Rexdale Rebels Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 53.6%

0 points 0 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1			*-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
R Rebels vs Sand Lions	+6.1+6.1+4.9-2.1-1.3-6.6		+1.1+0.9+0.8-0.4-0.5-1.1		-3.3-3.2-2.9+0.7+0.6+3.6		+0.6+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.2-0.7
Sharks vs Bruins	-0.4-0.2-0.8+0.0+0.3+0.4						-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the R Rebels finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

63	-80						In		99.4	%	100															No		494	*
62		30	8		-	2	In		98.2		100	0														No		330	*
61		30	9		-	1	In		98.5		100	0														No		600	*
60		29	9		-	2	In		95.7		99	1														No		981	*
59		29	10		-	1	In		93.2		98	2														No		1,613	*
58		28	10		-	2	In		88.9		96	4														No		2,745	*
57		28	11		-	1	In		82.8		93	6	0													No		3,962	*
56		27	11		-	2	In		73.4		90	10	0													No		5,946	*
55		27	12		-	1	In		62.1		84	15	1	0												No		8,629	*
54		26	12		-	2	In		46.3		74	23	2	0												No		12,109	*
53		26	13		-	1	In		31.3		63	32	5	0	0											No		16,112	*
52		25	13		-	2	In		17.7		49	39	10	1	0	0										No		21,487	*
51		25	14		-	1	In		8.2		36	43	18	3	0											No		26,672	*
50		24	14		-	2	In		2.8		22	42	27	8	1	0	0									No		34,531	*
49		24	15		-	1	In		0.6		11	34	35	16	4	0	0									No		40,612	*
48		23	15		-	2	In		0.1		5	22	35	26	10	2	0	0								No		48,901	*
47		23	16		-	1	100.0	%	0.0		1	10	27	33	20	7	1	0	0							No		55,380	*
46		22	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	3	15	31	31	15	4	1	0	0						No		34,214
		21	15		-	4	99.9		No		0	4	14	29	30	17	5	1	0	0						No		28,850	*
45		22	17		-	1	99.7		No		0	1	7	22	32	25	10	2	0	0						No		32,343
		21	16		-	3	99.1		No		0	0	3	13	28	30	18	5	1	0	0					No		34,077	*
44		21	17		-	2	96.2		No		0	0	1	7	19	30	26	13	3	0	0	0				No		72,308	*
43		21	18		-	1	90.0		No			0	0	2	10	24	31	22	8	2	0	0				No		35,984
		20	17		-	3	79.1		No				0	1	5	16	29	29	16	5	1	0				No		37,619	*
42		20	18		-	2	60.2		No				0	0	1	8	20	31	25	12	3	0	0			No		75,453	*
41		20	19		-	1	39.2		No					0	0	3	11	25	31	21	7	1	0	0		No		35,002
		19	18		-	3	23.0		No					0	0	1	5	17	30	28	15	4	0	0		No		37,779	*
40		19	19		-	2	10.8		No						0	0	2	9	22	31	24	10	2	0	0	0.0	%	70,595	*
39		19	20		-	1	3.7		No						0	0	0	3	14	28	31	18	5	1	0	0.0		31,085
		18	19		-	3	1.4		No							0	0	1	7	21	32	27	11	2	0	0.2		33,305	*
38		18	20		-	2	0.4		No								0	0	3	13	28	32	18	5	0	1.3		32,139
		17	19		-	4	0.4		No								0	0	3	12	26	31	20	6	1	2.1		27,380	*
37		18	21		-	1	0.0		No									0	1	6	20	33	28	11	1	5.8		24,925
		17	20		-	3	0.0		No									0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	13.1		26,874	*
36		17	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	29.2		45,294	*
35		17	22		-	1	0.0		No									0	0	0	2	13	33	37	15	56.2		37,248	*
34		16	22		-	2	Out		No											0	1	6	24	43	27	78.9		31,200	*
33		16	23		-	1	Out		No											0	0	2	15	42	40	92.2		24,247	*
32		15	23		-	2	Out		No												0	1	8	37	54	97.7		19,084	*
31		15	24		-	1	Out		No												0	0	4	29	67	99.4		14,336	*
30		14	24		-	2	Out		No													0	2	21	77	99.8		10,743	*
29		14	25		-	1	Out		No														1	14	85	Yes		7,657	*
28		13	25		-	2	Out		No														0	10	90	Yes		5,341	*
27		13	26		-	1	Out		No														0	5	95	Yes		3,447	*
26		12	26		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		2,304	*
25		12	27		-	1	Out		No															2	98	Yes		1,468	*
24		11	27		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		942	*
23		11	28		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		537	*
22		10	28		-	2	Out		No															0	100	Yes		334	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		482	*

Total:							53.6	%	3.2	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	13.3	%	1,155,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
R Rebels vs Sand Lions	-1.3-1.3-1.1+0.4+0.3+1.4

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

65	-80						100
64		31	7		-	2	99	1
63		31	8		-	1	99	1
62		30	8		-	2	98	2
61		30	9		-	1	99	2
60		29	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		29	10		-	1	93	6	0
58		28	10		-	2	89	10	1
57		28	11		-	1	83	16	1
56		27	11		-	2	73	24	3	0	0
55		27	12		-	1	62	31	6	1
54		26	12		-	2	46	38	13	2	0
53		26	13		-	1	31	41	21	5	1	0	0
52		25	13		-	2	18	36	29	13	3	1	0		0
51		25	14		-	1	8	25	32	22	9	3	0	0	0
50		24	14		-	2	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	1	0	0
49		24	15		-	1	1	4	14	25	26	18	9	3	1	0	0
48		23	15		-	2	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
47		23	16		-	1	0	0	1	3	10	19	24	21	13	6	2	0	0	0
46		22	16		-	2		0	0	0	2	7	14	22	23	17	9	4	1	0	0	0
45		22	17		-	1			0	0	0	1	6	13	21	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
		21	16		-	3				0	0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0
44		21	17		-	2					0	0	0	1	4	11	19	24	20	13	6	2	0	0	0
		20	16		-	4					0	0	0	2	5	11	17	21	20	13	7	3	1	0	0
43		21	18		-	1							0	0	1	3	8	16	22	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
		20	17		-	3								0	0	1	3	8	16	22	23	16	8	3	1	0	0		0
42		20	18		-	2									0	0	0	2	6	12	20	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
41		20	19		-	1										0	0	0	1	4	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	0	0		0
		19	18		-	3											0	0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
40		19	19		-	2													0	0	1	3	7	14	20	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		19	20		-	1														0	0	0	1	3	9	16	22	22	15	8	3	1	0	0
38		18	20		-	2																0	0	0	2	5	12	20	23	20	12	5	1	0	0	0
37		18	21		-	1																		0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	7	2	0	0
36		17	21		-	2																			0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	19	8	2	0
35		17	22		-	1																					0	0	1	5	14	24	28	20	7	1
34		16	22		-	2																						0	0	1	5	15	26	30	18	5
33		16	23		-	1																							0	0	1	6	18	32	30	12
32		15	23		-	2																								0	0	2	9	26	39	23
31		15	24		-	1																									0	1	4	18	41	37
30		14	24		-	2																										0	2	10	36	52
29		14	25		-	1																											0	5	30	65
28		13	25		-	2																											0	3	21	77
27		13	26		-	1																											0	1	14	86
26		12	26		-	2																												0	10	90
25		12	27		-	1																												0	5	95
24		11	27		-	2																												0	4	96
23		11	28		-	1																													3	97
22		10	28		-	2																													2	98
21		10	29		-	1																													2	98
0	-20																																			100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3