How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta 2 Goias 1 +0.9
+0.5
Londrina 1 Remo 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Nautico vs Brusque+6.8-3.4-8.4
+3.0-1.1-4.0
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Operario-PR vs Coritiba+3.1+1.6-3.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Guarani+0.7+0.6-1.0
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Avai vs Brasil-RS-0.7+0.5+0.9
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Avai vs Remo-0.8+0.5+0.8
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Sampaio Correa vs CRB+0.1+0.4-0.4
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Botafogo vs CSA+0.0+0.1-0.1
CSA vs Vitoria-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Average seed
Coritiba vs Nautico-10.4-1.2+10.7
-3.1-0.5+3.3
-0.3-0.0+0.3
Brusque vs Coritiba+2.7+1.6-3.1
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Guarani vs Vila Nova-0.9+0.6+1.0
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Vitoria vs Avai+0.9+0.5-0.8
+0.4+0.2-0.4
CRB vs Ponte Preta-0.4+0.3+0.5
-0.3+0.2+0.4
Goias vs Operario-PR-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Brusque vs Confianca-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Brasil-RS vs Sampaio Correa+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.3
Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Remo vs CSA*+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nautico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
98-104YesYes100No170,070*
9722-2-1100.0%Yes1000No17,590
9622-1-2100.0Yes1000No34,336*
9521-3-1100.0Yes1000No71,562*
9421-2-2100.0Yes1000No139,385*
9320-4-1100.0Yes1000No249,903*
9220-3-2100.0Yes1000No453,023*
9120-2-3100.0Yes1000No766,274*
9019-4-2100.0Yes1000No1,257,455*
8919-3-399.9Yes1000No2,017,862*
8818-5-299.9Yes1000No3,084,008*
8718-4-399.9Yes10000No4,614,208*
8618-3-499.8Yes10000No6,685,690*
8517-5-399.7Yes10000No9,384,377*
8417-4-499.5Yes9910No12,862,187*
8316-6-399.2Yes9910No17,099,936*
8216-5-498.7Yes9910No22,156,270*
8116-4-598.0Yes9820No27,999,527*
8015-6-496.9Yes9730No34,464,643*
7915-5-595.5Yes95500No41,382,135*
7815-4-693.4Yes93700No48,538,886*
7714-6-590.6100.0%919000No55,533,530*
7614-5-686.9100.08713000No62,051,501*
7513-7-582.1100.08217100No67,767,678*
7413-6-676.1100.076231000No72,287,468*
7313-5-768.9100.06928300No75,384,310*
7212-7-660.6100.061355000No76,833,116*
7112-6-751.2100.0514081000No76,562,536*
7012-5-841.499.94145131000No74,618,089*
6911-7-731.699.83247193000No71,066,203*
6811-6-822.599.522462661000No66,214,177*
6711-5-914.798.5154132101000No60,310,376*
6610-7-88.796.2933371730000No53,715,405*
6510-6-94.691.5524382571000No46,777,800*
649-8-82.183.22163431143000No39,817,845*
639-7-90.870.61927352271000No33,123,428*
629-6-100.354.404183329133000No26,934,351*
618-8-90.136.9021026332271000No21,400,222*
608-7-100.021.4004173129154000No16,608,106*
598-6-110.010.3002923322392000No12,588,417*
587-8-100.04.000041428301751000No9,303,428*
577-7-110.01.2000172031261230000No6,721,881*
567-6-12No0.300021125322171000No4,731,300*
556-8-11No0.000141630291540000No3,245,476*
546-7-12No0.000018213225102000No2,169,006*
536-6-13No0.00003122732196100No1,410,866*
525-8-12NoNo0015173129143000No893,872*
515-7-13NoNo00182333249200No549,377*
505-6-14NoNo00031328311851000.0%329,168*
494-8-13NoNo0016193228123000.0190,752*
484-7-14NoNo0021025332281000.1106,939*
474-6-15NoNo0041529311651000.658,211*
463-8-14NoNo017203226112002.730,823*
453-7-15NoNo002112632207107.715,391*
443-6-16NoNo015183028153018.77,558*
433-5-17NoNo02924302491034.83,496*
422-7-16NoNo14142931164152.11,588*
412-6-17NoNo0182134269169.6700*
402-5-18NoNo1315283416281.1297*
392-4-19NoNo19222537689.797*
381-6-18NoNo534638894.637*
371-5-19NoNo838468Yes13*
360-7-18NoNo204040Yes5*
350-6-19NoNo100Yes1
340-5-20NoNo100Yes1
290-0-25NoNo0694Yes158,312
Total:52.2%91.9%522311632110000000000000.0%1,272,972,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship