How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.1
+1.2
+0.1
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-1.1-0.5+1.5
-7.1-2.1+8.8
+0.3+0.0-0.3
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Nautico vs Brusque-0.4+0.3+0.5
+0.2+0.3-0.6
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.4-0.4
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.9+0.6+1.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Avai vs Remo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.8+0.6+0.8
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.6-0.6
CSA vs Vitoria-0.2+0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs CSA+0.1+0.1-0.2
Confianca vs Botafogo+0.1+0.1-0.1
Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Ponte Preta+1.1-0.7-1.3
+6.2-4.0-7.8
-0.3+0.1+0.5
+0.6-0.3-0.8
Coritiba vs Nautico+0.1+0.3-0.3
-0.4+0.2+0.3
Brusque vs Coritiba+0.2+0.1-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.1
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.9+0.6+1.0
Vitoria vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.1
+1.0+0.5-0.9
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.6+0.5+0.4
Brusque vs Confianca-0.7+0.4+0.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.7+0.3-0.7
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.4+0.3-0.5
Remo vs CSA*-0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
9625-0-0100.0%Yes1000No178,467
89-94YesYes100No1,497*
8822-1-299.8Yes1000No2,070*
8721-3-199.6Yes1000No4,710*
8621-2-299.3Yes991No10,531*
8520-4-198.9Yes991No20,376*
8420-3-298.2Yes9820No41,270*
8320-2-397.2Yes9730No78,082*
8219-4-295.7Yes9640No140,617*
8119-3-393.9Yes9460No253,159*
8018-5-291.2Yes9190No431,162*
7918-4-387.7Yes881200No713,789*
7818-3-483.4Yes831600No1,157,128*
7717-5-378.1Yes782110No1,805,325*
7617-4-471.8100.0%7227200No2,752,115*
7517-3-564.5100.06532300No4,090,345*
7416-5-456.4100.05638500No5,898,852*
7316-4-547.8100.04844800No8,313,365*
7215-6-439.0100.0394812100No11,420,750*
7115-5-530.499.9305018200No15,295,425*
7015-4-622.499.82249253000No20,031,726*
6914-6-515.599.51646316000No25,601,675*
6814-5-610.098.8104038111000No31,948,488*
6714-4-75.997.063242173000No39,007,250*
6613-6-63.193.6324422561000No46,520,568*
6513-5-71.587.51163832112000No54,237,573*
6413-4-80.678.0193137184000No61,878,693*
6312-6-70.264.90523372681000No69,007,549*
6212-5-80.149.4021433321530000No75,274,839*
6111-7-70.033.501825352371000No80,349,754*
6011-6-80.019.90031632301430000No83,846,296*
5911-5-90.010.0001925332381000No85,609,090*
5810-7-80.04.200041631301540000No85,526,524*
5710-6-90.01.40001823332492000No83,554,874*
5610-5-10No0.400031429311751000No79,826,558*
559-7-9No0.100017213226112000No74,576,370*
549-6-10No0.0000021127322061000No68,116,349*
539-5-11No0.000015173129143000No60,828,804*
528-7-10No0.00002924332381000No53,087,179*
518-6-11No0.00000314293117510000.0%45,271,338*
508-5-12NoNo0001620322711200000.037,691,488*
497-7-11NoNo000211263221710000.030,651,037*
487-6-12NoNo0001416313015400000.024,302,668*
477-5-13NoNo00018223324920000.218,802,800*
466-7-12NoNo0000313283118610000.914,190,840*
456-6-13NoNo00161831281330003.410,426,601*
446-5-14NoNo00021025322281009.47,458,408*
435-7-13NoNo00041530301641020.85,196,365*
425-6-14NoNo00017223325102037.03,515,000*
415-5-15NoNo0003132832185055.72,311,344*
404-7-14NoNo0001620332810172.71,471,985*
394-6-15NoNo00212293419485.5909,125*
384-5-16NoNo0016213628893.3542,370*
373-7-15NoNo00021333371497.3312,685*
363-6-16NoNo001726422399.1174,184*
353-5-17NoNo00319443499.793,123*
342-7-16NoNo00112414699.947,399*
332-6-17NoNo0073557100.023,140*
322-5-18NoNo042869Yes10,992*
312-4-19NoNo022177Yes4,782*
301-6-18NoNo11684Yes2,037*
291-5-19NoNo0990Yes856*
281-4-20NoNo595Yes275*
271-3-21NoNo397Yes102*
24-26NoNo100Yes36*
210-0-25NoNo0100Yes178,466
Total:2.9%31.1%37101111111098653221100000.6%1,435,028,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship