How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.2
+0.8
+0.1
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.2
-0.6
-0.1
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 +0.1
+0.3
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.1
+0.5
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
+0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Operario-PR+1.7-0.7-1.4
+7.3-2.3-6.5
-1.2+0.2+1.2
+0.9-0.2-0.8
CSA vs Juventude-1.4-0.8+1.5
-6.3-2.9+6.2
+1.4+0.2-1.2
-0.8-0.3+0.8
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.4+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.4+0.4-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.4-0.2
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.5-0.2
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.6+0.3-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.4-0.5
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CSA-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Figueirense*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Avai-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-100YesYes100No238,803*
8723-2-399.8%Yes1000No6,961*
8622-4-299.9Yes1000No13,468*
8522-3-399.7Yes1000No25,994*
8421-5-299.5Yes1000No48,077*
8321-4-399.2Yes991No86,556*
8221-3-498.7Yes9910No152,453*
8120-5-398.1Yes9820No258,690*
8020-4-497.1Yes9730No430,760*
7920-3-595.6Yes9640No696,110*
7819-5-493.5Yes94600No1,098,142*
7719-4-590.7Yes91900No1,694,063*
7618-6-487.1100.0%8712000No2,540,254*
7518-5-582.2100.08217100No3,731,634*
7418-4-676.3100.07622200No5,364,064*
7317-6-569.1100.069283000No7,536,303*
7217-5-660.9100.061335000No10,355,850*
7117-4-751.8100.052399100No13,945,693*
7016-6-642.299.9424314200No18,357,831*
6916-5-732.799.83344193000No23,686,271*
6815-7-623.899.32443266100No29,933,251*
6715-6-716.198.3164032112000No37,074,134*
6615-5-810.096.21033361730000No45,004,697*
6514-7-75.692.0625372471000No53,542,354*
6414-6-82.884.83173530132000No62,446,168*
6314-5-91.274.011028342061000No71,382,790*
6213-7-80.459.6052034271120000No80,037,270*
6113-6-90.143.2021229321851000No87,982,452*
6013-5-100.027.4016213326112000No94,826,050*
5912-7-90.014.700212283219610000No100,228,708*
5812-6-100.06.500161932271230000No103,883,771*
5711-8-90.02.200021025322171000No105,573,118*
5611-7-100.00.6000141630291541000No105,187,015*
5511-6-11No0.1000182231251120000No102,749,447*
5410-8-10No0.0000031226312071000No98,382,174*
5310-7-11No0.000015162928154100000.0%92,364,318*
5210-6-12No0.00001821312511300000.084,921,709*
519-8-11NoNo000311253021820000.076,509,169*
509-7-12NoNo00014152829176100000.067,554,714*
499-6-13NoNo000161930261341000.058,386,828*
488-8-12NoNo00002922302310200000.349,425,431*
478-7-13NoNo0000313263019710001.440,921,612*
468-6-14NoNo000151729281541004.933,164,928*
457-8-13NoNo0000282131251020012.926,284,323*
447-7-14NoNo000031226312061026.720,356,727*
437-6-15NoNo00016183128133044.715,413,531*
426-8-14NoNo0002102533227163.311,391,020*
416-7-15NoNo001416323114278.78,221,418*
406-6-16NoNo00029263623589.25,780,948*
395-8-15NoNo0004183632995.23,960,651*
385-7-16NoNo00021131401698.22,646,970*
375-6-17NoNo001625442599.41,718,880*
364-8-16NoNo00317443699.81,084,637*
354-7-17NoNo00111414699.9664,378*
344-6-18NoNo0073657100.0392,732*
333-8-17NoNo0042967100.0226,622*
323-7-18NoNo022375Yes125,374*
313-6-19NoNo0011782100.067,242*
303-5-20NoNo001287Yes34,386*
292-7-19NoNo0991Yes17,270*
282-6-20NoNo0694Yes8,237*
272-5-21NoNo0496Yes3,705*
261-7-20NoNo298Yes1,577*
251-6-21NoNo298Yes617*
241-5-22NoNo199Yes254*
231-4-23NoNo199Yes97*
20-22NoNo100Yes31*
160-0-28NoNo0100Yes232,608
Total:3.8%26.3%468999988765432211002.6%1,870,384,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship