Moscow Mighty Moose Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50

Beat HVV 54.7-41.1, playoff odds up 3.8 to 11%

4 points 2-9-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the MOS finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

22		9	-	0	-	0	In		0	9	10	61	14	5	1						11,587
21		8	-	0	-	1	100.0	%		2	1	53	13	28	4	1	0				6,439
20		8	-	1	-	0	99.8			1	0	38	8	42	9	3	0	0			90,707
		7	-	0	-	2	99.9			0	0	36	7	44	10	3	0				1,779
19		7	-	1	-	1	96.0			0		14	1	50	13	18	4	0			51,013
		6	-	0	-	3	97.4					16	0	53	13	15	3				270
18		7	-	2	-	0	83.7			0		7	0	40	9	27	14	2	0	0	363,126
		6	-	1	-	2	82.7					6	0	39	9	28	15	2	0	0	12,570
		5	-	0	-	4	80.8					4		46	4	27	19				26
17		6	-	2	-	1	43.9					1		17	2	24	37	16	2	0	179,325
		5	-	1	-	3	46.3					1		17	2	27	36	16	2		1,764
16		6	-	3	-	0	22.4					0		9	1	13	36	31	9	1	848,986
		5	-	2	-	2	20.2					0		7	0	12	36	33	10	1	37,551
		4	-	1	-	4	16.5							8		9	33	41	9		139
15		5	-	3	-	1	3.3					0		1	0	2	18	41	31	6	358,567
		4	-	2	-	3	4.3					0		2	0	3	18	41	30	6	4,483
		3	-	1	-	5	Out										7	67	27		15
14		5	-	4	-	0	1.0					0		0	0	1	8	32	43	16	1,273,977
		4	-	3	-	2	0.8					0		0		0	7	31	44	17	63,051
		3	-	2	-	4	Out										6	28	39	27	264
13		4	-	4	-	1	0.0							0		0	1	13	46	41	448,719
		3	-	3	-	3	0.1							0		0	1	13	45	41	5,892
		2	-	2	-	5	Out											30	60	10	10
12		4	-	5	-	0	0.0							0		0	0	6	37	57	1,271,828
		3	-	4	-	2	0.0							0		0	0	5	36	58	63,222
		2	-	3	-	4	Out										0	2	35	62	343
11		3	-	5	-	1	Out										0	1	19	80	358,333
		2	-	4	-	3	Out											1	21	78	4,440
		1	-	3	-	5	Out													100	1
10		3	-	6	-	0	Out										0	0	12	88	848,722
		2	-	5	-	2	Out											0	11	89	37,914
		1	-	4	-	4	Out												14	86	165
		0	-	3	-	6	Out													100	1
9		2	-	6	-	1	Out											0	4	96	179,338
		1	-	5	-	3	Out												3	97	1,753
		0	-	4	-	5	Out													100	2
8		2	-	7	-	0	Out											0	2	98	363,648
		1	-	6	-	2	Out												2	98	12,490
		0	-	5	-	4	Out												3	97	31
7		1	-	7	-	1	Out												0	100	51,386
		0	-	6	-	3	Out												0	100	289
6		1	-	8	-	0	Out												0	100	91,084
		0	-	7	-	2	Out												0	100	1,762
4	-5						Out													100	18,124	*

Total:							11.0	%	0	0	0	1	0	5	1	4	9	15	24	42	7,065,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

22		9	-	0	-	0	0	9	10	61	14	5	1
21		8	-	0	-	1		2	1	53	13	28	4	1	0
20		8	-	1	-	0		1	0	38	8	42	9	3	0	0
		7	-	0	-	2		0	0	36	7	44	10	3	0
19		7	-	1	-	1		0		14	1	50	13	18	4	0
		6	-	0	-	3				16	0	53	13	15	3
18		7	-	2	-	0		0		7	0	40	9	27	14	2	0	0
		6	-	1	-	2				6	0	39	9	28	15	2	0	0
		5	-	0	-	4				4		46	4	27	19
17		6	-	2	-	1				1		17	2	24	37	16	2	0
		5	-	1	-	3				1		17	2	27	36	16	2
16		6	-	3	-	0				0		9	1	13	36	31	9	1
		5	-	2	-	2				0		7	0	12	36	33	10	1
		4	-	1	-	4						8		9	33	41	9
15		5	-	3	-	1				0		1	0	2	18	41	31	6
		4	-	2	-	3				0		2	0	3	18	41	30	6
		3	-	1	-	5									7	67	27
14		5	-	4	-	0				0		0	0	1	8	32	43	16
		4	-	3	-	2				0		0		0	7	31	44	17
		3	-	2	-	4									6	28	39	27
13		4	-	4	-	1						0		0	1	13	46	41
		3	-	3	-	3						0		0	1	13	45	41
		2	-	2	-	5										30	60	10
12		4	-	5	-	0						0		0	0	6	37	57
		3	-	4	-	2						0		0	0	5	36	58
		2	-	3	-	4									0	2	35	62
11		3	-	5	-	1									0	1	19	80
		2	-	4	-	3										1	21	78
		1	-	3	-	5												100
10		3	-	6	-	0									0	0	12	88
		2	-	5	-	2										0	11	89
		1	-	4	-	4											14	86
		0	-	3	-	6												100
9		2	-	6	-	1										0	4	96
		1	-	5	-	3											3	97
		0	-	4	-	5												100
8		2	-	7	-	0										0	2	98
		1	-	6	-	2											2	98
		0	-	5	-	4											3	97
7		1	-	7	-	1											0	100
		0	-	6	-	3											0	100
6		1	-	8	-	0											0	100
		0	-	7	-	2											0	100
4	-5																	100

Total:							0	0	0	1	0	5	1	4	9	15	24	42