How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB 0 Ceará 3 -3.5
-8.5
+4.1
-1.3
Vasco da Gama 1 Tupi 0 -0.2
-0.3
Goiás 1 Londrina 1 +0.2
+0.4
*-0.1
Paysandu 1 Oeste 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Paraná 0 Bahia 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Joinville 0 Criciúma 0 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Atlético-GO 1 Brasil de Pelotas 0 -0.1
-0.1
Avaí 2 Sampaio Corrêa 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Oeste vs CRB-1.1-0.2+2.5
-3.5-0.4+7.8
+3.1-0.4-6.0
-0.7+0.0+1.4
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Ceará vs Atlético-GO+0.0+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Criciúma vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Bahia vs Joinville-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Londrina vs Náutico+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.2-0.1
Luverdense vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Tupi vs Paysandu+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Paraná+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 5/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs CRB-1.1-0.1+2.7
-3.4-0.1+8.3
+2.8-0.4-6.0
-0.6+0.0+1.5
CRB vs Criciúma+1.4-1.0-1.8
+4.5-3.1-6.3
-3.9+2.4+5.8
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Oeste vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Luverdense vs Atlético-GO+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlético-GO vs Vila Nova-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Avaí vs Ceará+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Paysandu vs Luverdense+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Ceará vs Goiás-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Criciúma vs Avaí-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Bahia vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Goiás vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Náutico vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Brasil de Pelotas vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Tupi vs Joinville+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Joinville vs Londrina-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Paraná vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Londrina vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.0
Bragantino vs Tupi-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1
Sampaio Corrêa vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
89-111YesYes100No519,176*
8826-3-799.8%Yes1000No1,657*
8726-4-6100.0Yes1000No3,324*
8626-5-5YesYes100No6,381*
8525-4-7100.0Yes1000No11,761*
8425-5-6100.0Yes1000No21,461*
8325-6-599.9Yes1000No39,148*
8224-5-799.9Yes1000No68,561*
8124-6-699.8Yes1000No118,447*
8023-5-899.7Yes1000No198,806*
7923-6-799.5Yes1000No328,763*
7823-7-699.3Yes9910No535,269*
7722-6-898.8Yes9910No850,086*
7622-7-798.2Yes9820No1,325,819*
7521-6-997.3Yes97300No2,027,826*
7421-7-895.9Yes96400No3,042,178*
7321-8-794.0Yes94600No4,479,949*
7220-7-991.2Yes91900No6,473,411*
7120-8-887.5100.0%8812000No9,187,429*
7020-9-782.6100.08316100No12,792,817*
6919-8-976.3100.076222000No17,487,181*
6819-9-868.6100.069284000No23,486,709*
6718-8-1059.4100.0593461000No30,957,012*
6618-9-949.199.94939111000No40,093,220*
6518-10-838.299.738421630000No50,984,114*
6417-9-1027.599.228432361000No63,677,611*
6317-10-918.097.81839301120000No78,116,804*
6217-11-810.594.310323418510000No94,119,122*
6116-10-105.287.352234261020000No111,412,680*
6016-11-92.175.0213293118610000No129,529,157*
5916-12-80.757.31620312613310000No147,919,362*
5815-11-100.236.8021024302292000000No165,924,861*
5715-12-90.018.6014142628187200000No182,807,734*
5614-11-110.06.90016172727155100000No197,788,747*
5514-12-100.01.700027182825145100000No210,177,052*
5414-13-90.00.30000282028241341000000.0%219,340,432*
5313-12-11No0.0000029202824124100000.0224,775,734*
5213-13-10No0.00000029212823124100000.0226,189,546*
5113-14-9No0.00000039212823113100000.0223,426,619*
5012-13-11No0.00000031021282311300000.0216,613,454*
4912-14-10NoNo0000031022292210300000.4206,145,310*
4812-15-9NoNo00001311232921920002.5192,551,972*
4711-14-11NoNo0000141325292082009.2176,452,619*
4611-15-10NoNo0000151527281751023.3158,662,421*
4511-16-9NoNo000017193027133043.3139,881,743*
4410-15-11NoNo000002102432238164.1120,961,300*
4310-16-10NoNo00001415303216380.6102,533,784*
4210-17-9NoNo000017223526791.085,225,118*
419-16-11NoNo000031433351496.469,363,651*
409-17-10NoNo0001827412398.755,342,306*
399-18-9NoNo0000419433499.643,209,364*
388-17-11NoNo000212404599.933,033,411*
378-18-10NoNo000173557100.024,719,190*
368-19-9NoNo00042967100.018,087,143*
357-18-11NoNo0022276100.012,944,430*
347-19-10NoNo0011683100.09,049,342*
337-20-9NoNo0001288100.06,181,989*
326-19-11NoNo000892100.04,118,253*
316-20-10NoNo00595Yes2,674,757*
306-21-9NoNo00397Yes1,699,408*
295-20-11NoNo00298Yes1,047,300*
285-21-10NoNo0199Yes629,568*
275-22-9NoNo0199Yes368,987*
264-21-11NoNo00100Yes208,689*
254-22-10NoNo0100Yes115,156*
244-23-9NoNo0100Yes60,967*
233-22-11NoNo0100Yes31,638*
223-23-10NoNo0100Yes15,743*
213-24-9NoNo0100Yes7,665*
3-20NoNo100Yes523,756*
Total:4.2%19.8%4555666666655555544315.3%4,162,706,400

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship