How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude 2 Parana 1 -0.2
-0.3
ABC 1 Vila Nova 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Boa Esporte 1 Oeste 1 +0.1
+0.3
*-0.1
Criciuma 1 America-MG 3 -0.1
-0.3
Paysandu 1 Internacional 0 -0.1
-0.1
Londrina 3 Luverdense 1 -0.1
Goias 1 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.2
Nautico 0 Ceara 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Oeste vs CRB-3.4-1.3+4.0
-6.7-2.2+7.8
+1.6+0.3-1.7
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Internacional vs Juventude+0.2+0.3-0.4
+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
America-MG vs Paysandu+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.0+0.4-0.2
Figueirense vs Boa Esporte-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Guarani+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.3
Santa Cruz vs ABC-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2+0.4-0.0
Ceara vs Londrina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Parana vs Goias-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Luverdense vs Criciuma-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 6/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Brasil de Pelotas+3.5-1.7-3.6
+6.8-3.0-7.3
-1.6+0.5+1.9
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Juventude vs Criciuma-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Goias vs Santa Cruz+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
ABC vs Paysandu+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.0+0.4-0.2
Guarani vs Boa Esporte-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Internacional-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.1
America-MG vs Ceara-0.1+0.2*+0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.0
Luverdense vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Nautico vs Oeste+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Londrina vs Parana-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
96-112YesYes100No134,094*
9528-3-499.8%Yes1000No655*
9428-4-399.9Yes1000No1,226*
9327-3-5YesYes100No2,414*
9227-4-4100.0Yes1000No4,450*
9126-3-6100.0Yes1000No8,152*
9026-4-5100.0Yes1000No13,974*
8926-5-4100.0Yes1000No24,111*
8825-4-6100.0Yes1000No40,771*
8725-5-599.9Yes1000No66,788*
8625-6-499.9Yes1000No109,269*
8524-5-699.9Yes1000No171,322*
8424-6-599.8Yes1000No266,763*
8323-5-799.8Yes1000No403,113*
8223-6-699.6Yes10000No601,141*
8123-7-599.4Yes9910No881,318*
8022-6-799.2Yes9910No1,267,620*
7922-7-698.7Yes9910No1,787,041*
7821-6-898.0Yes9820No2,481,928*
7721-7-797.0Yes9730No3,377,221*
7621-8-695.6Yes96400No4,528,429*
7520-7-893.7Yes94600No5,962,676*
7420-8-791.0Yes91900No7,723,118*
7320-9-687.4100.0%8712000No9,831,703*
7219-8-882.7100.08316100No12,318,462*
7119-9-776.7100.07721200No15,189,607*
7019-10-669.5100.069273000No18,420,352*
6918-9-860.9100.061336000No21,986,583*
6818-10-751.399.95138101000No25,827,435*
6717-9-941.199.84142152000No29,854,611*
6617-10-830.999.531432151000No33,960,809*
6517-11-721.598.522412891000No38,031,371*
6416-10-913.696.31435331530000No41,942,373*
6316-11-87.691.68273522710000No45,521,724*
6216-12-73.783.141833281330000No48,629,510*
6115-11-91.569.6110263221820000No51,145,447*
6015-12-80.551.9051730281541000No52,931,491*
5915-13-70.132.80292230231030000No53,944,964*
5814-12-90.016.700313262919720000No54,142,454*
5714-13-80.06.5001516282716510000No53,449,916*
5614-14-70.01.80002719282513410000No51,935,795*
5513-13-9No0.30002921292311310000No49,680,869*
5413-14-8No0.00000311232922103000000.0%46,766,541*
5312-13-10No0.0000014122429208200000.043,323,924*
5212-14-9No0.0000014142528197200000.039,473,584*
5112-15-8No0.0000015152628176100000.035,384,396*
5011-14-10NoNo00001617272716510000.131,191,623*
4911-15-9NoNo00002718282614410000.727,071,115*
4811-16-8NoNo0000292129241130003.323,083,488*
4710-15-10NoNo0000311243021920010.519,347,174*
4610-16-9NoNo000141427291861024.115,943,601*
4510-17-8NoNo00017193027133042.612,909,489*
449-16-10NoNo00002102532227162.010,266,098*
439-17-9NoNo0001516313014278.08,022,978*
429-18-8NoNo00029253523688.96,154,476*
418-17-10NoNo00141735321195.04,638,099*
408-18-9NoNo00021030391898.03,423,332*
398-19-8NoNo0001623432799.32,478,931*
387-18-10NoNo000316433899.81,762,573*
377-19-9NoNo000111394999.91,226,385*
367-20-8NoNo00063459100.0836,495*
356-19-10NoNo00042868100.0557,724*
346-20-9NoNo0022276100.0365,185*
336-21-8NoNo011782Yes233,705*
325-20-10NoNo001288Yes144,615*
315-21-9NoNo00891Yes88,662*
305-22-8NoNo0694Yes52,525*
295-23-7NoNo0496Yes30,543*
284-22-9NoNo397Yes17,148*
274-23-8NoNo0298Yes9,383*
264-24-7NoNo199Yes4,970*
253-23-9NoNo199Yes2,558*
243-24-8NoNo0100Yes1,265*
233-25-7NoNo0100Yes626*
7-22NoNo100Yes133,959*
Total:13.2%42.0%131110887665544332221114.3%1,073,550,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship