.56,795*
361-13-3NoNo0526482099.93,189*
351-14-2NoNo0219483299.91,313*
340-13-4NoNo1104644Yes483*
330-14-3NoNo103555Yes160*
320-15-2NoNo54649Yes41
310-16-1NoNo2971Yes7
300-17-0NoNo11782Yes2,874
Total:0.5%10.6%023578999987654321002.5%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship