How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas 2 CRB 0 -0.1
-2.5
+1.5
-0.9
Internacional 3 Figueirense 0 -0.2
-0.2
Ceara 1 America-MG 1 +0.1
Vila Nova 2 Luverdense 1 -0.4
-0.1
Oeste 1 Nautico 0 -0.2
-0.1
-0.1
Parana 2 Londrina 1 -0.1
Paysandu 2 ABC 0 +0.1
-0.1
Santa Cruz 3 Goias 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
CRB vs Criciuma+0.1-0.0-0.0
+1.3-0.6-1.0
-2.3+0.3+2.1
+1.0-0.3-0.9
Nautico vs Internacional+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.1
America-MG vs Vila Nova+0.1+0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Boa Esporte-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Parana+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Ceara vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Luverdense vs Oeste+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Londrina vs Santa Cruz-0.3-0.1+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Goias vs Paysandu+0.4-0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Figueirense vs ABC+0.4-0.3-0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.0-0.0+0.1
-1.0-0.4+1.9
+1.5-0.1-2.4
-0.6-0.1+1.1
ABC vs Juventude+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Parana vs Nautico-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Oeste vs Londrina-0.1+0.1+0.1
Criciuma vs Figueirense-0.3-0.1+0.6
Brasil de Pelotas vs Luverdense-0.3-0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Boa Esporte vs Goias-0.3-0.1+0.5
Paysandu vs Guarani+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
7414-0-090.7%Yes9190No59,298
7213-1-075.7Yes76232No3,341
7113-0-164.2Yes643240No5,675
7012-2-053.1100.0%5339800No14,743
6912-1-138.199.9384614100No49,057
6812-0-225.499.8254724400No80,071*
6711-2-115.199.11542339100No195,651
6611-1-27.697.08334017300No397,506*
6510-3-13.291.532140278100No653,967*
6410-2-21.181.4111333516300No1,276,097*
6310-1-30.365.0052238268100No2,086,679*
629-3-20.144.802123135173000No3,214,947*
619-2-30.026.000521362891000No5,189,496*
608-4-20.011.8001102935194000No7,388,286*
598-3-30.04.10004173430122000No10,314,888*
588-2-4No1.1001826362261000No14,291,927*
577-4-3No0.20003143232153000No18,116,908*
567-3-4No0.00015213427102000No22,642,330*
557-2-5No0.000021128332061000No17,361,778
6-5-3No0.0000192634227100No10,156,651*
546-4-4No0.00003153131164000No20,138,077
7-1-6No0.00004163230143000No11,087,230*
536-3-5NoNo001721332610200No26,144,457
5-6-3NoNo0016203327112000No8,670,818*
526-2-6NoNo0002112733206100No21,156,081
5-5-4NoNo000292534237100No16,285,387*
515-4-5NoNo00031531321630000.0%25,223,833
6-1-7NoNo00041632311430000.012,734,205*
505-3-6NoNo00016213527910000.027,133,449
4-6-4NoNo0015203428101000.010,518,525*
495-2-7NoNo00021229351840000.018,712,081
4-5-5NoNo0002927362150000.017,138,578*
484-4-6NoNo00004173531112000.132,291,391*
474-3-7NoNo0001726382250000.528,291,449*
464-2-8NoNo0003163731112001.611,910,625
3-5-6NoNo0002133434142002.311,796,923*
453-4-7NoNo000162638236006.118,753,308*
443-3-8NoNo00021535331320014.414,332,446*
433-2-9NoNo001727382350027.610,416,036*
422-4-8NoNo003163633111044.97,079,634*
412-3-9NoNo00182840212062.84,618,131*
402-2-10NoNo0031840326078.02,832,916*
391-4-9NoNo00110344212189.01,592,808*
381-3-10NoNo004244822195.4846,477*
371-2-11NoNo002154733498.4412,731*
360-4-10NoNo0084144899.6176,095*
350-3-11NoNo00331521499.967,278*
340-2-12NoNo001215523100.022,472
330-1-13NoNo0125533Yes5,438
320-0-14NoNo074944Yes59,505
Total:0.0%1.7%00012357910111212108531003.8%473,947,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship