How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO 1 CRB 0 -0.1
-0.7
+4.1
-0.7
CRB 3 Paysandu 0 +0.5
-6.3
+0.7
Botafogo 0 Criciúma 0 +0.1
Paraná 2 Náutico 0 +0.1
+0.6
-0.1
Vitória 0 Macaé 0 +0.1
Santa Cruz 3 Bahia 1 +0.1
+0.2
Oeste 1 Sampaio Corrêa 0 +0.1
+0.3
-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa 3 ABC 2 -0.3
+0.0
Mogi Mirim 2 Bragantino 3 -0.6
Luverdense 1 Oeste 1 -0.3
América-MG 2 Boa Esporte 0 -0.5
+0.0
Criciúma 0 Santa Cruz 0 -0.1
Bragantino 2 Atlético-GO 1 -0.1
ABC 0 Ceará 1 -0.3
+0.1
Boa Esporte 2 Luverdense 1 +0.3
Ceará 2 Mogi Mirim 3 +0.8
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paraná vs CRB-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+1.0
+4.1-0.8-9.1
-0.5+0.0+1.2
CRB vs Náutico+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.6-0.3-0.5
-6.8+2.0+6.4
+0.8-0.3-0.7
Botafogo vs Luverdense-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+1.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Botafogo+0.1*-0.0-0.1
América-MG vs Paraná-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceará vs Vitória+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Paysandu vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
ABC vs Bahia+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+1.0-0.3-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Luverdense vs Paysandu+0.0+0.0-0.1
+1.0-0.3-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bahia vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.1+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Sampaio Corrêa+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.8-0.2-0.6
Bragantino vs Ceará-0.2*-0.0+0.9
Macaé vs Atlético-GO-0.3*-0.0+1.1
Oeste vs Santa Cruz+0.1-0.1-0.2
Boa Esporte vs Criciúma+0.9-0.5-0.8
Criciúma vs Oeste+0.1-0.1-0.1
Mogi Mirim vs ABC+0.2-0.6+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
76-87YesYes100No2,160*
7518-2-391.7%Yes928No12*
7418-3-295.8Yes964No24*
7317-2-487.5Yes8813No56*
7217-3-379.3Yes79192No116*
7116-2-580.4Yes80173No240*
7016-3-464.7Yes653040No515*
6916-4-351.6Yes5237101No975*
6815-3-538.299.8%38451420No1,803*
6715-4-427.099.5274523500No3,332*
6614-3-617.598.31740301020No5,808*
6514-4-59.894.510323418510No9,762*
6414-5-44.888.5522362610200No16,295*
6313-4-62.076.5213303218510No26,125*
6213-5-50.759.91621322611200No41,017*
6113-6-40.240.002112631207100No62,229*
6012-5-60.022.2015172928154100No91,589*
5912-6-50.09.5002822312511200No130,561*
5812-7-40.03.30003122531207100No182,573*
5711-6-6No0.70015162929164100No247,946*
5611-7-5No0.10001720312611300No327,674*
5510-6-7No0.0002102532228100No421,229*
5410-7-6No0.00004142931175100No528,956*
5310-8-5NoNo001619322712200No643,357*
529-7-7NoNo0002102533227100No763,315*
519-8-6NoNo00041530311540000.0%878,946*
509-9-5NoNo0001721342691000.0985,089*
498-8-7NoNo0021229341950000.01,078,276*
488-9-6NoNo0015193429112000.11,143,990*
478-10-5NoNo002102735215100.61,178,685*
467-9-7NoNo0004173430122002.21,181,892*
457-10-6NoNo001927362151006.01,150,682*
447-11-5NoNo00041734311220013.81,087,973*
436-10-7NoNo001927362150026.2997,442*
426-11-6NoNo004183530111042.2886,917*
416-12-5NoNo001102936194059.3763,227*
405-11-7NoNo0052137288174.4638,689*
395-12-6NoNo00212333615285.8516,019*
385-13-5NoNo0016254024593.1401,516*
374-12-7NoNo003173833997.1303,239*
364-13-6NoNo0011033401598.9219,561*
354-14-5NoNo00526452499.7153,094*
343-13-7NoNo00218463499.9103,203*
333-14-6NoNo01124245100.066,176*
323-15-5NoNo0063756100.040,878*
312-14-7NoNo042967Yes23,980*
302-15-6NoNo022376Yes13,398*
292-16-5NoNo11683Yes7,140*
281-15-7NoNo01090Yes3,546*
271-16-6NoNo0694Yes1,584*
261-17-5NoNo595Yes722*
251-18-4NoNo298Yes313*
240-17-6NoNo199Yes107*
230-18-5NoNo397Yes39*
18-22NoNo100Yes2,168*
Total:0.0%0.9%00001123457911121211964220.5%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship