Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Ann Arbor Lumberjacks Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 58.9%

2 points 1 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)							*-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Tier III	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo vs Lumberjacks	-6.7-1.8-1.9+5.3+6.1+6.2		-1.5-0.6-0.5+1.3+1.3+1.4		+3.0+0.6*+0.3-2.5-2.7-2.7		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.6+0.6+0.6
Sharks vs Bruins	+0.5-0.2+0.1-0.2-0.5-0.4						+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lumberjacks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed															Tier
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	III		Count

64	-80						In		Yes		100															No		405	*
63		30	8		-	1	In		99.3	%	99	1														No		285	*
62		29	8		-	2	In		98.5		100	0														No		525	*
61		29	9		-	1	In		97.3		99	1														No		884	*
60		28	9		-	2	In		95.9		98	2														No		1,527	*
59		28	10		-	1	In		92.5		97	3	0													No		2,376	*
58		27	10		-	2	In		89.2		95	5	0													No		3,741	*
57		27	11		-	1	In		83.4		93	6	0													No		5,526	*
56		26	11		-	2	In		74.1		88	12	0													No		8,090	*
55		26	12		-	1	In		61.0		81	18	1	0												No		11,297	*
54		25	12		-	2	In		46.7		72	25	3	0												No		15,756	*
53		25	13		-	1	In		32.3		60	33	6	0	0											No		20,357	*
52		24	13		-	2	In		18.8		47	41	11	1	0											No		26,719	*
51		24	14		-	1	In		8.4		32	44	20	4	0	0										No		32,999	*
50		23	14		-	2	In		2.7		20	41	29	9	1	0										No		40,852	*
49		23	15		-	1	In		0.6		10	31	35	19	4	1	0									No		47,617	*
48		22	15		-	2	100.0	%	0.1		4	19	34	28	11	2	0	0	0							No		55,896	*
47		22	16		-	1	100.0		0.0		1	9	25	34	22	8	1	0	0							No		61,987	*
46		21	16		-	2	99.9		No		0	2	13	29	31	18	5	1	0							No		37,519
		22	17		-	0	99.9		0.0		0	3	13	27	30	19	6	1	0	0						No		31,425	*
45		21	17		-	1	99.7		No		0	1	6	19	32	27	12	3	0	0						No		35,686
		20	16		-	3	98.7		No		0	0	2	11	27	31	20	7	1	0	0					No		36,181	*
44		20	17		-	2	95.2		No		0	0	1	5	18	29	28	14	4	1	0	0				No		75,897	*
43		20	18		-	1	87.9		No				0	2	9	23	31	24	10	2	0	0	0			No		37,020
		19	17		-	3	76.3		No				0	0	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0				No		37,407	*
42		19	18		-	2	56.9		No				0	0	1	6	19	30	27	13	3	0	0	0		No		75,003	*
41		19	19		-	1	35.8		No					0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	2	0			No		34,627
		18	18		-	3	20.8		No						0	1	4	16	29	29	15	5	1	0		No		35,041	*
40		18	19		-	2	9.5		No							0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0	0	No		36,487
		19	20		-	0	10.4		No						0	0	2	8	21	30	25	11	3	0	0	0.0	%	30,233	*
39		18	20		-	1	3.3		No							0	0	3	12	27	32	19	6	1	0	0.0		29,449
		17	19		-	3	1.2		No							0	0	1	6	20	32	27	11	2	0	0.2		30,109	*
38		17	20		-	2	0.3		No							0	0	0	3	12	27	32	20	5	1	1.6		53,187	*
37		17	21		-	1	0.0		No									0	1	4	16	31	31	14	2	9.5		44,987	*
36		16	21		-	2	0.0		No									0	0	1	7	23	36	26	7	29.4		38,402	*
35		16	22		-	1	Out		No										0	0	2	13	32	37	15	56.2		30,758	*
34		15	22		-	2	Out		No											0	1	6	24	43	26	79.1		24,765	*
33		15	23		-	1	Out		No												0	2	15	43	39	91.9		18,695	*
32		14	23		-	2	Out		No												0	1	9	37	54	97.7		14,232	*
31		14	24		-	1	Out		No												0	0	4	29	66	99.3		10,270	*
30		13	24		-	2	Out		No													0	2	22	76	99.9		7,402	*
29		13	25		-	1	Out		No														1	15	84	Yes		4,969	*
28		12	25		-	2	Out		No														0	10	90	Yes		3,424	*
27		12	26		-	1	Out		No														0	6	94	Yes		2,215	*
26		11	26		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	Yes		1,473	*
25		11	27		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		808	*
24		10	27		-	2	Out		No															2	98	Yes		495	*
23		10	28		-	1	Out		No															1	99	Yes		287	*
22		9	28		-	2	Out		No															1	99	Yes		158	*
2	-21						Out		No																100	Yes		250	*

Total:							58.9	%	4.3	%	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5	10.1	%	1,155,700

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Segelviken 2 Golden Knights 3 (so)	*+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Lumberjacks	+1.4+0.4+0.4-1.2-1.3-1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

64	-80						100
63		30	8		-	1	99	1
62		29	8		-	2	98	2
61		29	9		-	1	97	3
60		28	9		-	2	96	4	0
59		28	10		-	1	92	7	0
58		27	10		-	2	89	10	1
57		27	11		-	1	83	16	1	0
56		26	11		-	2	74	23	3	0
55		26	12		-	1	61	32	6	1	0
54		25	12		-	2	47	38	13	2	0	0
53		25	13		-	1	32	40	21	5	1	0	0
52		24	13		-	2	19	36	29	12	3	1	0	0
51		24	14		-	1	8	25	32	22	9	2	0	0	0
50		23	14		-	2	3	13	26	28	19	8	2	0	0	0
49		23	15		-	1	1	5	14	24	26	18	9	3	1	0	0
48		22	15		-	2	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0
47		22	16		-	1	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	4	1	0	0	0
		21	15		-	3		0	0	2	7	15	23	24	17	8	3	1	0	0
46		21	16		-	2	0	0	0	0	2	7	14	22	23	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
45		21	17		-	1			0	0	0	2	5	12	21	24	19	11	4	1	0	0
		20	16		-	3					0	0	2	6	13	21	23	19	11	4	1	0	0	0
44		20	17		-	2					0	0	0	1	5	11	18	22	20	13	6	2	1	0	0	0
43		20	18		-	1							0	0	1	2	8	16	23	22	16	8	3	1	0	0	0
		19	17		-	3								0	0	1	3	8	15	22	23	17	8	3	1	0	0
42		19	18		-	2									0	0	0	2	6	12	19	22	19	12	5	2	0	0	0
41		19	19		-	1											0	0	1	3	9	17	23	22	15	7	2	1	0	0	0
		18	18		-	3												0	0	1	3	9	17	22	22	15	7	2	1	0	0
40		18	19		-	2											0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0
39		18	20		-	1													0		0	0	2	5	12	19	24	20	12	5	1	0	0
		17	19		-	3															0	0	0	2	5	13	20	24	19	10	4	1	0	0
38		17	20		-	2															0	0	0	0	2	5	12	19	23	20	12	5	1	0	0
37		17	21		-	1																		0	0	1	3	8	16	24	23	16	7	2	0	0
36		16	21		-	2																		0	0	0	0	2	6	14	23	25	19	8	2	0
35		16	22		-	1																					0	0	1	5	14	23	27	20	8	1
34		15	22		-	2																						0	0	1	5	14	27	29	19	5
33		15	23		-	1																							0	0	1	7	18	32	30	12
32		14	23		-	2																								0	0	2	10	26	39	23
31		14	24		-	1																									0	1	4	17	40	38
30		13	24		-	2																										0	2	10	36	53
29		13	25		-	1																											0	5	29	66
28		12	25		-	2																											0	2	22	76
27		12	26		-	1																											0	1	14	86
26		11	26		-	2																												0	10	90
25		11	27		-	1																												0	4	96
24		10	27		-	2																												0	4	96
23		10	28		-	1																													2	98
22		9	28		-	2																													1	99
21		9	29		-	1																													1	99
2	-20																																			100

Total:							4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2