How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR vs Londrina-4.0-2.0+3.8
-7.9-3.2+7.1
+0.4+0.0-0.3
-0.7-0.3+0.6
Parana vs Bragantino+1.1+0.7-1.3
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.7+0.5+0.6
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.7+0.4-0.8
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.6+0.5+0.4
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.6+0.5+0.4
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.3-0.4
CRB vs Guarani-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1*+0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Londrina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-106YesYes100No2,252*
9023-5-299.8%Yes1000No432*
8923-4-399.9Yes1000No724*
8823-3-499.9Yes1000No1,203*
8722-5-399.9Yes1000No2,059*
8622-4-499.6Yes1000No3,530*
8521-6-399.5Yes1000No5,464*
8421-5-499.2Yes9910No8,646*
8321-4-598.5Yes991No13,095*
8220-6-497.9Yes9820No19,612*
8120-5-596.9Yes9730No28,644*
8020-4-695.7Yes9640No40,439*
7919-6-593.9Yes9460No57,239*
7819-5-691.6Yes9280No77,729*
7718-7-588.8Yes891100No103,923*
7618-6-684.7Yes851500No136,543*
7518-5-780.1Yes801910No175,430*
7417-7-674.4Yes742420No221,185*
7317-6-767.5100.0%6829300No272,530*
7217-5-859.8100.06035500No331,096*
7116-7-751.1100.05140810No394,602*
7016-6-842.099.9424413100No460,060*
6915-8-733.099.8334618300No526,461*
6815-7-824.399.52446245000No590,832*
6715-6-916.898.71742319100No652,517*
6614-8-810.896.9113636153000No705,245*
6514-7-96.193.262838226100No750,409*
6414-6-103.186.73193629112000No781,298*
6313-8-91.476.41123033185100No801,358*
6213-7-100.562.116223426102000No806,129*
6113-6-110.145.3031329311751000No794,744*
6012-8-100.028.7017213226113000No770,240*
5912-7-110.015.2003122731197100No733,702*
5812-6-120.06.50016183027144100No683,973*
5711-8-11No2.2002923312392000No627,022*
5611-7-12No0.50004142730186100No563,782*
5510-9-11No0.100161829271441000No496,800*
5410-8-12No0.000029223023103000No430,225*
5310-7-13No0.000031225302072000No365,296*
529-9-12NoNo0015162828165100No303,062*
519-8-13NoNo00171930261341000.0%247,745*
509-7-14NoNo0002102330231020000.0198,447*
498-9-13NoNo00141326301971000.1155,884*
488-8-14NoNo00151729281541000.7119,349*
478-7-15NoNo0028213025113002.989,457*
467-9-14NoNo003122531207108.765,581*
457-8-15NoNo0151630291540019.547,007*
447-7-16NoNo002822322592035.733,566*
436-9-15NoNo003142932184054.023,082*
426-8-16NoNo0172134279171.015,275*
416-7-17NoNo00313303417383.510,279*
405-9-16NoNo018223825691.06,556*
395-8-17NoNo031535351296.64,122*
385-7-18NoNo02929411998.42,395*
374-9-17NoNo0523432999.51,429*
364-8-18NoNo0215424199.8832*
354-7-19NoNo1124147Yes477*
344-6-20NoNo63361Yes264*
333-8-19NoNo42373Yes136*
323-7-20NoNo21682Yes57*
313-6-21NoNo1189Yes27*
303-5-22NoNo1783Yes12*
292-7-21NoNo2080Yes10*
16-28NoNo100Yes1,839*
Total:14.4%54.5%14151311108754332111000000.5%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship