How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB 1 Brusque 1 -0.0
-1.6
+0.5
-0.3
Bahia 1 CRB 1 -0.0
-0.6
-0.1
Sampaio Correa 3 Vasco da Gama 1 +0.1
-0.1
Cruzeiro 2 Novorizontino 1 +0.1
+0.0
Guarani 0 Bahia 2 -0.5
-0.2
Gremio 3 Tombense 0 -0.4
Brusque 1 Gremio 1 +0.2
Criciuma 1 Ponte Preta 1 +0.2
Sport Recife 0 Vila Nova 0 +0.2
+0.0
Vasco da Gama 1 Ituano 1 +0.2
+0.0
Tombense 1 Criciuma 0 -0.1
Novorizontino 2 Operario-PR 1 -0.1
-0.1
Londrina 1 Sampaio Correa 0 +0.1
Ituano 0 Londrina 0 *-0.1
Vila Nova 1 CSA 2 +0.2
Chapecoense 0 Guarani 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama vs CRB-0.0-0.0+0.1
-2.0-0.5+3.9
+1.6-0.1-2.7
-0.6-0.1+1.1
CRB vs Novorizontino+2.8-1.0-2.3
-2.5+0.4+2.3
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Cruzeiro vs Bahia+0.3+0.0-0.4
Vila Nova vs Vasco da Gama+0.5+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Gremio vs Ponte Preta-0.4+0.3+0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Chapecoense vs Gremio+0.5+0.2-0.5
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Operario-PR vs Tombense+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Sport Recife vs Guarani-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Sampaio Correa vs Sport Recife+0.0+0.1-0.1
Criciuma vs CSA-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Guarani vs Brusque+0.2-0.1-0.1
Ituano vs Chapecoense+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
8219-0-089.7%Yes90100No42,202
8018-1-086.0Yes8614No43
7918-0-180.0Yes8020No45
7817-2-057.9Yes58420No216
7717-1-154.0Yes54451No582
7616-3-048.5Yes49492No1,226*
7516-2-138.4Yes38584No3,468
7416-1-230.2Yes306370No7,617*
7315-3-122.6Yes2366110No15,125*
7215-2-216.6100.0%17661610No32,728*
7115-1-311.0100.011632320No60,240*
7014-3-26.999.875831400No111,829*
6914-2-34.099.544938800No204,237*
6813-4-22.298.8240431410No339,519*
6713-3-31.097.4130462030No562,534*
6613-2-40.494.50214528500No903,421*
6512-4-30.289.6013403610100No1,370,320*
6412-3-40.182.008334116200No2,060,992*
6312-2-50.071.204244325400No2,966,493*
6211-4-40.057.8021640348100No4,116,764*
6111-3-50.043.0019334114200No5,617,669*
6010-5-40.028.50042443235000No7,372,351*
5910-4-5No16.602153932101000No9,388,546*
5810-3-6No8.20183138194000No11,688,089*
579-5-5No3.3003203728102000No14,035,124*
569-4-6No1.1001113034185100No16,410,124*
559-3-7No0.30005203428112000No18,687,903*
548-5-6No0.00021027332061000No20,622,374*
538-4-7No0.000041731291430000No22,130,227*
528-3-8No0.00018223224102000No23,110,878*
517-5-7No0.00003122732206100000.0%23,382,410*
507-4-8NoNo001416302915410000.023,014,445*
496-6-7NoNo000172032261130000.022,010,640*
486-5-8NoNo000210243222820000.020,375,656*
476-4-9NoNo0000313283118610000.118,324,938*
465-6-8NoNo000151730291440000.515,994,783*
455-5-9NoNo00017213225102002.213,496,688*
445-4-10NoNo000021126322171007.611,025,291*
434-6-9NoNo00141530311530019.08,717,574*
424-5-10NoNo0001721342691036.86,647,220*
414-4-11NoNo0002122934194057.34,899,519*
403-6-10NoNo00151936309175.43,474,362*
393-5-11NoNo00210303818288.12,366,228*
383-4-12NoNo004204029595.21,545,391*
373-3-13NoNo0021236401098.3970,169*
362-5-12NoNo00628481799.5576,685*
352-4-13NoNo00320512799.9326,851*
342-3-14NoNo01125037100.0175,086*
331-5-13NoNo0074548100.088,306*
321-4-14NoNo033760Yes41,470*
311-3-15NoNo013069Yes18,244*
300-5-14NoNo02277Yes7,072*
290-4-15NoNo01585Yes2,626*
280-3-16NoNo1090Yes853*
270-2-17NoNo496Yes217
260-1-18NoNo1090Yes29
250-0-19NoNo0298Yes42,201
Total:0.0%5.1%00136891010998765322104.9%339,387,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship