Happy Adventure Sunshine Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50
Lost to KRL 39.1-42.1, playoff odds down 8.8 to 47.7%
8 points 4-7-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| SUN 39.1 KRL 42.1 | -12.4 | -0.5 | ||
| HVV 41.1 MOS 54.7 | +3.0 | |||
| PRO 37.9 NOL 44.4 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| ETO 38.1 MAN 45.6 | -0.7 | |||
| NIA 44.4 AMS 28.8 | +0.7 | |||
| QBC 43.5 COR 51.3 | -0.7 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NIA vs SUN | -11.6-0.6+11.6 | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | ||
| HVV vs QBC | -2.3+0.4+2.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| NOL vs AMS | +1.5-0.4-1.5 | |||
| KRL vs MOS | -1.3+0.4+1.3 | |||
| MAN vs COR | -0.9*+0.1+0.8 | |||
| PRO vs ETO | -0.7-0.9+0.8 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the SUN finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 26 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 23 | 21 | 47 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 11,599 | |||||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 13 | 52 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 6,433 | ||||||||
| 24 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 8 | 40 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 90,894 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1,813 | ||||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 51,398 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 15 | 7 | 51 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 291 | |||||||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 363,589 | |||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 2 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 12,809 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 4 | 52 | 37 | 7 | 27 | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 53 | 22 | 0 | 179,399 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 0 | 1,840 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 100 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 848,688 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 37,873 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 98.8 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 39 | 1 | 171 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 91.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 60 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 358,961 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 92.3 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 4,352 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 90.9 | 9 | 9 | 73 | 9 | 11 | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 73.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,275,279 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 73.5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 63,103 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 70.6 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 27 | 3 | 293 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 41.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 448,822 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 41.2 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 5,899 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 38.5 | 8 | 31 | 54 | 8 | 13 | ||||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1,270,425 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 62,588 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 15.8 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 30 | 10 | 292 | |||||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 3 | 357,542 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 4 | 4,474 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 20 | 10 | 10 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 848,871 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 13 | 37,748 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2.0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 32 | 14 | 152 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 30 | 179,392 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 3 | 18 | 50 | 30 | 1,782 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 25 | 75 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 52 | 363,733 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | 12,773 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 7 | 31 | 62 | 29 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 26 | 73 | 51,267 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 4 | 26 | 71 | 304 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 90,574 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 1,810 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 96 | 6,229 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 98 | 11,577 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 47.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 7,065,136 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| SUN 39.1 KRL 42.1 | +0.5 | |
| PRO 37.9 NOL 44.4 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NIA vs SUN | +0.5+0.1-0.5 | |
| HVV vs QBC | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 26 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 23 | 21 | 47 | 0 | 9 | 0 | |||||||
| 25 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | ||||||
| 24 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ||||||
| 23 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 25 | 2 | |||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 51 | 1 | 24 | 1 | |||||||
| 22 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 0 | ||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 2 | 39 | 7 | 0 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 4 | 52 | 37 | 7 | ||||||||||
| 21 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 53 | 22 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 53 | 21 | 0 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 36 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 37 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 6 | 2 | 51 | 39 | 1 | |||||||||
| 19 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 60 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 59 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 9 | 9 | 73 | 9 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 58 | 24 | 3 | 0 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 27 | 3 | |||||||||
| 17 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 43 | 14 | 1 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 8 | 31 | 54 | 8 | ||||||||||
| 16 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 1 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 1 | 15 | 44 | 30 | 10 | |||||||||
| 15 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 3 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 20 | 10 | |||||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 14 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 32 | 14 | |||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 30 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 30 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 25 | 75 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 52 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 52 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 7 | 31 | 62 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 73 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 4 | 25 | 71 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0 | 11 | 89 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 96 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 2 | 98 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 7 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
