Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
SaturdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Atletico-GOWParana 2-04813-4-91547.7%+10.396.1%+4.14835104211000000000001.9+0.370.0%-0.01.578at Vasco da GamaAtletico Clube Goianiense
Vasco da Gama4814-6-61445.0-6.995.2-0.24535115211000000000001.9-0.080.02.578Atletico-GOClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Brasil de Pelotas4011-8-751.7-0.736.6-1.62615141211987543210000006.2-0.120.0-0.03.498at TupiGremio Esportivo Brasil
BahiaWGoias 4-23911-9-6131.0+0.428.4+10.414111211111098764321000006.9+1.370.1-0.77.488at CRBEsporte Clube Bahia
CRBTSampaio Correa 1-13911-9-631.1-1.427.6-8.814101212111098754321000006.9-0.660.1-0.012.488BahiaClube de Regatas Brasil
AvaiWBragantino 2-03911-9-621.0+0.326.4+9.414101111111098764321000007.0+1.300.1-0.811.488at JoinvilleAvai Futebol Clube
CearaTLondrina 1-13910-7-930.8-0.925.4-5.614101111111098765321000007.1-0.400.2-0.14.488LuverdenseCeara Sporting Club
LondrinaTCeara 1-13910-7-950.8-0.922.6-6.313910101010109875421100007.4-0.490.2-0.16.488at Vila NovaLondrina Esporte Clube
Vila Nova3710-9-710.3-0.115.2-0.402678991010997642100008.4+0.010.5-0.35.469LondrinaVila Nova Futebol Clube
Criciuma3710-9-730.3-0.112.1-0.3014678910101098753210008.9+0.050.7-0.48.469Sampaio CorreaCriciuma Esporte Clube
NauticoWPaysandu 3-13610-10-670.1+0.17.5+3.6013456789101010975310009.9+1.591.5-4.916.459at ParanaClube Nautico Capibaribe
Luverdense358-7-1140.0-0.04.1-0.200123467891011111085210011.0+0.112.9-1.210.449at CearaLuverdense Esporte Clube
ParanaLAtletico-GO 0-2338-9-9-90.0-0.11.4-1.8000112345791113131210521012.6-0.828.3+1.213.429NauticoParana Clube
PaysanduLNautico 1-3327-8-11-70.0-0.00.6-1.100001122356912141614941013.6-0.9014.4+2.915.419BragantinoPaysandu Sport Club
GoiasLBahia 2-4317-9-10-30.0-0.00.4-0.8000001123468111416161152014.0-0.8118.5+3.49.409at OesteGoias Esporte Clube
OesteTTupi 0-0317-9-10-90.0-0.00.4-0.4000001123458101416161162014.1-0.2819.1-1.114.409GoiasOeste Futebol Clube
BragantinoLAvai 0-2277-13-6-120.0-0.00.0-0.000000000011235915252114416.7-0.4363.6+6.018.369at PaysanduClube Atletico Bragantino
TupiTOeste 0-0256-13-7-40.0-0.00.0-0.000000000000012481727261417.984.5-0.419.350Brasil de PelotasTupi Football Club
Joinville245-12-9-120.00.000000000000012361323312018.2+0.1787.6-3.117.340AvaiJoinville Esporte Clube
Sampaio CorreaTCRB 1-1214-13-9-19No-0.00.0-0.0000000000000012411226019.3+0.0397.4-0.420.310at CriciumaSampaio Correa Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/16
Atletico-GO 2 Parana 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO+8.0
+3.7
No
+0.3
Vasco da Gama-5.8
Parana-1.6
+2.5
-0.7
Bragantino-0.6
Vasco da Gama 2 Joinville 0
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO-4.4
Vasco da Gama+7.1
+3.7
No
+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas-0.9
-0.5
Paysandu-0.5
Goias-0.5
Oeste-0.6
Bragantino-0.6
JoinvilleNo
+3.8
-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Criciuma 2
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO+1.2
+0.4
Vasco da Gama+1.1
+0.4
Brasil de Pelotas-3.1
-11.9
-0.9
Bahia+0.7
CRB+1.1
Ceara+1.0
Londrina+1.0
Vila Nova+0.8
Criciuma+4.9
-2.5
+1.3
Sampaio Correa 1 CRB 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas+1.0
Bahia+0.6
CRB-0.9
-6.3
-0.5
Avai+0.6
Ceara+0.8
Londrina+0.8
Vila Nova+0.6
Criciuma+0.5
Sampaio CorreaNo
+0.3
-0.0
Londrina 1 Ceara 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas+1.2
CRB+1.0
Ceara-0.4
-2.8
-0.2
Londrina-0.4
-3.6
-0.3
Avai 2 Bragantino 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas-1.0
CRB-0.9
Avai+0.4
+6.6
-0.7
+1.0
Ceara-0.9
Londrina-0.8
Nautico-0.6
Parana-0.7
Paysandu-1.0
Goias-1.3
Oeste-1.5
Bragantino+8.2
-0.5
Tupi-0.8
Joinville-0.6
Vila Nova 0 Luverdense 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas+0.8
CRB+0.7
Vila Nova-3.4
-0.3
Luverdense-1.2
+0.1
-0.2
Bahia 4 Goias 2
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas-1.0
Bahia+7.4
-0.5
+1.0
CRB-0.9
Avai-0.9
Ceara-0.8
Goias-0.8
+4.7
-0.8
Bragantino-1.2
Tupi-0.7
Nautico 3 Paysandu 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico+2.5
-3.2
+1.1
Paysandu-1.0
+4.5
-0.9
Oeste 0 Tupi 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste-0.3
+1.8
-0.4
Bragantino-1.0
TupiNo
+1.7
-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO30.847.666.3
93.996.198.6
0.0NoNo
2.21.91.5
Vasco da Gama62.243.327.2
98.194.892.5
NoNo0.0
1.62.02.3
CRB vs BahiaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.40.71.9
18.625.641.2
7.87.15.7
CRB2.00.70.4
39.523.717.0
0.00.10.3
5.87.27.9
Tupi vs Brasil de PelotasHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas0.61.02.7
25.130.846.3
7.16.65.4
Tupi0.0NoNo
74.585.989.7
17.318.018.2
Joinville vs AvaiHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai0.40.61.7
16.321.034.9
0.40.10.0
8.17.56.2
Joinville0.0NoNo
79.388.991.8
17.718.318.5
Vila Nova vs LondrinaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.30.51.5
14.019.633.3
0.30.20.0
8.47.76.3
Vila Nova0.60.20.1
23.612.48.4
0.1*0.50.9
7.28.79.4
Ceara vs LuverdenseHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara1.50.50.3
35.121.215.9
0.00.20.3
6.17.58.2
Luverdense1.83.17.7
4.42.90.9
11.811.29.7
Criciuma vs Sampaio CorreaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma0.50.10.1
16.78.36.0
0.20.81.5
8.09.510.1
Sampaio CorreaNoNo0.0
98.697.894.6
19.519.318.9
Parana vs NauticoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico3.85.712.2
2.71.50.4
10.910.28.7
Parana2.60.90.5
3.79.012.4
11.412.813.5
Paysandu vs BragantinoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu1.00.30.2
6.715.523.8
12.814.014.6
BragantinoNo0.00.0
73.865.748.5
17.316.916.0
Oeste vs GoiasHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias0.10.20.8
26.419.39.4
14.814.313.0
Oeste0.80.20.1
10.120.628.0
13.214.415.0
Week of 9/27
Atletico-GO vs JoinvilleIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO54.741.435.4
98.094.892.3
NoNo0.0
1.72.02.2
Vasco da Gama39.749.954.3
2.01.91.8
JoinvilleNoNo0.0
91.087.877.8
18.518.217.6
Nautico vs Vasco da GamaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO55.551.240.6
1.81.81.9
Vasco da Gama34.940.754.1
91.994.597.9
0.0NoNo
2.32.01.7
Nautico13.46.24.2
0.41.42.3
8.610.110.7
Brasil de Pelotas vs CearaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas2.91.10.7
49.332.624.8
5.26.47.1
Ceara0.30.51.6
15.922.738.0
0.30.10.0
8.07.36.0
Bahia vs CriciumaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bahia1.70.60.4
39.324.418.3
5.87.27.9
Criciuma0.10.20.6
6.510.020.2
1.10.60.1
9.89.17.6
Bragantino vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.40.71.8
17.622.536.9
0.30.10.0
7.97.36.0
Bragantino0.0No0.0
49.965.471.8
16.016.817.2
Avai vs PaysanduHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai1.70.60.4
35.721.516.7
0.00.10.3
6.17.48.1
Paysandu0.20.41.3
19.414.77.0
14.313.812.5
Londrina vs OesteHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina1.30.50.3
30.918.113.8
0.00.20.4
6.57.88.5
Oeste0.10.21.0
24.919.510.1
14.814.313.0
Sampaio Correa vs Vila NovaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova0.10.10.5
8.211.121.0
1.10.60.1
9.69.07.5
Sampaio Correa0.0NoNo
94.897.998.7
19.019.419.5
Luverdense vs TupiHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense6.32.61.6
1.03.25.8
10.111.412.1
TupiNoNo0.0
90.086.174.3
18.218.017.3
Goias vs ParanaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana0.50.92.6
13.08.63.4
13.512.811.5
Goias0.70.20.1
10.119.926.2
13.114.314.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.