Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
SaturdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
JuventudeTLondrina 2-2195-1-4722.7%-7.061.5%-5.52316131086543322111100004.5-0.450.8%+0.12.516GoiasEsporte Clube Juventude
GuaraniWNautico 2-1196-3-1522.0+7.060.4+12.32216121086544322211100004.6+1.250.8-1.46.516at ABCGuarani Futebol Clube
Vila NovaWGoias 2-0185-2-3416.8+6.953.7+15.21715121087654432221110005.3+1.691.3-2.61.504CriciumaVila Nova Futebol Clube
InternacionalWBrasil de Pelotas 1-0174-1-569.7+4.139.2+12.9101010998766544332211106.7+1.832.9-4.63.492Boa EsporteSport Club Internacional
America-MG164-2-436.3-0.930.2-1.4688888776655443322107.8-0.044.9-0.34.480Brasil de PelotasAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
CearaWOeste 3-0154-3-334.0+1.822.1+8.7456777777666554433208.9+1.957.8-8.910.467at ParanaCeara Sporting Club
Santa CruzTFigueirense 1-1144-4-202.8-1.517.4-4.7345666676666665544209.8-0.5810.6+1.08.455at OesteSanta Cruz Futebol Clube
Brasil de PelotasLInternacional 0-1144-4-2-12.7-3.617.2-11.7345666666666665544309.8-1.6510.9+4.39.455at America-MGGremio Esportivo Brasil
Criciuma144-4-2-12.7-0.417.0-1.1345566666666665544209.8-0.0210.9-0.613.455at Vila NovaCriciuma Esporte Clube
GoiasLVila Nova 0-2144-4-202.3-3.415.1-11.42345566666666665543010.2-1.7312.4+5.018.455at JuventudeGoias Esporte Clube
CRB134-5-1-31.5-0.211.2-0.82234455666677776654111.2+0.0216.7-0.916.443at NauticoClube de Regatas Brasil
LondrinaTJuventude 2-2133-3-421.5-0.810.9-3.01234455666677776664111.2-0.4217.1+1.07.443at FigueirenseLondrina Esporte Clube
Parana133-3-411.4-0.210.6-0.81234455666677777665111.3+0.0117.6-0.814.443CearaParana Clube
Paysandu123-4-300.9-0.27.6-0.51223344556667778876112.2+0.0523.0-1.15.431LuverdensePaysandu Sport Club
ABC123-4-3-40.8-0.17.2-0.51223344556667778887112.4+0.0523.9-1.111.431GuaraniABC Futebol Clube
Boa Esporte123-4-3-30.8-0.16.8-0.51123344556667788887112.5+0.0425.0-1.117.431at InternacionalBoa Esporte Clube
OesteLCeara 0-3122-2-6-20.7-1.26.2-6.21122334455667788998212.7-1.5926.7+8.715.431Santa CruzOeste Futebol Clube
Luverdense112-3-5-10.4-0.14.2-0.40112233445567789101110313.6+0.0633.4-1.212.418at PaysanduLuverdense Esporte Clube
FigueirenseTSanta Cruz 1-192-5-3-30.1-0.11.3-0.60001111223345679111523715.8-0.2355.8+2.119.394LondrinaFigueirense Futebol Clube
NauticoLGuarani 1-220-8-2-130.0-0.00.0-0.0000000000000001124127919.6-0.2397.3+2.320.308CRBClube Nautico Capibaribe

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/23
Goias 0 Vila Nova 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude-0.5
-0.2
Guarani-0.3
-0.2
Vila Nova+3.8
+8.8
-1.7
+1.0
America-MG-0.2
-0.3
Brasil de Pelotas-0.2
Goias-2.1
-6.3
+2.6
-0.9
Guarani 2 Nautico 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude-0.9
-0.5
Guarani+3.3
+6.2
-0.9
+0.7
Vila Nova-0.4
-0.6
Internacional-0.2
-0.5
America-MG-0.3
-0.5
Ceara-0.3
Santa Cruz-0.2
-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas-0.3
-0.5
Criciuma-0.2
-0.4
Goias-0.2
-0.5
CRB-0.3
Londrina-0.3
Parana-0.3
Oeste-0.3
Nautico+1.3
-0.1
Londrina 2 Juventude 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude-2.6
-2.4
+0.1
-0.2
Guarani+0.6
+0.3
Vila Nova+0.4
+0.3
Internacional+0.3
+0.3
America-MG+0.3
+0.4
Santa Cruz+0.2
+0.3
Brasil de Pelotas+0.3
+0.3
Goias+0.2
+0.3
Londrina-0.3
-1.2
+0.7
-0.2
Luverdense-0.1
Figueirense*-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas 0 Internacional 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional+2.5
+7.7
-3.0
+1.1
Brasil de Pelotas-2.2
-6.7
+2.5
-0.9
Luverdense 0 America-MG 3
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani-0.2
-0.3
Vila Nova-0.3
America-MG+1.6
+6.1
-4.1
+1.1
Boa Esporte-0.2
Luverdense-0.5
-3.0
+5.7
-0.9
Figueirense-0.2
Criciuma 2 Parana 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Criciuma+0.8
+4.0
-6.4
+1.1
Parana-1.3
-5.0
+3.6
-0.9
Boa Esporte+0.3
Figueirense+0.3
Ceara 3 Oeste 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara+1.0
+4.7
-5.3
+1.1
Oeste-0.7
-3.6
+4.8
-0.9
CRB 2 Paysandu 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB+0.5
+2.8
-7.7
+1.1
Paysandu-0.9
-4.1
+4.6
-0.9
Boa Esporte+0.4
Figueirense+0.4
Santa Cruz 1 Figueirense 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude+0.2
+0.3
Guarani+0.3
Vila Nova+0.3
Internacional+0.2
America-MG+0.2
Santa Cruz-0.8
-2.7
+1.0
-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas+0.3
Criciuma+0.2
Goias+0.2
CRB-0.2
Londrina-0.2
Parana-0.2
Paysandu-0.2
ABC-0.2
Boa Esporte-0.2
Luverdense-0.2
Figueirense-0.3
+1.3
-0.1
Boa Esporte 2 ABC 1
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova+0.2
Criciuma+0.3
CRB+0.4
ABC-0.9
-4.1
+4.8
-1.0
Boa Esporte+0.2
+1.8
-8.8
+1.0
Luverdense+0.3
Figueirense+0.4
Juventude vs GoiasIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude28.220.217.0
69.158.553.1
0.40.81.3
3.94.85.3
Goias1.32.03.9
11.114.121.5
15.612.87.8
11.010.49.0
ABC vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani16.719.727.4
52.557.568.0
1.40.90.4
5.44.94.0
ABC1.50.70.4
10.96.44.8
16.824.928.9
11.212.613.1
Vila Nova vs CriciumaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova21.514.712.1
61.750.545.1
0.61.42.0
4.55.56.1
Criciuma1.62.34.4
12.615.823.8
13.811.36.7
10.710.08.6
Internacional vs Boa EsporteHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional12.78.16.6
46.736.031.3
1.63.24.5
5.97.07.6
Boa Esporte0.40.61.3
4.66.210.5
30.025.817.5
13.212.711.3
America-MG vs Brasil de PelotasHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG8.85.34.1
37.727.523.1
2.85.47.0
6.88.18.7
Brasil de Pelotas1.72.34.2
12.615.823.7
14.111.46.8
10.710.08.7
Parana vs CearaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara2.63.35.8
16.720.128.8
10.78.44.7
9.99.27.9
Parana2.21.10.8
14.99.37.2
12.018.822.5
10.211.612.2
Oeste vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz1.72.34.1
12.815.623.2
14.311.36.6
10.710.08.7
Oeste1.10.50.4
9.05.23.9
19.428.233.1
11.713.013.6
Nautico vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.81.12.2
7.49.214.5
22.418.812.1
12.211.610.3
Nautico0.0No0.0
95.497.698.3
19.419.619.7
Figueirense vs LondrinaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.81.12.2
7.59.314.9
22.618.311.5
12.211.510.2
Figueirense0.20.10.0
2.11.00.7
46.257.763.0
14.916.016.4
Paysandu vs LuverdenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu1.40.70.5
10.76.45.0
16.324.729.6
11.212.513.2
Luverdense0.20.30.7
2.73.66.5
40.234.824.7
14.413.812.5
Week of 7/4
Juventude vs GuaraniIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude29.720.816.2
69.959.353.6
0.40.81.2
3.84.75.2
Guarani16.020.729.5
53.158.769.5
1.20.90.4
5.34.83.8
Oeste vs Vila NovaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova12.414.821.5
45.750.861.7
2.01.40.6
6.05.54.5
Oeste1.20.60.3
9.45.44.0
19.227.832.2
11.612.913.5
Internacional vs CriciumaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Internacional12.98.26.5
47.236.331.2
1.63.24.4
5.87.07.6
Criciuma1.62.34.2
12.515.723.6
13.911.36.7
10.710.08.7
Parana vs America-MGHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG4.35.48.9
23.727.937.9
6.95.22.7
8.78.06.8
Parana2.21.10.8
15.19.37.2
12.018.722.3
10.211.612.2
Figueirense vs CearaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara2.53.35.6
16.519.628.1
11.28.54.8
9.99.38.0
Figueirense0.20.10.0
2.21.00.7
46.157.562.5
14.916.016.4
Santa Cruz vs Brasil de PelotasHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz4.12.31.7
23.115.512.5
6.811.514.3
8.710.110.7
Brasil de Pelotas1.72.24.1
12.615.623.3
14.311.56.8
10.710.18.7
Goias vs LuverdenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias3.31.81.4
19.913.010.6
8.113.617.1
9.210.611.3
Luverdense0.20.30.7
2.73.76.6
39.734.624.7
14.313.812.5
Boa Esporte vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.91.22.4
7.89.915.6
21.617.611.0
12.111.410.0
Boa Esporte1.20.60.4
9.85.84.4
18.026.631.3
11.412.813.4
Paysandu vs LondrinaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina0.91.22.3
7.69.615.2
22.018.011.3
12.111.510.1
Paysandu1.40.70.5
10.96.55.0
16.324.629.0
11.112.513.1
ABC vs NauticoHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
ABC1.20.60.4
9.55.64.4
18.527.031.3
11.512.813.4
Nautico0.0No0.0
98.397.595.3
19.719.619.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.