How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Mogi Mirim 0 CRB 1 +0.2
+2.3
-5.9
+1.0
Macaé 4 Botafogo 2 +0.1
Santa Cruz 1 Sampaio Corrêa 0 +0.1
+0.6
Bahia 1 Luverdense 0 -0.1
-0.2
ABC 3 Náutico 3 +0.1
-0.1
Boa Esporte 3 Bragantino 0 +0.1
+0.5
Atlético-GO 1 Paraná 1 -0.3
Oeste 2 Ceará 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Paysandu vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Luverdense vs Ceará+0.1-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz vs CRB-0.3-0.1+0.7
-2.3-0.5+4.9
+2.1-0.3-3.6
-0.6-0.0+1.2
CRB vs Boa Esporte+0.3-0.3-0.5
+2.4-2.3-3.8
-2.4+1.7+4.6
+0.7-0.6-1.2
Ceará vs Botafogo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Botafogo vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Náutico+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Vitória vs Bahia+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
Náutico vs Oeste-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Bahia vs Paysandu-0.1+0.2-0.1
América-MG vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.3+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Macaé vs América-MG-0.0+0.2-0.2
ABC vs Macaé+0.1+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Boa Esporte vs Vitória+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Sampaio Corrêa vs Luverdense-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.4
Criciúma vs Bragantino+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Bragantino vs Santa Cruz-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Atlético-GO vs ABC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.2-0.2
Oeste vs Paraná+0.1-0.1-0.0
Paraná vs Criciúma+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-L-Ewins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-100YesYes100No107,795*
8422-2-599.6%Yes1000No503*
8322-3-499.8Yes1000No1,093*
8222-4-399.1Yes991No2,258*
8121-3-598.9Yes991No4,544*
8021-4-498.3Yes982No8,614*
7920-3-697.4Yes9730No16,083*
7820-4-595.9Yes9640No29,592*
7720-5-493.8Yes9460No53,584*
7619-4-691.0Yes9190No92,768*
7519-5-587.0Yes871300No157,006*
7418-4-781.9Yes821710No260,059*
7318-5-675.6100.0%7622200No419,747*
7218-6-567.7100.06829400No660,885*
7117-5-758.8100.059356000No1,018,714*
7017-6-648.8100.0494010100No1,529,917*
6917-7-538.499.83843162000No2,253,059*
6816-6-728.499.52844225000No3,239,958*
6716-7-619.498.619412991000No4,547,761*
6615-6-812.196.5123534153000No6,241,848*
6515-7-76.792.272736227100No8,393,113*
6415-8-63.384.53183429123000No11,013,033*
6314-7-81.472.511028332061000No14,162,627*
6214-8-70.556.805193228123000No17,788,041*
6114-9-60.139.30211263220710000No21,880,574*
6013-8-80.023.20151730281440000No26,308,534*
5913-9-70.011.4002924322392000No30,971,580*
5813-10-60.04.400141528301751000No35,641,421*
5712-9-80.01.3000172031261230000No40,141,343*
5612-10-70.00.3000021125312171000No44,214,859*
5511-9-9No0.0000141629291641000No47,637,208*
5411-10-8No0.00000172132251120000No50,199,672*
5311-11-7No0.000021126322071000No51,723,503*
5210-10-9No0.00001416302915410000.0%52,114,417*
5110-11-8No0.000001721312511200000.051,320,066*
5010-12-7NoNo0000311263120710000.049,392,859*
499-11-9NoNo0001516292916410000.046,473,262*
489-12-8NoNo000182131251130000.342,708,168*
479-13-7NoNo0000312263120710001.338,325,183*
468-12-9NoNo000151730291540004.333,568,998*
458-13-8NoNo00029233224920010.928,715,251*
448-14-7NoNo000031428311850022.523,947,998*
437-13-9NoNo00017213327101038.419,470,132*
427-14-8NoNo0003122934184056.015,436,806*
417-15-7NoNo000162136288172.111,923,981*
406-14-9NoNo000213323615284.48,965,218*
396-15-8NoNo00017254024392.36,556,681*
386-16-7NoNo0003174033796.64,663,897*
375-15-9NoNo0011035411298.73,221,666*
365-16-8NoNo000628471899.62,161,037*
355-17-7NoNo00321502699.91,403,858*
344-16-9NoNo001154935100.0885,108*
334-17-8NoNo0094545100.0537,896*
324-18-7NoNo0064054100.0316,413*
313-17-9NoNo033463Yes179,153*
303-18-8NoNo022771Yes98,335*
293-19-7NoNo012277Yes51,432*
282-18-9NoNo001783Yes25,942*
272-19-8NoNo001387Yes12,378*
262-20-7NoNo0991Yes5,621*
252-21-6NoNo0694Yes2,510*
241-20-8NoNo0396Yes1,044*
231-21-7NoNo496Yes378*
221-22-6NoNo199Yes139*
18-21NoNo100Yes73*
130-29-0NoNo0100Yes107,364
Total:0.9%9.1%123456788998776432107.2%863,314,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship