How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude 5 Parana 0 +1.0
+9.3
-0.1
+0.7
Sampaio Correa 1 Chapecoense 3 -0.5
+1.2
+0.0
Operario-PR 0 America-MG 1 -0.1
-1.4
Cuiaba 0 CSA 1 +0.1
+1.4
Vitoria 0 Ponte Preta 0 +0.6
+0.0
CRB 2 Nautico 1 -0.4
Avai 1 Confianca 0 -0.3
Oeste 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
America-MG vs Juventude-1.2-0.4+1.9
-9.4-1.7+13.0
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro-0.7+0.4+1.1
Figueirense vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.1
+2.3+1.1-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Confianca vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+1.8+1.0-1.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Avai+1.2+0.6-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.8+0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs CRB+0.7+0.4-0.8
CSA vs Operario-PR-0.6+0.4+0.4
Parana vs Guarani-0.1+0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude-1.3-0.8+0.9
-11.9-6.0+8.0
-0.7-0.3+0.5
Juventude vs Nautico+0.9-0.8-1.3
+7.9-6.1-12.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Guarani vs Chapecoense+1.1+0.4-0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba-0.7+0.4+0.9
+1.4+0.3-2.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.1+0.6+1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oeste vs America-MG+0.3+0.2-0.1
+1.8+0.9-0.8
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Sampaio Correa vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.7+1.0+2.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+1.1-1.1
Cuiaba vs Avai-0.1+0.0+0.1
-1.2+1.2+0.7
CSA vs Ponte Preta+0.2+0.8-0.7
Avai vs Oeste-0.7+0.8+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs CRB+0.7+0.4-0.8
CRB vs CSA-0.2+0.6-0.2
Cruzeiro vs Confianca+0.1+0.1-0.2
Operario-PR vs Parana-0.0+0.2-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Operario-PR+0.1+0.1-0.2
Parana vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
Nautico vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.2+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8516-0-099.0%Yes991No1,802,832
8315-1-096.6Yes9730No254,283
8215-0-193.6Yes9460No345,026
8114-2-091.4Yes9190No1,050,544
8014-1-186.2Yes86140No2,845,168
7913-3-081.0Yes811900No4,616,484*
7813-2-174.3Yes742600No10,932,405
7713-1-266.0Yes663400No19,535,226*
7612-3-157.8Yes584110No32,533,126*
7512-2-248.3100.0%4849200No58,601,729*
7412-1-339.0100.03957400No89,169,548*
7311-3-230.2100.03062800No135,885,728*
7211-2-321.9100.0226513100No203,212,277*
7110-4-215.1100.0156419100No276,670,551*
7010-3-39.799.91060273000No375,916,304*
6910-2-45.699.7653356000No489,434,828*
689-4-33.099.23434211100No601,448,849*
679-3-41.497.91334617200No729,226,032*
669-2-50.695.112346265000No845,154,827*
658-4-40.289.901441349100No939,106,539*
648-3-50.181.0083340172000No1,021,005,847*
637-5-40.067.50423412660000No566,639,770
8-2-60.069.1042441255000No496,634,749*
627-4-50.052.201143734122000No1,067,939,727*
617-3-60.035.200728392150000No1,044,293,852*
606-5-50.019.5003173731112000No556,898,304
7-2-70.021.2003183730102000No422,896,669*
596-4-60.09.5001928362051000No888,105,875*
586-3-7No3.50031735301220000No780,831,522*
575-5-6No1.0001826352271000No658,785,749*
565-4-7No0.200031531311640000No536,589,656*
555-3-8No0.0000162133261020000No422,472,910*
544-5-7No0.0000210263321710000No318,727,139*
534-4-8No0.0000041530311641000No231,436,504*
524-3-9No0.000016193227123000No161,790,961*
513-5-8NoNo00029243323810000.0%107,941,903*
503-4-9NoNo000031328321851000.068,943,535*
493-3-10NoNo000151832291330000.042,136,506*
482-5-9NoNo0001823342481000.024,386,144*
472-4-10NoNo00031230341840000.213,386,164*
462-3-11NoNo0015193529101001.16,963,198*
451-5-10NoNo000192837203003.73,379,403*
441-4-11NoNo00031837329109.61,529,136*
431-3-12NoNo00193040183020.3640,996*
421-2-13NoNo0031942296035.5243,779*
410-4-12NoNo0110363813153.082,043*
400-3-13NoNo0042742233068.824,325*
390-2-14NoNo021741337081.45,849
380-1-15NoNo09334315090.41,014
370-0-16NoNo004254724096.11,774,065
Total:2.4%52.3%21418181511853211000000000.0%14,264,229,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship