Nottingham Outlaws Playoff Chances 2018-19 50/50

Beat PRO 44.4-37.9, playoff odds up 0.3 to 99.9%

18 points 9-2-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the NOL finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

36	9	-	0	-	0	In		100												11,527
35	8	-	0	-	1	In		100	0											6,394
34	8	-	1	-	0	In		100	0											90,428
	7	-	0	-	2	In		100	0											1,754
33	7	-	1	-	1	In		99	1											51,188
	6	-	0	-	3	In		99	1											288
32	7	-	2	-	0	In		96	4											364,542
	6	-	1	-	2	In		97	3											12,446
	5	-	0	-	4	In		97	3											34
31	6	-	2	-	1	In		92	8											178,919
	5	-	1	-	3	In		93	7											1,746
	4	-	0	-	5	In		100												3
30	6	-	3	-	0	In		82	18	0	0									849,025
	5	-	2	-	2	In		82	17	0	0									37,693
	4	-	1	-	4	In		84	16											147
29	5	-	3	-	1	In		69	31	0	0									358,410
	4	-	2	-	3	In		69	31	0										4,528
	3	-	1	-	5	In		100												8
28	5	-	4	-	0	In		49	50	1	0	0								1,274,491
	4	-	3	-	2	In		49	50	1	0									62,930
	3	-	2	-	4	In		49	49	1										320
27	4	-	4	-	1	In		30	68	2	0	0								447,117
	3	-	3	-	3	In		30	67	2	0									5,914
	2	-	2	-	5	In		14	86											14
26	4	-	5	-	0	In		13	78	6	3	0	0							1,272,188
	3	-	4	-	2	In		13	79	5	2	0								63,305
	2	-	3	-	4	In		12	81	4	2									323
25	3	-	5	-	1	In		4	82	7	7	0	0							358,346
	2	-	4	-	3	In		4	82	7	8	0	0							4,474
	1	-	3	-	5	In			86		14									7
24	3	-	6	-	0	In		1	68	7	23	1	0	0						849,501
	2	-	5	-	2	In		1	70	6	22	1	0	0						37,701
	1	-	4	-	4	In		2	70	8	19		1							154
23	2	-	6	-	1	In		0	56	3	36	3	1	0						179,488
	1	-	5	-	3	In			56	5	35	3	2	0						1,745
	0	-	4	-	5	In			50		50									2
22	2	-	7	-	0	100.0	%	0	31	1	52	5	11	1	0	0				363,719
	1	-	6	-	2	In			32	1	53	5	10	1	0					12,477
	0	-	5	-	4	In			45		39	10	6							31
21	1	-	7	-	1	100.0			18	0	53	4	23	2	0	0				50,883
	0	-	6	-	3	In			17		52	4	24	3	1					313
20	1	-	8	-	0	98.2			5	0	34	1	46	6	7	2	0			90,982
	0	-	7	-	2	98.6			5		35	2	44	6	7	1				1,814
19	0	-	8	-	1	91.9			1		21	0	51	5	14	7	1	0		6,329
18	0	-	9	-	0	55.3			0		4		32	2	17	31	13	1	0	11,488

Total:						99.9	%	38	49	3	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	7,065,136

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

36	9	-	0	-	0	100
35	8	-	0	-	1	100	0
34	8	-	1	-	0	100	0
	7	-	0	-	2	100	0
33	7	-	1	-	1	99	1
	6	-	0	-	3	99	1
32	7	-	2	-	0	96	4
	6	-	1	-	2	97	3
	5	-	0	-	4	97	3
31	6	-	2	-	1	92	8
	5	-	1	-	3	93	7
	4	-	0	-	5	100
30	6	-	3	-	0	82	18	0	0
	5	-	2	-	2	82	17	0	0
	4	-	1	-	4	84	16
29	5	-	3	-	1	69	31	0	0
	4	-	2	-	3	69	31	0
	3	-	1	-	5	100
28	5	-	4	-	0	49	50	1	0	0
	4	-	3	-	2	49	50	1	0
	3	-	2	-	4	49	49	1
27	4	-	4	-	1	30	68	2	0	0
	3	-	3	-	3	30	67	2	0
	2	-	2	-	5	14	86
26	4	-	5	-	0	13	78	6	3	0	0
	3	-	4	-	2	13	79	5	2	0
	2	-	3	-	4	12	81	4	2
25	3	-	5	-	1	4	82	7	7	0	0
	2	-	4	-	3	4	82	7	8	0	0
	1	-	3	-	5		86		14
24	3	-	6	-	0	1	68	7	23	1	0	0
	2	-	5	-	2	1	70	6	22	1	0	0
	1	-	4	-	4	2	70	8	19		1
23	2	-	6	-	1	0	56	3	36	3	1	0
	1	-	5	-	3		56	5	35	3	2	0
	0	-	4	-	5		50		50
22	2	-	7	-	0	0	31	1	52	5	11	1	0	0
	1	-	6	-	2		32	1	53	5	10	1	0
	0	-	5	-	4		45		39	10	6
21	1	-	7	-	1		18	0	53	4	23	2	0	0
	0	-	6	-	3		17		52	4	24	3	1
20	1	-	8	-	0		5	0	34	1	46	6	7	2	0
	0	-	7	-	2		5		35	2	44	6	7	1
19	0	-	8	-	1		1		21	0	51	5	14	7	1	0
18	0	-	9	-	0		0		4		32	2	17	31	13	1	0

Total:						38	49	3	8	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0