How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina 2 Figueirense 0 -0.4
-5.0
+0.3
-0.9
Figueirense 2 Sao Bento 2 -0.3
-3.1
-0.3
Sampaio Correa 1 Fortaleza 0 +0.2
+0.5
Criciuma 3 Avai 2 +0.8
Atletico-GO 0 Juventude 1 +1.0
+0.1
+0.1
Goias 2 Atletico-GO 1 -0.2
Coritiba 0 Londrina 1 +0.1
Oeste 0 Ponte Preta 0 +0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova+0.2+0.2-0.4
Goias vs Ponte Preta-0.4+0.2+0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs CSA-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Avai vs Sampaio Correa-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
CRB vs Coritiba+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Criciuma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Boa Esporte-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Oeste+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Figueirense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
6910-0-066.0%Yes663040No6,245
679-1-037.6100.0%38441620No16,422
669-0-126.899.8274524500No24,936
658-2-014.299.01440341110No44,597
648-1-17.796.78313919300No137,388
638-0-23.691.44213928810No102,882
7-3-02.690.231939319100No72,752
627-2-11.078.3110303718300No329,750
617-1-20.361.0042037299100No498,849
6-4-00.258.7031837301010No76,963
606-3-10.037.0018283721500No465,443
7-0-30.140.70110293619400No251,544
596-2-20.018.800316343213200No1,109,690*
586-1-30.07.600172436247100No1,062,301
5-4-10.06.200162236268100No421,388
575-3-2No1.7002102935194000No1,298,881*
6-0-4No2.100212313417400No399,121
565-2-3No0.3000417343112200No1,917,578
4-5-1No0.200315333214200No253,587
555-1-4No0.0001724362481000No1,444,189
4-4-2No0.000162136269100No965,301*
544-3-3No0.00001102834206100No1,922,768
5-0-5No0.0002123034185100No433,959
3-6-1No0.00019273521610No101,404
534-2-4No0.00003153231153000No2,169,033
3-5-2NoNo002143132164000No461,922*
524-1-5NoNo0016213426102000No1,303,209
3-4-3NoNo000519332812200No1,178,818*
513-3-4NoNo00182434248100No1,732,119
4-0-6NoNo00292634227100No324,723
2-6-2NoNo0172234259100No138,108*
503-2-5NoNo0021229331850000.0%1,564,925*
2-5-3NoNo00021027342161000.0414,586
492-4-4NoNo003153132153000.0779,093
3-1-6NoNo004173331132000.0802,345*
482-3-5NoNo001621352891000.1935,238
3-0-7NoNo01723362671000.1166,410*
1-6-3NoNo0015183530112000.183,253
472-2-6NoNo001928362050000.5696,841
1-5-4NoNo001825372361000.7187,822*
462-1-7NoNo0003153532132002.4297,799
1-4-5NoNo002133333153003.1285,278*
451-3-6NoNo0052236279109.8278,382
2-0-8NoNo0152337268109.073,633*
441-2-7NoNo0011029361940023.8210,880*
431-1-8NoNo004173531121044.0107,734*
420-3-7NoNo0172538235066.246,679*
410-2-8NoNo0215343513182.919,660
400-1-9NoNo016244124493.66,506
390-0-10NoNo02133937998.44,426
Total:0.2%5.9%01235810121212109753110000.8%27,627,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship