Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
10/20PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
FortalezaWPaysandu 1-06018-6-81790.2%+8.799.9%+0.59082000001.1+0.14No2.596Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Goias5316-5-1165.8-3.785.4-0.4642231484210000003.0-0.05No3.535Goias Esporte Clube
AvaiTOeste 1-15214-10-8151.6-3.657.0-9.6217201916118521000004.4-0.45No4.526Avai Futebol Clube
Vila NovaWJuventude 1-05113-12-790.9-0.057.4+16.71142121171174210000004.4+0.88No-0.01.518Vila Nova Futebol Clube
CSA5114-9-981.4-1.156.0-0.8114212017128421000004.5-0.02No5.518Brasil de PelotasCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Atletico-GO4813-9-1010.1-0.118.8-1.1026101417161410631000006.6-0.050.0%8.491Atletico Clube Goianiense
LondrinaWSampaio Correa 2-14713-8-1120.0-0.012.4+5.401471115161513953100007.3+1.130.0-0.012.483Londrina Esporte Clube
Ponte Preta4612-10-1070.0-0.06.5-0.6012471115161612852100008.1-0.040.0-0.07.474Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
GuaraniLBoa Esporte 1-24512-9-1140.0-0.14.1-9.400136101315161410742100008.7-1.310.011.465Guarani Futebol Clube
Coritiba4511-12-910.0-0.02.1-0.2001136913151714106310009.5+0.020.0-0.09.465Coritiba Football Club
OesteTAvai 1-1429-15-8-1No-0.00.2-0.400001358121617161262000011.6-0.140.4-0.66.439Oeste Futebol Clube
Figueirense4110-11-110No0.1-0.000001247111517171484100012.0+0.061.1-0.813.430Figueirense Futebol Clube
Criciuma4110-11-11-3No0.1-0.00000123591417181694100012.2+0.031.4-0.910.430Criciuma Esporte Clube
Sao Bento409-13-10-1No0.0-0.00000012369141920148310013.1+0.083.4-1.814.422Esporte Clube Sao Bento
Brasil de Pelotas379-10-13-5No0.0000000013591627201152015.0+0.1518.2-5.217.396at CSAGremio Esportivo Brasil
CRB358-11-13-8NoNo00000013610182618105215.9+0.1635.5-6.915.378Clube de Regatas Brasil
Sampaio CorreaLLondrina 1-2328-8-16-12NoNo000000126132322191417.6-0.4977.0+9.318.352Sampaio Correa Futebol Clube
JuventudeLVila Nova 0-1326-14-12-11NoNo00000015101823261718.0-0.3883.1+6.316.352Esporte Clube Juventude
PaysanduLFortaleza 0-1327-11-14-12NoNo00000001491825251718.0-0.3285.3+4.819.352Paysandu Sport Club
Boa EsporteWGuarani 2-1297-8-17-17NoNo00000014814235019.0+0.6094.5-4.120.326Boa Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/19
CRB 2 Goias 0
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+7.8
Goias-9.5
-6.3
-0.5
Avai+0.8
+1.0
Vila Nova+0.2
+1.5
CSA+0.6
+1.3
Atletico-GO+0.8
Sao Bento+1.0
Brasil de Pelotas+3.8
CRB-19.4
+0.9
Sampaio Correa+5.1
-0.2
Juventude+4.1
Paysandu+3.7
-0.2
Fortaleza 1 Paysandu 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+7.2
+0.5
Goias-3.5
Avai-2.0
Vila Nova-0.5
CSA-1.0
Sao Bento-0.5
Brasil de Pelotas-1.3
CRB-1.7
Sampaio Correa-1.2
Juventude-1.0
Paysandu+6.4
-0.3
Avai 1 Oeste 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+1.4
Goias+0.3
+0.6
Avai-2.0
-5.8
-0.3
Vila Nova+1.3
CSA+1.4
Atletico-GO+1.0
Londrina+0.4
Ponte Preta+0.5
Guarani+0.7
OesteNo
-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Vila Nova 1 Juventude 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias-1.7
Avai-2.5
Vila Nova+0.7
+12.7
*No
+0.7
CSA-3.0
Atletico-GO-1.9
Londrina-0.8
Ponte Preta-0.9
Guarani-1.4
Sao Bento-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas-1.7
CRB-2.1
Sampaio Correa-1.6
Juventude+7.6
-0.4
Paysandu-1.1
Boa Esporte 2 Guarani 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias+1.0
Avai+1.5
Vila Nova+1.6
CSA+1.9
Atletico-GO+1.1
Guarani-8.4
-1.1
Boa Esporte-2.1
+0.3
Sampaio Correa 1 Londrina 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai-0.9
Vila Nova-0.7
CSA-1.0
Atletico-GO-0.7
Londrina+4.7
+0.9
Sao Bento-0.8
Brasil de Pelotas-2.3
CRB-3.1
Sampaio Correa+10.6
-0.5
Juventude-1.6
Paysandu-1.6
Ponte Preta 2 Figueirense 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta+2.9
+1.1
FigueirenseNo
-0.6
+0.6
-0.9
Sao Bento 0 Criciuma 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma-0.2
Sao Bento+0.2
-0.3
CSA vs Brasil de PelotasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai53.959.060.8
4.54.34.3
Vila Nova54.159.361.7
4.54.44.3
CSA2.30.60.3
69.947.838.4
3.84.85.3
Brasil de PelotasNoNo0.0
25.517.75.8
15.515.114.0
Week of 10/26
Fortaleza vs Ponte PretaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza95.787.782.6
1.01.21.2
Goias2.77.29.9
85.885.684.5
Ponte PretaNo0.00.0
2.74.814.8
0.00.0No
8.88.26.9
GuaraniNo0.00.0
4.34.23.8
8.68.78.9
CoritibaNo0.00.0
9.49.59.6
Goias vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza87.192.692.0
Goias10.33.71.9
95.885.073.7
2.43.13.6
Avai0.41.03.5
42.653.475.9
5.14.63.5
Londrina vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai58.459.154.5
4.44.34.5
Vila Nova0.20.42.0
40.054.176.2
5.24.63.6
CSA57.657.953.2
4.44.44.5
Londrina23.78.43.9
No0.00.0
6.27.68.2
Boa Esporte vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO8.012.327.8
7.67.15.8
Boa Esporte87.895.697.5
18.419.119.3
Guarani vs OesteHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani0.00.0No
7.92.11.0
7.69.09.7
Oeste0.00.00.5
0.90.30.0
12.411.710.4
Paysandu vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CoritibaNo0.00.0
0.40.94.0
10.59.98.6
CRB39.434.633.3
16.015.815.8
Paysandu72.288.392.5
17.318.218.5
Figueirense vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.11.02.3
11.012.313.0
Criciuma2.71.20.1
13.212.511.1
Sao Bento vs CRBHomeDrawAway
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sao Bento0.33.27.7
12.213.414.0
CRB47.837.517.7
16.516.014.9
Sampaio Correa74.476.880.7
17.617.617.7
Juventude81.182.786.2
17.918.018.1
Juventude vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB35.132.537.9
15.915.815.9
Sampaio Correa89.481.060.7
18.317.716.8
Juventude71.387.293.5
17.318.218.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.