How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO 0 Brasil de Pelotas 0 +0.1
+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
CRB vs Bragantino+2.0-0.4-1.3
+8.9-1.5-5.8
-0.6-0.0+0.4
+1.0-0.1-0.7
Figueirense vs CRB-1.1-0.6+1.2
-6.6-2.8+6.9
+0.7+0.1-0.6
-0.8-0.3+0.8
Coritiba vs Vitoria-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.4+0.9
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.5-0.4
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GO-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte Preta+0.5+0.3-0.6
Guarani vs Londrina+0.6+0.3-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Parana-0.3+0.4+0.1
Londrina vs Sao Bento-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Parana vs Criciuma-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vitoria vs Operario-PR+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Operario-PR vs Figueirense-0.3+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina vs CRB-1.1-0.5+1.4
-6.6-2.1+8.2
+0.5+0.0-0.6
-0.8-0.2+0.9
CRB vs Parana+1.3-0.6-1.1
+7.3-2.7-6.9
-0.6+0.1+0.6
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Sport Recife vs Bragantino+0.2+0.2-0.3
-0.6+0.3+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.3
*-0.0+0.4-0.2
Coritiba vs Atletico-GO-0.2+0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.4-0.3
Oeste vs Sport Recife+0.1+0.1-0.1
+1.0+0.4-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Atletico-GO vs Sao Bento-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.8+0.5+1.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Criciuma-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.5-0.6
Criciuma vs Ponte Preta+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vitoria vs Botafogo-SP+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs America-MG-0.5+0.4+0.6
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Londrina+0.4+0.3-0.5
America-MG vs Operario-PR+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Parana vs Vila Nova-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sao Bento vs Figueirense+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-89YesYes100No2,225*
8218-2-199.1%Yes991No112
8118-1-299.2Yes991No240*
8017-3-199.4Yes991No499*
7917-2-298.3Yes982No1,060*
7816-4-197.0Yes9730No1,923*
7716-3-295.3Yes955No3,622*
7616-2-392.2Yes9280No6,642*
7515-4-289.3Yes89100No11,299*
7415-3-383.4Yes831610No18,484*
7315-2-477.2Yes772110No30,048*
7214-4-368.7Yes692930No46,169*
7114-3-459.0100.0%5935500No70,503*
7013-5-348.4100.04842910No102,717*
6913-4-437.599.9384615200No145,922*
6813-3-526.899.8274723400No200,907*
6712-5-417.899.3184430710No268,204*
6612-4-510.697.911373714200No349,758*
6512-3-65.594.55274022500No442,746*
6411-5-52.487.9218373010200No544,236*
6311-4-60.976.81103036184000No652,834*
6210-6-50.361.105213627102000No765,118*
6110-5-60.143.002122933185100No870,265*
6010-4-70.025.901520332711200No967,276*
599-6-60.012.9002112733206100No1,045,739*
589-5-7No5.2015173129143000No1,098,927*
579-4-8No1.6001924332381000No1,127,547*
568-6-7No0.40003142931175100No1,127,467*
558-5-8No0.1001620322712200No1,095,969*
548-4-9No0.0002102533217100No1,041,501*
537-6-8No0.00004153031154000No959,910*
527-5-9NoNo001721332610200No861,859*
517-4-10NoNo0002112733206100No753,075*
506-6-9NoNo00041732301430000.0%639,933*
496-5-10NoNo001723342492000.0528,706*
486-4-11NoNo00021229321851000.0423,995*
475-6-10NoNo0015183228133000.4330,948*
465-5-11NoNo002924332382001.7249,622*
455-4-12NoNo003142831175105.7181,860*
444-6-11NoNo0161932271220014.7128,875*
434-5-12NoNo0021026332271029.388,056*
424-4-13NoNo014163131143048.658,782*
413-6-12NoNo0182435247167.037,355*
403-5-13NoNo00314323414282.422,851*
393-4-14NoNo017243824591.813,001*
382-6-13NoNo03163636996.97,457*
372-5-14NoNo1931431799.13,968*
362-4-15NoNo0421472899.82,066*
351-6-14NoNo0116463699.9974*
341-5-15NoNo194149Yes453*
331-4-16NoNo32968Yes195*
321-3-17NoNo2971Yes77*
311-2-18NoNo1585Yes20*
300-4-17NoNo1783Yes6*
290-3-18NoNo100Yes3
260-0-21NoNo298Yes2,154
Total:2.5%22.8%2579101010109865422110000.9%17,336,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship