Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSérie AChance will finish season at seedSérie C
SaturdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
Vasco da GamaWBragantino 2-13511-4-21250.9%+7.395.4%+3.8512513621100000000000001.9+0.300.0%-0.01.599CriciúmaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CRBat Paysandu31110-5-1521.9-5.284.8+0.12228221374211000000000002.9-0.090.0-0.03.567Brasil de PelotasClube de Regatas Brasil
CearáWVila Nova 4-33310-4-3819.9+6.583.7+14.12026241474211000000000003.0+0.840.0-0.02.575at ParanáCeará Sporting Club
Atlético-GOLTupi 0-1298-4-564.6-7.453.5-14.751117211510753221100000004.9-0.910.1+0.04.526Sampaio CorrêaAtlético Clube Goianiense
LondrinaSampaio Corrêa2416-4-620.7-0.217.7+0.71259121211108765432110007.8+0.191.3-0.26.481at AvaíLondrina Esporte Clube
Criciúma267-5-550.6-0.316.2-0.31259111211109765432110007.9+0.051.3-0.17.489at Vasco da GamaCriciúma Esporte Clube
Paraná256-4-7-10.4-0.213.4-1.00247101111109876543211008.4-0.031.8+0.05.476CearáParaná Clube
Náutico247-7-360.3-0.211.5-0.4013691010109876543211008.7+0.022.4+0.09.464TupiClube Náutico Capibaribe
BahiaWLuverdense 1-0247-7-360.2+0.17.4+3.601247891010998764321009.7+1.563.9-5.213.464at BragantinoEsporte Clube Bahia
Brasil de Pelotas246-5-6-10.2-0.16.5-0.2012468999998765431109.9+0.074.7-0.18.464at CRBGrêmio Esportivo Brasil
LuverdenseLBahia 0-1225-5-700.0-0.12.5-2.40012346788999987532011.7-0.9610.7+3.710.440at GoiásLuverdense Esporte Clube
Vila NovaLCeará 3-4216-8-3-10.0-0.12.0-3.20011345678999998642112.1-1.4213.0+5.915.427at PaysanduVila Nova Futebol Clube
PaysanduCRB2014-4-8-50.0-0.02.2-0.10011345678899998642112.1+0.0713.5-0.112.432Vila NovaPaysandu Sport Club
Oeste215-6-6-40.0-0.01.6+0.0000123467889101098753112.4+0.1214.7-0.414.427at JoinvilleOeste Futebol Clube
Avaí205-7-5-10.0-0.01.1-0.00001234567899101010863113.0+0.0918.6-0.417.415LondrinaAvaí Futebol Clube
Goiás184-7-6-40.0-0.00.3+0.000000112345679111213139415.0+0.1138.9-1.511.390LuverdenseGoiás Esporte Clube
Joinville174-8-5-80.00.1+0.0000001112345681012151512515.6+0.0947.5-1.516.378OesteJoinville Esporte Clube
BragantinoLVasco da Gama 1-2174-8-5-40.0-0.00.1-0.200000011123457912151716816.2-0.8455.7+11.218.378BahiaClube Atlético Bragantino
TupiWAtlético-GO 1-0154-10-3-60.00.0+0.000000000011223581218281917.7+0.8277.6-11.319.354at NáuticoTupi Football Club
Sampaio Corrêaat Londrina1112-9-5-150.00.0000000000000011359206019.2-0.0794.3-0.220.321at Atlético-GOSampaio Corrêa Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/22
Vila Nova 3 Ceará 4
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-2.3
-0.4
CRB-1.7
-0.6
Ceará+5.4
+9.4
+0.6
Atlético-GO-0.9
-1.0
Londrina-0.9
Criciúma-0.9
Paraná-0.8
Náutico-0.7
Brasil de Pelotas-0.4
Luverdense-0.3
Vila Nova-2.5
+3.1
-0.9
Paysandu-0.2
Oeste-0.3
Avaí-0.3
Goiás-0.5
Joinville-0.5
Bragantino-0.5
Vasco da Gama 2 Bragantino 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama+5.0
+2.4
+0.2
CRB-2.2
-0.2
Ceará-1.2
-0.3
Atlético-GO-1.1
-0.3
Londrina-0.3
Criciúma-0.3
Paraná-0.2
Náutico-0.2
Bahia-0.2
Luverdense-0.2
Vila Nova-0.2
Paysandu-0.3
Oeste-0.4
Avaí-0.4
Goiás-0.6
Joinville-0.6
Bragantino+3.8
-0.3
Tupi-0.3
Tupi 1 Atlético-GO 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama+1.7
+0.5
CRB+1.2
+0.8
Ceará+0.7
+1.2
Atlético-GO-4.0
-8.4
-0.5
Londrina+1.0
Criciúma+1.0
Paraná+0.9
Náutico+0.8
Bahia+0.3
+0.4
Brasil de Pelotas+0.5
Luverdense+0.4
+0.3
Vila Nova+0.4
+0.3
Paysandu+0.5
Oeste+0.5
Avaí+0.6
Goiás+0.8
Joinville+0.9
Bragantino+0.8
Tupi-5.9
+0.5
Criciúma 3 Paraná 2
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB+0.2
Ceará+0.3
Atlético-GO+0.2
Londrina+0.2
Criciúma+0.2
+3.5
-1.6
+0.8
Paraná-0.6
-4.9
+0.3
-0.6
Goiás+0.2
Joinville+0.2
Bragantino+0.2
Náutico 3 Avaí 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Ceará-0.2
Atlético-GO-0.2
Náutico+2.3
-2.3
+0.8
Avaí-0.9
+2.8
-0.6
Bahia 1 Luverdense 0
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bahia+1.6
-3.3
+0.8
Luverdense-1.6
+1.9
-0.6
Goiás+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs CriciúmaIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama57.045.440.4
97.294.191.5
1.72.12.3
CRB19.524.326.1
85.084.884.0
Ceará17.622.123.6
83.983.882.8
Criciúma0.3*0.61.7
13.016.426.0
1.71.10.4
8.47.96.7
Paysandu vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama53.852.146.9
95.595.595.2
1.91.92.0
CRB16.820.029.0
80.083.990.6
3.23.02.5
Paysandu3.61.61.1
8.214.618.4
11.112.412.9
Paraná vs CearáHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama53.251.947.0
1.91.92.0
Ceará15.418.527.2
78.683.590.7
3.33.02.5
Paraná0.80.30.1
18.911.08.0
0.82.03.0
7.58.79.2
CRB vs Brasil de PelotasHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama48.553.354.8
2.01.91.9
CRB26.317.914.8
89.081.576.7
2.63.13.4
Brasil de Pelotas0.10.10.5
4.66.512.2
5.84.21.8
10.49.98.6
Atlético-GO vs Sampaio CorrêaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO5.83.02.3
59.546.540.9
4.55.35.7
Sampaio CorrêaNoNo0.1
95.694.188.8
19.319.118.7
Avaí vs LondrinaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.40.51.3
13.216.525.7
1.91.20.4
8.47.86.7
Avaí1.80.70.4
12.321.125.8
12.113.413.9
Londrina vs Sampaio CorrêaHomeEmpateAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.90.40.3
21.413.310.6
0.71.82.8
7.28.48.9
Sampaio CorrêaNo0.00.1
95.694.188.8
19.319.118.7
Náutico vs TupiHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico0.50.20.1
14.68.46.5
1.33.24.9
8.19.39.9
TupiNo0.00.1
81.677.165.4
18.017.716.9
Bragantino vs BahiaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.10.10.4
4.96.511.7
5.83.71.5
10.49.88.6
Bragantino45.959.865.5
15.516.516.9
Paysandu vs Vila NovaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova1.21.94.0
16.212.36.4
12.712.010.7
Paysandu3.11.40.9
9.016.220.8
11.312.613.3
Goiás vs LuverdenseHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense1.52.14.5
14.410.35.0
12.411.710.4
Goiás0.50.20.1
29.743.049.6
14.215.415.9
Joinville vs OesteHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste0.91.33.0
19.414.37.4
13.112.511.2
Joinville37.852.058.8
14.916.016.5
Week of 8/2
Ceará vs Vasco da GamaIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama43.252.565.3
93.995.798.1
0.00.0No
2.11.91.6
Ceará26.616.210.1
88.780.876.5
2.63.23.5
Luverdense vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama53.952.046.8
95.595.595.2
1.91.92.0
CRB16.920.129.1
80.084.090.7
3.23.02.5
Luverdense4.21.91.2
6.111.615.0
10.712.012.5
Bahia vs Atlético-GOHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Atlético-GO3.14.07.5
46.152.665.7
5.34.94.1
Bahia10.95.63.6
2.04.66.3
8.810.110.7
Londrina vs BragantinoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.90.40.3
22.013.710.9
0.61.72.8
7.18.38.8
Bragantino0.00.10.3
60.755.041.2
16.616.215.1
Criciúma vs PaysanduHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Criciúma0.90.40.3
20.512.59.7
0.61.72.7
7.38.49.0
Paysandu1.42.14.5
16.412.76.9
12.712.010.7
Tupi vs ParanáHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paraná0.20.30.8
9.211.719.4
2.91.80.7
9.18.57.4
Tupi0.0NoNo
69.580.484.4
17.117.918.2
Oeste vs NáuticoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico0.20.30.7
8.510.918.3
3.32.20.9
9.38.77.6
Oeste2.51.00.6
9.717.321.6
11.612.913.5
Brasil de Pelotas vs AvaíHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas8.54.53.3
2.76.08.6
9.210.511.2
Avaí0.71.12.5
22.017.69.8
13.512.911.6
Vila Nova vs JoinvilleHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova2.81.30.9
8.415.821.1
11.312.613.3
Joinville0.10.10.4
53.646.832.9
16.115.614.5
Sampaio Corrêa vs GoiásHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Goiás0.10.20.6
46.239.827.2
15.615.114.0
Sampaio Corrêa0.0NoNo
91.395.897.2
18.919.319.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.