How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.4-0.2+0.5
-3.7-1.3+5.3
+1.4+0.1-1.8
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Parana vs Criciuma+0.4-0.2-0.4
+3.7-2.2-4.0
-1.7+0.4+2.2
+0.8-0.4-0.9
CRB vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.3-0.3
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.4-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs CRB+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Guarani vs Londrina+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
America-MG vs Guarani+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sao Bento vs America-MG+0.1-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Vila Nova+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Parana-0.4-0.2+0.6
-3.7-1.3+5.4
+1.4+0.1-1.8
-0.8-0.2+1.0
Parana vs Vila Nova+0.4-0.2-0.4
+3.8-2.1-3.9
-1.7+0.4+2.2
+0.8-0.4-0.9
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sport Recife vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.2
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+0.1+0.0-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1+0.0
*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Oeste vs Sport Recife+0.5+0.3-0.5
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.1*-0.0+0.3
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.3-0.4
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Londrina vs CRB-0.0+0.3-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Guarani vs Oeste-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Figueirense+0.1-0.1-0.0
Vila Nova vs Vitoria+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Parana finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-87YesYes100No2,176*
8118-3-094.1%Yes946No17*
8018-2-197.0Yes973No67
7918-1-297.0Yes973No132*
7817-3-196.0Yes964No303*
7717-2-293.2Yes937No666*
7616-4-189.8Yes90100No1,196*
7516-3-285.6Yes86140No2,266*
7416-2-378.6Yes792010No4,261*
7315-4-271.3Yes712720No7,407*
7215-3-362.4Yes623440No12,646*
7115-2-452.7100.0%5340700No20,616*
7014-4-341.9100.042451210No32,318*
6914-3-431.899.932471820No50,524*
6813-5-321.999.6224626500No75,630*
6713-4-413.698.814413410100No109,618*
6613-3-57.896.58333917300No154,050*
6512-5-43.891.842339267100No210,348*
6412-4-51.682.9214353314300No280,521*
6312-3-60.669.3172636237100No364,620*
6211-5-50.251.703163331143000No458,109*
6111-4-60.033.50182434238100No562,183*
6011-3-70.018.2003153031164100No671,354*
5910-5-60.08.00017213225102000No781,773*
5810-4-70.02.80003122732206100No888,394*
579-6-6No0.70015173129143000No980,091*
569-5-7No0.1002923322492000No1,056,555*
559-4-8No0.00003132832185100No1,106,669*
548-6-7No0.000016193228122000No1,130,968*
538-5-8No0.0000292534227100No1,127,420*
528-4-9NoNo003143132153000No1,093,297*
517-6-8NoNo00162134269200No1,032,515*
507-5-9NoNo0021128331951000.0%947,925*
497-4-10NoNo00041733291330000.0846,022*
486-6-9NoNo0018243323810000.1736,622*
476-5-10NoNo00314293117510000.7622,148*
466-4-11NoNo0016203227122002.7509,733*
455-6-10NoNo0021025322271008.4405,688*
445-5-11NoNo0041630301540019.3314,157*
435-4-12NoNo001822332591035.8234,615*
424-6-11NoNo0003132933184055.3170,154*
414-5-12NoNo001620352810173.4118,546*
404-4-13NoNo00211303618386.480,478*
393-6-12NoNo015213829694.352,662*
383-5-13NoNo021335391298.032,637*
373-4-14NoNo01628452199.419,639*
362-6-13NoNo00319483199.911,653*
352-5-14NoNo01124542100.06,305*
342-4-15NoNo064054Yes3,334*
331-6-14NoNo023166Yes1,701*
321-5-15NoNo22475Yes770*
311-4-16NoNo02179Yes299*
301-3-17NoNo1288Yes131*
291-2-18NoNo892Yes59*
27-28NoNo100Yes18*
240-0-21NoNo0100Yes2,154
Total:0.7%10.3%123567891010108754321003.3%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship