How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara 1 CRB 0 +2.8
+10.1
-0.2
+0.8
America-MG 1 Nautico 0 -0.9
-0.4
-0.0
Vila Nova 1 Boa Esporte 0 -0.4
-0.6
Internacional 3 Londrina 1 -0.4
-0.6
Brasil de Pelotas 1 Guarani 0 +0.1
+0.5
Oeste 1 Paysandu 3 +0.4
Parana 1 ABC 0 -0.5
-0.0
Londrina 4 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.1
Figueirense 1 Goias 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa Esporte vs Ceara-3.6-1.7+3.9
-9.8-3.3+9.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.7-0.2+0.7
Ceara vs Nautico+2.7-2.5-4.2
+7.1-6.0-11.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Goias vs America-MG+2.0+0.9-1.5
+0.5+0.3-0.4
America-MG vs Criciuma-1.5+0.9+1.8
+0.1+0.3-0.5
Internacional vs Paysandu-0.8+0.5+1.0
-0.7+0.6+0.8
ABC vs Internacional+1.0+0.6-0.7
+1.3+0.6-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vila Nova vs ABC-0.5+0.5+0.8
-1.0+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventude vs Vila Nova+0.4+0.4-0.6
-0.3+0.8-0.2
Parana vs Juventude*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.9-0.6
Paysandu vs Parana+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.5-0.9
Criciuma vs Oeste-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.5+0.5+0.3
Luverdense vs Londrina+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.4-0.7
CRB vs Luverdense-0.5+0.3+0.5
Santa Cruz vs CRB+0.5+0.3-0.6
Figueirense vs Guarani+0.6+0.3-0.6
Guarani vs Santa Cruz-0.5+0.3+0.5
Oeste vs Boa Esporte+0.1+0.4-0.4
Brasil de Pelotas vs Goias-0.1+0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ceara finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-L-Ewins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
85-88YesYes100No3,067*
8416-0-299.7%Yes1000No344
8316-1-1YesYes100No1,053
8215-0-399.7Yes1000No1,806*
8115-1-299.3Yes991No4,650
8015-2-198.5Yes982No8,490*
7914-1-397.4Yes973No15,452*
7814-2-295.9Yes9640No29,262*
7713-1-493.4Yes9370No47,205*
7613-2-390.0Yes901000No77,632*
7513-3-285.6Yes861400No122,394*
7412-2-479.3Yes792010No179,371*
7312-3-371.9Yes722620No261,436*
7212-4-263.3100.0%6333300No364,432*
7111-3-453.3100.05340600No486,154*
7011-4-343.1100.043461010No636,071*
6910-3-532.7100.033491710No799,892*
6810-4-423.299.9234924300No967,342*
6710-5-315.399.7154532700No1,145,646*
669-4-59.098.9938391210No1,303,556*
659-5-44.897.15294320300No1,439,942*
649-6-32.292.922042297100No1,548,734*
638-5-50.884.91113637132000No1,612,233*
628-6-40.372.2062640225100No1,629,044*
618-7-30.155.102163731112000No1,596,149*
607-6-50.036.10182836216100No1,513,639*
597-7-40.019.6003173330133000No1,395,856*
586-6-60.08.4001824342492000No1,247,290*
576-7-5No2.70031328311861000No1,078,368*
566-8-4No0.60015173028144100No906,399*
555-7-6No0.10018213025113000No733,759*
545-8-5No0.000021023302292000No576,595*
535-9-4No0.000031225302072000No437,230*
524-8-6NoNo0014142729186100No321,847*
514-9-5NoNo001516292815410No226,964*
504-10-4NoNo00171930271330000.0%154,222*
493-9-6NoNo002922322492000.1100,904*
483-10-5NoNo003112732206100.763,398*
473-11-4NoNo001416313114302.838,479*
462-10-6NoNo00172334268108.822,044*
452-11-5NoNo02123135173020.011,892*
442-12-4NoNo01519392970036.56,379*
432-13-3NoNo02113337152053.83,074*
421-12-5NoNo052440265070.21,430*
411-13-4NoNo21141341186.8584*
401-14-3NoNo7304615292.8250*
390-13-5NoNo6234721293.694*
380-14-4NoNo8294221Yes24*
370-15-3NoNo404020Yes5*
360-16-2NoNo6733Yes3
340-18-0NoNo0124543Yes2,874
Total:9.8%59.1%10161816129653221100000000.1%23,124,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship