How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB 1 Guarani 1 -0.9
-2.3
+0.1
-0.2
America-MG 4 Figueirense 2 -0.4
-0.7
-0.1
Oeste 3 Juventude 0 +0.4
+0.5
+0.1
Ceara 0 Goias 1 +0.1
+0.5
+0.1
Londrina 0 Nautico 0 +0.1
+0.5
+0.0
Santa Cruz 1 Boa Esporte 1 +0.1
+0.3
Criciuma 2 ABC 1 -0.4
Vila Nova 2 Internacional 1 -0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 2 Paysandu 1 +0.2
Luverdense 1 Parana 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Goias vs CRB-2.1-1.1+2.4
-7.6-3.1+8.2
+1.0+0.1-0.9
-0.9-0.3+1.0
Juventude vs America-MG+0.2+0.4-0.4
-0.4+0.4+0.1
Guarani vs Londrina-0.4+0.3+0.3
-0.3+0.5+0.1
Figueirense vs Vila Nova+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Internacional vs Oeste-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.5*-0.0
Nautico vs Criciuma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Parana vs Santa Cruz+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.4
Boa Esporte vs Luverdense-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Paysandu vs Ceara+0.1+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
ABC vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2+0.1-0.2
*-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana vs CRB-2.1-1.0+2.5
-7.5-2.9+8.5
+1.0+0.1-0.9
-0.9-0.3+1.0
America-MG vs Londrina-0.5+0.3+0.5
-0.2+0.4*-0.0
Luverdense vs Guarani+0.5+0.2-0.4
+0.8+0.4-0.7
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.9+0.4-0.8
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs Nautico-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.6+0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Internacional vs Goias-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.4+0.4
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Oeste vs ABC-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Ceara vs Criciuma*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs Boa Esporte*+0.0+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
83-91YesYes100No2,786*
8218-1-399.7%Yes1000No345*
8118-2-299.4Yes991No702*
8017-1-499.3Yes991No1,300*
7917-2-399.1Yes991No2,510*
7817-3-298.8Yes991No4,673*
7716-2-498.0Yes9820No8,061*
7616-3-396.4Yes9640No13,566*
7516-4-294.4Yes9450No22,578*
7415-3-491.1Yes9190No35,077*
7315-4-387.2Yes87120No54,742*
7214-3-581.7Yes821710No80,811*
7114-4-474.4100.0%7424200No117,419*
7014-5-365.8100.06630400No165,155*
6913-4-555.7100.056377000No225,279*
6813-5-444.8100.0454212100No300,051*
6713-6-333.699.8344518300No390,027*
6612-5-523.499.4234426610No491,190*
6512-6-414.598.115393312200No605,966*
6411-5-68.095.083137194000No727,427*
6311-6-53.788.44213728102000No849,893*
6211-7-41.576.811230331851000No970,576*
6110-6-60.459.805203427112000No1,081,211*
6010-7-50.139.70211273220710000No1,170,715*
5910-8-40.021.50041730291541000No1,240,147*
589-7-60.09.000182131251130000No1,280,590*
579-8-50.02.700021125302182000No1,290,754*
569-9-4No0.600141427291861000No1,265,622*
558-8-6No0.100151628281651000No1,210,803*
548-9-5No0.00017192926134100No1,132,087*
538-10-4No0.000028213024113000No1,030,373*
527-9-6NoNo000210233023920000.0%912,181*
517-10-5NoNo00031225302081000.0786,639*
506-9-7NoNo00141527291751000.0661,866*
496-10-6NoNo0016183028143000.3541,671*
486-11-5NoNo000282232249101.6430,839*
475-10-7NoNo0003122833195005.2332,333*
465-11-6NoNo0015183329112013.1248,228*
455-12-5NoNo00292736214025.8180,977*
444-11-7NoNo0004173632101042.2128,041*
434-12-6NoNo00193039182059.487,338*
424-13-5NoNo00042141284074.057,490*
414-14-4NoNo021438388084.736,553*
403-13-6NoNo017324514092.122,700*
393-14-5NoNo03245022196.413,305*
383-15-4NoNo01165030298.57,544*
372-14-6NoNo00104540499.53,991*
362-15-5NoNo064047799.82,050*
352-16-4NoNo0433511299.81,093*
341-15-6NoNo1226017Yes447*
331-16-5NoNo185726Yes203*
321-17-4NoNo115138Yes72*
310-16-6NoNo46036Yes25*
300-17-5NoNo4456Yes16*
290-18-4NoNo3367Yes6
280-19-3NoNo5050Yes2
250-22-0NoNo01585Yes2,514
Total:5.4%30.8%589999877655432210001.7%20,230,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship