Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
9/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Fortaleza4714-5-81234.9%+0.584.3%+1.635231611742110000000002.7+0.070.0%3.552Fortaleza Esporte Clube
CSA4613-7-7924.3+0.577.1+2.1242218139642100000000003.2+0.090.02.542Centro Sportivo Alagoano
GoiasWAtletico-GO 2-14514-3-10521.8+9.876.0+18.822221814106421100000000003.3+1.080.0-0.04.533Goias Esporte Clube
Atletico-GOLGoias 1-24312-7-827.0-6.846.3-12.6711131515131074311000000005.0-0.780.0+0.05.513JuventudeAtletico Clube Goianiense
Vila Nova4311-10-685.9+0.143.1+1.6610131515131075321100000005.2+0.070.01.513Vila Nova Futebol Clube
AvaiLCriciuma 2-34211-9-7113.3-4.129.3-14.036911131413107532110000006.2-0.970.0+0.06.503Avai Futebol Clube
Guarani4111-8-862.0+0.023.4+1.424710121413119643210000006.7+0.090.0+0.09.494Guarani Futebol Clube
Figueirense3910-9-840.5+0.010.7+1.012358101213121086431100008.3+0.110.3+0.08.474at LondrinaFigueirense Futebol Clube
Londrina3610-6-11-20.1+0.02.5+0.2001134791112121110853110010.6+0.022.2+0.114.445FigueirenseLondrina Esporte Clube
Ponte PretaTOeste 0-0369-9-950.1-0.12.1-0.8001124681112121211963210010.9-0.342.7+0.311.445Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Coritiba369-9-9-10.1+0.01.8+0.20001235710111212111074210011.2+0.043.3+0.113.445Coritiba Football Club
CriciumaWAvai 3-2359-8-10-30.0+0.01.4+0.90001235710111212111074210011.3+1.434.0-6.610.436Criciuma Esporte Clube
Sao Bento358-11-800.0+0.01.0+0.1000112468101112131296310011.8+0.025.0+0.112.436Esporte Clube Sao Bento
OesteTPonte Preta 0-0358-11-8-30.0-0.00.9-0.6000112468101112131296321011.9-0.455.5+0.87.436Oeste Futebol Clube
Brasil de PelotasWCRB 1-0317-10-10-30.00.0+0.0000000011245811151715117315.3+1.0835.0-18.917.397Gremio Esportivo Brasil
PaysanduTBoa Esporte 1-1307-9-11-90.0-0.00.0-0.0000000001124691316181510516.1-0.3748.0+5.918.387Paysandu Sport Club
CRBLBrasil de Pelotas 0-1297-8-12-90.0-0.00.0-0.0000000001124681316171511616.1-0.9748.6+14.315.378Clube de Regatas Brasil
Juventude285-13-9-80.00.0+0.0000000000011358121721191317.3-0.0269.9+0.516.368at Atletico-GOEsporte Clube Juventude
Boa EsporteTPaysandu 1-1256-7-14-130.00.0-0.000000000000012361016253518.5-0.2087.0+3.220.339Boa Esporte Clube
Sampaio Correa256-7-14-110.00.000000000000011361016253818.6-0.0188.6+0.219.339Sampaio Correa Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/14
Sampaio Correa 1 Fortaleza 0
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-13.1
-6.8
-0.5
CSA+4.3
+0.8
Goias+2.5
+1.1
Atletico-GO+2.7
+1.0
Vila Nova+1.3
+1.1
Avai+1.5
+1.0
Guarani+0.5
+0.7
Figueirense+0.5
Criciuma+0.5
Brasil de Pelotas+0.9
Paysandu+0.9
CRB+0.9
Juventude+0.7
Boa Esporte+0.5
Sampaio Correa-5.3
+0.5
Goias 2 Atletico-GO 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.5
-0.2
CSA-0.4
-0.3
Goias+7.1
+14.0
+0.8
Atletico-GO-6.1
-11.8
-0.7
Vila Nova-0.4
Avai-0.4
Guarani-0.3
Figueirense-0.2
Criciuma 3 Avai 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+1.1
+1.2
CSA+0.8
+1.4
Goias+0.5
+1.8
Atletico-GO+0.5
