How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Bragantino+1.5-1.1-2.0
+4.3-3.2-6.1
-4.5+2.9+6.9
+0.9-0.6-1.3
Macaé vs Santa Cruz-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Vitória vs Sampaio Corrêa-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Atlético-GO vs Boa Esporte-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
ABC vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Criciúma vs ABC-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
América-MG vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bahia vs Mogi Mirim-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paysandu vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Mogi Mirim vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Luverdense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Paraná vs Ceará-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs CRB-1.2-0.1+3.0
-3.4-0.1+8.1
+3.3-0.5-7.1
-0.7+0.0+1.5
Santa Cruz vs Paraná-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Sampaio Corrêa vs Macaé-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Bragantino vs Paysandu-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Macaé vs Oeste-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Ceará vs Atlético-GO-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Luverdense vs América-MG-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Náutico vs Criciúma-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Náutico-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Oeste vs Vitória-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceSérieChance will finish season at seedSérie
TPW-D-Lwins titleA1234567891011121314151617181920CCount
85-114YesYes100No23,860*
8426-6-699.9%Yes1000No1,155*
8325-8-599.9Yes1000No1,918*
8225-7-6YesYes100No3,374*
8125-6-799.9Yes1000No5,632*
8024-8-699.8Yes1000No9,332*
7924-7-799.8Yes1000No15,135*
7823-9-699.6Yes1000No24,358*
7723-8-799.5Yes991No37,848*
7623-7-899.2Yes9910No58,042*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No88,180*
7422-8-897.9Yes9820No130,299*
7322-7-996.8Yes9730No189,525*
7221-9-895.1Yes9550No270,735*
7121-8-992.6Yes93700No380,936*
7020-10-889.1Yes891100No525,877*
6920-9-984.4100.0%8415100No714,002*
6820-8-1078.0100.07820200No954,404*
6719-10-970.1100.070263000No1,249,201*
6619-9-1060.7100.061336100No1,614,112*
6519-8-1149.799.95038111000No2,045,486*
6418-10-1038.099.738421730000No2,547,682*
6318-9-1126.799.027422461000No3,124,497*
6217-11-1016.797.11737311230000No3,765,199*
6117-10-119.092.49293420610000No4,455,664*
6017-9-124.183.141933281331000No5,190,929*
5916-11-111.467.41102531229200000No5,949,268*
5816-10-120.446.404152829176100000No6,694,013*
5716-9-130.125.301618282614510000No7,410,376*
5615-11-120.010.00028202824134100000No8,065,814*
5515-10-130.02.60002921282312410000No8,631,128*
5415-9-14No0.40003921282312410000No9,076,440*
5314-11-13No0.0000039202823124100000.0%9,391,575*
5214-10-14No0.0000029202824124100000.09,532,987*
5114-9-15No0.000002819272413410000.09,522,870*
5013-11-14No0.0000002819272514410000.19,342,695*
4913-10-15NoNo00002819282514410000.99,009,365*
4812-12-14NoNo00000281928251341004.78,534,477*
4712-11-15NoNo0000292029241230015.47,943,227*
4612-10-16NoNo0000310233023102034.47,257,819*
4511-12-15NoNo00014132631206157.06,512,977*
4411-11-16NoNo00001517303014276.55,736,834*
4311-10-17NoNo000029243524689.24,961,744*
4210-12-16NoNo000041533341395.84,212,137*
4110-11-17NoNo0001827412398.63,505,923*
4010-10-18NoNo000419433499.62,862,973*
399-12-17NoNo0000212404799.92,295,426*
389-11-18NoNo00173458100.01,803,025*
379-10-19NoNo00042769100.01,388,196*
368-12-18NoNo0022178100.01,044,699*
358-11-19NoNo0011585100.0773,984*
348-10-20NoNo001090Yes558,893*
337-12-19NoNo00793Yes395,920*
327-11-20NoNo00496Yes274,461*
317-10-21NoNo0397Yes185,565*
306-12-20NoNo0298Yes122,340*
296-11-21NoNo199Yes78,930*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes50,011*
275-12-21NoNo00100Yes30,576*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes18,514*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes10,570*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes6,014*
22-23NoNo100Yes5,019*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes976*
0-20NoNo100Yes23,337*
Total:5.0%20.0%5555555555555555555520.0%180,648,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship