Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
FortalezaWBoa Esporte 2-14313-4-41779.9%+2.298.9%+0.880144110000000000000001.3+0.070.0%-0.01.617at CRBFortaleza Esporte Clube
CSAWSao Bento 1-03710-7-4711.3+1.178.6+8.91136201285321100000000003.3+0.580.0-0.02.548at OesteCentro Sportivo Alagoano
Atletico-GOWCoritiba 1-0349-7-543.0+0.549.2+11.631417151210865322110000005.2+1.080.1-0.55.514at GuaraniAtletico Clube Goianiense
Goias3310-3-832.3-1.444.3-3.521116151311975432111000005.6-0.150.2-0.16.503Sao BentoGoias Esporte Clube
GuaraniWSampaio Correa 2-0329-5-751.1+0.131.7+8.617111212111087643221100006.6+1.230.5-1.39.491Atletico-GOGuarani Futebol Clube
Avai328-8-5101.0-0.729.0-3.316101212111097654321100006.8-0.110.6-0.14.491JuventudeAvai Futebol Clube
Vila Nova318-7-630.6-0.521.3-2.91479101110109765432110007.7-0.081.1-0.23.480at Sampaio CorreaVila Nova Futebol Clube
Figueirense308-6-720.4-0.315.3-2.403578910109876543211008.5-0.052.0-0.311.468at Boa EsporteFigueirense Futebol Clube
Ponte Preta298-5-820.2-0.210.2-1.7023568999998754321009.5+0.013.4-0.612.457at LondrinaAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
CoritibaLAtletico-GO 0-1297-8-610.2-0.69.0-9.5013567899998765421009.8-1.294.2+1.67.457at CriciumaCoritiba Football Club
Criciuma277-6-820.1-0.04.1-0.80012356789999876531011.3+0.109.3-1.310.434CoritibaCriciuma Esporte Clube
OesteTJuventude 0-0276-9-6-40.0-0.13.2-2.200123456789910987642011.9-0.3811.5+0.28.434CSAOeste Futebol Clube
JuventudeTOeste 0-0265-11-5-30.0-0.01.8-1.20011233567891010109863112.8-0.2217.1-0.313.422at AvaiEsporte Clube Juventude
Brasil de Pelotas256-7-8-30.0-0.01.1-0.300011234567891011111084113.5+0.1423.2-2.217.411PaysanduGremio Esportivo Brasil
Sao BentoLCSA 0-1255-10-6-20.0-0.01.0-1.800011223467891011111084113.6-0.9424.2+5.914.411at GoiasEsporte Clube Sao Bento
Paysandu246-6-9-80.0-0.00.6-0.2000011223467810111212116214.4+0.1731.5-2.716.400at Brasil de PelotasPaysandu Sport Club
Londrina246-6-9-40.0-0.00.5-0.1000011223457810111213127214.6+0.1634.1-2.618.400Ponte PretaLondrina Esporte Clube
CRB225-7-9-80.0-0.00.1-0.000000011123457912151913616.0+0.1853.7-2.715.377FortalezaClube de Regatas Brasil
Boa EsporteLFortaleza 1-2174-5-12-140.0-0.00.0-0.00000000000001124613304218.8-0.1991.5+3.020.319FigueirenseBoa Esporte Clube
Sampaio CorreaLGuarani 0-2174-5-12-100.0-0.00.0-0.00000000000001123613304318.8-0.3091.8+4.219.319Vila NovaSampaio Correa Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/17
Fortaleza 2 Boa Esporte 1
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+4.6
+0.8
No
+0.1
CSA-1.9
Atletico-GO-0.5
Goias-0.8
Avai-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas-0.3
Sao Bento-0.3
Paysandu-0.3
Londrina-0.4
CRB-0.3
Boa EsporteNo
+2.5
-0.2
CSA 1 Sao Bento 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-2.3
CSA+3.3
+7.7
+0.5
Atletico-GO-0.2
-0.9
Goias-0.3
-0.8
Guarani-0.7
Avai-0.8
Vila Nova-0.7
Figueirense-0.6
Coritiba-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas-0.5
Sao Bento-1.3
+4.6
-0.7
Paysandu-0.6
Londrina-0.6
CRB-0.7
Atletico-GO 1 Coritiba 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.6
CSA-0.2
-0.5
Atletico-GO+1.3
+10.1
-0.4
+0.9
Goias-0.6
Avai-0.6
Vila Nova-0.5
Coritiba-0.4
-6.1
+1.2
-0.9
Figueirense 1 Goias 2
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO-0.3
Goias+1.2
+10.8
-0.6
+1.1
Avai-0.3
Vila Nova-0.3
Figueirense-0.8
-8.7
+0.7
-0.9
Vila Nova 0 CRB 0
8:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA+0.5
Atletico-GO+0.6
Goias+0.5
Guarani+0.5
Avai+0.6
Vila Nova-0.5
-4.5
+0.1
-0.4
Figueirense+0.5
Coritiba+0.4
Juventude-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas-0.2
Sao Bento-0.1
Paysandu-0.2
Londrina-0.2
CRB+1.2
-0.1
Sampaio Correa 0 Guarani 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CSA-0.8
Atletico-GO-0.8
Goias-0.9
Guarani+0.5
+6.5
-1.0
+0.8
Avai-0.8
Vila Nova-0.7
Figueirense-0.6
Coritiba-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas-0.3
Paysandu-0.4
Londrina-0.4
CRB-0.4
Sampaio Correa+3.7
-0.3
Oeste 0 Juventude 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Oeste-1.2
+1.0
-0.3
Juventude-0.6
+0.7
-0.2
Londrina 2 Paysandu 1
7:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas+0.6
Paysandu-1.0
+8.2
-0.9
Londrina-12.0
+0.9
CRB+0.6
CRB vs FortalezaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza72.076.284.6
97.998.699.5
0.0NoNo
1.51.41.2
CSA15.213.28.9
CRB0.40.10.1
39.553.559.4
15.016.116.5
Oeste vs CSAHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza82.981.576.9
CSA7.39.215.1
70.675.985.5
3.83.52.9
Oeste5.82.61.7
6.011.715.2
10.712.012.6
Guarani vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO1.72.34.7
38.846.761.2
5.95.44.4
Guarani1.90.80.5
42.628.922.4
0.20.50.9
5.76.87.4
Goias vs Sao BentoHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias3.41.61.1
53.339.733.8
0.1*0.20.4
4.95.96.4
Sao Bento0.50.82.1
29.924.614.8
14.313.812.5
Avai vs JuventudeHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai1.60.70.5
37.225.020.4
0.20.61.1
6.07.27.7
Juventude0.81.43.5
22.017.49.8
13.512.911.6
Sampaio Correa vs Vila NovaHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova0.20.40.9
13.817.227.5
2.11.30.4
8.78.16.9
Sampaio Correa0.0NoNo
86.392.694.5
18.418.919.1
Boa Esporte vs FigueirenseHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.10.20.6
9.312.020.4
3.62.30.9
9.59.07.7
Boa Esporte0.0NoNo
85.892.394.3
18.318.819.0
Criciuma vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba0.10.10.3
5.47.313.6
6.44.41.8
10.710.08.6
Criciuma6.73.22.1
4.910.113.3
10.211.612.3
Londrina vs Ponte PretaHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta0.10.10.3
6.28.214.8
5.73.61.4
10.49.88.4
Londrina1.00.40.2
23.436.042.2
13.614.815.3
Brasil de Pelotas vs PaysanduHomeDrawAway
7:15 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas1.90.80.5
14.425.132.0
12.513.814.5
Paysandu0.30.41.2
40.332.920.4
15.214.613.3
Week of 8/25
Fortaleza vs LondrinaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza84.676.171.9
99.598.697.9
NoNo0.0
1.21.41.5
CSA8.913.215.3
Londrina0.30.51.3
39.333.521.6
15.114.613.4
CSA vs CriciumaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza77.181.683.0
CSA14.89.17.2
85.175.570.0
2.93.53.9
Criciuma2.33.57.6
12.29.34.5
12.011.410.1
Atletico-GO vs CRBHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO4.22.11.5
57.643.938.1
0.0*0.10.3
4.65.66.0
CRB0.00.10.4
60.354.440.3
16.516.115.1
Vila Nova vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Goias1.21.83.7
34.241.756.0
0.40.20.1
6.35.74.7
Vila Nova1.10.40.3
30.418.813.8
0.41.21.8
6.67.98.5
Ponte Preta vs GuaraniHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Guarani0.50.81.8
23.228.741.7
0.90.50.2
7.46.85.7
Ponte Preta0.40.10.1
15.88.65.8
1.53.65.2
8.39.710.4
Sao Bento vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Avai0.50.71.6
20.725.437.5
1.10.60.2
7.77.16.0
Sao Bento2.00.80.4
15.225.130.6
12.613.814.4
Figueirense vs Brasil de PelotasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense0.60.20.1
21.012.49.6
0.82.23.5
7.68.99.5
Brasil de Pelotas0.50.92.2
29.324.114.2
14.313.712.4
Coritiba vs OesteHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Coritiba0.30.10.1
13.27.15.2
1.94.66.7
8.710.110.8
Oeste1.62.55.4
15.812.06.0
12.712.110.7
Juventude vs Boa EsporteHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Juventude2.71.20.8
11.119.525.1
11.913.213.8
Boa EsporteNoNo0.0
94.692.385.4
19.018.918.3
Paysandu vs Sampaio CorreaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Paysandu1.00.40.2
22.735.342.0
13.614.815.3
Sampaio CorreaNoNo0.0
95.192.786.1
19.118.918.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Vilhena for adding this league.