"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSérie AChance will finish season at seedSérie C
TuesdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
BotafogoTCriciúma 0-0298-2-51430.5%+1.373.7%-1.33019141086432110000000003.3-0.090.0%+0.01.561LuverdenseBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
VitóriaTMacaé 0-0278-4-3913.9-0.153.0-2.914141312119865321100000004.8-0.290.1+0.04.537América-MGEsporte Clube Vitória
América-MGLPaysandu 0-2278-4-3613.9-2.552.4-7.014141312119865322110000004.9-0.580.1+0.06.537at VitóriaAmérica Futebol Clube-MG
NáuticoLParaná 0-2278-4-3312.0-3.249.4-8.7121313121110875432110000005.1-0.710.1+0.08.537MacaéClube Náutico Capibaribe
PaysanduWAmérica-MG 2-0268-5-239.3+5.843.3+17.891112111110976532110000005.6+1.380.1-0.37.525Mogi MirimPaysandu Sport Club
BahiaLSanta Cruz 1-3257-4-447.9-2.039.2-7.881011111110987543211000005.9-0.750.2+0.13.512at ABCEsporte Clube Bahia
Sampaio CorrêaLOeste 0-1257-4-467.3-1.937.6-7.97910111110987543211000006.0-0.780.2+0.12.512at Atlético-GOSampaio Corrêa Futebol Clube
MacaéTVitória 0-0236-4-521.6+0.214.4+0.2234678910101097643110008.6-0.271.3+0.35.488at NáuticoMacaé Esporte Futebol Clube
BragantinoWMogi Mirim 3-2227-7-1-11.3+1.012.4+7.4124567910101098653210009.0+1.481.7-2.611.475CearáClube Atlético Bragantino
Santa CruzWBahia 3-1226-5-431.3+0.911.4+6.4123567891010108754211009.2+1.332.1-2.610.475at OesteSanta Cruz Futebol Clube
OesteWSampaio Corrêa 1-0206-7-2-30.4+0.35.3+3.201223467910111110864311010.8+1.225.1-4.812.451Santa CruzOeste Futebol Clube
CriciúmaTBotafogo 0-0205-5-5-50.3+0.14.1+0.501123457810111110975321011.2-0.226.6+0.79.451at Boa EsporteCriciúma Esporte Clube
ParanáWNáutico 2-0195-6-410.1+0.12.0+1.400112234689111211108642112.5+1.3912.1-11.214.439CRBParaná Clube
CRBLAtlético-GO 0-1185-7-3-10.0-0.00.9-0.800001123457911121211964213.7-1.2820.5+8.715.426at ParanáClube de Regatas Brasil
LuverdenseLBoa Esporte 1-2164-7-4-20.0-0.00.4-0.2000001112357911131312107314.8-1.0132.4+10.016.402at BotafogoLuverdense Esporte Clube
ABCLCeará 0-1164-7-4-60.0-0.00.3-0.4000000112346810121413118415.2-1.5937.5+16.813.402BahiaABC Futebol Clube
Boa EsporteWLuverdense 2-1153-6-6-30.0+0.00.2+0.1000000111235791214151310615.6+0.9043.8-16.017.390CriciúmaBoa Esporte Clube
Mogi MirimLBragantino 2-3133-8-4-100.0-0.00.0-0.0000000000112357101418201717.3-1.2169.2+17.218.365at PaysanduMogi Mirim Esporte Clube
Atlético-GOWCRB 1-0123-9-3-100.00.0+0.000000000001123571117242918.0+0.5180.8-8.520.353Sampaio CorrêaAtlético Clube Goianiense
CearáWABC 1-0112-8-5-100.00.0+0.00000000000011246915243818.4+0.5886.0-7.919.340at BragantinoCeará Sporting Club

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 7/24
Botafogo 0 Criciúma 0
9:50 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-4.8
-4.6
-0.3
Vitória+0.9
+0.6
América-MG+1.0
+0.6
Náutico+1.0
+0.6
Criciúma-0.5
+0.1
Náutico 2 Vitória 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.5
-0.3
Vitória-4.2
-5.8
-0.4
Náutico+2.9
+7.9
+0.6
Paraná 2 Náutico 0
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+1.2
+0.8
Vitória+0.7
+1.0
América-MG+0.8
+1.0
Náutico-4.1
-7.4
-0.5
Bahia+0.5
+1.0
Sampaio Corrêa+0.5
+1.0
Paraná+0.4
-7.3
+0.8
Boa Esporte+1.3
Mogi Mirim+1.3
Paysandu 2 América-MG 0
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.7
América-MG-3.6
-6.4
-0.4
Paysandu+1.6
+6.9
+0.7
Vitória 0 Macaé 0
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+1.0
+0.6
Vitória-3.1
-5.7
-0.4
Macaé+0.3
+0.1
Santa Cruz 3 Bahia 1
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.7
+0.5
Bahia-2.7
-6.8
-0.5
Sampaio Corrêa+0.3
+0.7
Santa Cruz+0.2
+2.4
-2.1
+0.8
Oeste 1 Sampaio Corrêa 0
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória+0.4
+0.8
América-MG+0.5
+0.8
Náutico+0.4
+0.8
Bahia+0.3
+0.8
Sampaio Corrêa-2.7
-7.0
-0.5
Oeste+1.2
-3.9
+0.8
Bahia 1 Botafogo 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.6
+0.0
Vitória+0.8
+0.6
Bahia-2.5
-4.6
-0.3
América-MG 2 Boa Esporte 0
7:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória-0.5
-0.7
América-MG+2.2
+5.8
+0.4
Náutico-0.3
-0.8
Paysandu-0.8
Bahia-0.3
-0.8
Sampaio Corrêa-0.7
Paraná-0.5
CRB-0.5
Boa Esporte+4.1
-0.3
Mogi Mirim-0.5
CRB 3 Paysandu 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória+0.4
+0.8
América-MG+0.3
+0.9
Náutico+0.8
Paysandu-1.9
-6.5
-0.6
Bahia+0.3
+0.9
CRB+0.5
-6.3
+0.7
Boa Esporte+1.1
Sampaio Corrêa 3 ABC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Corrêa+1.4
+5.8
+0.6
ABC-0.5
+2.4
-0.4
Mogi Mirim 2 Bragantino 3
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+0.3
+3.2
-2.5
+1.0
Paraná-1.1
Luverdense-1.0
Boa Esporte-1.2
Mogi Mirim+9.5
-0.6
Criciúma 0 Santa Cruz 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz-0.2
-0.3
+0.0
Criciúma-1.6
+0.9
-0.5
Luverdense 1 Oeste 1
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste-0.2
-0.5
+0.0
Luverdense-0.4
+2.9
-0.4
Atlético-GO 1 CRB 0
9:50 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
CRB-0.7
+4.1
-0.7
Atlético-GO-4.8
+0.4
ABC 0 Ceará 1
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
ABC-0.4
+9.3
-0.9
Ceará-5.3
+0.5
Bragantino 2 Atlético-GO 1
9:50 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino+1.0
-3.0
+0.6
Atlético-GO+3.3
-0.2
Ceará 2 Mogi Mirim 3
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Mogi Mirim-11.6
+0.8
Ceará+6.0
-0.5
Boa Esporte 2 Luverdense 1
7:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense-0.3
+5.9
-0.6
Boa Esporte-9.0
+0.6
Week of 7/31
Santa Cruz vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo24.629.139.9
67.773.282.7
3.83.42.7
Santa Cruz2.10.90.5
16.19.36.8
1.02.43.4
8.49.610.1
Botafogo vs LuverdenseHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Botafogo35.225.021.2
78.868.463.2
3.03.74.1
Luverdense0.20.31.0
36.031.020.4
15.114.713.7
Vitória vs América-MGHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória18.111.07.9
61.147.740.7
4.25.25.7
América-MG10.4*13.922.0
46.153.166.1
5.34.83.9
Ceará vs VitóriaHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Vitória9.711.919.0
44.549.962.5
5.55.04.1
Ceará0.00.0No
79.687.790.2
18.018.618.8
CRB vs NáuticoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico8.510.617.2
41.947.360.1
5.75.24.3
CRB1.50.60.4
13.722.527.0
12.914.014.4
América-MG vs ParanáHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
América-MG17.110.78.6
59.046.240.7
4.45.35.8
Paraná0.10.10.4
1.3*2.04.3
14.311.46.1
12.912.411.2
Náutico vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Náutico15.19.17.1
56.643.437.1
4.55.56.1
Macaé1.01.63.5
11.114.824.1
1.71.10.4
9.18.57.3
Luverdense vs PaysanduHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu6.38.113.6
35.840.953.8
6.25.74.7
Luverdense0.70.20.1
23.735.040.2
14.015.115.5
ABC vs BahiaHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bahia5.46.911.9
32.036.949.5
0.30.20.1
6.56.15.0
ABC0.50.20.1
28.440.445.8
14.515.415.8
Paysandu vs Mogi MirimHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu11.56.75.2
49.236.631.6
0.00.20.4
5.16.16.6
Mogi Mirim72.968.155.7
17.517.216.4
Atlético-GO vs Sampaio CorrêaHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Corrêa4.76.110.7
29.934.847.3
0.40.20.1
6.76.35.2
Atlético-GO73.583.086.3
17.518.218.4
Bahia vs Boa EsporteHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bahia10.15.74.4
45.333.128.3
0.10.30.5
5.46.46.9
Boa Esporte0.10.10.5
48.342.730.5
16.015.614.6
Sampaio Corrêa vs BragantinoHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Sampaio Corrêa9.55.34.0
44.531.926.5
0.10.30.5
5.46.57.1
Bragantino0.81.32.8
9.312.620.9
2.11.50.6
9.58.97.7
Oeste vs Santa CruzHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Santa Cruz0.81.12.4
8.510.918.2
2.82.00.8
9.89.28.0
Oeste0.60.20.2
7.43.82.7
3.06.28.3
10.011.311.8
Macaé vs Atlético-GOHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Macaé2.21.00.7
17.910.78.4
0.71.82.8
8.09.29.7
Atlético-GO84.080.370.0
18.318.017.3
Bragantino vs CearáHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Bragantino1.80.80.5
15.49.17.0
0.92.23.4
8.49.610.1
CearáNo0.00.1
88.685.776.8
18.618.417.8
Criciúma vs OesteHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Oeste0.20.40.9
3.75.09.4
6.64.82.2
11.310.89.5
Criciúma0.50.20.1
5.72.92.0
4.18.110.6
10.511.712.3
Boa Esporte vs CriciúmaHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Criciúma0.20.20.6
2.63.67.0
9.16.33.0
11.911.310.2
Boa Esporte34.847.853.9
15.015.916.3
Paraná vs CRBHomeEmpateAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
Paraná2.81.30.9
8.014.719.0
11.813.013.5
CRB0.50.81.8
24.619.711.4
14.213.612.5
Mogi Mirim vs ABCHomeEmpateAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Série A100.0*Série C100.0*Average seed
ABC0.10.20.6
44.237.024.8
15.715.214.2
Mogi Mirim61.373.879.5
16.817.517.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.