Hidden Valley Voltigeurs Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50

Lost to MOS 41.1-54.7, playoff odds down 6.7 to 23.1%

6 points 3-8-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the HVV finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

24	9	-	0	-	0	In		2	9	47	2	35		4	0					11,573
23	8	-	0	-	1	In		0	2	20	5	50	0	22	1					6,406
22	8	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	0	1	8	5	46	1	34	5	0				90,913
	7	-	0	-	2	In			0	7	5	47	1	35	5					1,751
21	7	-	1	-	1	99.6			0	1	2	22	3	53	20	0				51,300
	6	-	0	-	3	In				1	1	25	4	52	18					310
20	7	-	2	-	0	97.4			0	0	1	10	5	49	33	3	0	0		364,443
	6	-	1	-	2	97.3				0	1	9	4	49	35	3				12,564
	5	-	0	-	4	In						3		51	46					37
19	6	-	2	-	1	87.6					0	1	2	29	56	12	0	0		178,970
	5	-	1	-	3	87.1						1	2	30	54	12	1			1,764
	4	-	0	-	5	In									100					2
18	6	-	3	-	0	68.7					0	0	1	15	53	28	3	0	0	848,158
	5	-	2	-	2	67.2						0	1	14	53	29	4	0		37,563
	4	-	1	-	4	72.7							1	15	57	23	4			150
17	5	-	3	-	1	34.1						0	0	2	32	46	18	2	0	357,889
	4	-	2	-	3	34.2								3	32	46	17	2	0	4,401
	3	-	1	-	5	42.9								14	29	43	14			7
16	5	-	4	-	0	14.7							0	1	14	40	34	10	1	1,273,955
	4	-	3	-	2	13.8							0	0	13	40	35	10	1	63,619
	3	-	2	-	4	14.8								1	14	35	37	13	1	284
15	4	-	4	-	1	2.5								0	3	20	45	28	4	448,218
	3	-	3	-	3	2.5								0	2	21	44	29	4	5,910
	2	-	2	-	5	7.7									8	15	38	38		13
14	4	-	5	-	0	0.6								0	1	8	34	44	13	1,273,852
	3	-	4	-	2	0.5									0	8	34	44	14	63,556
	2	-	3	-	4	0.4									0	8	31	46	15	279
13	3	-	5	-	1	0.0									0	1	18	52	29	357,610
	2	-	4	-	3	Out										2	17	51	30	4,355
	1	-	3	-	5	Out												75	25	8
12	3	-	6	-	0	0.0									0	0	8	43	49	847,293
	2	-	5	-	2	0.0									0	0	7	44	49	37,815
	1	-	4	-	4	Out											6	42	52	153
11	2	-	6	-	1	Out										0	2	31	67	179,596
	1	-	5	-	3	Out										0	2	29	69	1,790
	0	-	4	-	5	Out													100	1
10	2	-	7	-	0	Out										0	1	18	81	364,202
	1	-	6	-	2	Out											0	18	81	12,462
	0	-	5	-	4	Out											4	15	81	27
9	1	-	7	-	1	Out											0	10	90	51,098
	0	-	6	-	3	Out												7	93	268
8	1	-	8	-	0	Out											0	5	95	90,733
	0	-	7	-	2	Out												5	95	1,870
7	0	-	8	-	1	Out												2	98	6,263
6	0	-	9	-	0	Out												1	99	11,705

Total:						23.1	%	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	15	17	19	22	19	7,065,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

24	9	-	0	-	0	2	9	47	2	35		4	0
23	8	-	0	-	1	0	2	20	5	50	0	22	1
22	8	-	1	-	0	0	1	8	5	46	1	34	5	0
	7	-	0	-	2		0	7	5	47	1	35	5
21	7	-	1	-	1		0	1	2	22	3	53	20	0
	6	-	0	-	3			1	1	25	4	52	18
20	7	-	2	-	0		0	0	1	10	5	49	33	3	0	0
	6	-	1	-	2			0	1	9	4	49	35	3
	5	-	0	-	4					3		51	46
19	6	-	2	-	1				0	1	2	29	56	12	0	0
	5	-	1	-	3					1	2	30	54	12	1
	4	-	0	-	5								100
18	6	-	3	-	0				0	0	1	15	53	28	3	0	0
	5	-	2	-	2					0	1	14	53	29	4	0
	4	-	1	-	4						1	15	57	23	4
17	5	-	3	-	1					0	0	2	32	46	18	2	0
	4	-	2	-	3							3	32	46	17	2	0
	3	-	1	-	5							14	29	43	14
16	5	-	4	-	0						0	1	14	40	34	10	1
	4	-	3	-	2						0	0	13	40	35	10	1
	3	-	2	-	4							1	14	35	37	13	1
15	4	-	4	-	1							0	3	20	45	28	4
	3	-	3	-	3							0	2	21	44	29	4
	2	-	2	-	5								8	15	38	38
14	4	-	5	-	0							0	1	8	34	44	13
	3	-	4	-	2								0	8	34	44	14
	2	-	3	-	4								0	8	31	46	15
13	3	-	5	-	1								0	1	18	52	29
	2	-	4	-	3									2	17	51	30
	1	-	3	-	5											75	25
12	3	-	6	-	0								0	0	8	43	49
	2	-	5	-	2								0	0	7	44	49
	1	-	4	-	4										6	42	52
11	2	-	6	-	1									0	2	31	67
	1	-	5	-	3									0	2	29	69
	0	-	4	-	5												100
10	2	-	7	-	0									0	1	18	81
	1	-	6	-	2										0	18	81
	0	-	5	-	4										4	15	81
9	1	-	7	-	1										0	10	90
	0	-	6	-	3											7	93
8	1	-	8	-	0										0	5	95
	0	-	7	-	2											5	95
7	0	-	8	-	1											2	98
6	0	-	9	-	0											1	99

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	0	6	15	17	19	22	19