How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro vs Ceara-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Ceara vs CSA+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Gremio vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Avai vs Gremio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs Atletico-MG+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
CSA vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chapecoense vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Cruzeiro vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Avai-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-114YesYes100No291,251*
9129-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,381*
9028-6-4YesYes100No2,631*
8928-5-5100.0Yes1000No4,530*
8827-7-4100.0Yes1000No8,220*
8727-6-5100.0Yes1000No14,196*
8627-5-6100.0Yes1000No24,022*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No40,470*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No65,690*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No106,298*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No167,842*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No260,982*
8024-8-699.6Yes1000No398,765*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No600,527*
7824-6-899.0Yes9910No886,232*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No1,288,545*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No1,847,686*
7523-6-996.3Yes96400No2,598,245*
7422-8-894.5Yes95500No3,603,908*
7322-7-992.0Yes928000No4,921,924*
7221-9-888.6Yes8911000No6,621,141*
7121-8-984.1Yes8415100No8,768,530*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No11,443,080*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No14,704,431*
6820-8-1062.2Yes62326000No18,634,026*
6720-7-1152.2100.0%523791000No23,256,332*
6619-9-1041.4100.041411520000No28,608,569*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No34,683,559*
6419-7-1220.7100.0214028920000No41,408,490*
6318-9-1112.6100.013343316410000No48,763,646*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No56,588,589*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No64,753,165*
6017-9-121.096.91822312410300000No73,002,438*
5917-8-130.391.003132629197200000No81,112,035*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No88,850,777*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No95,935,621*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No102,111,626*
5515-10-130.014.1000031123282210300000No107,104,264*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%110,741,097*
5315-8-15No0.7000141224282092000000.0112,826,451*
5214-10-14No0.10000141224282092000000.0113,273,630*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.0112,067,376*
5014-8-16No0.0000014132528198200000.3109,238,504*
4913-10-15No0.000001514252818710001.6104,940,980*
4813-9-16No0.000000151627281761006.899,267,646*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.792,520,440*
4612-10-16NoNo0000029213024112037.484,909,383*
4512-9-17NoNo000013122631206158.576,734,307*
4412-8-18NoNo000001517313014276.468,271,655*
4311-10-17NoNo000029253523688.559,821,082*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.151,572,825*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.243,746,518*
4010-10-18NoNo0001521433099.436,520,314*
3910-9-19NoNo0000214424299.829,977,835*
389-11-18NoNo000193753100.024,199,925*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.019,203,138*
369-9-20NoNo00032573100.014,983,652*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.011,482,802*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.08,636,569*
338-9-21NoNo000990100.06,377,516*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes4,625,403*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes3,288,041*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes2,292,939*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes1,569,370*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes1,047,962*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes685,997*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes438,886*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes276,471*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes167,667*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes100,025*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes58,402*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes33,048*
204-8-26NoNo0100Yes18,199*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes9,683*
183-9-26NoNo0100Yes4,963*
173-8-27NoNo0100Yes2,507*
0-16NoNo100Yes291,928*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%2,329,708,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship