How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs Bragantino+2.0-0.4-1.4
+7.2-1.4-5.0
-1.8+0.1+1.4
+1.0-0.2-0.7
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Guarani-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Cuiaba*+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
86-103YesYes100No2,122*
8523-3-499.2%Yes991No254*
8422-5-3YesYes100No418*
8322-4-499.1Yes991No758*
8222-3-598.5Yes982No1,299*
8121-5-497.1Yes973No2,157*
8021-4-595.7Yes964No3,524*
7920-6-494.8Yes9550No5,366*
7820-5-591.6Yes9280No8,383*
7720-4-689.5Yes89100No12,829*
7619-6-584.4Yes841510No19,098*
7519-5-679.7Yes801910No27,503*
7418-7-573.2Yes732520No39,442*
7318-6-666.1100.0%6630400No54,526*
7218-5-757.9100.05836600No74,571*
7117-7-648.1100.0484110100No99,195*
7017-6-738.799.9394415200No130,797*
6917-5-829.699.7304521400No168,160*
6816-7-721.199.12143287100No210,965*
6716-6-813.897.714383312200No262,494*
6616-5-98.394.88313719510No316,618*
6515-7-84.489.642337269100No377,867*
6415-6-92.180.62143232154000No443,294*
6314-8-80.867.91825342381000No510,641*
6214-7-90.351.904173130144000No574,912*
6114-6-100.135.20192432238200No635,774*
6013-8-90.020.4004163029164100No692,297*
5913-7-100.09.80018223224102000No738,962*
5813-6-110.03.70003132730186100No775,524*
5712-8-10No1.10016193027133000No797,784*
5612-7-11No0.200021024312292000No808,498*
5512-6-12No0.00014142830176100No801,424*
5411-8-11No0.00016193027133000No778,771*
5311-7-12NoNo002923312392000No745,765*
5211-6-13NoNo0004132630196100No698,521*
5110-8-12NoNo00161729271541000.0%643,102*
5010-7-13NoNo00282130241130000.0580,620*
4910-6-14NoNo00031225302071000.1513,663*
489-8-13NoNo00151629281651000.8446,377*
479-7-14NoNo0028213125113002.9380,408*
469-6-15NoNo00031226312071008.3315,998*
458-8-14NoNo00151730291540018.9259,112*
448-7-15NoNo002923322491034.0206,962*
437-9-14NoNo0014142931164051.9162,010*
427-8-15NoNo00182234269168.9124,054*
417-7-16NoNo00314313316382.393,311*
407-6-17NoNo0018243725691.268,296*
396-8-16NoNo0041736331196.148,828*
386-7-17NoNo0021031401798.334,097*
376-6-18NoNo01524442699.423,286*
365-8-17NoNo00318433799.815,377*
355-7-18NoNo01114146100.010,061*
345-6-19NoNo063757Yes6,370*
334-8-18NoNo043066Yes3,870*
324-7-19NoNo22276Yes2,237*
314-6-20NoNo011881Yes1,389*
303-8-19NoNo01287Yes767*
293-7-20NoNo991Yes413*
283-6-21NoNo0792Yes216*
272-8-20NoNo397Yes94*
262-7-21NoNo496Yes56*
13-25NoNo100Yes1,873*
Total:3.2%21.9%356788888766543321104.2%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship