How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense 1 Operario-PR 0 -0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas 1 CSA 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Parana vs Oeste+0.2-0.2-0.3
+3.8-3.8-6.3
-0.7+0.5+1.5
+0.6-0.5-1.0
Sampaio Correa vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Juventude+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.2-0.0-0.1
CRB vs Ponte Preta+0.5+0.4-0.8
Guarani vs Avai+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Vitoria+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Parana-0.3-0.2+0.4
-5.0-2.1+6.0
+1.0+0.0-1.0
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Chapecoense+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Cuiaba vs CRB-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Avai vs America-MG+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.4-0.4
Juventude vs Guarani-0.8+0.5+0.9
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Figueirense-0.8+0.5+0.9
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Oeste vs Sampaio Correa+0.5+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CSA vs Nautico-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Botafogo-SP-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vitoria vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8821-0-099.9%Yes1000No50,304
8620-1-0YesYes100No27
8520-0-196.2Yes964No26
8419-2-099.3Yes991No152
8319-1-197.3Yes973No442
8218-3-096.9Yes973No914*
8118-2-194.3Yes9460No2,665
8018-1-291.9Yes9280No5,401*
7917-3-187.7Yes88120No11,273*
7817-2-282.5Yes831700No24,331*
7716-4-176.3Yes762310No45,062*
7616-3-268.8Yes692920No84,537*
7516-2-360.4Yes603540No154,082*
7415-4-251.3100.0%5141700No261,346*
7315-3-342.0100.042461110No439,964*
7215-2-432.4100.032491710No707,195*
7114-4-323.999.9245023300No1,093,151*
7014-3-416.599.8174731600No1,661,975*
6913-5-310.699.411413710100No2,427,289*
6813-4-46.398.66344216100No3,436,183*
6713-3-53.496.73264423300No4,752,501*
6612-5-41.693.021742327000No6,358,352*
6512-4-50.786.8111373912100No8,276,521*
6412-3-60.277.3062843193000No10,509,155*
6311-5-50.164.6032042287100No12,926,414*
6211-4-60.049.401123735132000No15,521,739*
6110-6-50.034.100628392151000No18,141,827*
6010-5-60.020.5003183730112000No20,615,948*
5910-4-70.010.60011029351951000No22,843,003*
589-6-6No4.50041934281120000No24,662,018*
579-5-7No1.60021027332061000No25,888,298*
569-4-8No0.400041732291430000No26,512,390*
558-6-7No0.1001924322392000No26,429,481*
548-5-8No0.000031328311861000No25,625,099*
538-4-9No0.000161831271330000No24,219,890*
527-6-8No0.00002923312410200000.0%22,274,095*
517-5-9NoNo000312263120710000.019,917,223*
507-4-10NoNo0001516292916510000.017,332,959*
496-6-9NoNo000171931261230000.014,650,946*
486-5-10NoNo00002923312392000.212,033,306*
476-4-11NoNo000031327311961000.99,601,387*
465-6-10NoNo00015173129143003.67,423,172*
455-5-11NoNo0002823332491010.25,564,444*
445-4-12NoNo00031329331840022.34,044,711*
434-6-11NoNo0016203428101039.22,842,509*
424-5-12NoNo0002112936193058.01,925,966*
414-4-13NoNo00152038307074.31,261,872*
403-6-12NoNo00212343913086.4796,747*
393-5-13NoNo016264522093.6481,094*
383-4-14NoNo002184732197.4280,058*
372-6-13NoNo01104344299.1154,935*
362-5-14NoNo0063654499.782,142*
352-4-15NoNo022863799.941,173*
341-6-14NoNo1206712Yes19,519*
331-5-15NoNo0137016Yes8,847*
321-4-16NoNo096823Yes3,605*
311-3-17NoNo056629Yes1,436*
300-5-16NoNo35641Yes485*
290-4-17NoNo24454Yes154*
280-3-18NoNo3961Yes28*
270-2-19NoNo3367Yes9
260-1-20NoNo100Yes1
250-0-21NoNo01684Yes50,302
Total:0.5%16.5%1259111111109865432211001.7%404,482,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship