Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
BragantinoWCriciuma 2-03410-4-31748.5%+7.390.6%+6.5492312742110000000000002.2+0.450.0%-0.01.586Clube Atletico Bragantino
CoritibaWOeste 2-0329-5-31125.5+4.679.2+10.62625171175321100000000003.1+0.700.0-0.13.562Coritiba Football Club
Atletico-GO2818-4-4710.4-4.157.3-2.210161714119754321100000004.6-0.160.1-0.06.529at ParanaAtletico Clube Goianiense
Ponte Preta2617-5-454.2-1.936.2-2.34811121211987543211100006.2-0.100.6-0.14.505Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Sport Recife2616-8-273.6-1.733.1-2.148101212111087643221100006.5-0.080.7-0.12.505at Vila NovaSport Club do Recife
Londrina2517-4-533.0-1.529.6-2.23691111111097654321100006.8-0.080.9-0.25.492at Botafogo-SPLondrina Esporte Clube
Botafogo-SP2417-3-601.6-0.920.4-1.7246891010109875432111007.9-0.031.9-0.310.480LondrinaBotafogo Futebol Clube-SP
Cuiaba2316-5-500.9-0.513.7-1.41246899109987543221108.93.4-0.58.468FigueirenseCuiaba Esporte Clube
Parana2316-5-5-30.9-0.513.3-1.1124678999987643221109.0+0.043.6-0.67.468Atletico-GOParana Clube
CRB2317-2-720.9-0.513.0-1.4124678999987643321109.0-0.013.6-0.513.468Clube de Regatas Brasil
Operario-PR2116-3-7-50.3-0.26.5-0.70123467899998765322110.6+0.088.2-1.09.443GuaraniOperario Ferroviario Esporte Clube
Figueirense2014-8-410.1-0.12.9-0.40012234678999987653212.3+0.1116.0-1.612.431at CuiabaFigueirense Futebol Clube
Brasil de Pelotas1815-3-8-60.0-0.01.1-0.1000112234578991010997514.0+0.1529.9-2.318.406Sao BentoGremio Esportivo Brasil
Vila Nova1814-6-6-20.0-0.01.0-0.1000112234568991010997514.1+0.1730.2-2.611.406Sport RecifeVila Nova Futebol Clube
America-MG1714-5-7-60.0-0.00.6-0.100001122346789101010109714.7+0.1636.8-2.514.394America Futebol Clube-MG
Vitoria1715-2-9-90.0-0.00.6-0.1000011223457891010111110714.8+0.1338.4-2.319.394Esporte Clube Vitoria
OesteLCoritiba 0-2183-9-5-10.0-0.00.3-0.7000001123356781011111211915.3-0.9743.3+9.515.390Oeste Futebol Clube
Sao Bento1614-4-8-50.0-0.00.3-0.0000001112345689101213141215.8+0.1649.8-2.616.382at Brasil de PelotasEsporte Clube Sao Bento
CriciumaLBragantino 0-2174-5-8-80.0-0.00.2-0.4000000112234679101213151316.1-0.8453.6+9.517.378Criciuma Esporte Clube
Guarani1313-4-9-80.00.0-0.00000000001122356913193818.0+0.1479.1-1.920.345at Operario-PRGuarani Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/16
Criciuma 0 Bragantino 2
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+6.7
+4.6
+0.3
Coritiba-2.1
-0.4
Atletico-GO-1.6
-0.5
Ponte Preta-0.8
-0.5
Sport Recife-0.7
-0.5
Brasil de Pelotas-0.6
Vila Nova-0.6
America-MG-0.7
Vitoria-0.7
Oeste-0.7
Sao Bento-0.7
Criciuma-0.3
+5.9
-0.5
Oeste 0 Coritiba 2
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-2.2
-0.5
Coritiba+5.2
+7.2
+0.5
Atletico-GO-1.0
-0.8
Ponte Preta-0.5
-0.9
Sport Recife-0.4
-0.8
Londrina-0.4
-0.8
Brasil de Pelotas-0.6
Vila Nova-0.6
America-MG-0.7
Vitoria-0.7
Oeste-0.5
+6.0
-0.6
Sao Bento-0.7
Criciuma-0.7
Sport Recife 3 Botafogo-SP 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife+1.3
+7.0
-1.0
+0.9
Botafogo-SP-1.8
-7.2
+0.4
-0.7
CRB 0 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.3
+0.8
Atletico-GO+0.9
Ponte Preta+0.8
Sport Recife+0.8
Londrina+0.8
CRB-1.5
-7.1
+1.3
-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas+1.1
Vila Nova+1.1
America-MG+1.2
Vitoria+0.2
-11.3
+0.9
Oeste+1.1
Sao Bento+1.3
Criciuma+1.3
America-MG 2 Cuiaba 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.3
+0.7
Atletico-GO+0.8
Ponte Preta+0.8
Sport Recife+0.8
Londrina+0.7
Cuiaba-1.4
-6.7
+1.1
-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas+1.0
Vila Nova+1.1
America-MG+0.2
-10.8
+0.9
Vitoria+1.3
Oeste+1.1
Sao Bento+1.3
Criciuma+1.2
Londrina 1 Criciuma 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.2
+0.5
Atletico-GO+0.6
Ponte Preta+0.5
Londrina-1.3
-4.0
-0.3
Botafogo-SP+0.5
Vila Nova*-0.1
America-MG-0.2
Vitoria-0.2
Sao Bento-0.1
Criciuma+0.8
-0.1
Sao Bento 2 Parana 1
11:00 AM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.7
Atletico-GO+0.8
Ponte Preta+0.8
Parana-1.3
-6.6
+1.1
-0.9
Brasil de Pelotas+1.1
Vila Nova+1.1
America-MG+1.2
Vitoria+1.2
Oeste+1.1
Sao Bento-10.4
+0.8
Criciuma+1.2
Guarani 0 Vila Nova 2
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova+0.3
-10.3
+0.8
Guarani+8.5
-0.6
Parana vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO7.08.814.2
48.354.566.5
5.34.84.0
Parana1.50.70.4
19.611.98.8
1.73.75.0
7.99.29.7
Ponte Preta vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta6.03.32.5
44.932.927.6
0.20.61.0
5.46.57.0
CRB0.50.71.5
8.711.819.3
5.03.71.7
9.89.28.0
Botafogo-SP vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina1.72.44.6
22.227.438.8
1.40.90.4
7.67.05.9
Botafogo-SP2.61.20.9
27.818.214.1
0.82.02.8
7.08.18.7
Vila Nova vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife2.12.85.1
25.129.840.8
1.20.70.3
7.36.75.7
Vila Nova1.90.80.5
21.031.436.4
13.014.214.7
Cuiaba vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba1.40.60.4
18.611.59.1
1.73.85.3
8.09.29.8
Figueirense1.62.44.8
20.516.59.8
13.012.411.2
Operario-PR vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR0.50.20.1
8.94.93.7
4.99.412.6
9.811.111.6
Guarani84.080.270.0
18.418.117.4
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sao BentoHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas1.70.70.5
21.332.238.8
13.114.314.9
Sao Bento0.10.20.5
58.151.538.3
16.516.014.9
Vitoria vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG0.30.51.1
45.238.526.5
15.514.913.7
Vitoria1.00.40.3
28.540.847.6
14.015.115.7
Week of 8/23
Bragantino vs CoritibaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino59.546.336.7
94.589.786.5
1.82.32.6
Coritiba16.924.736.6
73.778.386.6
3.53.22.6
CRB vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino40.045.056.1
86.289.494.3
2.52.31.9
Coritiba28.927.122.4
78.979.479.3
CRB1.80.70.4
19.412.09.3
1.7*3.64.9
8.09.19.7
Coritiba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino45.850.652.3
90.490.891.0
2.22.12.1
Coritiba30.621.718.4
84.575.871.3
2.73.33.6
Vitoria0.30.51.2
43.7*38.427.0
15.414.913.7
Sport Recife vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO7.19.114.7
48.355.267.5
5.24.83.9
Sport Recife5.52.92.0
42.830.824.8
0.30.71.1
5.66.77.2
Atletico-GO vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO13.58.46.7
64.853.047.7
0.00.10.3
4.14.95.3
Brasil de Pelotas0.60.92.1
35.230.320.2
14.614.112.9
Ponte Preta vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta6.23.42.5
45.933.527.5
0.20.60.9
5.46.47.0
Sport Recife2.13.05.5
25.131.243.1
1.1*0.70.3
7.26.65.6
Brasil de Pelotas vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta2.53.35.9
28.032.644.2
1.00.60.2
7.06.55.5
Brasil de Pelotas2.00.80.5
20.731.036.0
13.014.214.7
Londrina vs Sao BentoHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina4.12.21.6
36.425.621.6
0.41.01.7
6.17.27.7
Sao Bento0.10.20.6
56.150.738.3
16.315.914.8
Guarani vs LondrinaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina1.62.14.1
21.725.636.3
1.71.10.4
7.77.26.1
Guarani70.280.283.7
17.418.118.4
Cuiaba vs Botafogo-SPHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP0.91.32.6
14.618.427.7
2.82.00.8
8.78.16.9
Cuiaba1.40.60.4
19.411.89.0
1.73.75.0
7.99.19.7
Botafogo-SP vs ParanaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP2.51.20.9
27.217.914.2
0.82.02.9
7.08.28.8
Parana0.40.61.5
9.011.919.3
5.13.71.7
9.89.27.9
Figueirense vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB0.40.71.4
8.811.318.1
5.43.91.7
9.99.38.1
Figueirense4.62.31.6
10.117.021.0
11.212.513.1
Vila Nova vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba0.40.61.4
9.211.618.7
5.33.71.6
9.89.28.0
Vila Nova1.80.80.5
21.331.737.0
13.014.314.8
Parana vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana1.30.60.4
17.610.88.6
1.84.05.9
8.29.49.9
Criciuma0.10.10.4
60.454.841.8
16.716.215.2
Operario-PR vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR0.50.20.1
9.45.23.9
4.79.011.8
9.710.911.6
Figueirense1.62.34.7
20.916.79.8
13.112.411.2
Vitoria vs Operario-PRHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Operario-PR0.10.20.5
3.95.29.4
12.08.94.5
11.510.99.7
Vitoria1.00.40.3
28.440.246.2
13.915.115.6
Oeste vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova0.50.71.7
38.431.820.9
14.914.313.1
Oeste0.60.20.1
32.845.552.6
14.415.516.1
Sao Bento vs America-MGHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG0.30.51.1
45.438.726.7
15.514.913.8
Sao Bento0.50.20.1
39.252.459.1
15.016.016.5
America-MG vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG1.00.40.3
28.039.946.4
13.915.015.6
Guarani84.980.570.2
18.518.117.4
Criciuma vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste0.10.20.6
52.645.132.4
16.115.514.4
Criciuma0.30.10.1
42.756.363.2
15.316.316.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.