+1.7
Vila Nova+0.4
+1.8
Avai-3.6
-11.5
-0.8
Guarani+1.2
Figueirense+0.8
Criciuma+0.7
-5.8
+1.1
Brasil de Pelotas+1.0
Paysandu+1.0
CRB+0.9
Juventude+0.9
Boa Esporte+0.6
Sampaio Correa+0.5
Figueirense 2 Sao Bento 2
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+0.2
CSA+0.5
Goias+0.5
Atletico-GO+0.6
Vila Nova+0.6
Avai+0.5
Guarani+0.4
Figueirense-0.3
-3.1
-0.3
Sao Bento-0.4
-0.2
Coritiba 0 Londrina 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO+0.2
Vila Nova+0.2
Londrina+0.9
-3.8
+1.1
Coritiba-2.1
+1.2
-1.0
Brasil de Pelotas+0.4
Paysandu+0.5
CRB+0.3
Juventude+0.5
Oeste 0 Ponte Preta 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta-0.9
+0.1
-0.2
Oeste-0.6
+0.4
-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas 1 CRB 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas-14.7
+0.8
Paysandu+0.8
CRB+11.8
-0.8
Juventude+0.5
Boa Esporte+0.3
Sampaio Correa+0.3
Boa Esporte 1 Paysandu 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma-0.5
Sao Bento-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas-1.4
Paysandu+3.6
-0.3
CRB-1.2
Juventude-1.1
Boa Esporte*No
+2.3
-0.1
Sampaio Correa-0.6
Atletico-GO vs JuventudeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO10.14.63.2
56.439.332.9
4.45.45.9
Paysandu46.547.850.9
16.016.116.2
JuventudeNoNo0.0
77.170.855.0
17.717.316.5
Londrina vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.20.31.0
5.78.317.2
0.60.30.0
9.28.57.2
Londrina4.71.70.9
0.62.33.7
9.510.911.5
Week of 9/21
Fortaleza vs Vila NovaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza46.230.723.5
92.282.775.2
NoNo0.0
2.12.83.3
CSA21.526.326.4
77.677.676.0
3.23.13.2
Goias19.223.723.9
76.576.575.0
3.33.23.3
Vila Nova2.24.811.5
32.240.858.7
5.95.34.2
Guarani vs CSAHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza37.436.631.6
84.084.884.2
2.62.62.7
CSA15.920.933.9
66.975.287.4
0.00.0No
3.83.32.5
Goias23.923.019.3
75.776.776.0
Guarani3.91.30.6
35.620.214.3
5.76.97.5
Goias vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza31.736.838.3
83.684.785.0
2.72.62.6
CSA21.925.626.8
76.277.678.0
3.23.13.1
Goias29.817.513.1
85.072.665.0
2.73.54.0
Ponte Preta0.81.54.6
4.02.50.7
11.611.09.6
Avai vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai4.81.91.3
37.522.917.9
5.56.77.2
Sampaio Correa92.589.479.3
18.918.617.9
CRB vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba0.61.03.1
6.23.40.9
12.111.510.2
Paysandu50.647.346.1
16.116.016.0
CRB0.00.0No
34.151.358.9
15.216.316.8
Paysandu vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma0.50.82.7
7.14.01.2
12.211.610.3
Paysandu33.251.359.2
15.216.316.7
CRB51.247.846.7
16.216.116.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs OesteHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste0.30.51.8
9.45.51.7
12.812.210.9
Brasil de Pelotas21.737.745.8
14.415.616.1
Sao Bento vs Boa EsporteHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento1.70.50.3
1.95.89.3
11.012.212.8
Boa Esporte91.988.577.6
18.818.517.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.