How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB vs Guarani+0.3-0.2-0.3
+2.6-1.3-2.6
-4.6+1.4+5.3
+0.9-0.4-0.9
Parana vs Bragantino+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Londrina+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Sao Bento vs Sport Recife+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Ponte Preta vs Oeste-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
America-MG vs Figueirense+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Atletico-GO vs Vila Nova-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Criciuma vs Coritiba+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Vitoria vs Cuiaba+0.1-0.3*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the CRB finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
82-100YesYes100No1,950*
8122-5-399.1%Yes991No114*
8022-4-496.8Yes973No222*
7922-3-594.9Yes955No390*
7821-5-494.2Yes9460No689*
7721-4-591.1Yes919No1,082*
7620-6-487.8Yes88120No1,833*
7520-5-583.6Yes841610No3,002*
7420-4-676.9Yes772210No4,694*
7319-6-571.5Yes712630No7,301*
7219-5-662.5100.0%6232500No10,923*
7119-4-753.9100.05438810No16,426*
7018-6-643.499.943431220No23,929*
6918-5-734.199.8344518300No33,553*
6817-7-625.199.4254425610No47,410*
6717-6-717.198.417413110100No64,672*
6617-5-810.896.211343516300No87,243*
6516-7-76.192.162637237100No115,180*
6416-6-83.084.53183430133000No149,422*
6316-5-91.373.11102833206100No189,367*
6215-7-80.558.20520332712300No237,559*
6115-6-90.141.002122732197100No290,361*
6015-5-100.025.0015193127133000No349,348*
5914-7-90.012.8002102531228200No413,123*
5814-6-100.05.200141629291651000No478,287*
5713-8-9No1.60018213125113000No544,713*
5613-7-10No0.40003122630207100No610,049*
5513-6-11No0.10015162928155100No667,396*
5412-8-10No0.00028213125113000No721,183*
5312-7-11No0.000031125312182000No761,116*
5212-6-12NoNo0014152829175100No793,248*
5111-8-11NoNo00172030261230000.0%809,761*
5011-7-12NoNo000210243122920000.0810,972*
4911-6-13NoNo00141427301861000.1795,302*
4810-8-12NoNo000161930271330000.4766,245*
4710-7-13NoNo000210233123920001.9726,507*
4610-6-14NoNo00141428301751006.0673,243*
459-8-13NoNo00172031261230014.4611,807*
449-7-14NoNo00031126322161027.9545,973*
439-6-15NoNo0015183129133044.9478,116*
428-8-14NoNo002102534226162.3410,587*
418-7-15NoNo001518333012277.1343,544*
408-6-16NoNo00210283620487.6281,984*
397-8-15NoNo0015203729894.0226,621*
387-7-16NoNo0021334371497.5178,388*
377-6-17NoNo001828422199.0136,471*
366-8-16NoNo000421443199.7103,119*
356-7-17NoNo00214434199.975,716*
346-6-18NoNo0193951100.054,237*
335-8-17NoNo0053361100.037,849*
325-7-18NoNo0032671100.025,343*
315-6-19NoNo022177Yes16,628*
304-8-18NoNo011584Yes10,847*
294-7-19NoNo001288Yes6,941*
284-6-20NoNo0892Yes4,175*
273-8-19NoNo0595Yes2,434*
263-7-20NoNo397Yes1,403*
253-6-21NoNo298Yes731*
242-8-20NoNo199Yes421*
232-7-21NoNo199Yes212*
10-22NoNo100Yes1,998*
Total:0.7%7.5%1123456677888776543214.5%14,763,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship