Atlanta United Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 39.6%

0 points 0 2-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1	*+0.1		*-0.1		*+0.0
H Rebels 11 Flatpacks 1					+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks vs Bruins	+0.4+0.1+0.5-0.1-0.5-0.4				+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the United finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

62	-76						In		Yes		100															No		205	*
61		30	7		-	1	In		96.4	%	98	2														No		112	*
60		29	7		-	2	In		96.5		99	1														No		227	*
59		29	8		-	1	In		94.8		99	1														No		401	*
58		28	8		-	2	In		89.5		95	5														No		792	*
57		28	9		-	1	In		83.3		93	7	0													No		1,254	*
56		27	9		-	2	In		73.2		88	12	0													No		2,028	*
55		27	10		-	1	In		62.1		81	17	1	0												No		3,389	*
54		26	10		-	2	In		48.3		73	24	3	0												No		5,130	*
53		26	11		-	1	In		33.0		61	33	5	0	0											No		7,421	*
52		25	11		-	2	In		18.3		47	41	11	1	0											No		10,836	*
51		25	12		-	1	In		8.9		34	43	20	3	0											No		14,556	*
50		24	12		-	2	In		3.1		20	41	28	9	1	0										No		19,796	*
49		24	13		-	1	In		0.7		10	32	36	17	4	1	0									No		25,567	*
48		23	13		-	2	In		0.1		4	20	35	28	11	2	0	0								No		33,112	*
47		23	14		-	1	100.0	%	0.0		1	9	26	33	22	7	1	0	0							No		39,208	*
46		22	14		-	2	99.9		No		0	3	13	29	31	17	5	1	0	0						No		26,574
		23	15		-	0	99.9		No		0	3	14	28	29	18	6	1	0							No		21,749	*
45		22	15		-	1	99.6		No		0	1	6	20	32	26	12	3	0	0						No		28,719
		21	14		-	3	98.7		No		0	0	3	12	27	31	20	6	1	0	0					No		26,238	*
44		21	15		-	2	95.4		No			0	1	6	18	30	27	14	4	1	0					No		63,247	*
43		21	16		-	1	88.5		No			0	0	2	9	23	32	23	9	2	0					No		35,003
		20	15		-	3	76.8		No			0	0	0	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0				No		32,847	*
42		20	16		-	2	57.9		No				0	0	1	7	19	30	26	12	3	0	0	0		No		73,634	*
41		20	17		-	1	36.5		No					0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	2	0	0		No		38,884
		19	16		-	3	21.1		No					0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	1	0		No		35,982	*
40		19	17		-	2	9.8		No						0	0	2	8	22	32	25	9	2	0		No		42,123
		20	18		-	0	10.3		No						0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0.0	%	35,009	*
39		19	18		-	1	3.3		No							0	0	3	12	27	31	19	6	1	0	0.0		38,084
		18	17		-	3	1.2		No							0	0	1	7	20	32	27	11	2	0	0.2		36,481	*
38		18	18		-	2	0.3		No								0	0	3	12	27	32	20	5	1	1.4		72,780	*
37		18	19		-	1	0.0		No									0	1	5	18	32	30	12	2	7.3		39,875	*
		17	18		-	3	0.0		No								0	0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	11.6		26,565
36		17	19		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	27.9		61,033	*
35		17	20		-	1	Out		No										0	0	3	15	35	34	12	48.0		27,231
		16	19		-	3	Out		No											0	2	10	31	40	18	61.7		25,637	*
34		16	20		-	2	Out		No											0	1	6	25	43	26	77.9		46,675	*
33		16	21		-	1	Out		No											0	0	2	16	43	39	91.7		37,718	*
32		15	21		-	2	Out		No												0	1	9	38	53	97.5		31,342	*
31		15	22		-	1	Out		No												0	0	5	30	66	99.3		24,259	*
30		14	22		-	2	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.9		18,973	*
29		14	23		-	1	Out		No													0	1	16	84	100.0		13,929	*
28		13	23		-	2	Out		No														0	10	90	100.0		10,346	*
27		13	24		-	1	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		7,154	*
26		12	24		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		5,016	*
25		12	25		-	1	Out		No															2	98	Yes		3,178	*
24		11	25		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		2,129	*
23		11	26		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		1,328	*
22		10	26		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		818	*
0	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		1,106	*

Total:							39.6	%	1.3	%	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	9	10	11	21.0	%	1,155,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ice Floors 5 Turtles 1	*-0.0
Islanders 5 Ice Holes 2	*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
IceMan vs Creoles	+0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

62	-76						100
61		30	7		-	1	96	4
60		29	7		-	2	96	4
59		29	8		-	1	95	5	0
58		28	8		-	2	90	10	0
57		28	9		-	1	83	16	1	0
56		27	9		-	2	73	24	3	0
55		27	10		-	1	62	31	6	1	0
54		26	10		-	2	48	38	12	2	0	0
53		26	11		-	1	33	41	20	5	1	0	0
52		25	11		-	2	18	37	29	12	3	0	0
51		25	12		-	1	9	27	32	21	9	2	0	0	0
50		24	12		-	2	3	14	27	28	18	8	2	0	0
49		24	13		-	1	1	5	16	25	25	17	8	2	1	0		0
48		23	13		-	2	0	1	5	14	23	25	18	10	3	1	0	0	0
47		23	14		-	1	0	0	1	4	11	20	24	21	12	5	2	0	0	0
46		22	14		-	2		0	0	1	2	8	15	22	22	16	9	3	1	0	0	0
45		22	15		-	1			0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
		21	14		-	3				0	0	0	2	6	14	21	23	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
44		21	15		-	2					0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	6	2	0	0	0
43		21	16		-	1						0	0	0	1	3	9	16	23	22	15	7	3	1	0	0	0
		20	15		-	3								0	0	1	3	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0
42		20	16		-	2								0	0	0	1	2	6	13	20	22	18	11	5	2	0	0	0
41		20	17		-	1										0	0	0	1	4	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0	0	0
		19	16		-	3											0	0	0	1	4	9	17	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0
40		19	17		-	2												0	0	0	1	3	7	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
		20	18		-	0													0	0	1	3	8	14	20	21	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		19	18		-	1															0	0	2	6	13	20	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
		18	17		-	3																0	0	2	6	13	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
38		18	18		-	2																0	0	0	2	5	12	20	24	20	11	5	1	0	0
37		18	19		-	1																	0	0	0	1	4	12	20	25	21	11	4	1	0	0
		17	18		-	3																			0	0	2	6	13	23	25	19	10	3	0	0
36		17	19		-	2																			0	0	0	2	7	15	23	25	18	8	2	0
35		17	20		-	1																				0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	7	1
34		16	20		-	2																						0	0	1	5	15	27	29	18	4
33		16	21		-	1																						0	0	0	1	7	19	32	30	12
32		15	21		-	2																								0	0	2	10	27	38	22
31		15	22		-	1																									0	1	4	18	41	36
30		14	22		-	2																										0	2	10	37	51
29		14	23		-	1																										0	0	5	30	65
28		13	23		-	2																										0	0	2	22	76
27		13	24		-	1																											0	1	15	84
26		12	24		-	2																												1	10	89
25		12	25		-	1																												0	6	94
24		11	25		-	2																												0	3	97
23		11	26		-	1																													2	98
22		10	26		-	2																													2	98
21		10	27		-	1																													0	100
20		9	27		-	2																													1	99
0	-19																																			100

Total:							1	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6