Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
TuesdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength7/9
BragantinoWAmerica-MG 2-0196-1-11138.2%+10.479.2%+7.8382013964322111000000003.0+0.670.1%-0.22.554at ParanaClube Atletico Bragantino
Londrina165-1-2214.4-2.454.5-4.714151311108754332111000005.0-0.310.5-0.13.517at Operario-PRLondrina Esporte Clube
Botafogo-SPLFigueirense 1-2165-1-2512.9-13.050.9-18.413141311108765432211100005.3-1.430.7+0.39.517Brasil de PelotasBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Ponte Preta154-3-158.9-1.642.0-4.79111111109876543221110006.0-0.321.2-0.21.505OesteAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sport RecifeWCRB 1-0154-3-148.2+3.140.5+10.18111111109876543321110006.2+1.271.3-2.65.505at Sao BentoSport Club do Recife
Atletico-GOWCuiaba 1-0144-2-225.3+2.231.0+9.1589999887654432211007.2+1.452.3-4.27.492Vila NovaAtletico Clube Goianiense
FigueirenseWBotafogo-SP 2-1133-4-113.4+1.523.8+8.1367888888765543221108.1+1.643.7-6.24.480at America-MGFigueirense Futebol Clube
ParanaWOperario-PR 1-0133-4-113.2+1.321.9+6.8356788888766543321108.3+1.484.2-6.16.480BragantinoParana Clube
CoritibaWGuarani 1-0123-3-222.0+0.916.2+5.4245677888877654432119.3+1.556.4-8.28.468at CriciumaCoritiba Football Club
OesteWVitoria 3-0112-5-141.0+0.49.7+3.51234566778887765432110.7+1.6011.3-11.611.455at Ponte PretaOeste Futebol Clube
CRBLSport Recife 0-1103-1-4-10.7-1.37.5-8.51123456677888776543211.4-1.7114.5+4.813.443GuaraniClube de Regatas Brasil
Vila NovaWSao Bento 1-0102-4-200.6+0.37.0+2.71123455677888776653211.5+1.6615.3-14.010.443at Atletico-GOVila Nova Futebol Clube
Brasil de PelotasLCriciuma 0-193-0-5-30.3-0.94.5-6.70112334566788888765312.6-1.8421.6+7.518.431at Botafogo-SPGremio Esportivo Brasil
CriciumaWBrasil de Pelotas 1-092-3-3-20.3+0.24.2+1.90112334566788888775312.7+1.7622.7-17.716.431CoritibaCriciuma Esporte Clube
CuiabaLAtletico-GO 0-182-2-4-30.2-0.52.8-4.30011223456678899987513.5-1.5228.7+7.812.419at VitoriaCuiaba Esporte Clube
Sao BentoLVila Nova 0-172-1-5-40.1-0.31.6-2.900011223445678910101010814.5-1.4537.8+9.614.406Sport RecifeEsporte Clube Sao Bento
Operario-PRLParana 0-172-1-5-40.1-0.21.6-2.900011223345678910101010814.6-1.4738.5+9.915.406LondrinaOperario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
America-MGLBragantino 0-251-2-5-40.0-0.10.5-1.000000111223456791113161916.4-1.0459.0+10.117.382FigueirenseAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
GuaraniLCoritiba 0-151-2-5-50.0-0.10.4-0.900000111223346791114172016.6-1.0761.4+10.720.382at CRBGuarani Futebol Clube
VitoriaLOeste 0-341-1-6-110.0-0.00.2-0.600000011112345681013182717.2-0.9468.8+10.219.369CuiabaEsporte Clube Vitoria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/9
Parana vs BragantinoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino31.235.545.2
73.277.584.9
3.53.12.6
Londrina15.515.113.1
54.354.954.4
Botafogo-SP13.913.511.8
50.751.250.8
Ponte Preta9.69.38.1
41.942.442.0
Sport Recife9.08.77.4
40.440.940.4
Atletico-GO5.85.64.8
30.931.430.9
Parana5.12.81.8
29.120.516.9
2.34.35.6
7.48.59.0
Operario-PR vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino39.638.936.8
79.779.578.7
Londrina10.412.418.2
46.651.261.6
0.90.60.2
5.75.24.4
Botafogo-SP13.513.212.3
51.751.250.1
Ponte Preta9.49.18.5
42.842.441.3
Sport Recife8.78.57.8
41.340.939.8
Atletico-GO5.65.55.1
31.731.430.3
2.4*2.32.2
Figueirense3.63.53.3
24.424.123.2
3.9*3.73.6
Parana3.33.33.0
22.522.221.3
4.4*4.24.0
Coritiba2.12.11.9
16.716.515.8
6.7*6.46.2
CRB7.77.67.2
15.114.514.2
Vila Nova7.37.16.8
15.815.214.9
Brasil de Pelotas4.74.64.3
22.321.521.1
Criciuma4.44.34.0
23.422.622.2
Cuiaba3.02.92.7
29.528.628.2
Sao Bento38.837.737.3
14.614.514.5
Operario-PR0.20.10.0
2.71.30.9
29.639.644.1
13.614.715.2
America-MG59.958.858.4
16.416.416.3
Guarani62.461.360.9
Vitoria69.768.868.3
17.217.217.1
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino37.038.839.4
78.779.579.6
Londrina13.914.715.0
53.854.955.1
Botafogo-SP16.311.09.2
58.047.442.7
0.30.71.1
4.65.56.0
Ponte Preta8.59.19.3
41.442.542.7
Sport Recife7.98.58.6
39.941.041.2
Atletico-GO5.15.55.6
30.431.531.6
Figueirense3.33.53.6
23.324.124.3
3.6*3.73.9
Parana3.03.33.3
21.422.222.4
4.1*4.24.3
Brasil de Pelotas0.20.30.6
3.04.17.2
25.722.014.8
13.212.711.5
Criciuma4.04.34.3
22.4*22.623.2
Cuiaba2.72.92.9
28.3*28.629.2
Sao Bento37.4*37.838.5
Operario-PR38.1*38.539.2
14.514.614.6
America-MG58.6*58.959.7
Guarani61.0*61.462.1
Vitoria68.4*68.869.5
Ponte Preta vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino37.338.738.8
78.879.579.5
Londrina14.014.614.8
53.954.954.9
Botafogo-SP12.513.113.2
50.351.351.3
Ponte Preta11.77.66.1
49.639.034.2
0.61.31.8
5.36.36.8
Sport Recife8.08.48.5
40.041.040.9
Atletico-GO5.25.45.5
30.531.531.4
Oeste0.60.81.7
6.88.914.2
14.311.67.1
11.410.99.6
Sao Bento vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino39.038.637.3
79.779.478.7
Londrina14.814.614.0
55.254.953.7
Botafogo-SP13.313.112.5
51.651.250.1
Ponte Preta9.19.18.6
42.842.441.3
Sport Recife5.77.010.8
33.137.347.7
2.11.40.6
7.06.55.5
Atletico-GO5.55.45.1
31.731.430.3
2.4*2.32.2
Figueirense3.63.53.3
24.324.123.2
3.93.73.6
Parana3.33.23.1
22.422.221.4
4.44.14.1
Coritiba2.12.11.9
16.716.515.8
6.76.46.3
CRB7.77.67.2
15.014.414.2
Vila Nova7.37.16.8
15.815.215.0
Brasil de Pelotas4.74.64.3
22.221.521.1
Criciuma4.34.34.0
23.422.622.2
Cuiaba2.92.92.7
29.428.528.2
Sao Bento0.20.10.0
2.81.41.0
29.139.143.6
13.614.715.1
Operario-PR39.538.437.9
14.614.614.5
America-MG59.958.858.4
Guarani62.361.360.9
Vitoria69.768.768.3
Atletico-GO vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino37.638.538.6
78.879.579.5
Londrina14.214.614.6
53.954.954.9
Botafogo-SP12.713.113.1
50.351.351.3
Ponte Preta8.79.09.1
41.542.542.5
Sport Recife8.18.38.4
40.040.940.9
Atletico-GO7.24.43.5
37.728.224.2
1.32.53.5
6.47.58.0
Vila Nova0.30.51.1
4.86.310.5
18.915.810.1
12.211.710.5
America-MG vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino38.538.437.8
79.679.478.7
Londrina14.614.514.2
55.154.853.8
Botafogo-SP13.113.012.7
51.551.250.2
Ponte Preta9.09.08.8
42.742.441.4
Sport Recife8.48.38.1
41.140.939.9
Atletico-GO5.45.45.2
31.631.330.5
Figueirense2.12.84.8
18.021.129.4
5.64.12.1
8.98.47.3
Parana22.322.121.5
4.44.14.1
Brasil de Pelotas4.74.64.4
22.221.421.2
Criciuma4.34.24.1
23.422.522.3
Cuiaba2.92.92.7
29.428.528.2
Sao Bento38.737.637.4
Operario-PR39.438.338.0
America-MG0.80.40.2
49.660.564.9
15.616.516.9
Guarani62.261.361.0
Vitoria69.668.768.4
17.217.217.1
Criciuma vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba1.21.63.0
11.914.521.4
8.96.83.8
10.19.58.3
Criciuma0.50.20.2
6.33.52.6
16.223.928.0
11.813.013.5
America-MG59.558.858.6
CRB vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB1.00.50.4
10.16.24.9
10.015.919.8
10.511.712.3
Sao Bento37.637.538.4
Operario-PR38.338.239.1
America-MG58.858.659.5
Guarani0.20.30.7
67.662.851.8
17.116.715.8
Vitoria vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba0.10.10.3
1.72.34.1
35.730.521.4
14.313.812.6
Vitoria0.40.20.1
60.370.775.3
16.517.317.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.