How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense 0 Oeste 0 -0.0
+1.1
-0.1
Ceara 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1 -0.3
Nautico 0 Internacional 1 -0.4
+0.0
Figueirense 2 ABC 0 +1.9
-0.1
Goias 2 Paysandu 1 +1.9
Londrina 1 Santa Cruz 1 -0.3
+0.0
CRB 1 Criciuma 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brasil de Pelotas vs LuverdenseNoNo+0.0
+9.0+1.4-13.0
-0.6-0.1+0.9
Parana vs Nautico-0.2*+0.0+0.7
Vila Nova vs CRB-0.5+0.1+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Santa Cruz vs Ceara+2.7-0.2-1.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Londrina-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Criciuma vs Figueirense-1.5-0.3+2.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Boa Esporte vs Goias-1.4-0.2+2.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Paysandu vs Guarani+1.0-0.2-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Luverdense vs Ceara+0.0NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-13.0+0.8+7.8
+0.9-0.1-0.5
Luverdense vs Figueirense+0.0NoNo
-13.0+2.3+12.8
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Internacional vs Santa Cruz-1.2+0.1+3.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Juventude vs Paysandu-0.9*+0.0+1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Brasil de Pelotas vs Juventude+0.5*+0.0-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Figueirense vs Parana+2.8-0.2-1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Vila Nova vs Brasil de Pelotas-0.4*+0.0+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Oeste vs Guarani-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Santa Cruz vs America-MG+2.9*-0.0-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
ABC vs Goias-2.3-0.8+1.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Goias vs Nautico+1.7-1.0-1.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Boa Esporte vs Paysandu-0.8-0.2+1.1
CRB vs ABC+0.6-0.3-0.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Londrina vs CRB-0.4*-0.1+0.5
Guarani vs Criciuma+0.4*-0.0-0.3
Criciuma vs Londrina-0.2*+0.0+0.2
Nautico vs Boa Esporte+0.2-0.2*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Luverdense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleSerie A1234567891011121314151617181920Serie CCount
6713-0-010.0%98.7%103938121No2,648
6512-1-01.480.411137311811No138
6412-0-10.471.40729352270No276
6311-2-00.354.802153830142No599
6211-1-1No34.01726362461No2,223
6111-0-2No17.50314323413200No3,500*
6010-2-1No6.7016233626810No8,591
5910-1-2No2.30212313515300No18,304*
589-3-1No0.50052036289100No30,000*
579-2-2No0.10110293519400No59,592*
569-1-3No0.000418353011200No99,526*
558-3-2NoNo018253622610No152,816*
548-2-3NoNo00314323216400No251,457*
538-1-4NoNo01621342710200No362,563*
527-3-3NoNo001102734216100No501,915*
517-2-4NoNo00031531311640000.0%703,975*
506-4-3NoNo0016203328112000.0499,016
7-1-5NoNo0016203327112000.0392,998*
496-3-4NoNo002925342271000.01,106,001*
486-2-5NoNo003133033174000.4918,284
5-5-3NoNo003143133163000.3429,262*
475-4-4NoNo001519352810201.6982,182*
6-1-6NoNo0015203528102001.7533,982
465-3-5NoNo00192736215005.91,284,253
4-6-3NoNo00192836205005.3382,859*
455-2-6NoNo0003153433132015.31,119,524
4-5-4NoNo0003163432132014.5666,002*
444-4-5NoNo00172538255030.11,120,275
5-1-7NoNo00172538245029.7652,904*
434-3-6NoNo002143536130049.31,295,401
3-6-4NoNo002153635120047.5424,129*
424-2-7NoNo00062643241067.9960,509
3-5-5NoNo0162643231066.9650,478*
413-4-6NoNo0021542383082.3896,177
4-1-8NoNo0021642373081.6503,524*
403-3-7NoNo001835517091.9883,403
2-6-5NoNo01836496091.2298,959*
393-2-8NoNo003245913096.8567,924
2-5-6NoNo003255912096.7386,139*
382-4-7NoNo01156221198.9714,126*
372-3-8NoNo0085931299.7511,254*
362-2-9NoNo0035142499.9349,756*
351-4-8NoNo0140518100.0217,134*
341-3-9NoNo0295713Yes125,754*
331-2-10NoNo0195922Yes69,261*
320-4-9NoNo0115732Yes32,652*
310-3-10NoNo65044Yes13,539*
300-2-11NoNo24157Yes5,274
290-1-12NoNo12872Yes1,508
280-0-13NoNo01882Yes2,794
Total:0.0%0.0%000000012346811131516165037.9%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship