How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude vs Sampaio Correa+1.9-0.7-1.6
+5.3-1.8-4.7
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Coritiba vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Vila Nova-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Criciuma vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Paysandu vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Londrina vs Ponte Preta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs Juventude-1.5-0.6+2.1
-4.3-1.5+5.7
+4.5+0.9-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Figueirense vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Criciuma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Guarani-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs CSA-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CRB vs Sao Bento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Figueirense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Juventude finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
91-114YesYes100No414,566*
9028-6-4100.0%Yes1000No3,818*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No6,882*
8828-4-6100.0Yes1000No12,395*
8727-6-599.9Yes1000No21,040*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No35,742*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No58,754*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No96,906*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No154,980*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No244,763*
8125-6-799.7Yes10000No380,664*
8024-8-699.6Yes10000No581,053*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No868,404*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No1,283,241*
7723-8-798.3Yes9820No1,865,053*
7623-7-897.5Yes97300No2,667,822*
7523-6-996.2Yes96400No3,752,480*
7422-8-894.4Yes94600No5,196,373*
7322-7-991.9100.0%928000No7,093,623*
7222-6-1088.4100.08811000No9,518,801*
7121-8-983.8100.084151000No12,603,434*
7021-7-1077.8100.078202000No16,426,978*
6920-9-970.4100.070263000No21,101,701*
6820-8-1061.6100.062326000No26,699,755*
6720-7-1151.699.95238101000No33,303,165*
6619-9-1040.899.841421520000No40,910,401*
6519-8-1130.199.330432251000No49,527,857*
6419-7-1220.398.12040281020000No59,098,336*
6318-9-1112.295.212333416410000No69,541,035*
6218-8-126.489.26243524920000No80,634,046*
6118-7-132.878.2315303016510000No92,147,929*
6017-9-121.061.71822312411300000No103,810,088*
5917-8-130.241.603122630197200000No115,279,174*
5816-10-120.022.5015162827165100000No126,179,607*
5716-9-130.09.1002719282513410000No136,132,651*
5616-8-140.02.500029212823123100000No144,753,945*
5515-10-130.00.4000031022282210310000No151,748,660*
5415-9-14No0.00001311232821103000000.0%156,767,764*
5315-8-15No0.00000131123282193000000.0159,606,015*
5214-10-14No0.00000141223282192000000.0160,159,023*
5114-9-15No0.0000014122428209200000.0158,380,796*
5014-8-16NoNo000014132428208200000.3154,303,698*
4913-10-15NoNo00001414252819720001.7148,101,648*
4813-9-16NoNo00000151527281761007.1140,062,706*
4713-8-17NoNo00000161828271441019.3130,453,462*
4612-10-16NoNo000028213025112038.1119,683,774*
4512-9-17NoNo00003122531217159.2108,145,575*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.996,200,852*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524688.784,232,591*
4211-9-18NoNo000141634331295.272,618,671*
4111-8-19NoNo0002929402098.261,573,541*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.451,393,459*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.842,183,354*
3810-8-20NoNo000193753100.034,047,164*
379-10-19NoNo00053164100.027,023,613*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.021,071,413*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.016,141,805*
348-10-20NoNo0011386100.012,149,962*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.08,972,833*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes6,507,397*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes4,625,148*
307-9-22NoNo00397Yes3,227,806*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes2,205,326*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,476,134*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes966,383*
266-8-24NoNo00100Yes619,522*
255-10-23NoNo00100Yes387,862*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes237,061*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes142,124*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes82,737*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes46,867*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes25,527*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes13,700*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes7,063*
0-17NoNo100Yes416,942*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%3,298,417,440

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship