How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense 2 ABC 0 -10.0
+0.5
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.4
+0.0
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +1.8
-0.1
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 -0.4
+0.0
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 -0.3
+0.0
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.2
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Criciuma vs FigueirenseNoNo+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+8.2+1.4-14.1
-0.5-0.1+0.9
ABC vs Juventude+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Parana vs Nautico-0.2*-0.0+0.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+2.9-0.3-1.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.5*-0.0+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Londrina-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Boa Esporte vs Goias-1.5-0.3+2.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-1.3-0.4+2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+1.0-0.3-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense vs Parana+0.0NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-14.4+1.1+7.8
+0.9-0.1-0.5
Luverdense vs FigueirenseNoNo+0.0
+12.2+2.3-14.9
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-1.3*+0.0+3.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+3.1-0.1-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.9-0.1+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.5*-0.0-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Luverdense vs Ceara+2.6-0.2-1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3*+0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Goias-2.4-1.0+2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Nautico+1.8-1.2-1.9
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.8-0.2+1.2
CRB vs ABC+0.6-0.4-0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Londrina vs CRB-0.4-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.5*-0.0-0.4
Oeste vs Guarani-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.2-0.2*-0.0
Criciuma vs Londrina-0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Figueirense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
6713-0-08.3%99.5%8414281No2,639
6512-1-02.495.221260215No42
6412-0-1No83.293639161No101
6311-2-0No68.152637266No235
6211-1-1No53.72143833121No949
6111-0-2No32.40726372461No1,602*
6010-2-1No15.8021433341520No4,119
5910-1-2No5.5005223826810No9,040*
589-3-1No1.80211303617400No15,124*
579-2-2No0.400419362910200No31,419*
569-1-3No0.1018263622610No54,910*
558-3-2No0.000214323315300No87,849*
548-2-3No0.0001521342710200No151,601*
538-1-4NoNo0019263421710No227,297*
527-3-3NoNo003143032164000No329,216*
517-2-4NoNo001519332812200No486,595*
506-4-3NoNo001824332481000.0%647,641*
496-3-4NoNo0021228331951000.0841,300*
486-2-5NoNo0015173230133000.2746,598
5-5-3NoNo003153131153000.3336,083*
475-4-4NoNo001621352791001.4768,029
6-1-6NoNo00182335248101.1512,886*
465-3-5NoNo002112935194004.71,146,709
4-6-3NoNo00211283519404.8335,082*
455-2-6NoNo0004183530111011.91,065,127
4-5-4NoNo0003163432132014.3605,873*
444-4-5NoNo00172638235028.01,094,517
5-1-7NoNo00192837214024.9657,416*
434-3-6NoNo0003163634110045.11,354,114
3-6-4NoNo003153635110045.9435,473*
424-2-7NoNo00182942201062.51,080,759
3-5-5NoNo00162743231066.4694,078*
413-4-6NoNo0021743352080.51,034,221
4-1-8NoNo0031943332078.1599,099*
403-3-7NoNo001937485090.01,097,357
2-6-5NoNo01937485090.3362,131*
393-2-8NoNo00429579095.5761,231
2-5-6NoNo003266010096.4489,094*
382-4-7NoNo001176417098.7621,913
3-1-9NoNo02196316098.3367,857*
372-3-8NoNo00106325199.6755,778*
362-2-9NoNo0055835299.9549,394*
351-4-8NoNo0250445100.0361,654*
341-3-9NoNo0140528100.0224,048*
331-2-10NoNo0305713Yes130,779*
320-4-9NoNo0215920Yes66,851*
310-3-10NoNo145828Yes30,078*
300-2-11NoNo95338Yes12,400
290-1-12NoNo54945Yes3,853
280-0-13NoNo34057Yes3,199
Total:0.0%0.0%00000001123579121518216145.5%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship