How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste 1 America-MG 1 +0.1
Sampaio Correa 0 Brasil de Pelotas 1 +0.4
+0.1
-0.1
Cuiaba 2 Avai 1 -0.2
Cruzeiro 1 Confianca 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
CRB vs CSA+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.8-1.0-2.2
-0.6+0.0+0.6
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Vitoria vs CRB-0.0-0.0+0.1
-2.1-1.2+2.4
+0.8-0.0-0.7
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Guarani vs Chapecoense-0.1+0.0+0.1
Chapecoense vs Cuiaba+0.3+0.0-0.5
America-MG vs Cruzeiro-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Juventude+0.4+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Ponte Preta vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.2-0.2
Juventude vs Nautico-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.3
CSA vs Ponte Preta+0.0+0.2-0.1
Avai vs Oeste-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Confianca vs Figueirense-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nautico vs Guarani+0.2-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Parana vs Vitoria-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Correa vs CRB-0.0-0.0+0.1
-2.1-0.7+3.6
+0.5-0.1-0.6
-0.7-0.1+1.1
CRB vs Cruzeiro+0.1-0.0-0.0
+2.6-1.1-2.1
-0.6+0.0+0.7
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Avai vs Chapecoense-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Juventude vs Chapecoense-0.4+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
CSA vs America-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
America-MG vs Sampaio Correa+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cuiaba vs Vitoria-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SP-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Oeste-0.2+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Parana-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Botafogo-SP vs Ponte Preta+0.3+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Operario-PR vs Avai+0.1+0.1-0.2
Confianca vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
Vitoria vs Confianca+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Guarani+0.1+0.1-0.1
Nautico vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.2-0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Operario-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
Parana vs Figueirense-0.0-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Figueirense vs Nautico+0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7715-0-087.7%Yes88120No1,792,624
7514-1-075.0Yes75250No47,762
7414-0-164.7Yes653410No78,581
7313-2-057.7Yes584020No219,184
7213-1-145.1100.0%4550500No723,467
7112-3-035.1100.03555900No1,217,117*
7012-2-125.5100.0255815100No3,077,794
6912-1-216.499.9165724200No6,276,613*
6811-3-110.099.71051336000No10,801,183*
6711-2-25.398.95414111100No21,508,780*
6611-1-32.496.723045193000No35,935,117*
6510-3-20.991.911943297100No57,773,726*
6410-2-30.382.80103637152000No95,486,153*
639-4-20.168.10525392571000No140,297,992*
629-3-30.049.802143433143000No203,910,070*
619-2-40.031.000624362471000No291,162,945*
608-4-30.015.5002133133164000No383,967,435*
598-3-40.06.200162135271020000No500,669,861*
588-2-50.01.800021027342061000No631,386,451*
577-4-4No0.400041632311430000No750,581,144*
567-3-5No0.10001722342591000No877,855,444*
557-2-6No0.0000021128331951000No516,423,929
6-5-4No0.000021027342061000No471,233,491*
546-4-5No0.0000041632311430000No1,058,170,171*
536-3-6No0.00001722342591000No768,069,919
5-6-4No0.000016213427102000No341,628,149*
525-5-5NoNo0002102734206100No549,784,203
6-2-7NoNo0002112834205100No567,100,024*
515-4-6NoNo000041632311430000.0%732,461,383
6-1-8NoNo000031532311430000.0342,153,909*
505-3-7NoNo0001723352581000.01,007,446,943*
494-5-6NoNo000021229341840000.0464,544,807
5-2-8NoNo000021229341840000.0440,006,912*
484-4-7NoNo00005193530101000.0776,126,487*
474-3-8NoNo0001928382030000.1645,799,634*
463-5-7NoNo0000318383290000.4512,848,307*
453-4-8NoNo000193041171001.3387,615,654*
443-3-9NoNo00032044294003.8282,414,388*
432-5-8NoNo0011139408008.8195,172,367*
422-4-9NoNo000530481610016.9127,170,497*
412-3-10NoNo00219502540028.779,197,742*
402-2-11NoNo00111463580042.946,244,864*
391-4-10NoNo0053742141057.624,942,698*
381-3-11NoNo0022745233071.312,650,865*
371-2-12NoNo011743327082.55,883,182*
360-4-11NoNo009374113090.32,401,377*
350-3-12NoNo05284622095.3877,938*
340-2-13NoNo02184633098.1277,904
330-1-14NoNo01104245199.361,163
320-0-15NoNo0053458299.81,793,970
Total:0.1%4.2%00124579101111111086310000.9%14,375,272,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship