How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude 0 Boa Esporte 0 -1.5
-4.8
-0.3
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.5
-0.7
-0.0
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.1
-1.6
-0.1
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 +0.5
+0.0
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 -0.5
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 +0.2
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
ABC vs Juventude-1.7-1.2+1.2
-13.1-7.2+8.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.8-0.4+0.5
Internacional vs America-MG-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Parana vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.2
-1.7+1.6+2.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.1+0.1+0.1
-2.2+1.2+2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+2.3+1.1-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Criciuma vs Figueirense-0.8+0.5+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Londrina-0.6+0.5+0.5
Boa Esporte vs Goias-0.2+0.1+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude-1.5-0.9+1.7
-10.9-4.5+11.1
-0.7-0.2+0.6
Juventude vs Paysandu+1.5-1.0-1.6
+9.8-5.7-11.8
+0.6-0.3-0.7
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.5+0.4+0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+0.7+0.3-0.5
+0.9+0.3-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.0
America-MG vs Oeste-0.5+0.3+0.6
*-0.0+0.5-0.4
Parana vs Internacional+0.4+0.4-0.6
-2.0+0.7+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Figueirense vs Parana+0.2+0.1-0.2
+2.6+1.2-2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-2.1+1.2+2.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Vila Nova+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.3+1.5-0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Luverdense vs Ceara+0.1+0.1-0.1
+2.4+1.1-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.6+0.5-0.9
Oeste vs Guarani-0.7+0.5+0.6
Criciuma vs Londrina-0.7+0.6+0.5
Londrina vs CRB-0.2+0.2+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.2+0.2+0.1
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.2+0.2-0.2
CRB vs ABC-0.1+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8013-0-099.0%Yes991No3,258
7812-1-094.3Yes9460No4,319
7712-0-190.3Yes90100No5,539
7611-2-084.9Yes85150No13,772
7511-1-177.2Yes772210No36,736
7410-3-067.9Yes683020No51,597*
7310-2-156.3Yes563850No108,063
7210-1-245.0100.0%45451000No178,337*
719-3-132.8100.033491710No256,681*
709-2-222.299.9224926300No416,384*
699-1-313.699.6144435700No565,269*
688-3-27.298.7735431310No747,064*
678-2-33.496.63254622300No999,270*
667-4-21.291.31154233810No670,107*
8-1-41.592.511644317000No517,163
657-3-30.482.908354015200No1,393,638*
647-2-40.170.704254224500No1,100,656
6-5-20.168.703234226500No495,950*
636-4-30.051.90113383611100No1,057,998
7-1-50.055.60115393410100No624,808*
626-3-40.035.2007284121300No1,364,952
5-6-20.036.1007294120300No383,346*
616-2-50.021.40031839308100No1,053,227
5-5-3No19.1021739329100No694,058*
605-4-4No9.0018313918300No1,088,084
6-1-6No10.70110323816300No548,898*
595-3-5No3.70032039288100No1,196,488*
4-6-3No3.3031939299100No302,671*
585-2-6No1.200110323617300No714,145
4-5-4No0.9019313718400No602,822*
574-4-5No0.200319372910200No738,119
5-1-7No0.20042137289100No351,597*
564-3-6No0.00192835205100No627,482
3-6-4No0.00192836205100No249,549*
554-2-7No0.000317333013300No360,733*
3-5-5No0.0003163331143000No311,486
543-4-6NoNo0172334259200No485,859*
533-3-7NoNo002112733206100No340,058*
523-2-8NoNo00415313115400No224,119*
512-4-7NoNo01620322812200No138,598*
502-3-8NoNo001824332481000.0%82,609*
492-2-9NoNo002122833205100.045,217*
481-4-8NoNo003153231153000.323,186*
471-3-9NoNo01620332810201.811,196*
461-2-10NoNo0192635236106.64,866*
450-4-9NoNo03143334133015.61,870*
440-3-10NoNo052435306035.9657*
430-2-11NoNo11432391452.5183
420-1-12NoNo33253333369.436
410-0-13NoNo011239426087.02,640
Total:2.8%41.5%38141718151074211000000000.0%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship