How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife vs Ceara-1.5-0.6+2.0
-5.5-1.7+7.1
+4.5+1.0-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PR-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Bahia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-GO-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Goias vs Sao Paulo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gremio vs Fluminense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Coritiba vs Internacional-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara vs Gremio+1.9-0.7-1.6
+6.7-2.1-5.9
-5.2+1.3+4.9
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sport Recife-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Botafogo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atletico-GO vs Flamengo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Athletico-PR vs Goias-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internacional vs Santos-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bahia vs Coritiba-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Atletico-MG vs Corinthians-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Palmeiras-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-114YesYes100No38,270*
8627-5-699.9%Yes1000No2,806*
8526-7-599.9Yes1000No4,769*
8426-6-699.9Yes1000No7,933*
8326-5-799.9Yes1000No12,397*
8225-7-699.8Yes1000No20,087*
8125-6-799.7Yes1000No31,236*
8024-8-699.7Yes1000No47,094*
7924-7-799.3Yes9910No71,417*
7824-6-898.9Yes9910No105,627*
7723-8-798.4Yes9820No153,497*
7623-7-897.5Yes9820No219,151*
7523-6-996.3Yes9640No308,407*
7422-8-894.5Yes9450No428,437*
7322-7-992.0Yes92800No586,075*
7221-9-888.6Yes891100No787,450*
7121-8-984.0Yes841510No1,041,664*
7021-7-1078.2Yes7820200No1,360,963*
6920-9-970.9Yes71263000No1,750,081*
6820-8-1062.1Yes62326000No2,217,292*
6720-7-1152.1Yes52379100No2,765,225*
6619-9-1041.4100.0%4141152000No3,400,218*
6519-8-1130.6100.031432151000No4,125,799*
6419-7-1220.8100.021402892000No4,927,576*
6318-9-1112.5100.013343316410000No5,796,995*
6218-8-126.699.87253523820000No6,732,431*
6117-10-112.999.1315313016510000No7,701,440*
6017-9-121.096.9182231241030000No8,684,483*
5917-8-130.391.003132630197200000No9,646,865*
5816-10-120.078.301517282715510000No10,565,545*
5716-9-130.057.7002820292513410000No11,414,960*
5616-8-140.033.60002921292311310000No12,150,574*
5515-10-130.014.1000031122282210300000No12,741,978*
5415-9-14No4.0000131123282193000000.0%13,170,098*
5315-8-15No0.7000141223282092000000.013,419,702*
5214-10-14No0.100014122428209200000.013,467,033*
5114-9-15No0.0000014132428208200000.013,328,863*
5014-8-16No0.000001413252819820000.312,995,517*
4913-10-15No0.000001514262818710001.612,476,366*
4813-9-16NoNo0000151627281761006.811,803,932*
4713-8-17NoNo0000171828271441018.811,004,073*
4612-10-16NoNo000029213024112037.410,102,170*
4512-9-17NoNo00013122631206158.59,127,244*
4412-8-18NoNo00001517313014276.48,123,667*
4311-10-17NoNo00029253523688.57,113,220*
4211-9-18NoNo000141734331295.16,136,551*
4111-8-19NoNo00021029402098.25,202,201*
4010-10-18NoNo001521433099.44,343,514*
3910-9-19NoNo000214424299.83,569,041*
3810-8-20NoNo00193753100.02,876,780*
379-10-19NoNo00053163100.02,286,333*
369-9-20NoNo0032572100.01,782,451*
359-8-21NoNo0011980100.01,363,750*
348-10-20NoNo0011486100.01,028,501*
338-9-21NoNo00990Yes757,753*
328-8-22NoNo00693Yes549,323*
317-10-21NoNo00496Yes391,541*
307-9-22NoNo0397Yes272,389*
297-8-23NoNo0298Yes185,980*
286-10-22NoNo0199Yes124,326*
276-9-23NoNo0199Yes81,356*
266-8-24NoNo0100Yes51,566*
255-10-23NoNo0100Yes32,492*
245-9-24NoNo0100Yes20,158*
235-8-25NoNo0100Yes11,963*
224-10-24NoNo0100Yes6,777*
214-9-25NoNo0100Yes3,958*
0-20NoNo100Yes38,909*
Total:5.0%30.0%5555555555555555555520.0%277,098,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship