Providence Marksmen Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50
Lost to NOL 37.9-44.4, playoff odds down 3.3 to 87.1%
12 points 6-5-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| PRO 37.9 NOL 44.4 | -4.6 | -0.6 | ||
| HVV 41.1 MOS 54.7 | +1.1 | |||
| SUN 39.1 KRL 42.1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| ETO 38.1 MAN 45.6 | -0.3 | +0.1 | ||
| QBC 43.5 COR 51.3 | -0.3 | +0.1 | ||
| NIA 44.4 AMS 28.8 | +0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| PRO vs ETO | +6.2+1.9-6.3 | +0.7-0.0-0.7 | ||
| NIA vs SUN | +1.3+0.3-1.3 | |||
| HVV vs QBC | -1.1+0.4+1.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| NOL vs AMS | +0.7*+0.0-0.7 | |||
| KRL vs MOS | -0.7+0.5+0.6 | |||
| MAN vs COR | -0.5*+0.2+0.5 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the PRO finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 30 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 11,753 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 60 | 21 | 18 | 0 | 6,526 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 44 | 24 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 91,190 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 41 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 1,737 | ||||||||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 21 | 25 | 46 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 51,401 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 18 | 23 | 53 | 5 | 274 | ||||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 10 | 19 | 51 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 364,355 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 10 | 19 | 51 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 12,771 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 11 | 19 | 44 | 7 | 19 | 27 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 2 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 179,446 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 2 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 34 | 5 | 1,792 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 847,915 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 4 | 29 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 37,712 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 5 | 29 | 5 | 47 | 15 | 173 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 357,914 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 12 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 4,498 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 25 | 13 | 63 | 8 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 4 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1,271,785 | |||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 3 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 63,339 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 4 | 40 | 2 | 329 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 63 | 7 | 0 | 447,628 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 63 | 7 | 0 | 5,858 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | 21 | 71 | 7 | 14 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 98.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,272,458 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 62,613 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 97.7 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 21 | 2 | 309 | |||||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 94.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 52 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 358,443 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 94.2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4,490 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | 13 | 38 | 50 | 8 | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 68.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 850,052 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 70.1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 37,744 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 69.0 | 1 | 25 | 43 | 27 | 4 | 158 | |||||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 43.2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 179,077 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 41.0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1,715 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 364,588 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 12.9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 12,705 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 11.1 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 36 | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 4 | 51,132 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 33 | 6 | 325 | |||||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 48 | 20 | 91,132 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 47 | 19 | 1,772 | |||||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 15 | 51 | 33 | 6,353 | |||||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 36 | 61 | 11,576 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 87.1 | % | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7,065,136 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 12/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| PRO 37.9 NOL 44.4 | +0.6 | |
| ETO 38.1 MAN 45.6 | -0.1 | |
| NIA 44.4 AMS 28.8 | +0.1 | |
| QBC 43.5 COR 51.3 | -0.1 | |
| SUN 39.1 KRL 42.1 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| PRO vs ETO | -0.7+0.0+0.7 | |
| HVV vs QBC | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 30 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 80 | 13 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||
| 29 | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 60 | 21 | 18 | 0 | |||||||||
| 28 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 44 | 24 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 41 | 24 | 32 | 2 | ||||||||||
| 27 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 21 | 25 | 46 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 5 | ||||||||||
| 26 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 1 | 17 | 1 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 1 | 18 | 1 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 7 | 19 | |||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 3 | 34 | 5 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 12 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 6 | 48 | 0 | 12 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 5 | 29 | 5 | 47 | 15 | |||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 1 | 28 | 0 | |||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 52 | 1 | 27 | 0 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 25 | 13 | 63 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 4 | 45 | 2 | 0 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 3 | 46 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 4 | 40 | 2 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 63 | 7 | 0 | |||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 63 | 7 | 0 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 21 | 71 | 7 | |||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 22 | 1 | 0 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 21 | 2 | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 52 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 13 | 38 | 50 | |||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 1 | 25 | 43 | 27 | 4 | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | |||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 3 | ||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 44 | 29 | 4 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 33 | 6 | |||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 48 | 20 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 47 | 19 | |||||||||
| 13 | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 33 | |||||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 61 | |||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:48 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
