How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.9
-0.7
-0.1
Juventude 0 Boa Esporte 0 +0.2
+1.1
+0.0
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.1
-1.5
-0.1
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 +0.5
+0.0
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 -0.4
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 +0.2
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Parana vs Nautico+2.1-2.2-3.4
+7.9-7.3-13.6
+0.4-0.4-0.7
Internacional vs America-MG-0.3+1.1-0.4
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.2+0.1+0.2
-2.1+1.2+2.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.2+0.1-0.2
+2.3+1.2-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Juventude+0.2+0.1-0.1
+2.7+1.5-1.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Oeste vs Londrina-0.7+0.5+0.5
Criciuma vs Figueirense-0.8+0.5+0.8
Boa Esporte vs Goias-0.2+0.1+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-0.1+0.1+0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Parana vs Internacional+5.1-1.1-3.8
+12.7-2.5-9.7
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Figueirense vs Parana-3.1-1.9+2.8
-11.8-5.5+9.6
-0.6-0.3+0.5
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+1.5+0.7-1.0
+0.8+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-1.0+0.8+1.5
-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Oeste-1.1+0.6+1.4
+0.2+0.4-0.6
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.2
-2.1+1.2+2.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.2+0.1-0.2
+2.1+1.0-2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.2+0.1+0.2
-2.1+1.2+2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Vila Nova*+0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.4+1.6-0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Luverdense vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+2.3+1.2-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Guarani-0.8+0.5+0.7
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.6+0.5-0.9
Criciuma vs Londrina-0.7+0.6+0.5
Londrina vs CRB-0.2+0.2+0.1
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.2+0.1-0.2
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.2+0.1+0.1
CRB vs ABC-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8213-0-099.9%Yes1000No3,070
8012-1-099.4Yes991No3,215
7912-0-198.0Yes982No4,454
7811-2-097.0Yes973No10,526
7711-1-193.7Yes9460No28,889
7610-3-089.3Yes89100No40,947*
7510-2-183.0Yes831610No88,018
7410-1-273.9Yes742520No148,292*
739-3-163.4Yes633330No214,707*
729-2-252.1100.0%5241700No356,230*
719-1-339.4100.039471310No493,953*
708-3-227.8100.028502120No658,612*
698-2-317.999.8184830400No902,981*
687-4-210.299.4104140910No591,077
8-1-410.199.5104140810No497,826*
677-3-35.198.25314616200No1,305,016*
667-2-42.295.42214725400No1,063,343
6-5-22.294.72204626500No457,882*
656-4-30.888.4112413510100No1,013,176
7-1-50.889.5112423410100No621,986*
646-3-40.278.406324118300No1,353,261
5-6-20.277.405314119300No374,369*
636-2-50.164.4022141287100No1,082,917
5-5-30.061.2021940308100No681,868*
625-4-40.044.50110333716200No1,107,298
6-1-60.046.30111343715200No576,828*
615-3-50.028.50052439256100No1,175,171
4-6-30.026.30042239277100No395,378*
605-2-6No15.30213353513200No806,041*
4-5-4No13.301123336152000No599,885
594-4-5No5.80052338257100No796,568
5-1-7No6.20062438246100No387,620*
584-3-6No2.0002133434153000No703,288
3-6-4No1.602123335163000No270,662*
574-2-7No0.500623372581000No396,405
3-5-5No0.400521372791000No364,184*
563-4-6No0.1002113035184000No560,833*
553-3-7No0.0000418342912200No398,886*
543-2-8No0.000182535237100No269,737*
532-4-7NoNo002133032175100No170,385*
522-3-8NoNo001518322913300No102,662*
512-2-9NoNo018233325920No58,329*
501-4-8NoNo0021126332061000.0%30,577*
491-3-9NoNo03153031164000.014,819*
481-2-10NoNo01620322811200.16,719*
470-4-9NoNo292634227100.72,541*
460-3-10NoNo314303315505.2953*
450-2-11NoNo0816342911212.9280
440-1-12NoNo210224717219.058
430-0-13NoNo0215353413047.42,638
Total:6.4%57.4%6131919151174211000000000.0%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship