Domingo Mangoes Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 59.5%

2 points 1 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Savage 3 Bombers 2	*+0.1				*+0.0
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2			*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks vs Bruins	-0.4-0.5-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.4
R Rebels vs Sand Lions					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0
Arsenal vs Shamrocks					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mangoes finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-80						In		Yes		100															No		438	*
63		30	8		-	1	In		98.5	%	100	0														No		264	*
62		29	8		-	2	In		98.3		99	1														No		524	*
61		29	9		-	1	In		98.1		99	1														No		825	*
60		28	9		-	2	In		95.7		99	1														No		1,531	*
59		28	10		-	1	In		92.7		98	2	0													No		2,339	*
58		27	10		-	2	In		88.4		96	4	0													No		3,767	*
57		27	11		-	1	In		81.5		93	7	0													No		5,354	*
56		26	11		-	2	In		73.7		89	10	0	0												No		8,340	*
55		26	12		-	1	In		60.9		83	16	1	0												No		11,204	*
54		25	12		-	2	In		45.6		74	24	3	0												No		15,467	*
53		25	13		-	1	In		30.8		62	32	5	0	0											No		20,346	*
52		24	13		-	2	In		17.6		50	39	10	1	0											No		27,022	*
51		24	14		-	1	In		8.1		35	44	18	3	0	0										No		33,213	*
50		23	14		-	2	In		2.7		22	42	27	8	1	0	0									No		40,764	*
49		23	15		-	1	In		0.6		11	34	35	16	4	0	0	0								No		47,553	*
48		22	15		-	2	100.0	%	0.1		5	22	35	26	10	2	0	0	0							No		56,145	*
47		22	16		-	1	In		0.0		2	13	30	33	17	5	1	0								No		30,869
		21	15		-	3	100.0		No		1	7	23	34	24	9	2	0	0							No		30,937	*
46		21	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	3	15	30	31	16	4	1	0	0						No		37,743
		22	17		-	0	99.9		No		0	3	15	29	29	17	5	1	0	0						No		30,992	*
45		21	17		-	1	99.8		No		0	1	7	22	32	25	11	2	0	0	0					No		35,703
		20	16		-	3	99.1		No		0	0	3	14	28	31	18	6	1	0						No		35,909	*
44		20	17		-	2	96.7		No			0	1	6	19	32	27	12	3	0	0	0				No		41,095
		21	18		-	0	95.4		No		0	0	1	7	19	29	26	13	4	1	0					No		34,277	*
43		20	18		-	1	89.7		No			0	0	2	10	25	31	22	8	2	0	0				No		37,174
		19	17		-	3	79.0		No				0	1	4	16	29	29	16	4	1	0	0			No		37,908	*
42		19	18		-	2	60.0		No				0	0	2	8	20	30	25	12	3	0	0	0		No		74,994	*
41		19	19		-	1	38.9		No					0	0	2	11	25	31	21	8	1	0	0		No		34,640
		18	18		-	3	22.6		No					0	0	1	5	17	30	28	14	4	0	0		No		35,033	*
40		18	19		-	2	11.1		No						0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	0.0	%	66,714	*
39		18	20		-	1	2.5		No							0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	1	0	0.1		58,657	*
38		17	20		-	2	0.4		No							0	0	0	3	12	27	32	19	5	0	1.5		53,455	*
37		17	21		-	1	0.1		No								0	0	1	4	16	31	31	14	2	9.7		45,056	*
36		16	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	29.4		38,645	*
35		16	22		-	1	Out		No										0	0	3	12	32	37	15	56.8		30,751	*
34		15	22		-	2	Out		No											0	1	6	24	43	27	79.4		25,186	*
33		15	23		-	1	Out		No											0	0	2	15	43	40	92.2		18,668	*
32		14	23		-	2	Out		No												0	1	9	37	54	97.8		14,276	*
31		14	24		-	1	Out		No													0	4	29	67	99.5		10,186	*
30		13	24		-	2	Out		No													0	2	22	77	99.9		7,449	*
29		13	25		-	1	Out		No														1	14	85	Yes		4,990	*
28		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	9	91	Yes		3,595	*
27		12	26		-	1	Out		No														0	6	93	Yes		2,175	*
26		11	26		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		1,448	*
25		11	27		-	1	Out		No															2	98	Yes		847	*
24		10	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		514	*
23		10	28		-	1	Out		No															0	100	Yes		293	*
22		9	28		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		156	*
2	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		269	*

Total:							59.5	%	4.2	%	9	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	10.1	%	1,155,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)	*+0.1
Savage 3 Bombers 2	*-0.0

Thursday	None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		30	8		-	1	98	2
62		29	8		-	2	98	2
61		29	9		-	1	98	2
60		28	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		28	10		-	1	93	7	0
58		27	10		-	2	88	11	0
57		27	11		-	1	81	17	1	0
56		26	11		-	2	74	23	3	0
55		26	12		-	1	61	32	7	1	0
54		25	12		-	2	46	39	13	2	0	0
53		25	13		-	1	31	41	21	6	1	0
52		24	13		-	2	18	36	30	13	3	0	0
51		24	14		-	1	8	25	32	22	9	3	0	0	0
50		23	14		-	2	3	13	25	28	19	8	2	0	0	0
49		23	15		-	1	1	5	14	24	26	18	9	3	1	0	0
48		22	15		-	2	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	11	4	1	0	0	0	0
47		22	16		-	1	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
		21	15		-	3		0	0	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	3	1	0	0	0
46		21	16		-	2			0	0	2	6	15	22	24	17	9	3	1	0	0	0
		22	17		-	0		0	0	1	2	7	14	21	22	17	10	5	1	0	0	0
45		21	17		-	1			0	0	0	2	5	12	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
		20	16		-	3				0	0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
44		20	17		-	2				0		0	0	1	4	11	19	23	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
		21	18		-	0					0	0	0	2	5	11	17	21	20	14	7	3	1	0	0
43		20	18		-	1							0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0
		19	17		-	3							0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	16	9	3	1	0	0
42		19	18		-	2									0	0	0	2	5	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
41		19	19		-	1											0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
		18	18		-	3												0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
40		18	19		-	2												0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		18	20		-	1														0	0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
38		17	20		-	2																0	0	0	1	5	11	19	24	20	12	5	1	0	0
37		17	21		-	1																	0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
36		16	21		-	2																			0	0	0	2	6	14	23	26	18	9	2	0
35		16	22		-	1																				0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	1
34		15	22		-	2																						0	0	1	5	14	26	30	19	5
33		15	23		-	1																								0	1	6	18	32	30	12
32		14	23		-	2																							0	0	0	2	10	26	39	23
31		14	24		-	1																									0	0	4	17	41	38
30		13	24		-	2																										0	1	10	37	52
29		13	25		-	1																											1	5	28	66
28		12	25		-	2																											0	2	20	77
27		12	26		-	1																												1	15	85
26		11	26		-	2																												0	10	90
25		11	27		-	1																													7	93
24		10	27		-	2																													3	97
23		10	28		-	1																													2	98
22		9	28		-	2																													1	99
2	-21																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2