Etobicoke Nighthawks Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50

Lost to MAN 38.1-45.6, playoff odds down 1 to 95.9%

14 points 7-4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the ETO finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

32	9	-	0	-	0	In		95	4	1										11,635
31	8	-	0	-	1	In		89	8	4										6,356
30	8	-	1	-	0	In		76	14	10		0								90,830
	7	-	0	-	2	In		75	14	11		0								1,794
29	7	-	1	-	1	In		58	21	21	0	1								50,828
	6	-	0	-	3	In		64	18	18		1								322
28	7	-	2	-	0	In		40	24	34	0	3		0						363,639
	6	-	1	-	2	In		39	24	35	0	2								12,677
	5	-	0	-	4	In		47	30	23										30
27	6	-	2	-	1	In		20	24	48	0	8		0						179,035
	5	-	1	-	3	In		21	24	49	0	7		0						1,820
	4	-	0	-	5	In			50	50										2
26	6	-	3	-	0	In		9	19	53	2	18	0	0						849,955
	5	-	2	-	2	In		9	18	54	1	18		0						37,830
	4	-	1	-	4	In		10	21	48	1	19		1						146
	3	-	0	-	6	In				100										1
25	5	-	3	-	1	In		2	10	48	4	34	0	2						358,414
	4	-	2	-	3	In		2	11	48	4	33		2						4,368
	3	-	1	-	5	In			17		17	67								6
24	5	-	4	-	0	In		0	5	31	8	49	0	7	0					1,274,233
	4	-	3	-	2	In		0	4	31	7	50	0	7	0					62,696
	3	-	2	-	4	In			5	34	8	45	0	7						281
	2	-	1	-	6	In						100								1
23	4	-	4	-	1	In		0	1	14	8	59	1	16	0					446,883
	3	-	3	-	3	In			1	14	9	58	1	16	0					5,992
	2	-	2	-	5	In				12	6	65		18						17
22	4	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	0	0	4	7	48	6	34	2	0				1,272,800
	3	-	4	-	2	100.0			0	3	6	50	5	34	2	0				62,983
	2	-	3	-	4	In			0	3	8	48	4	35	2					321
21	3	-	5	-	1	99.9			0	0	2	32	10	50	5	0	0			358,103
	2	-	4	-	3	100.0			0	0	2	31	11	49	6	0				4,451
	1	-	3	-	5	In						20		80						5
20	3	-	6	-	0	98.4			0	0	1	10	13	54	21	2	0			848,708
	2	-	5	-	2	98.7			0	0	1	10	13	55	20	1	0			37,658
	1	-	4	-	4	99.4					1	10	16	49	23	1				154
19	2	-	6	-	1	93.7					0	2	9	47	36	6	0	0		179,675
	1	-	5	-	3	93.4					0	2	9	46	36	6	0			1,842
	0	-	4	-	5	In								100						1
18	2	-	7	-	0	64.9					0	0	3	18	43	28	6	0	0	364,277
	1	-	6	-	2	66.4						0	3	20	44	28	6	0		12,774
	0	-	5	-	4	75.0							4	29	42	25				24
17	1	-	7	-	1	39.8						0	1	7	32	40	17	2	0	50,991
	0	-	6	-	3	39.4							1	7	32	41	17	2		287
16	1	-	8	-	0	9.0							0	1	8	31	40	18	2	90,665
	0	-	7	-	2	10.1							0	1	9	33	38	17	2	1,793
15	0	-	8	-	1	2.1							0	0	2	17	43	33	6	6,385
14	0	-	9	-	0	0.1									0	3	22	47	27	11,448

Total:						95.9	%	6	6	20	4	29	4	20	7	3	1	0	0	7,065,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

32	9	-	0	-	0	95	4	1
31	8	-	0	-	1	89	8	4
30	8	-	1	-	0	76	14	10		0
	7	-	0	-	2	75	14	11		0
29	7	-	1	-	1	58	21	21	0	1
	6	-	0	-	3	64	18	18		1
28	7	-	2	-	0	40	24	34	0	3		0
	6	-	1	-	2	39	24	35	0	2
	5	-	0	-	4	47	30	23
27	6	-	2	-	1	20	24	48	0	8		0
	5	-	1	-	3	21	24	49	0	7		0
	4	-	0	-	5		50	50
26	6	-	3	-	0	9	19	53	2	18	0	0
	5	-	2	-	2	9	18	54	1	18		0
	4	-	1	-	4	10	21	48	1	19		1
	3	-	0	-	6			100
25	5	-	3	-	1	2	10	48	4	34	0	2
	4	-	2	-	3	2	11	48	4	33		2
	3	-	1	-	5		17		17	67
24	5	-	4	-	0	0	5	31	8	49	0	7	0
	4	-	3	-	2	0	4	31	7	50	0	7	0
	3	-	2	-	4		5	34	8	45	0	7
	2	-	1	-	6					100
23	4	-	4	-	1	0	1	14	8	59	1	16	0
	3	-	3	-	3		1	14	9	58	1	16	0
	2	-	2	-	5			12	6	65		18
22	4	-	5	-	0	0	0	4	7	48	6	34	2	0
	3	-	4	-	2		0	3	6	50	5	34	2	0
	2	-	3	-	4		0	3	8	48	4	35	2
21	3	-	5	-	1		0	0	2	32	10	50	5	0	0
	2	-	4	-	3		0	0	2	31	11	49	6	0
	1	-	3	-	5					20		80
20	3	-	6	-	0		0	0	1	10	13	54	21	2	0
	2	-	5	-	2		0	0	1	10	13	55	20	1	0
	1	-	4	-	4				1	10	16	49	23	1
19	2	-	6	-	1				0	2	9	47	36	6	0	0
	1	-	5	-	3				0	2	9	46	36	6	0
	0	-	4	-	5							100
18	2	-	7	-	0				0	0	3	18	43	28	6	0	0
	1	-	6	-	2					0	3	20	44	28	6	0
	0	-	5	-	4						4	29	42	25
17	1	-	7	-	1					0	1	7	32	40	17	2	0
	0	-	6	-	3						1	7	32	41	17	2
16	1	-	8	-	0						0	1	8	31	40	18	2
	0	-	7	-	2						0	1	9	33	38	17	2
15	0	-	8	-	1						0	0	2	17	43	33	6
14	0	-	9	-	0								0	3	22	47	27

Total:						6	6	20	4	29	4	20	7	3	1	0	0