How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Tupi 2 Vasco da Gama 2 +0.6
+0.1
Criciúma 0 Joinville 1 +1.0
+0.1
Ceará 1 CRB 1 +1.4
-0.0
+0.1
Bahia 3 Paraná 0 -0.3
Vila Nova 0 Náutico 2 -1.0
Oeste 1 Paysandu 0 +0.2
Luverdense 4 Bragantino 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
CRB vs Oeste+2.1-1.9-3.1
+8.4-6.4-13.5
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.6-0.4-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs Vila Nova-1.0+1.1+2.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Atlético-GO vs Ceará-0.2+0.4*+0.0
*-0.0+0.5-0.6
Bragantino vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.0-0.2
+1.5+0.5-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Joinville vs Bahia+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.8+0.3-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Náutico vs Londrina-0.4+0.9-0.3
Goiás vs Criciúma+0.2+0.1-0.6
Paysandu vs Tupi-0.2+0.2+0.4
Avaí vs Luverdense+0.1+0.1-0.3
Paraná vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.1*+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Criciúma vs CRB-2.2-0.7+4.1
-7.9-0.9+13.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.5-0.0+0.9
CRB vs Vila Nova+2.0-2.0-3.1
+7.7-6.9-13.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.4-0.9
Vasco da Gama vs Oeste-1.1+1.1+2.0
*+0.0+0.2-0.4
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama+1.2+0.3-1.7
-0.8+0.4+0.6
Vila Nova vs Atlético-GO+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.9+0.2-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Luverdense-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.8+0.8+1.1
Goiás vs Ceará+0.3+0.1-0.5
+1.3+0.4-1.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Ceará vs Avaí-0.3+0.3+0.4
-1.2+1.2+1.9
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Paysandu vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.9+0.5-1.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goiás-0.1+0.1+0.1
-1.2+1.2+1.8
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Náutico+0.1+0.0-0.1
+1.2+0.6-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Paraná vs Londrina+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.7+0.3-1.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Náutico vs Bahia-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.5+1.0-0.2
Londrina vs Joinville-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.8+1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Avaí vs Criciúma+0.2+0.2-0.6
Oeste vs Paraná-0.3+0.3+0.3
Luverdense vs Paysandu*+0.0+0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
82-85YesYes100No2,442*
8115-0-299.7%Yes1000No314
8015-1-199.3Yes991No736
7914-0-398.5Yes991No1,539*
7814-1-297.4Yes973No3,866
7714-2-195.9Yes964No7,191*
7613-1-392.8Yes9370No14,386*
7513-2-289.0Yes89110No27,339*
7412-1-484.1Yes84160No46,162*
7312-2-377.3Yes772210No78,095*
7212-3-269.5Yes702910No123,551*
7111-2-460.1Yes603730No186,957*
7011-3-350.1100.0%5044600No275,415*
6910-2-539.5100.040501000No383,492*
6810-3-429.2100.029531610No514,899*
6710-4-320.199.9205324300No669,769*
669-3-512.599.61348336000No831,810*
659-4-47.098.87404012100No998,964*
649-5-33.597.03304419300No613,537
8-3-63.496.53294421300No538,331*
638-4-51.492.211942297100No1,282,680*
628-5-40.583.6011353714200No1,375,704*
617-4-60.169.0052440246100No710,728
8-6-30.170.9052640236100No716,132*
607-5-50.052.10215363313200No917,241
8-7-20.051.702143533132000No504,686*
597-6-40.032.901726372371000No1,370,890*
586-5-60.016.9002143232154000No1,271,772*
576-6-5No6.7016223426102000No1,137,885*
566-7-4No1.90021127322071000No980,936*
555-6-6No0.40004152930165100No812,398*
545-7-5No0.00016183027134100No649,600*
535-8-4No0.00017213125113000No498,713*
524-7-6NoNo0029233123102000No366,966*
514-8-5NoNo003112531218200No259,476*
504-9-4NoNo00031226302071000.0%175,320*
493-8-6NoNo0014152830175100.0113,188*
483-9-5NoNo0015173129143000.270,095*
473-10-4NoNo001721332710101.441,183*
462-9-6NoNo00210273521505.622,961*
452-10-5NoNo003153333132014.712,038*
442-11-4NoNo0172438246029.96,035*
431-10-6NoNo0213353514149.62,863*
421-11-5NoNo16274122366.41,238*
411-12-4NoNo2164332882.0483*
401-13-3NoNo16324516193.5169*
390-12-5NoNo224433198.154*
380-13-4NoNo885423892.313*
370-14-3NoNo2575Yes4
340-17-0NoNo1136224Yes2,314
Total:6.3%54.2%61517161310754321100000000.1%18,622,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship