Manchester Steel Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50

Beat ETO 45.6-38.1, playoff odds up 7.7 to 25.9%

6 points 3-8-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the MAN finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

24	9	-	0	-	0	In		1	28	31	35	4	0	0						11,563
23	8	-	0	-	1	In		0	11	12	62	10	4	0						6,379
22	8	-	1	-	0	In		0	7	5	61	15	11	2	0					91,361
	7	-	0	-	2	In			5	4	63	16	11	1						1,850
21	7	-	1	-	1	100.0	%		1	0	47	11	34	6	1	0				51,042
	6	-	0	-	3	In			0		49	11	32	7	0					296
20	7	-	2	-	0	99.5			0	0	31	6	46	11	5	1	0			363,846
	6	-	1	-	2	99.5			0	0	31	6	47	11	5	0				12,904
	5	-	0	-	4	In					28	3	56	11	3					36
19	6	-	2	-	1	94.5			0		12	1	48	13	21	5	0	0		179,380
	5	-	1	-	3	95.1					14	0	48	13	20	5	0			1,729
	4	-	0	-	5	In					25		25		50					4
18	6	-	3	-	0	77.6			0		5	0	36	8	29	19	4	0	0	848,517
	5	-	2	-	2	77.3			0		5	0	35	8	29	19	3	0		37,938
	4	-	1	-	4	73.5					5		32	6	31	25	2			170
17	5	-	3	-	1	42.7					1	0	16	2	24	38	17	2	0	358,857
	4	-	2	-	3	43.9					1		17	2	24	37	17	2	0	4,468
	3	-	1	-	5	50.0								8	42	33	8		8	12
16	5	-	4	-	0	18.7					0		7	0	11	35	34	11	1	1,272,102
	4	-	3	-	2	17.9					0		7	0	11	35	35	11	1	63,300
	3	-	2	-	4	18.8							9	0	9	34	34	13	1	320
15	4	-	4	-	1	3.7					0		1	0	2	19	44	29	4	449,827
	3	-	3	-	3	3.9							1	0	2	19	42	30	5	5,876
	2	-	2	-	5	Out										9	27	45	18	11
14	4	-	5	-	0	0.8					0		0	0	0	7	32	44	16	1,271,120
	3	-	4	-	2	0.7							0		0	7	32	44	16	62,915
	2	-	3	-	4	Out										6	33	49	12	300
13	3	-	5	-	1	0.0							0		0	1	16	49	33	358,164
	2	-	4	-	3	0.1							0		0	1	16	48	35	4,447
	1	-	3	-	5	Out												17	83	6
12	3	-	6	-	0	0.0							0		0	0	6	38	55	848,550
	2	-	5	-	2	0.0							0		0	0	6	38	56	37,786
	1	-	4	-	4	Out											11	28	61	149
11	2	-	6	-	1	Out										0	2	25	73	179,599
	1	-	5	-	3	Out											1	26	74	1,751
	0	-	4	-	5	Out												33	67	3
10	2	-	7	-	0	Out										0	0	13	87	363,554
	1	-	6	-	2	Out											0	13	87	12,714
	0	-	5	-	4	Out												24	76	34
9	1	-	7	-	1	Out											0	5	94	51,107
	0	-	6	-	3	Out												7	93	294
8	1	-	8	-	0	Out											0	2	98	90,933
	0	-	7	-	2	Out												2	98	1,808
7	0	-	8	-	1	Out												0	100	6,361
6	0	-	9	-	0	Out												0	100	11,753

Total:						25.9	%	0	0	0	4	1	11	2	8	14	18	21	21	7,065,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

24	9	-	0	-	0	1	28	31	35	4	0	0
23	8	-	0	-	1	0	11	12	62	10	4	0
22	8	-	1	-	0	0	7	5	61	15	11	2	0
	7	-	0	-	2		5	4	63	16	11	1
21	7	-	1	-	1		1	0	47	11	34	6	1	0
	6	-	0	-	3		0		49	11	32	7	0
20	7	-	2	-	0		0	0	31	6	46	11	5	1	0
	6	-	1	-	2		0	0	31	6	47	11	5	0
	5	-	0	-	4				28	3	56	11	3
19	6	-	2	-	1		0		12	1	48	13	21	5	0	0
	5	-	1	-	3				14	0	48	13	20	5	0
	4	-	0	-	5				25		25		50
18	6	-	3	-	0		0		5	0	36	8	29	19	4	0	0
	5	-	2	-	2		0		5	0	35	8	29	19	3	0
	4	-	1	-	4				5		32	6	31	25	2
17	5	-	3	-	1				1	0	16	2	24	38	17	2	0
	4	-	2	-	3				1		17	2	24	37	17	2	0
	3	-	1	-	5							8	42	33	8		8
16	5	-	4	-	0				0		7	0	11	35	34	11	1
	4	-	3	-	2				0		7	0	11	35	35	11	1
	3	-	2	-	4						9	0	9	34	34	13	1
15	4	-	4	-	1				0		1	0	2	19	44	29	4
	3	-	3	-	3						1	0	2	19	42	30	5
	2	-	2	-	5									9	27	45	18
14	4	-	5	-	0				0		0	0	0	7	32	44	16
	3	-	4	-	2						0		0	7	32	44	16
	2	-	3	-	4									6	33	49	12
13	3	-	5	-	1						0		0	1	16	49	33
	2	-	4	-	3						0		0	1	16	48	35
	1	-	3	-	5											17	83
12	3	-	6	-	0						0		0	0	6	38	55
	2	-	5	-	2						0		0	0	6	38	56
	1	-	4	-	4										11	28	61
11	2	-	6	-	1									0	2	25	73
	1	-	5	-	3										1	26	74
	0	-	4	-	5											33	67
10	2	-	7	-	0									0	0	13	87
	1	-	6	-	2										0	13	87
	0	-	5	-	4											24	76
9	1	-	7	-	1										0	5	94
	0	-	6	-	3											7	93
8	1	-	8	-	0										0	2	98
	0	-	7	-	2											2	98
7	0	-	8	-	1											0	100
6	0	-	9	-	0											0	100

Total:						0	0	0	4	1	11	2	8	14	18	21	21