How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Nautico 1 Chapecoense 1 -0.2
-1.2
+0.3
-0.2
Cuiaba 3 Oeste 0 -0.1
-0.3
-0.2
America-MG 0 Figueirense 1 +0.1
+0.4
+0.4
Ponte Preta 1 Operario-PR 1 +0.3
Avai 2 Sampaio Correa 5 +0.1
+0.1
CSA 3 Cruzeiro 1 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chapecoense vs CSA-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.4
Botafogo-SP vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Sampaio Correa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sampaio Correa vs Figueirense+0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba vs Nautico-0.6-0.2+1.0
-3.2-0.8+5.6
+2.1+0.1-3.3
-0.7-0.1+1.1
Sampaio Correa vs Nautico-0.5-0.3+0.6
-3.6-1.6+4.1
+3.2+0.6-3.1
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Brasil de Pelotas vs Parana+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Operario-PR vs Cuiaba+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Chapecoense vs America-MG-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Parana vs Chapecoense-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Confianca-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.3
CRB vs America-MG+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
CSA vs Juventude+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Juventude vs Operario-PR-0.1+0.3-0.1
Botafogo-SP vs CRB+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Vitoria vs CSA-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Vitoria vs Oeste-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Confianca vs Brasil de Pelotas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Figueirense vs Guarani-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.0-0.2+0.1
Avai vs Figueirense+0.1-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Sampaio Correa+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Oeste vs Botafogo-SP+0.0-0.2+0.1
Cruzeiro vs Avai+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nautico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
88-98YesYes100No212,445*
8723-4-199.8%Yes1000No416*
8623-3-299.9Yes1000No900*
8523-2-399.6Yes1000No1,973*
8422-4-299.6Yes1000No3,920*
8322-3-399.4Yes991No7,707*
8221-5-298.9Yes991No14,801*
8121-4-398.4Yes9820No27,895*
8021-3-497.6Yes9820No50,664*
7920-5-396.2Yes9640No90,337*
7820-4-494.3Yes9460No156,038*
7720-3-591.8Yes92800No261,810*
7619-5-488.1Yes881200No429,018*
7519-4-583.6100.0%8416100No686,033*
7418-6-477.9100.07821200No1,070,599*
7318-5-570.8100.07126300No1,630,926*
7218-4-662.6100.063325000No2,439,360*
7117-6-553.4100.053388100No3,554,864*
7017-5-643.599.9444213200No5,078,071*
6917-4-733.799.83444193000No7,097,155*
6816-6-624.599.32544256100No9,711,688*
6716-5-716.598.3174032112000No13,018,529*
6615-7-610.296.01033361740000No17,095,619*
6515-6-75.791.5625372471000No21,994,132*
6415-5-82.883.83173430133000No27,750,474*
6314-7-71.272.311027342161000No34,294,186*
6214-6-80.457.2051933281230000No41,568,943*
6114-5-90.140.5021127322061000No49,381,400*
6013-7-80.024.90151932281330000No57,542,719*
5913-6-90.012.80021126322171000No65,714,490*
5813-5-100.05.400151730291441000No73,623,681*
5712-7-90.01.800029233223920000No80,873,967*
5612-6-100.00.4000031428301851000No87,125,222*
5512-5-11No0.1000161931271230000No92,002,204*
5411-7-10No0.00000210243122820000No95,288,879*
5311-6-11No0.000014142830175100000.0%96,700,914*
5210-8-10No0.00001619312713300000.096,260,324*
5110-7-11No0.000002102431229200000.093,917,170*
5010-6-12NoNo0000414273018610000.089,792,638*
499-8-11NoNo00001618302714410000.084,109,295*
489-7-12NoNo000292231241020000.377,175,197*
479-6-13NoNo0000313263019710001.469,369,218*
468-8-12NoNo000151729281541004.761,028,771*
458-7-13NoNo0000292231241020012.452,561,571*
448-6-14NoNo000031327311961025.644,276,065*
437-8-13NoNo00016193128133043.236,495,019*
427-7-14NoNo00002102533226161.629,400,494*
417-6-15NoNo0001517323013277.323,145,401*
406-8-14NoNo000210273622488.317,795,329*
396-7-15NoNo00015193631994.713,354,711*
386-6-16NoNo00021132391697.99,768,413*
375-8-15NoNo001625432599.36,971,828*
365-7-16NoNo000318443599.84,840,367*
355-6-17NoNo00111414699.93,273,169*
344-8-16NoNo00073657100.02,151,481*
334-7-17NoNo0042967100.01,371,743*
324-6-18NoNo0022375100.0846,831*
313-8-17NoNo0011782100.0506,697*
303-7-18NoNo001288Yes293,043*
293-6-19NoNo00892Yes163,401*
283-5-20NoNo0595Yes87,499*
272-7-19NoNo0397Yes45,164*
262-6-20NoNo0298Yes22,311*
252-5-21NoNo199Yes10,352*
241-7-20NoNo199Yes4,655*
231-6-21NoNo199Yes1,936*
14-22NoNo100Yes213,288*
Total:1.2%11.9%124567888887665432217.8%1,705,755,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship